2020 United States presidential election in Georgia

The 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate Senator Kamala Harris of California. Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

2020 United States presidential election in Georgia

November 3, 2020
Turnout66.2%[1] Increase 6.1 pp
 
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 16 0
Popular vote 2,473,633 2,461,854
Percentage 49.47% 49.24%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Biden narrowly won Georgia by a margin of 0.23% and 11,779 votes. Leading up to the election, Georgia was seen as a key swing state in both the presidential and senatorial elections—both a regular Class II U.S. Senate election and a special election—due to the rapid growth and diversification of Atlanta's suburbs, where Republicans were once dominant. Polls of the state throughout the campaign indicated a close race, and prior to election day, most news organizations considered Georgia a toss-up. This was the only state in the Deep South carried by Biden, made possible by significant demographic shifts over the previous decade, especially in Metro Atlanta.[4] While Georgia still has a relative GOP lean at the state level, the explosive growth of its capital city and surrounding suburbs has shifted it into a swing state at the federal level.

Like in other states, Trump had an early lead on election night due to the state counting in-person votes first on that day, before counting mail-in ballots over the following days. Biden subsequently cut into Trump's margin over the course of the week and eventually overtook Trump on Friday morning. Although majority-minority Burke County—near Augusta—flipped to Trump after supporting Hillary Clinton in 2016, Biden was able to build Clinton's vote shares in the densely populated Metro Atlanta counties of Gwinnett, Cobb, and Henry, increasing her vote shares of 50%, 48%, and 50% to 58%, 56%, and 60%, respectively–in all three cases, the best showing for a non-Georgian Democrat since John F. Kennedy in the 1960 election. This helped Biden win the state by a plurality, despite not flipping any counties.

Due to the close margins in the initial election results, Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger announced on November 11 that a recount by hand would be conducted.[5] The recount was completed on November 18,[6][7] and Biden was confirmed to be the winner on November 19.[8]

Trump would engage in unsuccessful attempts to overturn the results, challenging Raffensperger in a widely publicized phone call to "find" 11,780 more votes. Actions taken by Trump allies in Georgia, including a scheme to send fake electors to Congress, are currently under criminal investigation, which has thus far led to a criminal indictment against Trump and his allies.

Primary elections

The presidential preference primary was originally scheduled for March 24, 2020. On March 14, it was moved to May 19 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[9] On April 9, the preference primary was again rescheduled to June 9, being combined with the regular, usually-separate primary for other federal and state primaries as well as local elections in some counties, the first time in Georgia history that all primaries were combined on the same date.[10] Secretary of State Raffensperger approved sending out absentee ballot application forms to 6.9 million active voters for the combined primary, of which 1.1 million absentee ballots were requested. The total turnout for the combined primary was the highest since the 2008 presidential primary, and broke the record for most absentee ballots cast in a Georgia primary.

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary and thus received all of Georgia's 76 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[11]

2020 Georgia Republican presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Donald Trump 947,352 100 76
Total 947,352 100.00 76

Democratic primary

2020 Georgia Democratic presidential primary[12]
Candidate Votes  % Delegates[13]
Joe Biden 922,177 84.86 105
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 101,668 9.36
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 21,906 2.02
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 9,117 0.84
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 7,657 0.70
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 6,346 0.58
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 5,154 0.47
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 4,317 0.40
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 4,117 0.38
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 1,752 0.16
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,476 0.14
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,042 0.10
Total 1,086,729 100% 105

General election

Final predictions

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[14] Tossup
Inside Elections[15] Tilt D (flip)
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Lean D (flip)
Politico[17] Tossup
RCP[18] Tossup
Niskanen[19] Tossup
CNN[20] Tossup
The Economist[21] Tossup
CBS News[22] Tossup
270towin[23] Tossup
ABC News[24] Lean D (flip)
NPR[25] Tossup
NBC News[26] Tossup
538[27] Tossup

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
270 to Win Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.6% 47.4% 5.0% Biden +0.2
Real Clear Politics Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.2% 48.2% 4.6% Trump +1.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 48.5% 47.4% 4.1% Biden +1.2
Average 47.8% 47.7% 4.6% Biden +0.1

