2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky

2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky
	November 3, 2020
Turnout	59.7%
President before election; Donald Trump; Republican	Elected President ; Joe Biden; Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Trump won Kentucky by a 25.9% margin in this election. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. The Bluegrass State has not supported a Democratic nominee since it narrowly supported fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in 1996. Trump's overhaul of Obama-era coal emissions standards helped him win coal-industry households,[3] once again sweeping the historically-Democratic Eastern Kentucky counties. Trump also carried 83% of White evangelical/born-again Christians, per exit polls by the Associated Press.[4]

In addition to Trump's victory in the Commonwealth, Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without winning Elliott County since the county was founded in 1869,[5] as well as only the second Democrat to ever lose Elliott County in a presidential election, preceded only by Hillary Clinton four years earlier. This also marks the second consecutive election in which no county in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield voted Democratic. Furthermore, this is the first time since 1948 that Fayette County, the second-most populous county in the state and home to the city of Lexington, voted to the left of Jefferson County, the most populous county in the state and home to the city of Louisville, in a presidential election.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 19, 2020. On March 16, they were moved to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[6]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[7]

Democratic primary

2020 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary[8]
Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates[9]
Joe Biden	365,284	67.91	52
Uncommitted	58,364	10.85	2
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)	65,055	12.09
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)	15,300	2.84
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)	9,127	1.70
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)	7,267	1.35
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)	5,859	1.09
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)	5,296	0.98
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)	2,656	0.49
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)	2,514	0.47
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)	1,183	0.22
Total	537,905	100%	54

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]	Safe R	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[11]	Safe R	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]	Safe R	July 14, 2020
Politico[13]	Safe R	September 8, 2020
RCP[14]	Safe R	August 3, 2020
Niskanen[15]	Safe R	July 26, 2020
CNN[16]	Safe R	August 3, 2020
The Economist[17]	Safe R	September 2, 2020
CBS News[18]	Likely R	August 16, 2020
270towin[19]	Safe R	August 2, 2020
ABC News[20]	Safe R	July 31, 2020
NPR[21]	Likely R	August 3, 2020
NBC News[22]	Safe R	August 6, 2020
538[23]	Safe R	September 9, 2020

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls


Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
270 to Win	October 17–20, 2020	November 3, 2020	40.0%	57.0%	3.0%	Trump +17.0
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	39.9%	55.6%	4.5%	Trump +15.7
Average			40.0%	56.3%	3.7%	Trump +16.4

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	2,009 (LV)	± 3%	59%[lower-alpha 3]	40%	-	–	–
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020	383 (LV)	± 7.4%	55%	42%	4%	–	–
Bluegrass Community & Technical College Archived October 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Oct 12–28, 2020	250 (RV)	–	52%	39%	–	–	9%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	3,621 (LV)	–	56%	42%	–	–	–
Mason-Dixon	Oct 12–15, 2020	625 (LV)	± 4%	56%	39%	-	1%	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	1,479 (LV)	–	59%	39%	-	–	1%
Data for Progress (D)	Sep 14–19, 2020	807 (LV)	± 3.5%	55%[lower-alpha 4]	35%	1%	1%[lower-alpha 5]	8%
Data for Progress (D)	Sep 14–19, 2020	807 (LV)	± 3.5%	56%[lower-alpha 6]	38%	-	–	6%
Quinnipiac University	Sep 10–14, 2020	1,164 (LV)	± 2.9%	58%	38%	-	1%[lower-alpha 7]	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	1,231 (LV)	–	60%	38%	-	–	2%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020	909 (RV)	± 3.3%	50%	41%	-	4%[lower-alpha 8]	5%
Morning Consult	Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020	793 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	35%	-	2%[lower-alpha 9]	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	1,709 (LV)	–	62%	37%	-	–	1%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1]	Jul 25–29, 2020	3,020 (RV)	± 2.0%	52%	45%	-	–	–
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 2]	Jul 11–16, 2020	600 (LV)	± 3.7%	60%	34%	-	–	6%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath Archived July 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 3]	Jul 7–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	53%	41%	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	596 (LV)	–	60%	38%	-	–	2%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath Archived July 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 3]	Jun 2020	– (V)[lower-alpha 10]	–	54%	39%	-	–	–
Civiqs/Data for Progress	Jun 13–15, 2020	898 (RV)	± 3.8%	57%	37%	-	5%[lower-alpha 11]	1%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath Archived July 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 3]	May 2020	– (V)[lower-alpha 10]	–	57%	36%	-	–	–
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits[upper-alpha 4]	May 21–24, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.5%	53%	36%	-	6%[lower-alpha 12]	5%
Public Policy Polling	May 14–15, 2020	1,104 (V)	–	55%	39%	-	5%[lower-alpha 11]	2%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 5]	Apr 7–12, 2020[lower-alpha 13]	4,000 (RV)	–	55%	34%	-	–	–
Fabrizio Ward/AARP	Jul 29–31, 2019	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	41%	-	–	4%
Gravis Marketing	Jun 11–12, 2019	741 (LV)	± 3.6%	57%	37%	-	–	6%

