2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky

The 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky

November 3, 2020
Turnout59.7% Increase
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 8 0
Popular vote 1,326,646 772,474
Percentage 62.09% 36.15%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Trump won Kentucky by a 25.9% margin in this election. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. The Bluegrass State has not supported a Democratic nominee since it narrowly supported fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in 1996. Trump's overhaul of Obama-era coal emissions standards helped him win coal-industry households,[3] once again sweeping the historically-Democratic Eastern Kentucky counties. Trump also carried 83% of White evangelical/born-again Christians, per exit polls by the Associated Press.[4]

In addition to Trump's victory in the Commonwealth, Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without winning Elliott County since the county was founded in 1869,[5] as well as only the second Democrat to ever lose Elliott County in a presidential election, preceded only by Hillary Clinton four years earlier. This also marks the second consecutive election in which no county in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield voted Democratic. Furthermore, this is the first time since 1948 that Fayette County, the second-most populous county in the state and home to the city of Lexington, voted to the left of Jefferson County, the most populous county in the state and home to the city of Louisville, in a presidential election.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 19, 2020. On March 16, they were moved to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[6]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[7]

Democratic primary

2020 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary[8]
Candidate Votes  % Delegates[9]
Joe Biden 365,284 67.91 52
Uncommitted 58,364 10.85 2
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 65,055 12.09
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 15,300 2.84
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 9,127 1.70
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 7,267 1.35
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 5,859 1.09
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 5,296 0.98
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 2,656 0.49
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 2,514 0.47
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,183 0.22
Total 537,905 100% 54

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[13] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[14] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[16] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[17] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[18] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[19] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[20] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[21] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[22] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[23] Safe R September 9, 2020

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
270 to Win October 17–20, 2020 November 3, 2020 40.0% 57.0% 3.0% Trump +17.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 39.9% 55.6% 4.5% Trump +15.7
Average 40.0% 56.3% 3.7% Trump +16.4

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 2,009 (LV) ± 3% 59%[lower-alpha 3] 40% -
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 383 (LV) ± 7.4% 55% 42% 4%
Bluegrass Community & Technical College Archived October 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 12–28, 2020 250 (RV) 52% 39% 9%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 3,621 (LV) 56% 42%
Mason-Dixon Oct 12–15, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4% 56% 39% - 1% 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 1,479 (LV) 59% 39% - 1%
Data for Progress (D) Sep 14–19, 2020 807 (LV) ± 3.5% 55%[lower-alpha 4] 35% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 5] 8%
56%[lower-alpha 6] 38% - 6%
Quinnipiac University Sep 10–14, 2020 1,164 (LV) ± 2.9% 58% 38% - 1%[lower-alpha 7] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 1,231 (LV) 60% 38% - 2%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 909 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 41% - 4%[lower-alpha 8] 5%
Morning Consult Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 793 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 35% - 2%[lower-alpha 9] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 1,709 (LV) 62% 37% - 1%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] Jul 25–29, 2020 3,020 (RV) ± 2.0% 52% 45% -
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 2] Jul 11–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 60% 34% - 6%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath Archived July 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 3] Jul 7–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 41% -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 596 (LV) 60% 38% - 2%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath Archived July 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 3] Jun 2020 – (V)[lower-alpha 10] 54% 39% -
Civiqs/Data for Progress Jun 13–15, 2020 898 (RV) ± 3.8% 57% 37% - 5%[lower-alpha 11] 1%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath Archived July 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 3] May 2020 – (V)[lower-alpha 10] 57% 36% -
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits[upper-alpha 4] May 21–24, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.5% 53% 36% - 6%[lower-alpha 12] 5%
Public Policy Polling May 14–15, 2020 1,104 (V) 55% 39% - 5%[lower-alpha 11] 2%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 5] Apr 7–12, 2020[lower-alpha 13] 4,000 (RV) 55% 34% -
Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 41% - 4%
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 37% - 6%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 35% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 41% 13%

