2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

The 2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma.[1] Incumbent Senator James Lankford won re-election to a second full term, defeating cybersecurity professional Madison Horn (no relation to former U.S. Representative Kendra Horn, who ran for the concurrent special election to the Class II seat) by a landslide, winning overall majorities in all 77 counties.

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections. For the other Senate election in Oklahoma held in parallel, see 2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma.
Not to be confused with 2022 Oklahoma Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
November 8, 2022 (2022-11-08)
 
Nominee James Lankford Madison Horn
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 739,960 369,370
Percentage 64.3% 32.1%
Lankford:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Horn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes
U.S. senator before election

James Lankford
Republican

 Elected U.S. senator

James Lankford
Republican

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Lankford was first elected in 2014 special election with 68% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow Republican Tom Coburn.[2] He won re-election to a first full term in 2016 with 68% of the vote.[3]

The primary elections for the Republican, Democratic, and Libertarian parties' nominations took place on June 28, 2022, with runoffs taking place on August 23, 2022.[1] All candidates had to file between the days of April 13–15, 2022.[1]

Republican primary

On March 16, 2021, Jackson Lahmeyer announced his campaign for the Republican nomination for United States Senate seat held by James Lankford. While Lankford had not formally announced, he was expected to run for reelection.[4] On April 6, Lankford officially announced he would seek reelection in an interview with the Tulsa World.[5] The Oklahoman reported that Joan Farr announced her candidacy for the Oklahoma and Kansas U.S. Senate seats sometime in August.[6] On September 28, state senator Nathan Dahm announced his campaign for Lankford's seat.[6] In November the Tulsa World reported that Jessica Jean Garrison, the daughter of former state senator Earl Garrison, would also campaign in the contested Republican primary.[7] On February 28, 2022, Nathan Dahm announced he had switched his campaign to the special election in the Class 2 seat.[8] Jessica Jean Garrison also switched her campaign to the special election when filing. Lankford won the June primary with 67% of the vote.[9]

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew before filing

Endorsements

James Lankford and Jackson Lahmeyer courted the endorsement of Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States, but Trump did not endorse a candidate prior to the primary.[10][11]

On June 29, 2021, Lankford's campaign published its supposed endorsement by state representative Kevin McDugle. McDugle later went on social media claiming to have never made the endorsement; Lankford's campaign subsequently removed his name from their endorsement list.[12]

Jackson Lahmeyer
Federal Executive Branch officials
State Senators
State Representative
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations
James Lankford
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide elected officials
State Senators
State Representatives
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions

Debates

The Oil & Gas Workers Association of Oklahoma offered to host a debate for the Republican primary. Invitations were extended to candidates Jackson Lahmeyer and James Lankford, but Lankford refused the invitation.[52]

2022 Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Joan
Farr		 Jackson
Lahmeyer		 James
Lankford
1 Cancelled Oil & Gas Workers Association of Oklahoma - - N I I

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Joan
Farr		 Jackson
Lahmeyer		 James
Lankford		 Other Undecided
Amber Integrated (R) June 6–9, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 4% 12% 68% – 15%
SoonerPoll April 25 – May 11, 2022 306 (LV) ± 5.6% 2% 8% 74% – 16%
Amber Integrated (R) March 24–27, 2022 455 (LV) ± 4.6% 0% 10% 63% 3%[lower-alpha 2] 24%
Amber Integrated (R) December 15–19, 2021 253 (RV) ± 6.2% – 8% 56% 12%[lower-alpha 3] 24%
Amber Integrated (R) September 29 – October 3, 2021 253 (RV) ± 6.2% – 21% 62% 4%[lower-alpha 4] 12%

Results
Primary results by county:
  Lankford
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Lankford (incumbent) 243,132 67.83%
Republican Jackson Lahmeyer 94,572 26.38%
Republican Joan Farr 20,761 5.79%
Total votes 358,465 100.0%

Democratic primary

Nominee
  • Madison Horn, cybersecurity professional[53][54]

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in initial primary
  • Arya Azma, security trader[56]
  • Dennis Baker[56]
  • Jo Glenn, attorney[57]
  • Brandon Wade, machinery assembler[56]

Failed to file

Declined

Results
Initial primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Horn—40–50%
  •   Horn—<40%
  •   Bollinger—<40%
  •   Baker—<40%
  •   Bollinger/Baker tie—<40%
  •   Wade—<40%
Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madison Horn 60,691 37.19%
Democratic Jason Bollinger 27,374 16.77%
Democratic Dennis Baker 22,467 13.77%
Democratic Jo Glenn 21,198 12.99%
Democratic Brandon Wade 19,986 12.25%
Democratic Arya Azma 11,478 7.03%
Total votes 163,194 100.0%

