2011 Aragonese regional election
The 2011 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
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All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 1,016,021  0.1% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 689,904 (67.9%) 1.4 pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Constituency results map for the Cortes of Aragon | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The outgoing Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) administration suffered a serious defeat after losing nearly 30% of its 2007 vote. The opposition People's Party (PP) obtained the best result of its history in the region, despite remaining 4 seats short for an absolute majority of seats. This was also the first time since the 1999 election that the PP had received the most votes in Aragon. United Left (IU) had its best result since 1995, gaining 3 seats for a total of 4. The Aragonese Party (PAR), on the other hand, obtained its worst historical result, while the Aragonese Union (CHA) remained static at its 2007 result.
As a result of the election, Luisa Fernanda Rudi from the People's Party was elected President of Aragon as part of a PP-PAR coalition agreement. The PAR had been previously the PSOE coalition partner from 1999 to 2011.
Overview
Electoral system
The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]
Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Aragonese people abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one).[1][3]
The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[4]
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 27 May 2011. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 3 May 2011, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 26 June 2011.[1][3][5]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][5]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
| PSOE | List |
 |
Eva Almunia | Social democracy | 41.14% | 30 |  |
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| PP | List
|
.jpg.webp) |
Luisa Fernanda Rudi | Conservatism Christian democracy |
31.06% | 23 |  |
||
| PAR | List
|
.jpg.webp) |
José Ángel Biel | Regionalism Centrism |
12.08% | 9 | |
||
| CHA | List
|
|
Nieves Ibeas | Aragonese nationalism Eco-socialism |
8.15% | 4 | |
||
| IU | List |
.jpg.webp) |
Adolfo Barrena | Socialism Communism |
4.08% | 1 | |
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Campaign
Election debates
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present[lower-alpha 1] NI Not invited | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE | PP | PAR | CHA | IU | Audience | Ref. | |||
| 16 May | Aragón TV | Pepe Quílez | P Almunia |
P Rudi |
NI | NI | NI | 14.0% (76,000) |
[6] [7] |
| 20 May | Aragón TV | Pepe Quílez | P Almunia |
P Rudi |
P Biel |
P Ibeas |
P Barrena |
N/A | [8] |
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.
- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |
_Logo_(2008-2015).svg.png.webp){kind=logo} |
 |
.svg.png.webp){kind=small} |
 |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 regional election | 22 May 2011 | — | 67.9 | 29.0 22 |
39.7 30 |
9.2 7 |
8.2 4 |
6.2 4 |
2.3 0 |
10.7 |
| Ipsos–Eco/FORTA[p 1][p 2] | 22 May 2011 | ? | ? | 30.3 22/25 |
36.7 27/30 |
10.6 8/9 |
8.5 4/5 |
6.5 3/4 |
2.0 0/1 |
6.4 |
| IACOM/El Periódico[p 3] | 15 May 2011 | ? | ? | ? 26 |
? 27 |
? 6/7 |
? 4 |
? 3/4 |
– | ? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 4] | 10–12 May 2011 | 850 | ? | 33.6 25/27 |
38.4 27/29 |
9.8 7 |
8.1 4 |
4.9 2 |
– | 4.8 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 5][p 6] | 3–10 May 2011 | ? | ? | 36.9 25/27 |
38.4 28/29 |
? 7/8 |
– | – | – | 2.5 |
| Ikerfel/Vocento[p 7] | 9 May 2011 | ? | ? | 36.9 26/28 |
34.6 26/27 |
9.5 7 |
7.7 4/5 |
5.4 2 |
– | 2.3 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 8][p 9] | 27–28 Apr 2011 | 1,000 | ? | 30.4 23/24 |
37.0 27/28 |
