2011 Ceuta Assembly election

The Assembly of Ceuta was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta. Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[1][2][3]

The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[1][2][3]

The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.[3]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Ceuta. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[1][2]

Below is a list of the main parties and coalitions which contested the election:

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					Lead
2011 Assembly election	22 May 2011	—	51.4	65.2 18	14.3 4	11.7 3	2.7 0	50.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 1][p 2]	11–14 Apr 2011	300	?	70.1 19/20	9.4 2	13.6 3/4	–	56.5
CIS[p 3][p 4]	13 Apr 2011	300	?	68.9 21	7.0 2	9.4 2	2.0 0	59.5
Sigma Dos/PP[p 5][p 6]	21 Jan 2011	1,000	?	73.0– 74.0 20	? 2	? 3	–	?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 7]	28–29 Dec 2010	300	?	71.4 19/20	9.6 2	13.5 3/4	–	57.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 8]	26–27 May 2010	300	?	74.3 21	9.6 2	8.5 2	–	64.7
Mercociudad/PP[p 9][p 10]	6 May 2010	500	?	? 19	? 3/4	? 2/3	–	?
2009 EP election	7 Jun 2009	—	31.6	59.5 16	–	32.7 9	3.6 0	26.8
2008 general election	9 Mar 2008	—	63.3	55.1 14	–	40.5 11	1.3 0	14.6
2007 Assembly election	27 May 2007	—	60.3	65.2 19	16.4 4	8.7 2	–	48.8

Opinion poll sources

Other