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 1,041 (LV) ± 2.96% 50% 45% 3% 1%[lower-alpha 3] 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 3,962 (LV) ± 2.5% 48%[lower-alpha 4] 50%
Landmark Communications/WSBTV Nov 1, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 46% 3% 1%
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness Archived November 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] Nov 1, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% 4% 2%
AYTM/Aspiration Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 380 (LV) 48% 52%
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 438 (LV) ± 6.2% 44% 54% 2%
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,036 (LV) ± 3% 48% 50% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 5]
AtlasIntel Oct 30–31, 2020 679 (LV) ± 4% 48% 46% 6%
Emerson College Oct 29–31, 2020 749 (LV) ± 3.5% 49%[lower-alpha 6] 48% 2%[lower-alpha 7]
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020 1,743 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 49%
Landmark Communications/WSBTV Oct 28, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 3% 3%
Public Policy Polling Oct 27–28, 2020 661 (V) 46% 48% 4%[lower-alpha 8] 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 7,019 (LV) 48% 50%
Monmouth University Oct 23–27, 2020 504 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 50% 2% 1%[lower-alpha 9] 2%
504 (LV) 46%[lower-alpha 10] 50%
48%[lower-alpha 11] 50%
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 373 (LV) ± 6.9% 48% 51% 1%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 23–26, 2020 1,041 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 51% 2%[lower-alpha 7] 0%
Wick Surveys Oct 24–25, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 47%
YouGov/CBS Oct 20–23, 2020 1,090 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 49% 2%[lower-alpha 12] 0%
University of Georgia/AJC Oct 14–23, 2020 1,145 (LV) ± 4% 46% 47% 3% 4%
Landmark Communications/WSBTV Oct 21, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 45% 4%
Citizen Data Oct 17–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 44% 48% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 13] 5%
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020 1,672 (LV) ± 2.4% 48% 48%
Emerson College Oct 17–19, 2020 506 (LV) ± 4.3% 48%[lower-alpha 6] 47% 5%[lower-alpha 14]
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 13–19, 2020 759 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 45% 2% 2%[lower-alpha 15] 7%[lower-alpha 16]
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[upper-alpha 2] Oct 12–15, 2020 801 (LV) ± 3.46% 46%[lower-alpha 6] 49% 3%[lower-alpha 17] 4%[lower-alpha 16]
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff[upper-alpha 3] Oct 11–14, 2020 600 (LV) 44% 51%
Quinnipiac University Oct 8–12, 2020 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 51% 1%[lower-alpha 3] 4%
SurveyUSA Oct 8–12, 2020 677 (LV) ± 5.7% 46% 48% 2%[lower-alpha 18] 4%
Data for Progress Oct 8–11, 2020 782 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 46% 2% 1%[lower-alpha 19] 5%
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020 1,837 (LV) ± 2.3% 49% 47%
Public Policy Polling Oct 8–9, 2020 528 (V) ± 4.3% 46% 47% 3%[lower-alpha 20] 3%
Landmark Communications Oct 7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48.6% 46.8% 0.7% 3.9%
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 1,456 (LV) 47% 48%
University of Georgia/AJC Sep 27 – Oct 6, 2020 1,106 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 46% 3% 3%
Landmark Communications/WSB Sep 30, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4% 45% 47% 3%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Sep 1–30, 2020 3,468 (LV) 48% 49% 2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Sep 26–29, 2020 969 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 50% 2%[lower-alpha 7] 1%
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[upper-alpha 4] Sep 24–27, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 50%
Quinnipiac University Sep 23–27, 2020 1,125 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 50% 1%[lower-alpha 3] 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 23–26, 2020 789 (LV) ± 3.49% 44% 45% 2% 1%[lower-alpha 21] 8%
YouGov/CBS Sep 22–25, 2020 1,164 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 2%[lower-alpha 7] 5%
Monmouth University Sep 17–21, 2020 402 (RV) ± 4.9% 47% 46% 2% 0%[lower-alpha 22] 4%
402 (LV) 48%[lower-alpha 10] 46% 2% 4%
50%[lower-alpha 11] 45% 1% 3%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 16–21, 2020 523 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 2% 0%[lower-alpha 23] 8%[lower-alpha 16]
University of Georgia/AJC Sep 11–20, 2020 1,150 (LV) ± 4% 47% 47% 1% 4%
Data for Progress (D) Sep 14–19, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45%[lower-alpha 24] 45% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 25] 8%
46%[lower-alpha 26] 46% 8%
GBAO Strategies/Warnock for Georgia[upper-alpha 5] Sep 14–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 46% 49%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–16, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.46% 46% 45% 2% 1%[lower-alpha 21] 6%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 1,486 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 48%[lower-alpha 27] 46%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 1%[lower-alpha 28] 6%
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[upper-alpha 2] Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.46% 46%[lower-alpha 6] 47% 2% 1%[lower-alpha 29] 4%
Landmark Communications/WSB Aug 29–31, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 41% 2% 9%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Aug 1–31, 2020 2,772 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020 1,392 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 46% 49%
HarrisX/Matt Lieberman[upper-alpha 6] Aug 20–30, 2020 1,616 (RV) ± 2.4% 46% 52% 2%[lower-alpha 30]
PPP/Fair Fight Action[upper-alpha 7] Aug 24–25, 2020 782 (V) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 6%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020 1,265 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 47% 46%
Landmark Communications Aug 14–15, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 45% 4% 3%
SurveyUSA Aug 6–8, 2020 623 (LV) ± 5.3% 44% 46% 4%[lower-alpha 31] 6%
YouGov/CBS Jul 28–31, 2020 1,109 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 46% 3%[lower-alpha 32] 5%
HIT Strategies/DFER[upper-alpha 8] Jul 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 40% 44% 6%[lower-alpha 33] 10%[lower-alpha 16]
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jul 1–31, 2020 3,745 (LV) 53% 45% 2%
Monmouth University Jul 23–27, 2020 402 (RV) ± 2% 47% 47% 3% 3%
402 (LV) 48%[lower-alpha 10] 47% 2% 3%
49%[lower-alpha 11] 46% 2% 4%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,337 (LV) ± 2.7% 46% 47%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[upper-alpha 9] Jul 23–24, 2020 722 (V) 45% 46% 9%
Trafalgar Group Jul 15–18, 2020 1,023 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% 2% 2%[lower-alpha 34] 2%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 10] Jul 11–16, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 46% 5%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff[upper-alpha 3] Jul 9–15, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 47% 10%
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jul 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 45% - 8%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jun 8–30, 2020 2,059 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[upper-alpha 11] Jun 25–26, 2020 734 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 49% - 6%
Fox News Jun 20–23, 2020 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% - 4%[lower-alpha 35] 5%
Public Policy Polling Jun 12–13, 2020 661 (V) ± 3.4% 46% 48% - 6%
TargetSmart May 21–27, 2020 321 (RV) ± 5.5% 44% 40% - 10%[lower-alpha 36] 6%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 1,396 (LV) 49% 47%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 47% 48% - 3%[lower-alpha 20] 2%
The Progress Campaign (D) May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2% 47% 47% - 6%[lower-alpha 37]
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee[upper-alpha 12] May 11–13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 46% -
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 46% 47% - 7%[lower-alpha 38]
Cygnal/David Ralston[upper-alpha 13] Apr 25–27, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% - 7% 5%
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate[upper-alpha 14] Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% - 6%
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 47% - 4%
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 43% - 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 44% - 5%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 47% - 10%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 47% 48% - 5%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 51% - 3% 4%[lower-alpha 39]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 46% - 11%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 6% 3%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 42% - 14%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 43% - 5%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 41% - 14%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 49% 42% 9%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 46% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 40]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 38% - 17%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 43% - 11%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 49% 44% 7%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 45% 4% 7%[lower-alpha 41]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 51% 46% 3%
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 41% 5% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 47% 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 48% 46% 6%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 48% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 42]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 48% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 42% 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 40% - 6%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 46% - 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 47% 47% 5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 47% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 42]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Other Undecided
AJC Jan 6–15, 2020 1,025 (V) ± 3.1% 43.6% 46.9%[lower-alpha 43] 1.8%[lower-alpha 44] 7.7%[lower-alpha 45]

Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidates win the state:[28]

Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Republican Party
Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
  • Christine Austin
  • Stephanie Aylworth
  • Nelson Barnhouse
  • Robert Cortez
  • Danny Dolan
  • Eric Fontaine
  • Ryan Graham
  • Gretchen Mangan
  • Edward Metz
  • Mark Mosley
  • Chase Oliver
  • Robert Rouse
  • David Shock
  • John Turpish
  • Laura Williams
  • Nathan Wilson

Turnout

Voter registration for the 2020 general elections ended on October 5 in Georgia, with a final total of 7,233,584 active registered voters,[29] an increase of 1,790,538 new voters since the 2016 election and 805,003 new voters since the 2018 gubernatorial election. Absentee mail ballots were first sent out on September 15. Unlike the June 9 combined primary, Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger declined to mail out absentee ballot request forms for the November 3 election, and instead established a website for registered voters to apply for an absentee ballot;[30] in addition, third-party non-profit organizations such as the Voter Participation Center sent out over 2.2 million absentee request forms to registered voters by mail, including to voters who did not have computers nor Internet access.[31] 1,731,117 absentee ballots were requested by mail or online by voters by the deadline of October 23. The Secretary of State's office allowed counties to install multiple drop boxes for absentee voters to bypass the postal system, on the condition that the drop boxes be installed on county government property and surveilled with 24-hour cameras.