Statewide results

2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky[24]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,326,646 62.09% -0.43%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
772,474 36.15% +3.47%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
26,234 1.23% -1.56%
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball
6,483 0.30% N/A
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
3,599 0.17% N/A
Green Howie Hawkins (write-in)
Angela Walker (write-in)
716 0.03% N/A
American Solidarity Brian T. Carroll (write-in)
Amar Patel (write-in)
408 0.02% N/A
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva (write-in)
Sunil Freeman (write-in)
98 <0.01% N/A
Independent Mark Charles (write-in)
Adriane Wallace (write-in)
43 <0.01% N/A
Independent Jade Simmons (write-in)
Claudeliah Roze (write-in)
29 <0.01% N/A
Independent Tom Hoefling (write-in)
Andy Prior (write-in)
20 <0.01% N/A
Independent Shawn Howard (write-in)
Alyssa Howard (write-in)
9 <0.01% N/A
Independent President Boddie (write-in)
Eric Stoneham (write-in)
7 <0.01% N/A
Independent Kasey Wells (write-in)
Rachel Wells (write-in)
1 <0.01% N/A
Independent Timothy Stevens (write-in)
Susan Fletcher (write-in)
1 <0.01% N/A
Independent Mary Simmons (write-in)
Sherri Dow (write-in)
0 0.00% N/A
Total votes 2,136,768 100%

