Guelph (federal electoral district)

Guelph (formerly Guelph—Wellington) is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1979. This riding has had a Liberal MP since 1993.[2]

Guelph
Ontario electoral district
Guelph in relation to other Ontario electoral districts (2003 boundaries)
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Lloyd Longfield
Liberal
District created1976
First contested1979
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]121,688
Electors (2015)94,632
Area (km²)[1]87.15
Pop. density (per km²)1,396.3
Census division(s)Wellington
Census subdivision(s)Guelph

From 2008 until his decision not to run in 2015, the riding's parliamentary seat was held by Liberal MP Frank Valeriote. Valeriote had announced his intention to retire on November 15, 2014.[3] The Liberal candidate in the 2015 federal election in the riding was Lloyd Longfield, who previously served as president of the Guelph Chamber of Commerce.[4] Longfield was first elected on October 19, 2015 and reelected on October 21, 2019.

History

Guelph riding was created in 1976 from parts of Halton—Wentworth, Wellington and Wellington—Grey ridings. It consisted initially of the Townships of Eramosa, Guelph, Pilkington and Puslinch and the City of Guelph in the County of Wellington.

The electoral district was abolished in 1987 when it was merged into Guelph—Wellington riding, adding Erin to the existing boundaries. In 1996, Erin and Pilkington was removed from the riding.

In 2003, a new riding of Guelph was created again, consisting solely of the City of Guelph.

This riding gained a fraction of territory from Wellington—Halton Hills during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

A so-called "robocall" or voter suppression scandal occurred in this riding during the 2011 federal election, when hundreds of Guelph voters who were opposition supporters[5] received automated calls, or 'robocalls', claiming to be from Elections Canada on election day, May 2, 2011. These calls directed them to the wrong polling stations. While reports of such calls were also alleged in five other ridings, later described as election fraud by a Federal Court judge, there was insufficient evidence to support charges in those ridings.[6][7] The "robocall" incidents were referred to as the "Pierre Poutine" scandal because a cellphone in the affair was registered to a fictitious Pierre Poutine of Separatist Street in Joliette, Quebec.[8]

On June 2, 2014,[9] Michael Sona, the former director of communications for the Conservative candidate in Guelph was charged with "wilfully preventing or endeavouring to prevent an elector from voting".[10][11][12] Sona was found guilty on November 14, 2014[13] and was sentenced to nine months in jail plus twelve months of probation.[14] During the trial, Justice Hearn agreed with the Crown prosecutor's allegation that Sona had likely not acted alone.[15][16][17] Sona was released from the Maplehurst Correctional Complex on December 1, 2014, on bail after serving twelve days, pending his appeal of the sentence. He did not appeal the conviction.[10]

Based on another incident during the 2011 federal election campaign, Liberal MP Frank Valeriote’s riding association was fined by the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission for violations of the Unsolicited Telecommunications Rules. As reported by the National Post, this fine was based on a robocall message that anonymously attacked the Conservative opponent's position on abortion. The call failed to identify its originator and did not give a callback number. Under a settlement agreement with Valeriote, the CRTC assessed a CA$4,900 fine.[18]

Political geography

In 2008, the election in Guelph was a four-way one between the NDP, Greens, the Tories and the Liberals, who came out on top. The NDP only won a small handful of polls in the centre part of the city, which was also where the Greens did well. In fact, the Greens dominated the central part of the city. The Tories did well on the fringes of the city, mostly along the northern borders and in the far south of the city. The Liberals won the southern and northern and western parts of the city.[19] In 2011, despite a Conservative majority that saw the Liberals have their worst result ever, they were able to retain the seat by a larger margin as the substantial Green voteshare fell by almost 15 points. In 2015, Liberal voteshare once again rose, to almost 50%. In 2019, the Greens made a major comeback to finish in second ahead o the Conservatives with 26%. However, the Liberals retained the seat with a comfortable 15 point margin.