Early in-person voting began on October 12. Complaints regarding hours-long early-voting lines soon arose across the state, especially in Metro Atlanta counties; state officials attributed the long durations of lines to voter enthusiasm and lack of preparation by county boards of elections.

Raffensperger recorded 126,876 votes having been cast early or absentee across the state on October 12, a record turnout for the first day of early voting in a Georgia general election.[32] The record turnout continued throughout the first week, with 1,555,622 having been cast by October 19. By October 21, 2,124,571 votes had been cast, over 50% of total votes cast in the 2016 election, and by October 30, over 50% of registered voters had cast their ballots.

Results

Precinct Results
Map legend
  •   Biden—40–50%
  •   Biden—50–60%
  •   Biden—60–70%
  •   Biden—70–80%
  •   Biden—80–90%
  •   Biden—90–100%
  •   Trump–40–50%
  •   Trump–50–60%
  •   Trump–60–70%
  •   Trump–70–80%
  •   Trump–80–90%
  •   Trump–90–100%
  •   Tie
  •   No Vote

Following the November 3 general election, voters whose mail-in ballots were rejected could submit corrections until 5:00 p.m. on Friday, November 6.[33][34]

2020 United States presidential election in Georgia[28][35]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
2,473,633 49.47% +4.12%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
2,461,854 49.24% –1.16%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
62,229 1.24% –1.77%
Green Howie Hawkins (write-in)
Angela Walker (write-in)
1,013 0.02% –0.17%
American Solidarity Brian T. Carroll (write-in)
Amar Patel (write-in)
701 0.01%
Independent Jade Simmons (write-in)
Claudeliah Roze (write-in)
181 0.00%
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva (write-in)
Sunil Freeman (write-in)
159 0.00%
Independent Mark Charles (write-in)
Adrian Wallace (write-in)
65 0.00%
Constitution Don Blankenship (write-in)
William Mohr (write-in)
61 0.00% –0.03%
Independent Loren Collins (write-in) 11 0.00%
Independent Barbara Bellar (write-in) 10 0.00%
Independent Peter Sherrill (write-in) 8 0.00%
Independent President R19 Boddie (write-in) 8 0.00%
Independent Princess Jacob-Fambro (write-in) 7 0.00%
Independent Kasey Wells (write-in) 6 0.00%
Independent David Byrne (write-in) 6 0.00%
Independent Shawn Howard (write-in) 5 0.00%
Independent Kathryn Gibson (write-in) 2 0.00%
Independent Deborah Rouse (write-in) 1 0.00%
Total votes 4,999,960 100.00%
Democratic win