11.9 8/9 |
9.2 4/5 |
5.0 3 |
– | 6.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 10][p 11] | 25 Apr 2011 | ? | ? | 37.6 26/27 |
38.5 27/29 |
11.2 7/8 |
6.3 ? |
4.4 ? |
– | 0.9 |
| Celeste-Tel/Terra[p 12] | 13–20 Apr 2011 | 600 | ? | 31.1 21 |
39.6 28 |
10.3 8 |
7.8 5 |
5.9 5 |
– | 8.5 |
| CIS[p 13][p 14] | 17 Mar–17 Apr 2011 | 1,596 | ? | 35.7 27 |
33.9 26 |
10.3 7 |
8.2 4 |
5.1 3 |
2.4 0 |
1.8 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 15] | 13–15 Apr 2011 | 1,207 | ? | 36.6 26 |
36.5 28 |
8.9 6 |
6.7 4 |
5.8 3 |
– | 0.1 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 16] | 11–14 Apr 2011 | 850 | ? | 33.8 24/25 |
40.4 28/30 |
7.8 6 |
7.7 4 |
5.4 3/4 |
– | 6.6 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 17][p 18] | 1–14 Apr 2011 | 2,200 | 68.1 | 34.7 26 |
34.9 25 |
9.9 7 |
7.9 5 |
7.4 4 |
– | 0.2 |
| Radio Ebro[p 19][p 20] | 23 Mar–1 Apr 2011 | 1,525 | 68.7 | 32.0 25 |
38.9 28 |
9.9 6 |
10.0 6 |
4.8 2 |
– | 6.9 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 21][p 22] | 10–31 Jan 2011 | 2,200 | 67.6 | 35.6 25 |
39.2 28 |
9.3 7 |
7.4 3 |
6.2 4 |
– | 3.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 23][p 24] | 30 Dec–3 Jan 2011 | ? | ? | 32.8 24/26 |
40.9 29/30 |
– | – | – | – | 8.1 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 25] | 17–21 Dec 2010 | 850 | ? | 30.3 23/26 |
40.0 28/30 |
9.4 6/7 |
8.6 4 |
5.7 3 |
– | 9.7 |
| PP[p 26] | 5 Dec 2010 | ? | ? | 33.7 26 |
38.2 28 |
9.5 7 |
9.0 5 |
4.7 1 |
– | 4.5 |
| A+M/DGA[p 27][p 28][p 29] | 6–14 Nov 2010 | 2,524 | ? | 29.7 21/23 |
37.9 27/29 |
13.0 8/10 |
9.1 5/6 |
5.3 2/3 |
– | 8.2 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 30][p 31] | 20 Sep–5 Oct 2010 | 2,000 | ? | 36.8 27 |
35.0 25 |
11.5 8 |
9.2 5 |
5.2 2 |
– | 1.8 |
| PSOE[p 32][p 33] | 6–28 Sep 2010 | 1,500 | ? | ? 28 |
? 26 |
? 7 |
? 5 |
? 1 |
– | ? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 34] | 21–24 May 2010 | 850 | ? | 36.2 27/28 |
41.2 30/31 |
7.3 4 |
6.7 2/4 |
5.0 2 |
– | 5.0 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 35][p 36] | 5–19 Apr 2010 | 2,000 | 65.4 | 40.1 29 |
36.9 27 |
8.3 5 |
7.1 4 |
5.0 2 |
– | 3.2 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 37] | 8–15 Mar 2010 | 865 | ? | 38.3 29 |
38.0 29 |
5.0 2 |
7.0 3 |
6.6 4 |
– | 0.3 |
| 2009 EP election | 7 Jun 2009 | — | 46.4 | 44.0 (33) |
41.7 (31) |
– | 2.8 (1) |
3.5 (1) |
3.2 (1) |
2.3 |
| 2008 general election | 9 Mar 2008 | — | 75.9 | 46.4 (35) |
37.0 (27) |
5.2 (3) |
5.0 (2) |
2.8 (0) |
1.1 (0) |
9.4 |
| 2007 regional election | 27 May 2007 | — | 66.5 | 41.1 30 |
31.1 23 |
12.1 9 |
8.1 4 |
4.1 1 |
– | 10.0 |
Results
Overall
 | ||||||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 269,729 | 39.69 | +8.63 | 30 | +7 | |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 197,189 | 29.02 | –12.12 | 22 | –8 | |
| Aragonese Party (PAR) | 62,193 | 9.15 | –2.93 | 7 | –2 | |
| Aragonese Union (CHA) | 55,932 | 8.23 | +0.08 | 4 | ±0 | |
| United Left of Aragon (IU) | 41,874 | 6.16 | +2.08 | 4 | +3 | |
| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 15,667 | 2.31 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Greens–Ecolo (V–Ecolo)1 | 4,621 | 0.68 | +0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Commitment with Aragon (CCA) | 3,771 | 0.55 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 2,193 | 0.32 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Federation of Independents of Aragon (FIA) | 980 | 0.14 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Aragonese Land (TA) | 830 | 0.12 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) | 603 | 0.09 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Aragon United Citizens Party (pCUA) | 573 | 0.08 | –0.29 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Family and Life Party (PFyV) | 525 | 0.08 | –0.08 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) | 482 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 440 | 0.06 | –0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| The Independent Voice of Aragon (L'VIA) | 249 | 0.04 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 21,678 | 3.19 | +0.97 | |||