Demographics

According to the Canada 2021 Census
  • Ethnic groups: 72.4% White, 7.4% South Asian, 4.2% Black, 3.0% Chinese, 2.7% Filipino, 2.3% Indigenous, 2.2% Southeast Asian, 1.4% Latin American, 1.4% West Asian, 1.2% Arab
  • Languages: 74.5% English, 1.5% Punjabi, 1.4% Mandarin, 1.3% Italian, 1.2% Spanish, 1.2% Tagalog, 1.2% Vietnamese, 1.1% French
  • Religions: 49.7% Christian (23.9% Catholic, 4.1% United Church, 3.9% Anglican, 2.2% Presbyterian, 2.0% Christian Orthodox, 1.1% Baptist, 12.5% Other), 4.5% Muslim, 2.7% Hindu, 1.5% Buddhist, 1.5% Sikh, 38.7% None
  • Median income: $44,400 (2020)
  • Average income: $55,200 (2020)

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following member of the Canadian House of Commons:

Parliament Years Member Party
Guelph
Riding created from Halton—Wentworth, Wellington
and Wellington—Grey
31st  1979–1980     Albert Fish Progressive Conservative
32nd  1980–1984     James Schroder Liberal
33rd  1984–1988     William Winegard Progressive Conservative
Guelph—Wellington
34th  1988–1993     William Winegard Progressive Conservative
35th  1993–1997     Brenda Chamberlain Liberal
36th  1997–2000
37th  2000–2004
Guelph
38th  2004–2006     Brenda Chamberlain Liberal
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011 Frank Valeriote
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019 Lloyd Longfield
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in Guelph/Guelph—Wellington (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021 general election

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalLloyd Longfield29,38242.10+1.74$69,585.36
ConservativeAshish Sachan16,79524.07+4.79$9,009.95
New DemocraticAisha Jahangir14,71321.09+8.79$37,654.74
GreenMichelle Bowman5,2507.52-17.94$48,178.88
People'sJoshua Leier3,1824.56+3.12$6,430.47
Animal ProtectionKaren Levenson2620.38New$8,444.49
CommunistTristan Dineen1870.27+0.05$0.00
Total valid votes 69,771100.00
Total rejected ballots 4340.62
Turnout 70,20566.38
Eligible voters 105,863
Source: Elections Canada[20]

2019 general election

2019 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalLloyd Longfield30,49740.36-8.74$108,379.67
GreenSteve Dyck19,23625.46+14.14$99,922.31
ConservativeAshish Sachan14,56819.28-7.07$66,688.03
New DemocraticAisha Jahangir9,29712.30+0.29$24,447.54
People'sMark Paralovos1,0871.44-$1,793.83
Christian HeritageGordon Truscott4980.66-$39,351.25
CommunistJuanita Burnett1660.22+0.01none listed
IndependentMichael Wassilyn1330.18-none listed
IndependentKornelis Klevering860.11-none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 75,568100.0  $127,407.04
Total rejected ballots 452
Turnout 76,02072.33%
Eligible voters 105,106
Liberal hold Swing -11.44
Source: Elections Canada[21][22][23]

2015 Federal election

2015 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalLloyd Longfield34,30349.10+5.80$213,387.97
ConservativeGloria Kovach18,40726.35-6.52$59,899.61
New DemocraticAndrew Seagram8,39212.01-4.72$42,701.14
GreenGord Miller7,90911.32+5.19$222,034.20
LibertarianAlex Fekri5200.74$40.20
MarijuanaKornelis Klevering1930.28
CommunistTristan Dineen1440.21
Total valid votes/expense limit 69,868100.00 $239,632.86
Total rejected ballots 2980.42
Turnout 70,16673.27
Eligible voters 95,761
Liberal hold Swing +6.16
Source: Elections Canada[24][25]
2011 federal election redistributed results[26]
Party Vote  %
  Liberal25,64343.30
  Conservative19,46032.86
  New Democratic9,90616.73
  Green3,6286.13
  Others5830.98

2011 general election

2011 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalFrank Valeriote25,57443.37+11.15$94,243.98
ConservativeMarty Burke19,25232.65+3.47$87,361.60
New DemocraticBobbi Stewart9,83616.68+0.19$12,588.72
GreenJohn Lawson3,7116.29-14.86$47,019.22
LibertarianPhillip Bender1920.32+0.05none listed
MarijuanaKornelis Klevering1710.29+0.01none listed
Animal AllianceKaren Levenson1230.20+0.08none listed
CommunistDrew Garvie1040.17+0.04
Total valid votes/expenditure limit 59,021 100.00 $95,043.06
Total rejected ballots 2600.44 +0.12
Turnout 58,963 64.48-0.11
Electors on the lists 91,062

