Next Nova Scotia general election

The 42nd Nova Scotia general election will be held on or before 15 July 2025 to elect members to the 65th General Assembly of Nova Scotia. During the 2021 election, the Progressive Conservatives included a commitment in their platform to introduce fixed election dates in the province. Under amendments to the provincial Elections Act introduced and passed in October 2021, the first fixed election date following the 2021 Nova Scotia general election is set as 15 July 2025.[1] All subsequent elections will take place on the third Tuesday in July of the fourth calendar year following the previous election.

Next Nova Scotia general election
On or before 15 July 2025
55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
28 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
LIB
Leader Tim Houston Zach Churchill Claudia Chender
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since 27 October 2018 9 July 2022 25 June 2022
Leader's seat Pictou East Yarmouth Dartmouth South
Last election 31 seats, 38.44% 17 seats, 36.67% 6 seats, 20.93%
Current seats 32 16 6
Seats needed Steady Increase12 Increase22
Incumbent Premier

Tim Houston
Progressive Conservative


Timeline
See also: 64th General Assembly of Nova Scotia
Changes in seats held (2021–Present)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Preston April 1, 2023[8] Angela Simmonds █ Liberal Resignation August 8, 2023 Twila Grosse █ PC

Current standings
Standings in the 64th General Assembly[9]
Affiliation House members
2021 election results Current standings
Progressive Conservative 3132
Liberal 1716
New Democratic 66
Independent 11
Vacant 00

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MLAs announced that they would not run in the next general election:

Progressive Conservative

Opinion polls

Voting intentions in Nova Scotia since the 2021 election
Polling firm Dates conducted Link PC Liberal NDP Green Others Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
Narrative Research 1–14 Aug 2023 [p 1] 47 23 24 4 2 ±4.9% 400 Telephone 23
Narrative Research 3–16 May 2023 [p 2] 39 31 24 5 1 ±4.9% 400 Telephone 8
Narrative Research 8–23 Feb 2023 [p 3] 46 25 24 4 2 ±4.6% 450 Telephone 21
Narrative Research 2–28 Nov 2022 [p 4] 42 27 25 5 1 ±4.0% 605 Telephone 15
Narrative Research 4–23 Aug 2022 [p 5] 43 30 22 4 1 ±4.0% 585 Telephone 13
Angus Reid 7–13 Jun 2022 [p 6] 46 21 27 3 2 ±5.0% 330 Online 24
Narrative Research 3–22 May 2022 [p 7] 42 27 25 4 1 ±5.0% 380 Telephone 15
Abacus Data 14–21 Apr 2022 [p 8] 39 31 23 N/A 7 ±4.4% 500 Online 8
Angus Reid 10–15 Mar 2022 [p 9] 47 25 22 2 5 ±5.0% 366 Online 22
Narrative Research 8–23 Feb 2022 [p 10] 44 27 20 6 2 ±4.9% 396 Telephone 17
Angus Reid 7–12 Jan 2022 [p 11] 38 28 26 1 6 ±6.0% 320 Online 10
MQO Research 14–24 Nov 2021 [p 12] 41 23 27 5 3 ±4.9% 400 Telephone 14
Narrative Research 4–21 Nov 2021 [p 13] 42 26 24 5 3 ±4.2% 557 Telephone 16
Angus Reid 29 Sep – 3 Oct 2021 [p 14] 39 21 32 4 5 N/A 264 Online 7
2021 general election 17 Aug 2021 HTML Archived 8 October 2021 at the Wayback Machine 38.43 36.67 20.94 2.14 1.41 — 422,754 — 1.76
Polling firm Dates conducted Link Others Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
PC Liberal NDP Green

References
  1. Laroche, Jean (13 October 2021). "N.S. government sets third Tuesday in July as new fixed date for elections every 4 years". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved 29 October 2021.
  2. Grant, Taryn (23 October 2021). "Anthony Edmonds elected leader of N.S. Green Party". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  3. Burrill, Gary [@GaryBurrill] (9 November 2021). "One of the most important parts of leadership is knowing when the time has come for renewal, and knowing when to bring your own leadership to a conclusion. In my judgement, this is that time. (1/3)" (Tweet). Retrieved 9 November 2021 – via Twitter.
  4. "New Registered Political Party In Nova Scotia". Elections Nova Scotia. 16 December 2021. Retrieved 17 December 2021.
  5. Gorman, Michael (5 January 2022). "Iain Rankin to step down as N.S. Liberal Party leader". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved 5 January 2022.
  6. Gorman, Michael (25 June 2022). "Claudia Chender officially at helm of Nova Scotia NDP". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved 28 June 2022.
  7. Laroche, Jean [@larochecbc] (9 July 2022). "Former Ed minister Zack Churchill is the new ⁦@LiberalPartyNS leader" (Tweet). Retrieved 9 July 2022 – via Twitter.
  8. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/angela-simmonds-mla-deputy-speaker-to-step-down-1.6725744
  9. "Nova Scotia Legislature". Nova Scotia Legislature. Retrieved 2 September 2021.
  10. Laroche, Jean (13 September 2023). "Cabinet ministers Pat Dunn and Steve Craig won't seek re-election". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved 14 September 2023.
  11. Laroche, Jean (13 September 2023). "Cabinet ministers Pat Dunn and Steve Craig won't seek re-election". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved 14 September 2023.

Opinion poll sources
  1. "A majority remain satisfied with the provincial government's performance" (PDF). Narrative Research. 24 August 2023. Retrieved 24 August 2023.
  2. "While a majority remain satisfied with the provincial government's performance, the PCs have less of a lead in terms of voter support" (PDF). Narrative Research. 24 May 2023. Retrieved 24 May 2023.
  3. "NS: Satisfaction with Houston government's performance has declined since last November, while voting intentions remain stable" (PDF). Narrative Research. 7 March 2023.
  4. "Satisfaction with Houston government's performance remains high and stable in NS" (PDF). Narrative Research. 1 December 2022.
  5. "Satisfaction with NS's Houston government's performance remains high and stable". Narrative Research. August 2022.
  6. "Atlantic Spotlight: Soaring inflation, floundering health-care systems leave East Coasters critical of governments". Angus Reid. 13 July 2022.
  7. "Satisfaction with NS's Houston government's performance remains high, albeit slightly declined relative to three months ago" (PDF). Narrative Research. May 2022.
  8. "State of the Province: How Do Nova Scotians Feel About the Provincial Government and Their Political Choices?". Abacus Data. April 2022.
  9. "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid. March 2022.
  10. "Satisfaction with NS's Houston government's performance remains high" (PDF). Narrative Research. 2 March 2022. Retrieved 2 March 2022.
  11. "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. 20 January 2022. Retrieved 21 January 2022.
  12. "Fall/Winter 2021 Provincial Report Nova Scotia" (PDF). MQO Research. November 2021.
  13. "High satisfaction with the performance of the newly-elected provincial government of Nova Scotia" (PDF). Narrative Research. 29 November 2021. Archived from the original (PDF) on 30 November 2021.
  14. "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments" (PDF). Angus Reid. 27 October 2021.
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