By county

CountyJoe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian
Other votes MarginTotal
votes
 % #  % #  % #  % # % #
Appling 21.26% 1,784 78.31% 6,570 0.43% 36 0.00% 0 -57.05% -4,786 8,390
Atkinson 26.15% 825 72.90% 2,300 0.95% 30 0.00% 0 -46.75% -1,475 3,155
Bacon 13.39% 625 86.07% 4,017 0.54% 25 0.00% 0 -72.68% -3,392 4,667
Baker 41.93% 652 56.78% 897 0.39% 6 0.00% 0 -14.85% -245 1,555
Baldwin 50.05% 9,140 48.75% 8,903 1.14% 208 0.05% 10 1.30% 237 18,261
Banks 10.58% 932 88.53% 7,795 0.84% 74 0.05% 4 -77.95% -6,863 8,805
Barrow 27.55% 10,453 70.64% 26,804 1.75% 664 0.07% 25 -43.09% -16,351 37,946
Bartow 23.95% 12,091 74.62% 37,672 1.39% 701 0.04% 22 -50.67% -25,581 50,486
Ben Hill 36.46% 2,393 62.63% 4,111 0.91% 60 0.00% 0 -26.17% -1,718 6,564
Berrien 16.39% 1,269 82.89% 6,419 0.71% 55 0.01% 1 -66.50% -5,150 7,744
Bibb 61.34% 43,408 37.53% 26,559 1.06% 747 0.07% 49 23.81% 16,849 70,763
Bleckley 22.98% 1,312 75.81% 4,329 1.17% 67 0.04% 2 -52.83% -3,017 5,710
Brantley 9.03% 700 90.24% 6,993 0.72% 56 0.00% 0 -81.21% -6,293 7,749
Brooks 39.30% 2,791 60.01% 4,261 0.69% 49 0.00% 0 -20.71% -1,470 7,101
Bryan 31.56% 6,738 66.70% 14,240 1.67% 357 0.07% 14 -35.14% -7,502 21,349
Bulloch 37.36% 11,248 61.07% 18,387 1.51% 455 0.06% 19 -23.71% -7,139 30,109
Burke 48.74% 5,208 50.54% 5,400 0.70% 75 0.02% 2 -1.80% -192 10,685
Butts 27.80% 3,274 71.38% 8,406 0.77% 91 0.04% 5 -43.58% -5,132 11,776
Calhoun 57.46% 1,263 41.99% 923 0.55% 12 0.00% 0 15.47% 340 2,198
Camden 33.62% 7,967 64.35% 15,249 1.98% 470 0.05% 12 -30.73% -7,282 23,698
Candler 28.64% 1,269 70.71% 3,133 0.65% 29 0.00% 0 -42.07% -1,864 4,431
Carroll 29.79% 16,236 68.76% 37,476 1.39% 760 0.06% 30 -38.97% -21,240 54,502
Catoosa 21.25% 6,932 77.14% 25,167 1.51% 494 0.10% 33 -55.89% -18,235 32,626
Charlton 24.19% 1,105 74.85% 3,419 0.96% 44 0.00% 0 -50.66% -2,314 4,568
Chatham 58.62% 78,247 39.88% 53,232 1.45% 1,929 0.06% 76 18.74% 25,015 133,484
Chattahoochee 42.16% 667 55.63% 880 2.21% 35 0.00% 0 -13.47% -213 1,582
Chattooga 18.44% 1,854 80.21% 8,064 1.31% 132 0.03% 3 -61.77% -6,210 10,053
Cherokee 29.53% 42,779 68.75% 99,585 1.69% 2,451 0.03% 44 -39.22% -56,806 144,859
Clarke 70.12% 36,055 28.10% 14,450 1.64% 841 0.15% 75 42.02% 21,605 51,421
Clay 55.08% 791 44.36% 637 0.49% 7 0.07% 1 10.72% 154 1,436
Clayton 84.94% 95,466 14.07% 15,811 0.94% 1,053 0.05% 61 70.87% 79,655 112,391
Clinch 26.00% 744 73.55% 2,105 0.42% 12 0.03% 1 -47.55% -1,361 2,862
Cobb 56.30% 221,847 41.99% 165,436 1.64% 6,445 0.07% 294 14.31% 56,411 394,022
Coffee 29.65% 4,511 69.53% 10,578 0.82% 125 0.00% 0 -39.88% -6,067 15,214
Colquitt 26.05% 4,190 73.21% 11,777 0.74% 119 0.01% 1 -47.16% -7,587 16,087
Columbia 36.26% 29,232 62.04% 50,013 1.65% 1,330 0.06% 45 -25.78% -20,781 80,620
Cook 29.26% 2,059 69.63% 4,900 1.08% 76 0.03% 2 -40.37% -2,841 7,037
Coweta 31.50% 24,210 67.02% 51,501 1.42% 1,088 0.06% 46 -35.52% -27,291 76,845
Crawford 26.47% 1,615 72.57% 4,428 0.97% 59 0.00% 0 -46.10% -2,813 6,102
Crisp 37.11% 2,982 62.03% 4,985 0.82% 66 0.04% 3 -24.92% -2,003 8,036
Dade 16.93% 1,261 81.46% 6,066 1.44% 107 0.17% 13 -64.53% -4,805 7,447
Dawson 15.46% 2,486 83.30% 13,398 1.22% 197 0.02% 3 -67.84% -10,912 16,084
Decatur 41.12% 4,782 58.09% 6,755 0.76% 88 0.03% 3 -16.97% -1,973 11,628
DeKalb 83.09% 308,162 15.74% 58,377 1.13% 4,207 0.04% 131 67.35% 249,785 370,877
Dodge 26.91% 2,172 72.39% 5,843 0.69% 56 0.01% 1 -45.48% -3,671 8,072
Dooly 46.54% 1,911 52.58% 2,159 0.85% 35 0.02% 1 -6.04% -248 4,106
Dougherty 69.62% 24,568 29.59% 10,441 0.79% 278 0.01% 3 40.03% 14,127 35,290
Douglas 61.92% 42,814 36.82% 25,454 1.21% 838 0.05% 33 25.10% 17,360 69,139
Early 47.22% 2,450 52.24% 2,710 0.54% 28 0.00% 0 -5.02% -260 5,188
Echols 11.58% 167 87.10% 1,256 1.25% 18 0.07% 1 -75.52% -1,089 1,442
Effingham 24.44% 7,718 73.98% 23,361 1.56% 492 0.03% 8 -49.52% -15,643 31,579
Elbert 31.38% 2,879 67.85% 6,226 0.72% 66 0.05% 5 -36.47% -3,347 9,176
Emanuel 30.36% 2,886 68.93% 6,553 0.69% 66 0.02% 2 -38.57% -3,667 9,507
Evans 31.17% 1,324 67.98% 2,888 0.82% 35 0.02% 1 -36.81% -1,564 4,248
Fannin 17.31% 2,570 81.95% 12,169 0.74% 110 0.00% 0 -64.64% -9,599 14,849
Fayette 45.91% 33,062 52.71% 37,956 1.36% 976 0.02% 18 -6.80% -4,894 72,012
Floyd 28.81% 11,917 69.88% 28,906 1.25% 518 0.06% 24 -41.07% -16,989 41,365
Forsyth 32.62% 42,208 65.79% 85,123 1.53% 1,980 0.05% 66 -33.17% -42,915 129,377
Franklin 14.80% 1,593 84.23% 9,069 0.96% 103 0.02% 2 -69.43% -7,476 10,767
Fulton 72.57% 380,212 26.20% 137,247 1.21% 6,320 0.03% 152 46.37% 242,965 523,931
Gilmer 17.74% 2,932 81.25% 13,429 0.99% 164 0.01% 2 -63.51% -10,497 16,527
Glascock 9.90% 155 89.58% 1,402 0.51% 8 0.00% 0 -79.68% -1,247 1,565
Glynn 37.82% 15,882 61.00% 25,617 1.16% 489 0.01% 6 -23.18% -9,735 41,994
Gordon 18.23% 4,384 80.71% 19,405 1.01% 244 0.05% 11 -62.48% -15,021 24,044
Grady 33.80% 3,619 65.70% 7,034 0.50% 54 0.00% 0 -31.90% -3,415 10,707
Greene 36.34% 4,087 62.83% 7,066 0.81% 91 0.03% 3 -26.49% -2,979 11,247
Gwinnett 58.40% 241,994 40.16% 166,400 1.36% 5,629 0.08% 327 17.24% 75,594 414,350
Habersham 17.42% 3,562 81.39% 16,637 1.13% 232 0.05% 11 -63.97% -13,075 20,442
Hall 27.63% 25,033 70.84% 64,183 1.46% 1,321 0.07% 65 -43.21% -39,150 90,602
Hancock 71.66% 2,976 27.79% 1,154 0.55% 23 0.00% 0 43.87% 1,822 4,153
Haralson 12.57% 1,791 86.54% 12,330 0.88% 125 0.01% 2 -73.97% -10,539 14,248
Harris 27.28% 5,457 71.59% 14,319 1.07% 215 0.05% 11 -44.31% -8,862 20,002
Hart 24.79% 3,157 74.33% 9,465 0.83% 106 0.05% 6 -49.54% -6,308 12,734
Heard 15.28% 824 83.78% 4,519 0.95% 51 0.00% 0 -68.50% -3,695 5,394
Henry 59.70% 73,443 39.23% 48,259 1.05% 1,296 0.01% 18 20.47% 25,184 123,016
Houston 43.06% 32,239 55.48% 41,540 1.41% 1,059 0.05% 34 -12.42% -9,301 74,872
Irwin 24.18% 1,008 75.19% 3,134 0.62% 26 0.00% 0 -51.01% -2,126 4,168
Jackson 20.28% 7,642 78.29% 29,502 1.41% 531 0.03% 10 -58.01% -21,860 37,685