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Pete Buttigieg (D)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	Jun 11–12, 2019	741 (LV)	± 3.6%	60%	28%	12%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	Jun 11–12, 2019	741 (LV)	± 3.6%	57%	35%	8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	Jun 11–12, 2019	741 (LV)	± 3.6%	60%	28%	12%
Zogby Analytics	Aug 17–23, 2017	402 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	41%	13%

Statewide results

2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky[24]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump Mike Pence	1,326,646	62.09%	-0.43%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	772,474	36.15%	+3.47%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	26,234	1.23%	-1.56%
	Independent	Kanye West Michelle Tidball	6,483	0.30%	N/A
	Independent	Brock Pierce Karla Ballard	3,599	0.17%	N/A
	Green	Howie Hawkins (write-in) Angela Walker (write-in)	716	0.03%	N/A
	American Solidarity	Brian T. Carroll (write-in) Amar Patel (write-in)	408	0.02%	N/A
	Socialism and Liberation	Gloria La Riva (write-in) Sunil Freeman (write-in)	98	<0.01%	N/A
	Independent	Mark Charles (write-in) Adriane Wallace (write-in)	43	<0.01%	N/A
	Independent	Jade Simmons (write-in) Claudeliah Roze (write-in)	29	<0.01%	N/A
	Independent	Tom Hoefling (write-in) Andy Prior (write-in)	20	<0.01%	N/A
	Independent	Shawn Howard (write-in) Alyssa Howard (write-in)	9	<0.01%	N/A
	Independent	President Boddie (write-in) Eric Stoneham (write-in)	7	<0.01%	N/A
	Independent	Kasey Wells (write-in) Rachel Wells (write-in)	1	<0.01%	N/A
	Independent	Timothy Stevens (write-in) Susan Fletcher (write-in)	1	<0.01%	N/A
	Independent	Mary Simmons (write-in) Sherri Dow (write-in)	0	0.00%	N/A
Total votes			2,136,768	100%