2008 general election

The call for a federal election to be held on October 14, 2008 occurred when Guelph was already in the throes of a by-election scheduled for September 8, which was intended to replace retiring Liberal MP Brenda Chamberlain. As a result of this, the by-election was cancelled, and the four major candidates running opted to represent their parties again in the federal election. They included: Frank Valeriote, a local lawyer with thorough community experience who had garnered the Liberal nomination in an upset over Marva Wisdom; Gloria Kovach, a popular city councillor and former President of the Federation of Canadian Municipalities who was controversially handed the Conservative nomination after incumbent nominee Brent Barr was ousted; Tom King, a renowned author and Native rights activist who received several high-profile endorsements after his NDP nomination; and Mike Nagy, a long-time Green Party spokesperson.

Initially in Guelph, optimism ran high that either the NDP, Green Party, or Conservative Party could procure the seat, as many felt that the nominees might benefit from the relative unpopularity of Stéphane Dion's Liberals and the gaffes made by prior Liberal MP Brenda Chamberlain, who had failed to show up to a number of Parliamentary votes and retired before the end of her term in office. Ultimately, however, Frank Valeriote was able to narrowly garner the seat over star candidate Gloria Kovach, who lost by around three percent and decreased the margin of defeat for her party. Noteworthy, too, was the increase in the electoral returns of the Green Party, who managed to fare better than the federal NDP in Guelph for the first time, finishing with twenty-one percent of the vote – almost three times what they had received in the 2006 election. In terms of distance from winning position, Guelph was the Green Party's best result in the country in 2008.

2008 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalFrank Valeriote18,97432.22−6.17$87,844
ConservativeGloria Kovach17,18629.18−0.58$63,415
GreenMike Nagy12,45421.15+12.43$76,344
New DemocraticTom King9,71316.49−5.51$60,470
MarijuanaKornelis Klevering1660.28none listed
LibertarianPhilip Bender1590.27$0.00
CommunistDrew Garvie770.13−0.05$374
Animal AllianceKaren Levenson730.12$5,039
IndependentJohn Turmel580.10none listed
Marxist–LeninistManuel Couto290.05−0.02none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 58,889100.00
Total rejected ballots 1910.32−0.03
Turnout 59,08064.59−6.17
Electors on the lists 91,463

2006 general election

2006 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalBrenda Chamberlain23,66238.39−6.22$56,158
ConservativeBrent Barr18,34229.76+3.65$80,104
New DemocraticPhil Allt13,56122.00+1.97$30,173
GreenMike Nagy5,3768.72+1.37$27,621
Christian HeritagePeter Ellis5380.87−0.33$4,880
CommunistScott Gilbert1110.18$280
Marxist–LeninistManuel Couto450.07−0.05 none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 61,635100.00
Total rejected ballots 2150.35−0.22
Turnout 61,85070.76+6.58
Electors on the lists 87,410
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

2004 general election

2004 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalBrenda Chamberlain23,44244.61−3.58$60,734
ConservativeJon Dearden13,72126.11−12.57$61,179
New DemocraticPhil Allt10,52720.03+9.67$27,613
GreenMike Nagy3,8667.36+5.60$15,304
Christian HeritagePeter Ellis6341.21+0.71$5,059
MarijuanaLyne Rivard2910.55none listed
Marxist–LeninistManuel Couto660.13none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 52,547100.00
Total rejected ballots 3030.57+0.24
Turnout 52,85064.18+3.07
Electors on the lists 82,346
Note: Percentage change figures are factored for redistribution. Conservative Party percentages are contrasted with the combined Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative percentages from 2000.
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election.

19882003

The riding was part of the riding known as Guelph—Wellington from 1988 to 2003. It was created in 1987 to include parts of Wellington—Dufferin—Simcoe electoral districts.