| Total | 679,529 | 67 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 679,529 | 98.50 | –0.81 | |||
| Invalid votes | 10,375 | 1.50 | +0.81 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 689,904 | 67.90 | +1.39 | |||
| Abstentions | 326,117 | 32.10 | –1.39 | |||
| Registered voters | 1,016,021 | |||||
| Sources[9][10][11] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Aftermath
| Investiture Luisa Fernanda Rudi (PP) | ||
| Ballot → | 13 July 2011 | |
|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 34 out of 67 | |
37 / 67 | ||
30 / 67 | ||
| Abstentions | 0 / 67 | |
| Absentees | 0 / 67 | |
| Sources[11] | ||
Notes
- Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
References
- Opinion poll sources
- "El PP ganaría en Aragón, al 7% escrutado". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 22 May 2011.
- "Las encuestas a pie de urna confirman el descalabro del PSOE y consolidan la mayoría absoluta en Madrid". ABC (in Spanish). 22 May 2011.
- "El PP gana al PSOE por un solo diputado". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 15 May 2011.
- "Cascos supera al PP en Asturias (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 15 May 2011. Archived from the original on 19 May 2011. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- "El PP doblega al PSOE a siete días de la cita electoral". La Razón (in Spanish). 15 May 2011. Archived from the original on 3 September 2011.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link) - "Vuelco en Cantabria (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 15 May 2011. Archived from the original on 19 May 2011. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- "El empate técnico entre PP y PSOE deja abierta cualquier opción". ABC (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.
- "El PSOE pierde puntos en Aragón y Las Palmas de Gran Canaria". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 3 May 2011.
- "Encuesta de TNS para Antena 3 y Onda Cero. Elecciones 22M. Expectativas electorales en Aragón" (PDF). TNS Demoscopia (in Spanish). 3 May 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 September 2011.
- "Jaque mate a la coalición PSOE-PRC y a Revilla". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 April 2011. Archived from the original on 29 May 2011. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- "Una encuesta de NC Report para La Razón da al PP como fuerza más votada el 22-M sin mayoría absoluta". ForoCoches (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
- "Barómetro electoral autonómico" (PDF). Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.
- "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas y municipales, 2011. Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón y Ciudad de Zaragoza (Estudio nº 2870. Marzo-Abril 2011)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 5 May 2011.
- "El PSOE fija su objetivo: salvar los muebles". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 May 2011.
- "Las alianzas poselectorales decidirán el Gobierno aragonés". Público (in Spanish). 18 April 2011. Archived from the original on 23 April 2011. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- "PP y PAR suman mayoría absoluta en Aragón (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 24 April 2011. Archived from the original on 29 April 2011. Retrieved 1 May 2011.
- "PP y PSOE empatarían, pero Almunia podría gobernar con un tripartito". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 24 April 2011.
- "El PSOE podría gobernar en Aragón con Cha e IU (Heraldo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 24 April 2011. Archived from the original on 29 April 2011. Retrieved 8 April 2015.