Jasper 23.03% 1,761 76.13% 5,822 0.80% 61 0.04% 3 -53.10% -4,061 7,647
Jeff Davis 17.80% 1,028 81.31% 4,695 0.83% 48 0.05% 3 -63.51% -3,667 5,774
Jefferson 53.12% 4,058 46.30% 3,537 0.58% 44 0.00% 0 6.82% 521 7,639
Jenkins 36.64% 1,266 62.55% 2,161 0.81% 28 0.00% 0 -25.91% -895 3,455
Johnson 29.80% 1,222 69.51% 2,850 0.68% 28 0.00% 0 -39.71% -1,628 4,100
Jones 32.68% 4,882 66.53% 9,940 0.75% 112 0.04% 6 -33.85% -5,038 14,940
Lamar 28.97% 2,620 69.99% 6,331 1.04% 94 0.00% 0 -41.02% -3,711 9,045
Lanier 28.50% 1,019 70.16% 2,509 1.34% 48 0.00% 0 -41.66% -1,490 3,576
Laurens 35.52% 8,074 63.76% 14,493 0.72% 164 0.00% 1 -28.24% -6,419 22,732
Lee 27.26% 4,558 71.82% 12,007 0.89% 149 0.03% 5 -44.56% -7,449 16,719
Liberty 61.25% 13,104 37.20% 7,959 1.55% 331 0.00% 0 24.05% 5,145 21,394
Lincoln 30.86% 1,432 68.37% 3,173 0.78% 36 0.00% 0 -37.51% -1,741 4,641
Long 35.95% 2,035 62.31% 3,527 1.68% 95 0.05% 3 -26.36% -1,492 5,660
Lowndes 43.38% 20,116 55.40% 25,692 1.18% 547 0.04% 20 -12.02% -5,576 46,375
Lumpkin 20.11% 3,126 78.24% 12,163 1.56% 242 0.09% 14 -58.13% -9,037 15,545
Macon 61.29% 2,858 38.24% 1,783 0.47% 22 0.00% 0 23.05% 1,075 4,663
Madison 22.82% 3,411 75.78% 11,326 1.34% 200 0.05% 8 -52.96% -7,915 14,945
Marion 36.18% 1,312 62.74% 2,275 1.05% 38 0.03% 1 -26.56% -963 3,626
McDuffie 39.86% 4,168 59.00% 6,169 1.13% 118 0.01% 1 -19.14% -2,001 10,456
McIntosh 39.01% 2,612 59.98% 4,016 1.02% 68 0.00% 0 -20.97% -1,404 6,696
Meriwether 39.40% 4,287 59.96% 6,524 0.61% 66 0.03% 3 -20.56% -2,237 10,880
Miller 26.39% 748 72.90% 2,066 0.71% 20 0.00% 0 -46.51% -1,318 2,834
Mitchell 44.55% 3,993 55.06% 4,935 0.38% 34 0.01% 1 -10.51% -942 8,963
Monroe 28.12% 4,385 70.91% 11,057 0.95% 148 0.01% 2 -42.79% -6,672 15,592
Montgomery 24.70% 980 74.60% 2,960 0.68% 27 0.03% 1 -49.90% -1,980 3,968
Morgan 28.63% 3,353 70.29% 8,231 1.04% 122 0.03% 4 -41.66% -4,878 11,710
Murray 14.95% 2,301 84.08% 12,944 0.94% 144 0.04% 6 -69.13% -10,643 15,395
Muscogee 61.40% 49,446 37.39% 30,107 1.19% 961 0.02% 14 24.01% 19,339 80,528
Newton 54.90% 29,789 43.99% 23,869 1.06% 576 0.05% 29 10.91% 5,920 54,263
Oconee 32.40% 8,162 65.87% 16,595 1.63% 411 0.10% 25 -33.47% -8,433 25,193
Oglethorpe 29.97% 2,439 68.71% 5,592 1.25% 102 0.06% 5 -38.74% -3,153 8,138
Paulding 34.76% 29,695 63.82% 54,517 1.36% 1,160 0.05% 45 -29.06% -24,822 85,417
Peach 47.17% 5,922 51.82% 6,506 1.00% 125 0.01% 1 -4.65% -584 12,554
Pickens 16.45% 2,824 82.17% 14,110 1.36% 233 0.03% 5 -65.72% -11,286 17,172
Pierce 12.16% 1,100 87.29% 7,898 0.54% 49 0.01% 1 -75.13% -6,798 9,048
Pike 14.04% 1,505 85.13% 9,127 0.82% 88 0.01% 1 -71.09% -7,622 10,721
Polk 21.02% 3,657 78.09% 13,587 0.87% 152 0.02% 3 -57.07% -9,930 17,399
Pulaski 30.14% 1,230 68.98% 2,815 0.88% 36 0.00% 0 -38.84% -1,585 4,081
Putnam 29.08% 3,448 69.92% 8,291 0.98% 116 0.02% 2 -40.84% -4,843 11,857
Quitman 44.94% 497 54.61% 604 0.45% 5 0.00% 0 -9.67% -107 1,106
Rabun 20.72% 1,984 78.07% 7,474 1.15% 110 0.06% 6 -57.35% -5,490 9,574
Randolph 54.38% 1,671 45.23% 1,390 0.39% 12 0.00% 0 9.15% 281 3,073
Richmond 67.89% 59,119 30.75% 26,780 1.27% 1,110 0.08% 68 37.14% 32,339 87,077
Rockdale 69.88% 31,237 29.11% 13,014 0.96% 430 0.04% 18 40.77% 18,223 44,699
Schley 20.31% 462 79.12% 1,800 0.57% 13 0.00% 0 -58.81% -1,338 2,275
Screven 40.14% 2,661 59.06% 3,915 0.77% 51 0.03% 2 -18.92% -1,254 6,629
Seminole 32.30% 1,256 67.21% 2,613 0.49% 19 0.00% 0 -34.91% -1,357 3,888
Spalding 39.14% 11,828 59.91% 18,104 0.92% 279 0.03% 8 -20.77% -6,276 30,219
Stephens 20.08% 2,386 78.81% 9,367 1.11% 132 0.00% 0 -58.73% -6,981 11,885
Stewart 59.40% 1,182 40.25% 801 0.35% 7 0.00% 0 19.15% 381 1,990
Sumter 51.97% 6,314 47.19% 5,733 0.83% 101 0.02% 2 4.78% 581 12,150
Talbot 59.99% 2,114 39.50% 1,392 0.45% 16 0.06% 2 20.49% 722 3,524
Taliaferro 60.45% 561 38.79% 360 0.75% 7 0.00% 0 21.66% 201 928
Tattnall 25.19% 2,062 73.95% 6,054 0.84% 69 0.02% 2 -48.76% -3,992 8,187
Taylor 36.13% 1,388 62.99% 2,420 0.88% 34 0.00% 0 -26.86% -1,032 3,842
Telfair 34.33% 1,488 65.17% 2,825 0.48% 21 0.02% 1 -30.84% -1,337 4,335
Terrell 53.80% 2,376 45.38% 2,004 0.82% 36 0.00% 0 8.42% 372 4,416
Thomas 39.80% 8,708 59.28% 12,969 0.89% 195 0.02% 5 -19.48% -4,261 21,877
Tift 32.67% 5,318 66.24% 10,784 1.09% 177 0.01% 1 -33.57% -5,466 16,280
Toombs 26.92% 2,938 72.14% 7,873 0.94% 103 0.00% 0 -45.22% -4,935 10,914
Towns 19.43% 1,550 80.01% 6,384 0.56% 45 0.00% 0 -60.58% -4,834 7,979
Treutlen 30.94% 952 68.28% 2,101 0.78% 24 0.00% 0 -37.34% -1,149 3,077
Troup 38.52% 11,577 60.36% 18,142 1.09% 328 0.03% 10 -21.84% -6,565 30,057
Turner 37.17% 1,409 61.96% 2,349 0.87% 33 0.00% 0 -24.79% -940 3,791
Twiggs 45.99% 2,044 53.33% 2,370 0.68% 30 0.00% 0 -7.34% -326 4,444
Union 17.99% 2,800 81.29% 12,650 0.69% 108 0.03% 4 -63.30% -9,850 15,562
Upson 32.56% 4,203 66.68% 8,606 0.74% 96 0.02% 2 -34.12% -4,403 12,907
Walker 19.64% 5,770 78.89% 23,173 1.40% 411 0.07% 20 -59.25% -17,403 29,374
Walton 24.82% 12,683 74.05% 37,839 1.12% 571 0.01% 5 -49.23% -25,156 51,098
Ware 29.38% 4,169 69.79% 9,903 0.82% 117 0.00% 0 -40.41% -5,734 14,189
Warren 55.40% 1,468 44.00% 1,166 0.60% 16 0.00% 0 11.40% 302 2,650
Washington 50.03% 4,743 49.24% 4,668 0.70% 66 0.03% 3 0.79% 75 9,480
Wayne 21.03% 2,688 78.13% 9,987 0.81% 104 0.02% 3 -57.10% -7,299 12,782
Webster 46.01% 640 53.77% 748 0.22% 3 0.00% 0 -7.76% -108 1,391
Wheeler 30.15% 689 69.28% 1,583 0.57% 13 0.00% 0 -39.13% -894 2,285
White 16.26% 2,411 82.41% 12,222 1.23% 183 0.10% 15 -66.15% -9,811 14,831
Whitfield 29.05% 10,680 69.75% 25,644 1.20% 442 0.00% 0 -40.70% -14,964 36,766
Wilcox 26.26% 861 73.25% 2,402 0.49% 16 0.00% 0 -46.99% -1,541 3,279
Wilkes 42.93% 2,160 56.11% 2,823 0.93% 47 0.02% 1 -13.18% -663 5,031
Wilkinson 43.48% 2,074 55.87% 2,665 0.65% 31 0.00% 0 -12.39% -591 4,770
Worth 25.79% 2,395 73.56% 6,830 0.65% 60 0.00% 0 -47.77% -4,435 9,285
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Trump won 8 of 14 congressional districts.[36]