Guelph—Wellington initially consisted of the City of Guelph, the Village of Erin, and the townships of Eramosa, Erin, Guelph, Pilkington and Puslinch in the County of Wellington.

In 1996, the riding was re-defined to consist of the City of Guelph and the townships of Eramosa, Guelph and Puslinch before being abolished in 2003, and split into the current electoral district and Wellington—Halton Hills electoral district.

2000 Canadian federal election: Guelph–Wellington
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalBrenda Chamberlain26,44048.19+0.46$31,978
AllianceMax Layton11,03720.12+2.83$51,423
Progressive ConservativeMarie Adsett10,18818.57−2.74$19,049
New DemocraticEdward Pickersgill5,68510.36−0.05$26,212
GreenBill Hulet9661.76+0.64$201
Christian HeritageGord Truscott2750.50−1.35$3,119
Canadian ActionSharon Tanti2070.38$3,244
Marxist–LeninistManuel Couto680.12−0.15$8
Total valid votes 54,866 100.00
Total rejected ballots 181 0.33 −0.35
Turnout 55,047 61.11 −5.53
Electors on the lists 90,076
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election: Guelph–Wellington
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalBrenda Chamberlain25,00447.73+7.70$37,750
Progressive ConservativeDick Stewart11,16021.31+0.72$56,755
ReformLyle McNair9,05417.28−6.39$30,052
New DemocraticElaine Rogala5,45610.42+5.53$20,301
Christian HeritagePeter Ellis9721.86$7,503
GreenFrank Marchetti5891.12$5
Marxist–LeninistElaine Couto1460.28$0
Total valid votes 52,381 100.00
Total rejected ballots 357 0.68 −0.25
Turnout 52,738 66.64 +0.14
Electors on the lists 79,141
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada. Percentage change figures are factored for redistribution.
1993 Canadian federal election: Guelph–Wellington
Party Candidate Votes%Expenditures
LiberalBrenda Chamberlain24,35939.24$42,976
  Reform Gerry Organ 15,483 24.94 $45,760
  Progressive Conservative Bill Scott 12,825 20.66 $57,999
  Non-Affiliated Frank Maine 3,465 5.58 $29,745
  New Democratic Party Alex Michalos 2,904 4.68 $27,092
  National Maggie Laidlaw 2,018 3.25 $6,098
GreenSimon C. Francis3180.51$0
  Natural Law David W. Mitchell 255 0.41 $12
  Libertarian Tom Bradburn 247 0.40 $0
Canada PartyJohn H. Long1080.17$600
  N/A (Renewal) Anna Di Carlo 78 0.13 $0
  Abolitionist Andrew Tait 20 0.03 $0
Total valid votes 62,080 100.00
Total rejected ballots 583 0.93
Turnout 62,663 67.20
Electors on the lists 93,250
Source: Thirty-fifth General Election, 1993: Official Voting Results, Published by the Chief Electoral Officer of Canada. Financial figures taken from official contributions and expenses provided by Elections Canada.
1988 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeWilliam Winegard25,72143.21-6.70
LiberalFrank Gauthier19,00231.92+2.69
New DemocraticAlex Michalos11,62319.53+0.07
Christian HeritagePeter Ellis1,9783.32
GreenBill Hulet5810.98
LibertarianMichael J. Orr2980.50-0.17
RhinocerosMarty Williams2400.40-0.33
IndependentJoanne Bruce800.13
Total valid votes 59,523100.00

19791984

1984 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeWilliam Winegard23,48449.91+12.36
LiberalJim Schroder13,75729.24-9.97%
New DemocraticJim Robinson9,15319.45-2.72
RhinocerosSusie Mew Catty3430.73+0.11
LibertarianWalter A. Tucker3140.67+0.43
Total valid votes 47,051 100.00
1980 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalJames Schroder17,26839.21+1.74
Progressive ConservativeAlbert Fish16,53937.55-4.41
New DemocraticJim Finamore9,76522.17+2.44
RhinocerosSteve Thorning2720.62
LibertarianBrian Seymour1030.230.03
Marxist–LeninistRobert A. Cruise530.120.02
CommunistAlan Pickersgill450.100.01
Total valid votes 44,045100.00
1979 Canadian federal election: Guelph
Party Candidate Votes%
Progressive ConservativeAlbert Fish18,14941.96
LiberalFrank W. Maine16,20337.46
New DemocraticJim Finamore8,53519.73
IndependentJoe Barabas1900.44
LibertarianBrian Seymour900.21
Marxist–LeninistRobert Cruise450.10
CommunistAlan G. Pickersgill390.09
Total valid votes 43,251 100.00