By county

Vote breakdown by county[24]
	Trump/Pence Republican		Biden/Harris Democratic		Jorgensen/Cohen Libertarian		West/Tidball Independent		Pierce/Ballard Independent		Write-ins		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes
Adair	7,276	82.98%	1,392	15.88%	60	0.68%	25	0.29%	10	0.11%	5	0.06%	5,884	67.10%	8,768
Allen	7,587	81.02%	1,642	17.54%	99	1.06%	22	0.23%	14	0.15%	0	0.00%	5,945	63.48%	9,364
Anderson	9,661	72.89%	3,348	25.26%	184	1.39%	34	0.26%	19	0.14%	8	0.06%	6,313	47.63%	13,254
Ballard	3,356	79.43%	825	19.53%	32	0.76%	10	0.24%	2	0.05%	0	0.00%	2,531	59.90%	4,225
Barren	14,654	73.04%	5,127	25.55%	201	1.00%	52	0.26%	21	0.10%	9	0.04%	9,527	47.49%	20,064
Bath	3,986	70.84%	1,573	27.95%	44	0.78%	12	0.21%	12	0.21%	0	0.00%	2,413	42.89%	5,627
Bell	8,140	81.04%	1,789	17.81%	78	0.78%	30	0.30%	7	0.07%	0	0.00%	6,351	63.23%	10,044
Boone	44,814	66.89%	20,901	31.20%	981	1.46%	171	0.26%	93	0.14%	38	0.06%	23,913	35.69%	66,998
Bourbon	6,190	64.16%	3,296	34.16%	106	1.10%	31	0.32%	20	0.21%	5	0.05%	2,894	30.00%	9,648
Boyd	14,295	65.72%	7,083	32.56%	287	1.32%	55	0.25%	21	0.10%	10	0.05%	7,212	33.16%	21,751
Boyle	8,872	61.28%	5,298	36.59%	210	1.45%	63	0.44%	24	0.17%	11	0.08%	3,574	24.69%	14,478
Bracken	3,398	80.03%	800	18.84%	27	0.64%	11	0.26%	8	0.19%	2	0.05%	2,598	61.19%	4,246
Breathitt	4,265	75.34%	1,301	22.98%	52	0.92%	31	0.55%	12	0.21%	0	0.00%	2,964	52.36%	5,661
Breckinridge	7,701	75.49%	2,350	23.04%	103	1.01%	24	0.24%	19	0.19%	4	0.04%	5,351	52.45%	10,201
Bullitt	30,708	73.12%	10,552	25.13%	563	1.34%	87	0.21%	55	0.13%	33	0.08%	20,156	47.99%	41,998
Butler	4,960	80.98%	1,079	17.62%	63	1.03%	8	0.13%	12	0.20%	3	0.05%	3,881	63.36%	6,125
Caldwell	4,906	76.25%	1,433	22.27%	58	0.90%	22	0.34%	9	0.14%	6	0.09%	3,473	53.98%	6,434
Calloway	11,352	65.03%	5,797	33.21%	227	1.30%	44	0.25%	27	0.15%	10	0.06%	5,555	31.82%	17,457
Campbell	28,482	58.27%	19,374	39.64%	763	1.56%	133	0.27%	82	0.17%	44	0.09%	9,108	18.63%	48,878
Carlisle	2,159	81.84%	463	17.55%	15	0.57%	1	0.04%	0	0.00%	0	0.00%	1,696	64.29%	2,638
Carroll	2,954	71.42%	1,116	26.98%	44	1.06%	13	0.31%	8	0.19%	1	0.02%	1,838	44.44%	4,136
Carter	8,775	75.74%	2,642	22.80%	107	0.92%	45	0.39%	16	0.14%	1	0.01%	6,133	52.94%	11,586
Casey	6,179	86.17%	918	12.80%	53	0.74%	12	0.17%	9	0.13%	0	0.00%	5,261	73.37%	7,171
Christian	15,080	63.19%	8,296	34.77%	348	1.46%	95	0.40%	44	0.18%	0	0.00%	6,784	28.42%	23,863
Clark	11,811	65.11%	6,004	33.10%	226	1.25%	53	0.29%	34	0.19%	11	0.06%	5,807	32.01%	18,139
Clay	6,677	87.96%	831	10.95%	40	0.53%	23	0.30%	19	0.25%	1	0.01%	5,846	77.01%	7,591
Clinton	4,280	86.78%	603	12.23%	30	0.61%	10	0.20%	9	0.18%	0	0.00%	3,677	74.55%	4,932
Crittenden	3,451	81.35%	731	17.23%	47	1.11%	7	0.17%	6	0.14%	0	0.00%	2,720	64.12%	4,242
Cumberland	2,769	83.68%	508	15.35%	21	0.63%	7	0.21%	4	0.12%	0	0.00%	2,261	68.33%	3,309
Daviess	31,025	62.95%	17,286	35.07%	670	1.36%	168	0.34%	96	0.19%	42	0.09%	13,739	27.88%	49,287
Edmonson	4,828	78.73%	1,227	20.01%	60	0.98%	10	0.16%	6	0.10%	1	0.02%	3,601	58.72%	6,132
Elliott	2,246	74.99%	712	23.77%	18	0.60%	9	0.30%	10	0.33%	0	0.00%	1,534	51.22%	2,995
Estill	5,100	77.98%	1,355	20.72%	64	0.98%	16	0.24%	3	0.05%	2	0.03%	3,745	57.26%	6,540
Fayette	58,860	38.49%	90,600	59.25%	2,383	1.56%	562	0.37%	309	0.20%	198	0.12%	-31,740	-20.76%	152,912
Fleming	5,534	78.30%	1,474	20.85%	37	0.52%	16	0.23%	5	0.07%	2	0.03%	4,060	57.45%	7,068
