2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election

The 2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the next Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Republican Governor Linda Lingle was term-limited and not eligible to run for re-election. The Democratic Party nominated Representative Neil Abercrombie, and the Republican Party nominated incumbent Lieutenant Governor Duke Aiona. In the election, Neil Abercrombie defeated Lieutenant Governor Duke Aiona. Abercrombie was sworn in as the state's 7th Governor on December 6, 2010.[1]

2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election

November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Neil Abercrombie Duke Aiona
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Brian Schatz Lynn Finnegan
Popular vote 222,724 157,311
Percentage 57.8% 40.8%

County results
Abercrombie:      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Linda Lingle
Republican

Elected Governor

Neil Abercrombie
Democratic

As of 2023, this was the last time the Republican candidate for governor received over 40% of the vote in Hawaii.

This marked the first time since the 1966 election that both the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii were white.

Primary results

Democratic

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Abercrombie—60–70%
  •   Abercrombie—50–60%
  •   Hannemann—30–40%
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Neil Abercrombie 142,234 59.3
Democratic Mufi Hannemann 90,535 37.7
Democratic Arturo P. Reyes 1,350 0.6
Democratic Van K. Tanabe 1,329 0.6
Democratic Miles Shiratori 1,031 0.4
Total votes 236,479 100

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Neil Abercrombie Mufi Hannemann Undecided
Honolulu Star-Advertiser August 10–17, 2010 49% 44% 8%
Mason Dixon January 8–12, 2010 37% 34% 29%
Research 2000 June 15–17, 2009 42% 22% 36%

Republican

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Aiona—>90%
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Duke Aiona 42,479 93.0
Republican John S. Carroll 2,075 4.5
Total votes 44,554 100

Non-partisan

Non-partisan primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Tom Pollard 265 20.3
Independent Paul Manner 188 14.4
Independent Tony Clapes 95 7.3
Total votes 548 100

Free Energy Party

  • Daniel H. Cunningham

Lieutenant governor primary

Eleven candidates ran for their political parties' nominations in the lieutenant governor primary election on September 18: seven Democrats, two Republicans, one independent, and one Free Energy Party candidate.[1]

Democratic Party

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Schatz—30–40%
  •   Hooser—40–50%
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brian Schatz 83,431 34.8
Democratic Robert Bunda 45,973 19.2
Democratic Norman Sakamoto 44,462 18.5
Democratic Gary Hooser 22,878 9.5
Democratic Lyla Berg 20,161 8.4
Democratic Jon Riki Karamatsu 6,746 2.8
Democratic Steve Hirakami 2,695 1.1
Total votes 226,346 100

Republican Party

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lynn Finnegan 27,052 59.2
Republican Adrienne King 12,300 26.9
Total votes 39,352 100

Free Energy Party

Independent

  • Leonard Kama, 67, retired security guard and deckhand campaigning on education and a reduction of homelessness. Resident of Kapolei.[1]

General election

Neil Abercrombie and his running mate Brian Schatz on the day of the election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[8] Lean D (flip) October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[9] Tilt D (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[10] Tossup November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Lean D (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[12] Likely D (flip) October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Neil
Abercrombie (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Public Policy Polling October 2–3, 2010 49% 47%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser August 10–17, 2010 53% 41%
Rasmussen Reports June 24, 2010 58% 32%
Rasmussen Reports March 24, 2010 54% 31%
Mason Dixon January 8–12, 2010 43% 34%
Research 2000 June 15–17, 2009 45% 36%

Candidates

  • Neil Abercrombie (D)
    • Abercrombie's running mate was former state Democratic Party chairman Brian Schatz
  • Duke Aiona (R)
    • Aiona's running mate was State Rep. Lynn Finnegan
  • Daniel Cunningham (FE)
    • Cunningham's running mate was Deborah Spence
  • Tom Pollard (I)
    • Pollard's running mate was Leonard Kama

Results

Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2010[13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Neil Abercrombie 222,724 57.8% +21.55
Republican Duke Aiona 157,311 40.8% -21.73
Free Energy Party Daniel Cunningham 1,265 .3% N/A
Non-partisan Tom Pollard 1,263 .3% N/A
Turnout 380,035 55.7%
Democratic gain from Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

  1. Sample, Herbert A. (September 15, 2010). "11 vying for Hawaii's second highest post". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Associated Press. Retrieved September 17, 2010.
  2. DePledge, Derrick (March 9, 2009). "Abercrombie kicks off run for governor". The Honolulu Advertiser. Archived from the original on March 13, 2009.
  3. DePledge, Derrick (July 21, 2010). "Off and running; Gubernatorial hopefuls punch, counterpunch as the state's election filing deadline passes". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  4. "PRIMARY ELECTION 2010 - State of Hawaii - Statewide" (PDF). Honolulu, HI, USA: Office of Elections, State of Hawaii. September 29, 2010. p. 1. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 15, 2012. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  5. Aiona leads money race for 2010 governor's seat
  6. "Physician Profile on Dr. Thomas Pollard". HealthGrades web site. Retrieved December 3, 2010.
  7. "About Adrienne". Adrienne King Lieutenant Governor web site. Archived from the original on July 7, 2011. Retrieved December 9, 2010.
  8. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  9. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  10. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  11. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  12. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. "General Election—State of Hawaii—Statewide Final Summary Report" (PDF). Hawaii office of Elections. November 16, 2010. Retrieved December 10, 2010.
Official campaign websites (Archived)
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