See also

References

  • "Guelph (federal electoral district) (Code 35027) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

  1. Statistics Canada: 2011
  2. "In battle with no incumbent, Guelph remains Liberal red - CTV News Kitchener". kitchener.ctvnews.ca. October 19, 2015. Archived from the original on June 25, 2018. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  3. "Liberal MP Frank Valeriote won't run in next federal election - CTV News". www.ctvnews.ca. November 14, 2014. Archived from the original on December 11, 2018. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  4. O'Flanagan, Rob (October 20, 2015). "Longfield touts Guelph's qualities after cruising to election win". GuelphMercury.com. Archived from the original on June 12, 2018. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  5. "Key facts in Canada's robocalls controversy". CBC News. The Canadian Press. August 15, 2014 [August 14, 2014]. Archived from the original on August 19, 2018. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  6. "Greasy 'robocall' scandal will haunt Conservatives at the polls: Editorial". Toronto Star. August 14, 2014. Archived from the original on November 25, 2016. Retrieved August 29, 2017.
  7. "Guelph - Canadian Federal Election 2015 Riding". The Globe and Mail. Archived from the original on May 19, 2017. Retrieved August 29, 2017.
  8. Payton, Laura (March 1, 2012) [February 28, 2012]. "Robocalls phone number registered to 'Pierre Poutine'". CBC News. Archived from the original on July 15, 2017. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  9. Payton, Laura (June 2, 2014). "Michael Sona, charged with Guelph robocalls, starts trial today". CBC News. Archived from the original on March 23, 2019. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  10. Maher, Stephen (April 9, 2015). "Michael Sona won't appeal robocalls conviction but will seek lighter sentence: lawyer". National Post.
  11. "Trial begins Monday for Guelph PC staffer charged in robocalls scandal". CTV News Kitchener. June 2014. Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  12. "Guelph robocall victims ask Elections Canada to reopen case". CBC News. Archived from the original on March 23, 2019. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  13. "Michael Sona sentenced to 9 months in robocalls scandal". CityNews Toronto. November 19, 2014. Archived from the original on August 28, 2018. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  14. Payton, Laura (November 20, 2014) [November 19, 2014]. "Found guilty of subverting democracy, Michael Sona sentenced to 9 months". CBC News. Archived from the original on April 3, 2019. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  15. "'Pierre Poutine' robocalls planned by 'more than one person,' but Michael Sona was 'directing mind,' Crown says". National Post. June 9, 2014.
  16. "Conservative staffer Michael Sona given 9-month jail sentence in Robocalls case - CTV News". www.ctvnews.ca. Archived from the original on March 23, 2019. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  17. "Former Conservative Party staffer guilty in robocalls trial". CBC News. Archived from the original on March 23, 2019. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  18. "Frank Valeriote's riding association fined over robocall violation". National Post. August 24, 2012.
  19. "Riding « Pundits' Guide to Canadian Federal Elections". Archived from the original on May 28, 2010. Retrieved August 10, 2010.
  20. "Election Night Results - Guelph". Elections Canada. Archived from the original on December 8, 2019. Retrieved September 26, 2021.
  21. "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  22. "Latest results for all electoral districts (tab-delimited format)". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 28, 2019.
  23. "Final Expense Limits for Candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  24. Canada, Elections. "Voter Information Service - Find your electoral district". www.elections.ca.
  25. Canada, Elections. "Error page". www.elections.ca.
  26. Funke, Alice. "Guelph, ON (2013 Rep. Order)". www.punditsguide.ca. Archived from the original on September 22, 2015. Retrieved September 20, 2015.

43°33′N 80°15′W

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