By county

Vote breakdown by county[24]
Trump/Pence
Republican
Biden/Harris
Democratic
Jorgensen/Cohen
Libertarian
West/Tidball
Independent
Pierce/Ballard
Independent
Write-ins Margin Total
County Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes % Votes
Adair7,27682.98%1,39215.88%600.68%250.29%100.11%50.06%5,88467.10%8,768
Allen7,58781.02%1,64217.54%991.06%220.23%140.15%00.00%5,94563.48%9,364
Anderson9,66172.89%3,34825.26%1841.39%340.26%190.14%80.06%6,31347.63%13,254
Ballard3,35679.43%82519.53%320.76%100.24%20.05%00.00%2,53159.90%4,225
Barren14,65473.04%5,12725.55%2011.00%520.26%210.10%90.04%9,52747.49%20,064
Bath3,98670.84%1,57327.95%440.78%120.21%120.21%00.00%2,41342.89%5,627
Bell8,14081.04%1,78917.81%780.78%300.30%70.07%00.00%6,35163.23%10,044
Boone44,81466.89%20,90131.20%9811.46%1710.26%930.14%380.06%23,91335.69%66,998
Bourbon6,19064.16%3,29634.16%1061.10%310.32%200.21%50.05%2,89430.00%9,648
Boyd14,29565.72%7,08332.56%2871.32%550.25%210.10%100.05%7,21233.16%21,751
Boyle8,87261.28%5,29836.59%2101.45%630.44%240.17%110.08%3,57424.69%14,478
Bracken3,39880.03%80018.84%270.64%110.26%80.19%20.05%2,59861.19%4,246
Breathitt4,26575.34%1,30122.98%520.92%310.55%120.21%00.00%2,96452.36%5,661
Breckinridge7,70175.49%2,35023.04%1031.01%240.24%190.19%40.04%5,35152.45%10,201
Bullitt30,70873.12%10,55225.13%5631.34%870.21%550.13%330.08%20,15647.99%41,998
Butler4,96080.98%1,07917.62%631.03%80.13%120.20%30.05%3,88163.36%6,125
Caldwell4,90676.25%1,43322.27%580.90%220.34%90.14%60.09%3,47353.98%6,434
Calloway11,35265.03%5,79733.21%2271.30%440.25%270.15%100.06%5,55531.82%17,457
Campbell28,48258.27%19,37439.64%7631.56%1330.27%820.17%440.09%9,10818.63%48,878
Carlisle2,15981.84%46317.55%150.57%10.04%00.00%00.00%1,69664.29%2,638
Carroll2,95471.42%1,11626.98%441.06%130.31%80.19%10.02%1,83844.44%4,136
Carter8,77575.74%2,64222.80%1070.92%450.39%160.14%10.01%6,13352.94%11,586
Casey6,17986.17%91812.80%530.74%120.17%90.13%00.00%5,26173.37%7,171
Christian15,08063.19%8,29634.77%3481.46%950.40%440.18%00.00%6,78428.42%23,863
Clark11,81165.11%6,00433.10%2261.25%530.29%340.19%110.06%5,80732.01%18,139
Clay6,67787.96%83110.95%400.53%230.30%190.25%10.01%5,84677.01%7,591
Clinton4,28086.78%60312.23%300.61%100.20%90.18%00.00%3,67774.55%4,932
Crittenden3,45181.35%73117.23%471.11%70.17%60.14%00.00%2,72064.12%4,242
Cumberland2,76983.68%50815.35%210.63%70.21%40.12%00.00%2,26168.33%3,309
Daviess31,02562.95%17,28635.07%6701.36%1680.34%960.19%420.09%13,73927.88%49,287
Edmonson4,82878.73%1,22720.01%600.98%100.16%60.10%10.02%3,60158.72%6,132
Elliott2,24674.99%71223.77%180.60%90.30%100.33%00.00%1,53451.22%2,995
Estill5,10077.98%1,35520.72%640.98%160.24%30.05%20.03%3,74557.26%6,540
Fayette58,86038.49%90,60059.25%2,3831.56%5620.37%3090.20%1980.12%-31,740-20.76%152,912
Fleming5,53478.30%1,47420.85%370.52%160.23%50.07%20.03%4,06057.45%7,068
Floyd12,25074.91%3,88423.75%1110.68%690.42%370.23%20.01%8,36651.16%16,353
Franklin12,90049.48%12,65248.53%3651.40%890.34%550.21%110.04%2480.95%26,072
Fulton1,60666.20%79432.73%180.74%20.08%50.21%10.04%81233.47%2,426
Gallatin2,95576.77%82221.36%581.51%30.08%110.29%00.00%2,13355.41%3,849
Garrard6,75477.58%1,83021.02%860.99%250.29%80.09%30.03%4,92456.56%8,706
Grant8,72578.55%2,20519.85%1391.25%200.18%170.15%20.02%6,52058.70%11,108
Graves13,20677.60%3,56020.92%1871.10%360.21%300.18%00.00%9,64656.68%17,019
Grayson9,45378.87%2,40020.03%850.71%330.28%120.10%20.02%7,05358.84%11,985
Green4,83883.24%92015.83%290.50%180.31%70.12%00.00%3,91867.41%5,812
Greenup13,06471.88%4,87326.81%1780.98%280.15%330.18%00.00%8,19145.07%18,176
Hancock3,14568.56%1,35129.45%671.46%140.31%100.22%00.00%1,79439.11%4,587
Hardin29,83260.96%18,10136.99%7531.54%1510.31%1040.21%00.00%11,73123.97%48,941
Harlan9,36785.38%1,49413.62%810.74%160.15%130.12%00.00%7,87371.76%10,971
Harrison6,33471.50%2,40027.09%850.96%140.16%200.23%60.07%3,93444.41%8,859
Hart6,34575.82%1,90822.80%760.91%220.26%180.22%10.00%4,43753.02%8,370
Henderson12,73061.51%7,63936.91%2441.18%500.24%250.12%90.04%5,09124.60%20,697
Henry5,84372.05%2,14226.41%861.06%190.23%170.21%30.04%3,70145.64%8,110
Hickman1,71477.94%45820.83%210.95%20.09%40.18%00.00%1,25657.11%2,199
Hopkins15,75773.25%5,43925.28%2261.05%630.29%240.11%30.01%10,31847.97%21,512
Jackson5,45389.20%6059.90%330.54%150.25%70.11%00.00%4,84879.30%6,113
Jefferson150,64638.96%228,35859.06%4,7821.24%1,6600.43%7490.19%4340.11%-77,712-20.10%386,629
Jessamine17,09665.05%8,56732.60%4471.70%920.35%490.19%290.11%8,52932.45%26,280
Johnson8,45082.91%1,60815.78%770.76%310.30%260.26%00.00%6,84267.13%10,192
Kenton48,12958.55%32,27139.26%1,3601.65%2250.27%1350.16%780.09%15,85819.29%82,198
