Next Galician regional election

The next Galician regional election will be held no later than Friday, 16 August 2024, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.

Next Galician regional election
No later than 16 August 2024
All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Alfonso Rueda Ana Pontón José Ramón Gómez Besteiro
Party PP BNG PSOE
Leader since 22 May 2022 28 February 2016 18 October 2023
Leader's seat Pontevedra A Coruña —
Last election 42 seats, 48.0% 19 seats, 23.8% 14 seats, 19.4%
Current seats 42 19 14
Seats needed In majority 19 24
Incumbent President

Alfonso Rueda
PP


Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][4]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency is entitled the following seats:

Seats Constituencies
25 A Coruña
22 Pontevedra
14 Lugo, Ourense

The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[5]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 12 July 2020, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 12 July 2024. The election decree must be published in the DOG no later than 18 June 2024, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 16 August 2024.[1][4]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament and call a snap election, provided that it does not occur before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[6]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time.

Current parliamentary composition
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
People's Parliamentary Group of Galicia PP 42 42
Galician Nationalist Bloc's Parliamentary Group BNG 19 19
Socialists' Parliamentary Group of Galicia PSdeG–PSOE 14 14

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][7]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PP
List
 Alfonso Rueda Conservatism
Christian democracy		 47.96% 42 checkY [8]
BNG
List
 Ana Pontón Galician nationalism
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism		 23.79% 19 ☒N [9]
PSdeG–
PSOE
List
 José Ramón Gómez Besteiro Social democracy 17.87% 14 ☒N [10]
GeC–AM
List
 TBD Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism		 3.94% 0 ☒N
Vox
List
 TBD Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism		 2.05% 0 ☒N
Cs
List
 Beatriz Pino Liberalism 0.75% 0 ☒N

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP BNG PSdeG–PSOE Vox CS Sumar Lead
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 1] 24 Jul–25 Aug 2023 1,410 ? 44.2
39		 26.4
22		 17.0
14		 4.0
0		 4.7
0		 – – 17.8
2023 general election 23 Jul 2023 — 73.1 43.5
(38)		 9.5
(6)		 29.8
(24)		 [lower-alpha 1] 4.8
(1)		 – 10.9
(6)		 13.7
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 2][p 3] 13–21 Jun 2023 1,223 ? 46.6
41		 26.8
21		 16.7
13		 3.7
0		 2.5
0		 – – 19.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 4][p 5] 6–19 Oct 2022 1,223 ? 45.7
40		 25.9
20		 15.7
13		 5.6
2		 2.7
0		 1.0
0		 – 19.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 6] 30 Jun–13 Aug 2022 548 ? 42.3
37		 26.2
22		 19.4
14		 5.0
2		 4.8
0		 0.9
0		 – 16.1
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 7][p 8] 16–24 May 2022 1,000 ? 45.2
39		 24.8
19		 18.3
15		 5.4
2		 – – – 20.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 9] 15 Feb–30 Mar 2022 360 ? 42.0
37		 26.0
20		 19.6
15		 5.0
1		 5.0
1		 0.9
0		 – 16.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 10][p 11] 10–22 Feb 2022 1,223 ? 44.6
39		 24.5
20		 17.7
14		 5.6
2		 – – – 20.1
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 12][p 13] 14–21 Oct 2021 1,223 ? 45.5
39		 25.9
20		 17.0
14		 6.0
2		 – – – 19.6
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 14][p 15] 16–23 Jun 2021 1,223 50 45.8
40		 24.4
18		 18.0
14		 6.1
3		 – – – 21.4
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 16][p 17] 21 Jan–2 Feb 2021 ? ? 46.2
39		 25.6
21		 16.2
14		 5.1
1		 – – – 20.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 18] 31 Dec 2020 ? ? 47.0
39		 26.7
22		 18.3
14		 2.5
0		 2.7
0		 0.7
0		 – 20.3
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 19][p 20] 1–7 Oct 2020 1,223 ? 46.9
40		 27.0
22		 17.1
13		 – – – – 19.9
2020 regional election 12 Jul 2020 — 49.0 48.0
42		 23.8
19		 19.4
14		 3.9
0		 2.0
0		 0.8
0		 – 24.2

Notes
  1. Within Sumar.