Results
Democratic primary results[61]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madison Horn 60,929 65.48%
Democratic Jason Bollinger 32,121 34.52%
Total votes 93,050 100.0%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[62] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[63] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[65] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[66] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[67] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[68] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[69] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[70] Safe R September 7, 2022

Endorsements
James Lankford (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide elected officials
State Senators
State Representatives
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions
Madison Horn (D)
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers

Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 James
Lankford (R)		 Madison
Horn (D)		 Other
[lower-alpha 5]		 Margin
FiveThirtyEight September 15 – November 7, 2022 November 7, 2022 56.9% 34.9% 8.2% Lankford +22.0
270towin October 11 - November 7, 2022 November 7, 2022 54.3% 36.8% 8.9% Lankford +17.5
Average 55.6% 35.8% 8.6% Lankford +19.8
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 James
Lankford (R)		 Madison
Horn (D)		 Other Undecided
Ascend Action (R) November 5–6, 2022 682 (LV) ± 3.8% 56% 36% 3%[lower-alpha 6] 4%
Amber Integrated (R) October 26–28, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 38% 7%[lower-alpha 7] 3%
Emerson College October 25–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 57% 33% 3%[lower-alpha 8] 8%
62% 34% 4%[lower-alpha 9] –
Ascend Action (R) October 24–28, 2022 749 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 35% 5%[lower-alpha 10] 9%
Amber Integrated (R) October 13–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 36% 7%[lower-alpha 11] 4%
Ascend Action (R) October 10–12, 2022 638 (LV) ± 3.9% 51% 37% 3%[lower-alpha 12] 9%
SoonerPoll October 3–6, 2022 301 (LV) – 52% 40% 2%[lower-alpha 13] 6%
Amber Integrated (R) September 19–21, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 34% – 14%
–(L)[lower-alpha 14] September 15–18, 2022 2,989 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 27% 11%[lower-alpha 15] 13%
SoonerPoll September 2–7, 2022 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 35% 4%[lower-alpha 16] 13%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 522 (RV) ± 6.3% 59% 29% – 12%

Results
2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma[80][81]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican James Lankford (incumbent) 739,960 64.30% -3.44%
Democratic Madison Horn 369,370 32.10% +7.52%
Independent Michael Delaney 20,907 1.82% N/A
Libertarian Kenneth Blevins 20,495 1.78% -1.22%
Total votes 1,150,732 100.0%
Turnout 1,150,732 50.12%
Registered electors 2,295,906
Republican hold

By congressional district

Lankford won all 5 congressional districts.[82]

District Lankford Horn Representative
1st 59% 37.6% Kevin Hern
2nd 73.3% 23.3% Markwayne Mullin (117th Congress)
Josh Brecheen (118th Congress)
3rd 70.1% 26.2% Frank Lucas
4th 63.1% 33% Tom Cole
5th 57.6% 38.9% Stephanie Bice

See also

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Garrison with 3%
  3. Dahm with 9%, "Other" with 3%
  4. Dahm with 3%, "Other" with 1%
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. Delaney (I) with 2%; Blevins (L) with 1%
  7. Delaney (I) with 4%; Blevins (L) with 3%
  8. Delaney (I) with 2%; Blevins (L) with 1%
  9. Delaney (I) with 3%; Blevins (L) with 1%
  10. Delaney (I) with 3%; Blevins (L) with 2%
  11. Delaney (I) with 4%; Blevins (L) with 3%
  12. Delaney (I) with 2%; Blevins (L) with 1%
  13. Delaney with 2%; Blevins with 0%
  14. This poll was conducted in-house by and for Natalie Bruno's campaign for Governor
  15. Blevins with 9%; Delaney with 2%
  16. Delaney with 4%

References
  1. "2022 Statutory Election Dates and Deadlines" (PDF). oklahoma.gov. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved October 13, 2021.
  2. "Federal, State, Legislative and Judicial Races General Election — November 4, 2014". Oklahoma.gov. Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original on April 8, 2021. Retrieved March 25, 2021.
  3. "Federal, State, Legislative and Judicial Races General Election — November 8, 2016". Oklahoma.gov. Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original on April 8, 2021. Retrieved March 25, 2021.
  4. Krehbiel, Randy (March 17, 2021). "Tulsa pastor challenges Lankford for Senate with boost from Trump loyalist Michael Flynn". Tulsa World. Retrieved March 19, 2021.
  5. Krehbiel, Randy (April 6, 2021). "Sen. Lankford says reelection bid will be about him being him". Tulsa World. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
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  7. Krehbiel, Randy (November 14, 2021). "Political notebook: State and local officials awaiting details on infrastructure bill money". Tulsa World. Retrieved November 14, 2021.
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  9. "OK Election Results - June 28, 2022". Oklahoma State Election Board.
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  74. "Media Center - No Dem Left Behind". www.nodemleftbehind.com. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
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  82. Results. docs.google.com (Report).
Official campaign websites
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