Knott4,78076.46%1,41222.58%280.45%150.24%170.27%00.00%3,36853.88%6,252
Knox11,01282.97%2,11415.93%1090.82%320.24%60.05%00.00%8,89867.04%13,273
Larue5,68577.87%1,50420.60%861.18%190.26%70.10%00.00%4,18157.27%7,301
Laurel23,23782.66%4,47515.92%2821.00%550.20%520.18%100.04%18,76266.74%28,111
Lawrence5,63380.99%1,23817.80%500.72%200.29%140.20%00.00%4,39563.19%6,955
Lee2,27381.15%48117.17%281.00%70.25%120.43%00.00%1,79263.98%2,801
Leslie4,32189.78%4469.27%230.48%120.25%90.19%20.04%3,87580.51%4,813
Letcher7,22679.10%1,79919.69%690.76%280.31%130.14%00.00%5,42759.41%9,135
Lewis4,98684.75%82313.99%611.04%60.10%70.12%00.00%4,16370.76%5,883
Lincoln8,48977.78%2,25420.65%1291.18%230.21%180.16%10.01%7,23557.13%10,914
Livingston4,01080.14%93918.76%440.88%60.12%40.08%10.02%3,07161.38%5,004
Logan9,06773.42%3,09425.05%1451.17%220.18%180.15%40.03%5,97348.37%12,350
Lyon3,10073.32%1,09225.83%250.59%70.17%40.09%00.00%2,00847.49%4,228
Madison27,35662.23%15,58135.45%7301.66%1400.32%1040.24%460.10%11,77526.78%43,957
Magoffin4,17476.63%1,21422.29%400.73%100.18%90.17%00.00%2,96054.34%5,447
Marion6,11368.47%2,72230.49%550.62%240.27%140.16%00.00%3,39137.98%8,928
Marshall13,29775.54%4,07123.13%1650.94%440.25%240.14%20.01%9,22652.41%17,603
Martin3,49688.96%40310.25%170.43%80.20%60.15%60.00%3,09378.71%3,936
Mason5,47768.82%2,36229.68%851.07%190.24%150.19%00.00%3,11539.14%7,958
McCracken21,82065.04%11,19533.37%3761.12%920.27%430.13%230.07%10,62531.67%33,549
McCreary5,66487.98%72511.26%340.53%80.12%40.06%30.05%4,93976.72%6,438
McLean3,63375.97%1,07422.46%561.17%110.23%80.17%00.00%2,55953.51%4,782
Meade10,18572.17%3,63225.74%2351.67%330.23%260.18%20.01%6,55346.43%14,113
Menifee2,31174.50%75024.18%240.77%120.39%50.16%00.00%1,56150.32%3,102
Mercer8,50672.48%3,03325.85%1401.19%400.34%160.14%00.00%5,47346.63%11,735
Metcalfe3,95978.99%97519.45%561.12%120.24%100.20%00.00%2,98459.54%5,012
Monroe4,62886.83%65712.33%300.56%100.19%50.09%00.00%3,97174.50%5,330
Montgomery8,99370.03%3,63028.27%1541.20%410.32%190.15%50.04%5,36341.76%12,842
Morgan4,30177.58%1,17521.19%270.49%210.38%180.32%20.04%3,12656.39%5,544
Muhlenberg10,49773.76%3,54524.91%1380.94%340.24%170.12%40.03%6,95248.85%14,235
Nelson15,70367.52%7,18830.91%2681.15%450.19%410.18%110.05%8,51536.61%23,256
Nicholas2,40870.91%95528.12%270.80%30.09%30.09%00.00%1,45342.79%3,396
Ohio8,58277.11%2,40421.60%990.89%290.26%130.12%20.02%6,17855.51%11,129
Oldham22,65459.65%14,50538.20%6011.58%1130.30%670.18%360.09%8,14921.45%37,976
Owen4,29278.64%1,09820.12%460.84%100.18%100.18%20.04%3,19458.52%5,458
Owsley1,67188.13%21611.39%60.32%30.16%00.00%00.00%1,45576.74%1,896
Pendleton5,51579.64%1,32219.09%560.81%180.26%140.20%00.00%4,19360.55%6,925
Perry8,12976.50%2,35622.17%1000.94%290.27%120.11%00.00%5,77354.33%10,626
Pike20,28479.87%4,86619.16%1540.61%470.19%260.10%180.07%15,41860.71%25,395
Powell4,04173.41%1,36724.83%671.22%160.29%140.25%00.00%2,67448.58%5,505
Pulaski25,44280.62%5,66617.95%3231.02%780.25%310.10%170.05%19,77662.67%31,557
Robertson88477.14%25322.08%60.52%20.17%10.09%00.00%63155.06%1,146
Rockcastle6,57784.49%1,13414.57%560.72%130.17%30.04%10.01%5,44369.92%7,784
Rowan5,99459.55%3,88038.55%1371.36%310.31%160.16%70.07%2,11421.00%10,065
Russell7,51983.96%1,33114.86%840.94%110.12%90.10%10.01%6,18869.10%8,955
Scott17,76761.33%10,56736.48%4801.66%900.31%520.18%130.04%7,20024.85%28,969
Shelby15,05563.93%8,07734.30%3021.28%730.31%380.16%50.02%6,97829.63%23,550
Simpson5,88867.43%2,68130.70%1281.47%170.19%180.21%00.00%3,20736.73%8,732
Spencer8,73776.42%2,53022.13%1241.08%210.18%170.15%40.03%6,20754.29%11,433
Taylor9,37674.91%2,96323.67%1190.95%350.28%190.15%50.04%6,41351.24%12,517
Todd4,06275.74%1,20522.47%601.12%190.35%120.22%50.09%2,85753.27%5,363
Trigg5,48774.39%1,79124.28%751.02%80.11%140.19%10.01%3,69650.11%7,376
Trimble3,22774.70%1,01223.43%601.39%100.23%100.23%10.02%2,21551.27%4,320
Union4,96575.49%1,52923.25%671.02%90.14%60.09%10.02%3,43652.24%6,577
Warren31,79157.38%22,47940.58%8231.49%1840.33%770.14%470.08%9,31216.80%55,401
Washington4,48272.00%1,64426.41%721.16%110.18%140.22%20.03%3,83845.59%6,225
Wayne7,43080.41%1,70018.40%690.75%290.31%120.13%00.00%5,73062.01%9,240
Webster4,50675.19%1,41223.56%540.90%160.27%30.05%20.03%3,09451.63%5,993
Whitley12,56781.84%2,55216.62%1771.15%340.22%170.11%90.06%10,01565.22%15,356
Wolfe2,09770.39%83928.16%210.70%90.30%130.44%00.00%1,25842.23%2,979
Woodford8,36254.97%6,53042.93%2371.56%500.33%320.21%00.00%1,83212.04%15,211
Total 1,326,646 62.09% 772,474 36.15% 26,234 1.23% 6,483 0.30% 3,599 0.17% 1,332 0.06% 554,172 25.94% 2,136,768