District Biden Trump Elected
Representative
1st 43.1% 55.5% Buddy Carter
2nd 55.7% 43.4% Sanford Bishop
3rd 36.8% 62.0% Drew Ferguson
4th 78.8% 20.2% Hank Johnson
5th 86.2% 12.7% Nikema Williams
6th 54.8% 43.7% Lucy McBath
7th 52.4% 46.1% Carolyn Bourdeaux
8th 37.0% 62.0% Austin Scott
9th 22.4% 76.4% Andrew Clyde
10th 39.2% 59.6% Jody Hice
11th 41.5% 56.9% Barry Loudermilk
12th 43.0% 55.8% Rick W. Allen
13th 75.6% 23.4% David Scott
14th 25.3% 73.4% Marjorie Taylor Greene

Analysis

Like its fellow Deep South neighbors, Georgia is a former Solid South state that had gradually become part of the red wall since the Reagan Revolution starting in 1984. While Southerner Bill Clinton carried the state in 1992 and nearly did again in 1996, Georgia became a safe red state in 2000 and 2004, and a lean red state from 2008 to 2016.

Demographic changes and population shifts made Georgia trend blue, starting in 2016; Donald Trump carried Georgia by just over 5 points against Hillary Clinton. Further signalling Georgia's blue shift were the state 2018 midterms, where Democrat Stacey Abrams nearly won the governor's race against Republican Brian Kemp.

Biden became the first Democrat to carry the state since Bill Clinton in 1992;[37] the first to win a statewide election in Georgia since 2006;[38] the first to carry a state in the Deep South since Bill Clinton carried Louisiana in 1996; and the first to gain over 70% of the vote in Fulton County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944. He was also the first non-Southern Democrat to carry a state in the Deep South since Kennedy in 1960.

This is the first time since 1992 that Georgia voted more Democratic than neighboring Florida and the first time since 2000 that it voted more Democratic than also-neighboring North Carolina. Additionally, it was the first time since 1860 that Laurens County and Monroe County did not vote for the statewide winner.[39] Biden also became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Baker, Burke, Dooly, Peach, Quitman, or Twiggs counties since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

Georgia was one of two states that Obama (whom Biden served under as VP) lost in both 2008 and 2012 that Biden carried, the other state being Arizona.