References
Opinion poll sources
  1. "ElectoPanel Galicia (30Ag): el BNG sube y amenaza al PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 August 2023.
  2. "Alfonso Rueda afianza la mayoría absoluta del PP en la Xunta al llegar la recta final del mandato". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 24 June 2023.
  3. "[AUT] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 24/06/2023: BNG 26,8% (21), PODEMOS-EU-ANOVA 3,7%, PSdeG-PSOE 16,7% (13), PP 46,6% (41), VOX 2,5%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 24 June 2023.
  4. "Rueda mantiene la mayoría del PP en Galicia mientras el BNG crece y el PSOE se estanca". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 23 October 2022.
  5. "GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 23/10/2022: BNG 25,9% (20), GeC-ANOVA MAREAS 5,6% (2), PSdeG-PSOE 15,7% (13), Cs ~1,0%, PP 45,7% (40), VOX 2,7%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 23 October 2022.
  6. "GalaicoPanel (15Ag): el BNG podría arrebatar al PP la Xunta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 August 2022.
  7. "El PP retiene la mayoría tras la marcha de Feijoo a Madrid". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 28 May 2022.
  8. "GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 28/05/2022: BNG 24,8% (19), GeC-ANOVA MAREAS 5,4% (2), PSdeG-PSOE 18,3% (15), PP 45,2% (39)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 March 2022.
  9. "EP Galicia (31M): Vox entraría en el Parlamento y tendría la llave de la Xunta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 March 2022.
  10. "Rueda, Quintana y Comesaña son los conselleiros más conocidos y mejor valorados del gobierno de Feijoo". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 3 March 2022.
  11. "GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 03/03/2022: BNG 24,5% (20), GeC-ANOVA MAREAS 5,6% (2), PSdeG-PSOE 17,7% (14), PP 44,6% (39)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 March 2022.
  12. "Feijoo mantiene un apoyo mayoritario tras la gestión del covid en Galicia". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 23 October 2021.
  13. "GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 23/10/2021: BNG 25,9% (20), GeC-ANOVA MAREAS 6,0% (2), PSdeG-PSOE 17,0% (14), PP 45,5% (39)". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 October 2021.
  14. "El PP mantiene su mayoría en Galicia frente a un BNG asentado como la segunda fuerza". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 27 June 2021.
  15. "GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 27/06/2021: BNG 24,4% (18), GeC-ANOVA MAREAS 6,1% (3), PSdeG-PSOE 18,0% (14), PP 45,8% (40)". Electograph (in Spanish). 27 June 2021.
  16. "Encuesta de Sondaxe: La pandemia desgasta al PP en Galicia, mientras el BNG sigue subiendo". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 6 February 2021.
  17. "GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 06/02/2021: BNG 25,6% (21), GeC-ANOVA MAREAS 5,1% (1), PSdeG-PSOE 16,2% (14), PP 46,2% (39)". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 February 2021.
  18. "EP Autonómico (31D): Feijoo inicia el año Xacobeo cediendo terreno ante el BNG, que sigue al alza". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 December 2020.
  19. "La ola del BNG sigue creciendo y coge fuerza frente a un PSdeG en declive". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 11 October 2020.
  20. "GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 11/10/2020: BNG 27,0% (22), PSdeG-PSOE 17,1% (13), PP 46,9% (40)". Electograph (in Spanish). 11 October 2020.
Other
  1. "Ley Orgánica 1/1981, de 6 de abril, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Galicia". Organic Law No. 1 of 6 April 1981 (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. Araque Conde, Pilar (8 June 2022). "El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 31 July 2022.
  4. "Ley 8/1985, de 13 de agosto, de elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia". Law No. 2 of 13 August 1985 (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  5. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 2017-07-30. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  6. "Ley 1/1983, de 22 de febrero, de normas reguladoras de la Xunta y su Presidencia". Law No. 1 of 22 February 1983 (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  7. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985 (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  8. Capelo, Lara (22 May 2022). "Rueda toma las riendas del PP gallego bajo la sombra de Feijóo". Cadena Ser (in Spanish). Retrieved 23 May 2022.
  9. "El anuncio de Ana Pontón de que planea dejar el liderazgo del BNG deja en shock al nacionalismo gallego". Público (in Spanish). 26 August 2021. Retrieved 13 September 2021.
  10. "Besteiro será el candidato del PSdeG a la Presidencia de la Xunta sin necesidad de primarias". ElDiario.Es (in Spanish). 18 October 2023. Retrieved 21 October 2023.
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