2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
November 3, 2020
All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 0
Seats won 3 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 585,234 326,018
Percentage 62.17% 34.63%
Swing Increase 0.14% Decrease 3.34%
Elections in Nebraska
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Overview
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1189,00659.52%119,62237.67%8,9382.81%317,566100.0%Republican hold
District 2171,07150.77%155,70646.21%10,1853.02%336,962100.0%Republican hold
District 3225,15778.51%50,69017.68%10,9233.81%286,770100.0%Republican hold
Total585,23462.17%326,01834.63%30,0463.19%941,298100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
 
 62.17%
Democratic
 
 34.63%
Other
 
 3.19%
House seats
Republican
 
 100.00%

District 1
2020 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election
 
Nominee Jeff Fortenberry Kate Bolz
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 189,006 119,622
Percentage 59.5% 37.7%
U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

See also: Nebraska's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent is Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Declared
Declined
  • Nicholas Oviatt, part-time consultant[3]

Results
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) 84,017 100.0
Total votes 84,017 100.0
Declared
Endorsements
Kate Bolz
Newspapers
Organizations
Barbara "Babs" Ramsey
Organizations
  • DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare[13]
  • Freethought Equality Fund PAC[14]
  • Nebraska Secular Democrats[15]
  • Progressive Rising[16]
  • Rose Caucus[17]
  • Vote Pro Choice[18]

Results
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kate Bolz 43,400 77.6
Democratic Barbara Ramsey 12,497 22.4
Total votes 55,897 100.0
Declared

Results
Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Dennis B. Grace 1,047 100.0
Total votes 1,047 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Likely R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Nebraska's 1st congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) 189,006 59.5
Democratic Kate Bolz 119,622 37.7
Libertarian Dennis B. Grace 8,938 2.8
Total votes 317,566 100.0
Republican hold

District 2
2020 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election
 
Nominee Don Bacon Kara Eastman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 171,071 155,706
Percentage 50.8% 46.2%
U.S. Representative before election

Don Bacon
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Don Bacon
Republican

See also: Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, and suburban parts of western Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent is Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Kara Eastman is the Democratic nominee.[28] She started a nonprofit consulting company in 2019, and she was previously the executive director of the Omaha Healthy Kids Alliance.[29] That organization focuses on reducing lead poisoning, and Lee Terry described it as a nonpartisan project.[30] She is a former member of the Board of Governors of Metropolitan Community College.[31]

President Donald Trump endorsed Bacon, and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden endorsed Eastman.[32]

Declared

Results
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 68,531 90.6
Republican Paul Anderson 7,106 9.4
Total votes 75,637 100.0
Declared
Withdrew
  • Morgann Freeman, part-time communications consultant and activist[38] (endorsed Ashford)
  • Dustin Sedoris, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[39] (endorsed Eastman)[40]
Declined

Endorsements
Ann Ashford
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State officials
Individuals
Organizations
  • LEAP Forward Project[51]
Kara Eastman
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Parties
  • Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska[63]

Results
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kara Eastman 45,953 62.1
Democratic Ann Ashford 23,059 31.2
Democratic Gladys Harrison 4,920 6.7
Total votes 73,932 100.0
Declared

Results
Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Tyler Schaeffer 964 100.0
Total votes 964 100.0

Debate
2020 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Don Bacon Kara Eastman
1 Oct. 12, 2020 Nebraska Public Media Dennis Kellogg YouTube P P

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[65] Tossup July 16, 2020
Inside Elections[66] Tilt D (flip) October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Lean R November 2, 2020
Politico[23] Tossup September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Lean R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Tossup June 7, 2020

Polling
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Don
Bacon (R)		 Kara
Eastman (D)		 Tyler
Schaeffer (L)		 Other Undecided
UNLV Lee Business School October 30 – November 2, 2020 191 (LV) ± 7% 47% 46% – – –
Change Research October 29 – November 2, 2020 920 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 2% 0%[lower-alpha 2] 2%
Emerson College October 29–30, 2020 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 50%[lower-alpha 3] 47% – 2% –
FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] October 1–4, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 47% 6% – –
Siena College/NYT Upshot September 25–27, 2020 420 (LV) ± 5.3% 45% 43% 3% 1%[lower-alpha 4] 8%[lower-alpha 5]
Global Strategy Group (D) Archived September 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] September 14–16, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 4% – 7%[lower-alpha 5]
Global Strategy Group (D) Archived September 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] July 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 42% 4% – 7%[lower-alpha 5]
GQR Research (D)[upper-alpha 3] June 30 – July 5, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.37% 49% 50% – – –
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[upper-alpha 4] May 7–10, 2020 448 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 48% – – –
GQR Research (D)[upper-alpha 3] September 9–12, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 49% – – –
Hypothetical polling
with Ann Ashford
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Don
Bacon (R)		 Ann
Ashford (D)		 Undecided
GQR Research (D) September 9–12, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 46% –
with Gladys Harrison
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Don
Bacon (R)		 Gladys
Harrison (D)		 Undecided
GQR Research (D) September 9–12, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 44% –