Georgia weighed in for this election as 4.2% more Republican than the nation-at-large. Georgia marked the strongest leftward shift in a state that Trump carried in 2016, as the state's PVI shifted 3 points more Democratic since then.

Georgia's trend towards the Democrats can be partly explained by the growth of the Atlanta metropolitan area. Atlanta has attracted many transplants from heavily blue-leaning areas of the United States. Additionally, the state's population is diversifying faster than that of most states, with the population of African Americans, Latinos, and Asians all growing over the last 10 years, and these blocs generally lean Democratic.[40]

In what was likely the biggest key to Biden's victory in Georgia, the Democratic Party invested heavily in the state, with activist and gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams heading an effort to boost minority turnout, especially among African-American voters. The Democratic super PAC Priorities USA focused on Georgia near the end of the 2020 campaign, even sending former president Barack Obama to campaign in the state.[41] Black voters made up 29% of the electorate, and Latinos made up about 7%, a significant increase compared to previous years.

Biden performed well across the board; he won independent voters by 9 points, and was able to pick up 6% of Republican voters in the state. Biden also won young voters in Georgia, sweeping each age group under 50 years old. Trump's strength in the state came from Southern whites—mainly those outside of Atlanta's urban area—as he easily won those without a college degree, especially in Georgia's rural areas; his vote share with college-educated whites dropped, however, and Trump only won suburban Georgia by 3 points this cycle.

Outside of Atlanta, Biden's strongest performances came in Georgia's other urban and suburban areas, such as Chatham County (Savannah), Muscogee County (Columbus), Richmond County (Augusta), Bibb County (Macon), and majority-college educated Clarke County (Athens). Trump, on the other hand, performed strongest in the northern and southeastern parts of the state, which are rural and were historically a hotbed for Dixiecrats. Following the nationwide trend, Georgia's voting patterns were split between urban, suburban and rural areas. Biden won urban areas by 35 points, while Trump carried the suburbs by 3 points, and these areas combined made up 85% of the electorate, showing the rapidly evolving demographics of Georgia. Trump carried rural areas by 39 points.

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Biden Trump No
Answer
 % of
Voters
Ideology
Liberal 87 12 1 22
Moderate 65 33 2 38
Conservative 14 86 N/A 40
Party
Democrat 96 4 N/A 34
Republican 6 94 N/A 38
Independent 53 44 3 28
Gender
Men 43 55 2 44
Women 54 45 1 56
Race
White 30 69 1 61
Black 88 11 1 29
Latino 62 37 1 7
Asian N/A N/A N/A 1
Other 58 38 N/A 2
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men 27 72 1 29
White women 32 67 N/A 33
Black men 83 16 1 11
Black women 92 7 1 17
Latino men (of any race) 51 48 1 3
Latino women (of any race) 69 30 1 4
All other races 59 38 3 3
White evangelical or born-again Christian
White evangelical or born-again Christian 14 85 1 33
Everyone else 70 29 1 67
Age
18–24 years old 56 43 1 12
25–29 years old 56 43 1 8
30–39 years old 53 45 2 17
40–49 years old 50 49 1 18
50–64 years old 47 53 N/A 27
65 and older 44 56 N/A 19
Sexual orientation
LGBT 64 34 2 7
Heterosexual 47 52 1 93
First time voter
First time voter 52 45 3 13
Everyone else 48 52 N/A 87
Education
High school or less 35 64 1 16
Some college education 49 49 2 26
Associate degree 46 53 1 17
Bachelor's degree 54 45 1 26
Advanced degree 63 36 1 14
Education by race/ethnicity
White college graduates 44 55 1 26
White no college degree 20 79 1 35
Non-white college graduates 83 16 1 14
Non-white no college degree 80 19 1 25
Income
Under $30,000 59 38 3 13
$30,000–49,999 53 45 3 19
$50,000–99,999 46 53 1 36
$100,000–199,999 50 50 0 23
Over $200,000 63 35 2 8
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago 21 78 1 44
Worse than four years ago 84 15 1 16
About the same 73 26 1 38
U.S. Military Service
Yes 38 61 1 15
No 50 49 1 85
Region
North 28 70 2 19
Atlanta Suburbs 53 46 1 28
Atlanta Metro 80 19 1 20
Central 44 55 1 18
Coast/South 38 61 1 15
Area type
Urban 67 32 1 23
Suburban 48 51 1 62
Rural 30 69 1 14
Source: CNN[42]

Aftermath

Statewide audit and recount

On November 11, the Secretary of State of Georgia announced there would be a statewide hand recount of every paper ballot in addition to the normal audit process.[43][44] On November 15, Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, a Republican, denounced Trump's criticism of the state's recount process.[45] During this audit, it was discovered that Fayette County had missed tabulating 2,755 votes, Floyd County had about 2,600 ballots that were never scanned, Douglas County failed to include a memory card from an Election Day precinct that included 156 votes, and Walton County discovered a memory card with 284 votes. The final statewide result from the completed audit is Biden with 2,475,141 votes and Trump with 2,462,857 votes, a spread of 12,284 votes. The result before the audit had been Biden with 2,473,383 votes and Trump with 2,459,825.[46] Therefore, the results of the audit netted Trump 1,274 votes. The change in the count was due to a number of human errors, including memory cards that did not upload properly to the state servers, and was not attributable to any fraud in the original tally.[47]

The results of the election were officially certified on November 20, 2020.[48]

The Trump campaign had until November 24, 2020, to request a recount of the results. Unlike the statewide audit of each individual ballot by hand, the recount would involve a re-scanning of the voting machines.[48] They filed a petition formally seeking the recount on November 21.[49]

On December 2, Raffensperger suggested that Biden was likely to win the recount.[50] Biden was later confirmed as the winner of the recount on December 7.[51][52]

Disputes

On November 19, Judge Steven D. Grimberg, a federal judge who was appointed by Trump in 2019, denied the Trump campaign's request to have further delay in the certification of the election results in Georgia.[53]

On November 30, Gabriel Sterling, a top Republican election official for the Republican Georgia Secretary of State, gave a press conference in which he denounced death threats made against an election technician. Sterling appealed to President Trump: "Stop inspiring people to commit potential acts of violence. Someone's going to get hurt, someone's going to get shot, someone's going to get killed, and it's not right."[54]