- "PSOE y PAR sufrirían un contundente castigo electoral el 22 de mayo". Diario Aragonés (in Spanish). 17 April 2011. Archived from the original on 20 April 2011.
- "Pactos necesarios en Aragón (Diario Aragonés)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 18 April 2011. Archived from the original on 23 April 2011. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- "El PP ganaría en Aragón pero necesitaría pactar con el PAR para gobernar". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 6 February 2011.
- "Luisa Rudi supera a Eva Almunia (Heraldo de Aragón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 6 February 2011. Archived from the original on 9 February 2011. Retrieved 8 April 2015.
- "El PP conquista los grandes feudos de los socialistas". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 January 2011. Archived from the original on 5 March 2011. Retrieved 4 April 2011.
- "El PP, a un paso de la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía y Castilla La Mancha (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 22 January 2011. Archived from the original on 26 January 2011. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- "Vuelco electoral en Aragón (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 5 January 2011. Archived from the original on 10 January 2011.
- "El PP sería la primera fuerza política en Aragón (Abc)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 8 December 2010. Archived from the original on 20 January 2011. Retrieved 4 April 2011.
- "El PP aragonés supera en cuatro puntos al PSOE". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 5 October 2010.
- "El PP asigna entre 27 y 29 escaños a Rudi y hasta 23 al PSOE". 20minutos (in Spanish). 22 December 2010.
- "PAR y PP suman mayoría holgada en Aragón (Gobierno de Aragón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 22 December 2010. Archived from the original on 28 December 2010. Retrieved 4 April 2011.
- "Eva Almunia podría formar gobierno pactando con el PAR o con CHA e IU". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 12 October 2010.
- "El PSOE se mantendría en el gobierno aragonés (Heraldo de Aragón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 13 October 2010. Archived from the original on 16 October 2010. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- "El PSOE sería la fuerza más votada si hoy se celebraran las elecciones autonómicas". PSOE (in Spanish). 5 October 2010.
- "El PSOE seguiría siendo el partido más votado en Aragón (sondeo propio)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 6 October 2010. Archived from the original on 23 October 2010. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- "Cuarta entrega de sondeos de El Mundo: Navarra, Aragón y Canarias". Electómetro (in Spanish). 2 June 2010. Archived from the original on 22 June 2010.
- "El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones y podría elegir entre PAR y CHA-IU". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2010.
- "El PSOE volverá a ganar en las autonómicas en Aragón según un sondeo del Heraldo". Electómetro (in Spanish). 20 March 2010. Archived from the original on 1 May 2010. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- "El PSOE deberá decidir aliados". Público (in Spanish). 20 March 2010. Archived from the original on 23 March 2010. Retrieved 1 March 2021.
- Other
- "Ley Orgánica 5/2007, de 20 de abril, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Aragón". Organic Law No. 5 of 20 April 2007. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
{{cite book}}:|work=ignored (help) - Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
- "Autonomous Community of Aragon Electoral Law of 1987". Law No. 2 of 12 February 1987. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
{{cite book}}:|work=ignored (help) - Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
- "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
{{cite book}}:|work=ignored (help) - "AragónTV ofrecerá el debate entre Eva Almunia y Luisa Fernanda Rudi". FórmulaTV. 15 May 2011. Retrieved 5 May 2023.
- "76.000 espectadores vieron el debate entre Almunia y Rudi". Heraldo de Aragón. 17 May 2011. Retrieved 5 May 2023.
- "El debate se salda sin propuestas nuevas y sin un claro ganador". El Periódico de Aragón. 21 May 2011. Retrieved 5 May 2023.
- "Cortes of Aragon election results, 22 May 2011" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Aragon. 6 June 2011. Retrieved 26 September 2017.
- "Aragon Electoral Archive. Cortes of Aragon election, 2011. Autonomous Community of Aragon". servicios.aragon.es (in Spanish). Government of Aragon. Retrieved 26 September 2017.
- "Elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 September 2017.
| Elections in Aragon | |
|---|---|
| Regional elections | |
| General elections | |
| European Parliament elections | |
| Local elections | |