Endorsements
Don Bacon (R)
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Kara Eastman (D)
Former US Executive Branch Officials
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Despite Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden winning the district by 6.5 points, Bacon defeated Eastman by 4.6 points. Eastman underperformed Biden by over 11 points.[103]

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 171,071 50.8
Democratic Kara Eastman 155,706 46.2
Libertarian Tyler Schaeffer 10,185 3.0
Total votes 336,962 100.0
Republican hold

By county
CountyDon Bacon
Republican		Kara Eastman
Democratic		Tyler Schaeffer
Libertarian		Total
votes
 % #  % #  % #
Douglas 48.20% 132,230 48.79% 133,827 3.01% 8,252 274,309
Sarpy 61.99% 38,841 34.92% 21,879 3.09% 1,933 62,653

District 3
2020 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election
 
Nominee Adrian Smith Mark Elworth Jr.
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 225,157 50,690
Percentage 78.5% 17.7%
U.S. Representative before election

Adrian Smith
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Adrian Smith
Republican

See also: Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district covers most of the rural western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent is Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 76.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Declared
  • Larry Lee Scott Bolinger, veteran, graduate from UNO, business owner in property preservation, author of 16 books, and a self-defense instructor[2]
  • William Elfgren, grocery worker[2][104]
  • Arron Kowalski, farmer[2]
  • Justin Moran, architectural draftsman, firefighter and welder[2]
  • Adrian Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative[105]

Results
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 96,260 82.6
Republican Arron Kowalski 6,424 5.5
Republican Justin Moran 6,374 5.5
Republican William Elfgren 4,063 3.5
Republican Larry Lee Scott Bolinger 3,389 2.9
Total votes 116,510 100.0
Declared

Results
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Elworth, Jr. 26,772 100.0
Total votes 26,776 100.0
Declared
  • Dustin C. Hobbs, reality television show participant[2][107]

Results
Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Dustin C. Hobbs 561 100.0
Total votes 561 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Safe R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Nebraska's 3rd congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 225,157 78.5
Democratic Mark Elworth Jr. 50,690 17.7
Libertarian Dustin C. Hobbs 10,923 3.8
Total votes 286,770 100.0
Republican hold

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Did not vote and "Don't recall" with 0%
  3. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  4. Would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%
  5. Includes "Refused"
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by The Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates.
  2. Poll conducted for the House Majority PAC.
  3. Poll sponsored by Eastman's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by the DCCC.

References
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  85. Bernie Sanders [@BernieSanders] (September 16, 2020). "@karaforcongress is facing the same incumbent Republican she came within just 1.9% of defeating two years ago while running on a strong progressive platform that prioritizes the needs of working people in Omaha and beyond. Let's make sure Kara is elected to Congress this year" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  86. Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (May 16, 2020). "Thank you to Nebraska State Senator @katejbolz for this endorsement and CONGRATULATIONS Kate on your primary win the other night! Like myself, Senator Bolz is running for Congress against a LOYAL Trump supporter. If I were @JeffFortenberry, I'd be scared. :) #DemocraticUnity t.co/KmpXmIhGZE" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 – via Twitter.
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  105. "Adrian Smith Files for Re-Election to Third District Congressional Seat". KTIC Radio. January 24, 2020. Retrieved January 25, 2020.
  106. Winger, Richard (March 12, 2020). "Nebraska Legal Marijuana Now Party Leader Wins Democratic Congressional Nomination". Ballot Access News. Retrieved April 17, 2020.
  107. Service, Jeff Bahr / World-Herald News (December 18, 2015). "Nebraska man unhappy with portrayal on TV show 'Naked and Afraid'". Omaha.com. Retrieved February 9, 2020.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
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