In December 14, 2020, Georgia's electoral votes were cast for Biden, formalizing his victory in the state, which Biden won by 11,779 votes. On the same day, a group of pro-Trump Republicans claimed to cast Georgia's electoral votes for Trump; the fake votes have no legal standing.[55][56]

On January 2, 2021, Trump and Raffensperger spoke for one hour by telephone, during which Trump threatened Raffensperger by saying he was taking "a big risk" by declaring Biden as the victor. Referring to Biden's 11,779-vote victory margin, Trump instructed Raffensperger that "there's nothing wrong with saying, you know, um, that you've recalculated...I just want to find 11,780 votes."[57]

On May 21, 2021, a Henry County Superior Court Judge, Brian Amero, agreed to unseal 147,000 absentee ballots from Fulton County. The petitioners in the case alleged that fraud had occurred – based on sworn affidavits provided by four election workers who all claimed to have handled thousands of fraudulent ballots. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger welcomed the decision. "Fulton County has a long-standing history of election mismanagement that has understandably weakened voters' faith in its system. Allowing this audit provides another layer of transparency and citizen engagement."[58] However, on June 25, 2021, Amero dismissed most of the lawsuit seeking to inspect the ballots.[59] On October 13, Amero dismissed the suit altogether, closing the last legal challenge to Georgia election results, ruling the suit lacked standing because it "failed to allege a particularized injury."[60]

On May 2, 2022, Raffensperger tweeted a link to a Just the News article[61] outlining how Georgia election regulators have issued four subpoenas demanding the identity of a John Doe whistleblower and other evidence concerning an alleged ballot trafficking operation in the 2020 election. The subpoenas were sent to a Conservative election integrity group "True the Vote" who earlier provided information to Georgia officials that as many as 242 people (dubbed mules) illegally gathered third-party ballots during the battleground state's November 2020 election and subsequent U.S. Senate races and then stuffed the ballots into multiple mail-in-ballot drop boxes in numerous locations around the state. "Credible evidence was given to us that people were harvesting ballots," said Raffensperger to The National Desk's Jan Jeffcoat. "This information was provided to us and they said there's a witness, a 'John Doe.' And so we're looking at subpoenaing that person to get the information."[62] True the Vote have worked with Dinesh D'Souza to help produce the 2022 movie 2000 Mules which alleges widespread fraud in the November 2020 election.[63]

On August 15, 2022, it was announced that Rudolph W. "Rudy" Giuliani is a target of the Georgia election probe.[64] On the same day, a federal judge, District Court Judge Leigh Martin May, ordered that Lindsey Graham testify before the grand jury.[65]

The Atlanta Journal Constitution found about 3,000 too many absentee votes counted for Biden as identified by investigators during the 2020 Fulton County audit. These duplicate ballots were not used as Georgia’s certified vote count.[66] The recount of five million ballots cast in Georgia also uncovered almost 6,000 ballots in four counties overlooked in the initial tally, which resulted in Trump gaining 1,400 votes as well as almost 500 votes in the manual tally, a total of around 1,900 votes. Biden also gained 975 votes in the manual recount, however, and given the difference in the manual recount it netted Biden an additional 505 votes.

The breakdown of the manual recount was as follows:

Clayton County: +145 Trump

Cobb County: +315 Biden

DeKalb County: +560 Biden

Fulton County: +345 Trump

Gwinnett County: +285 Trump

Georgia: +496 Trump

12,284: Joe Biden’s advantage over Donald Trump in a manual recount

12,780: Machine-counted margin between the candidates

11,779: Officially certified margin of Victory for Joseph R. Biden

While these finds did not change the overall outcome, it did reveal a number of errors that had been made in the initial counts in a number of counties, which would later prompt Governor Kemp to order a probe into the "sloppy" initial counts from Fulton County.[67][68]

Prosecution of Donald Trump

In 2023, Donald Trump was accused of leading a "criminal racketeering enterprise" with 18 co-defendants who are accused of having "knowingly and willfully joined a conspiracy to unlawfully change the outcome" of the election. Trump and the other con-defendants are being charged under the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act. The indictment comes in the context of various attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election by Trump. The case will be tried in the Fulton County Superior Court with judge Scott F. McAfee presiding.[69]

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" with 1%
  4. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. Hawkins (G) and "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  6. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  7. "Someone else" with 2%
  8. "Someone else" with 4%
  9. "Other candidate" with 1%; "No one" with 0%
  10. With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  11. With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  12. "Other third party" with 2%
  13. "Other" with 2%; Hawkins (G) with 0%
  14. "Someone else" with 5%
  15. Hawkins (G) and "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  16. Includes "Refused"
  17. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  18. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  19. Hawkins (G) with 1%
  20. "Someone else" with 3%
  21. Hawkins (G) with 1%; "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
  22. "No one" with 0%; "Other candidate" with no voters
  23. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  24. Standard VI response
  25. Hawkins (G) with 0%
  26. If only Biden and Trump were candidates
  27. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  28. Would not vote with 1%
  29. Hawkins (G) and would not vote with 0%
  30. "Refused" with 2%
  31. "Some other candidate" with 4%
  32. "Someone else/third party" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  33. "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  34. "Another Party candidate"
  35. "Other" with 3%; "would not vote" with 1%
  36. "Different candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
  37. Listed as "other/undecided"
  38. "Undecided" with 5%; "Did not answer" with 2%
  39. Wouldn't vote with 1%; don't know/refused with 3%
  40. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 5%
  41. Wouldn't vote with 3%; don't know/refused with 4%
  42. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 3%
  43. "Vote against Trump" with 46.9%
  44. Would not vote with 1.8%
  45. Listed as "don't know/refused"
Partisan clients
  1. The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
  2. The American Action Forum is a 501 organisation which usually supports Republican candidates
  3. Poll sponsored by Ossoff's campaign
  4. The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  5. Poll sponsored by Democrat Raphael Warnock's campaign for U.S. Senate
  6. Matt Lieberman is a Democratic candidate in Georgia's 2020 special Senate election
  7. Fair Fight Action is the non-profit arm of Fair Fight, founded by Stacey Abrams who endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  8. This poll's sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
  9. AFSCME endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  10. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  11. This poll is sponsored by End Citizens United, a PAC which has endorsed Democratic candidates who are against the landmark Citizens United court ruling
  12. This poll was sponsored by a Republican-supporting organisation
  13. Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus
  14. Poll sponsored by Doug Collins' campaign

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Further reading

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