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[25]

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 73.1% 25.5% James Comer
2nd 67.6% 30.6% Brett Guthrie
3rd 38.1% 60.0% John Yarmuth
4th 64.8% 33.4% Thomas Massie
5th 80.2% 18.6% Hal Rogers
6th 53.6% 44.5% Andy Barr

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. Standard VI response
  5. Hawkins (G) with 1%
  6. If only Trump and Biden were candidates
  7. "Someone else" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  9. "Someone else" with 2%
  10. Not yet released
  11. "Someone else" with 5%
  12. "Some other candidate" with 6%
  13. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
Partisan clients
  1. This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period
  2. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  3. Poll sponsored by Amy McGrath's campaign
  4. U.S. Term Limits is a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
  5. This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. Dennis, Brady; Eilperin, Juliet. "Trump administration rolls back Obama-era rule aimed at limiting toxic wastewater from coal plants". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  4. "Kentucky Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  5. "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 27, 2020.
  6. "Kentucky secretary of state says primary postponed". CNN. March 16, 2020.
  7. "Kentucky Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  8. "Official 2020 PRIMARY ELECTION Results" (PDF). Commonwealth of Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved October 13, 2020.
  9. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  10. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  16. David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  17. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  18. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  19. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  20. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  21. Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  22. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  23. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  24. "November 3, 2020 Official 2020 General Election Results" (PDF). p. 6. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  25. Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.

Further reading

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