Floyd	12,250	74.91%	3,884	23.75%	111	0.68%	69	0.42%	37	0.23%	2	0.01%	8,366	51.16%	16,353
Franklin	12,900	49.48%	12,652	48.53%	365	1.40%	89	0.34%	55	0.21%	11	0.04%	248	0.95%	26,072
Fulton	1,606	66.20%	794	32.73%	18	0.74%	2	0.08%	5	0.21%	1	0.04%	812	33.47%	2,426
Gallatin	2,955	76.77%	822	21.36%	58	1.51%	3	0.08%	11	0.29%	0	0.00%	2,133	55.41%	3,849
Garrard	6,754	77.58%	1,830	21.02%	86	0.99%	25	0.29%	8	0.09%	3	0.03%	4,924	56.56%	8,706
Grant	8,725	78.55%	2,205	19.85%	139	1.25%	20	0.18%	17	0.15%	2	0.02%	6,520	58.70%	11,108
Graves	13,206	77.60%	3,560	20.92%	187	1.10%	36	0.21%	30	0.18%	0	0.00%	9,646	56.68%	17,019
Grayson	9,453	78.87%	2,400	20.03%	85	0.71%	33	0.28%	12	0.10%	2	0.02%	7,053	58.84%	11,985
Green	4,838	83.24%	920	15.83%	29	0.50%	18	0.31%	7	0.12%	0	0.00%	3,918	67.41%	5,812
Greenup	13,064	71.88%	4,873	26.81%	178	0.98%	28	0.15%	33	0.18%	0	0.00%	8,191	45.07%	18,176
Hancock	3,145	68.56%	1,351	29.45%	67	1.46%	14	0.31%	10	0.22%	0	0.00%	1,794	39.11%	4,587
Hardin	29,832	60.96%	18,101	36.99%	753	1.54%	151	0.31%	104	0.21%	0	0.00%	11,731	23.97%	48,941
Harlan	9,367	85.38%	1,494	13.62%	81	0.74%	16	0.15%	13	0.12%	0	0.00%	7,873	71.76%	10,971
Harrison	6,334	71.50%	2,400	27.09%	85	0.96%	14	0.16%	20	0.23%	6	0.07%	3,934	44.41%	8,859
Hart	6,345	75.82%	1,908	22.80%	76	0.91%	22	0.26%	18	0.22%	1	0.00%	4,437	53.02%	8,370
Henderson	12,730	61.51%	7,639	36.91%	244	1.18%	50	0.24%	25	0.12%	9	0.04%	5,091	24.60%	20,697
Henry	5,843	72.05%	2,142	26.41%	86	1.06%	19	0.23%	17	0.21%	3	0.04%	3,701	45.64%	8,110
Hickman	1,714	77.94%	458	20.83%	21	0.95%	2	0.09%	4	0.18%	0	0.00%	1,256	57.11%	2,199
Hopkins	15,757	73.25%	5,439	25.28%	226	1.05%	63	0.29%	24	0.11%	3	0.01%	10,318	47.97%	21,512
Jackson	5,453	89.20%	605	9.90%	33	0.54%	15	0.25%	7	0.11%	0	0.00%	4,848	79.30%	6,113
Jefferson	150,646	38.96%	228,358	59.06%	4,782	1.24%	1,660	0.43%	749	0.19%	434	0.11%	-77,712	-20.10%	386,629
Jessamine	17,096	65.05%	8,567	32.60%	447	1.70%	92	0.35%	49	0.19%	29	0.11%	8,529	32.45%	26,280
Johnson	8,450	82.91%	1,608	15.78%	77	0.76%	31	0.30%	26	0.26%	0	0.00%	6,842	67.13%	10,192
Kenton	48,129	58.55%	32,271	39.26%	1,360	1.65%	225	0.27%	135	0.16%	78	0.09%	15,858	19.29%	82,198
Knott	4,780	76.46%	1,412	22.58%	28	0.45%	15	0.24%	17	0.27%	0	0.00%	3,368	53.88%	6,252
Knox	11,012	82.97%	2,114	15.93%	109	0.82%	32	0.24%	6	0.05%	0	0.00%	8,898	67.04%	13,273
Larue	5,685	77.87%	1,504	20.60%	86	1.18%	19	0.26%	7	0.10%	0	0.00%	4,181	57.27%	7,301
Laurel	23,237	82.66%	4,475	15.92%	282	1.00%	55	0.20%	52	0.18%	10	0.04%	18,762	66.74%	28,111
Lawrence	5,633	80.99%	1,238	17.80%	50	0.72%	20	0.29%	14	0.20%	0	0.00%	4,395	63.19%	6,955
Lee	2,273	81.15%	481	17.17%	28	1.00%	7	0.25%	12	0.43%	0	0.00%	1,792	63.98%	2,801
Leslie	4,321	89.78%	446	9.27%	23	0.48%	12	0.25%	9	0.19%	2	0.04%	3,875	80.51%	4,813
Letcher	7,226	79.10%	1,799	19.69%	69	0.76%	28	0.31%	13	0.14%	0	0.00%	5,427	59.41%	9,135
Lewis	4,986	84.75%	823	13.99%	61	1.04%	6	0.10%	7	0.12%	0	0.00%	4,163	70.76%	5,883
Lincoln	8,489	77.78%	2,254	20.65%	129	1.18%	23	0.21%	18	0.16%	1	0.01%	7,235	57.13%	10,914
Livingston	4,010	80.14%	939	18.76%	44	0.88%	6	0.12%	4	0.08%	1	0.02%	3,071	61.38%	5,004
Logan	9,067	73.42%	3,094	25.05%	145	1.17%	22	0.18%	18	0.15%	4	0.03%	5,973	48.37%	12,350
Lyon	3,100	73.32%	1,092	25.83%	25	0.59%	7	0.17%	4	0.09%	0	0.00%	2,008	47.49%	4,228
Madison	27,356	62.23%	15,581	35.45%	730	1.66%	140	0.32%	104	0.24%	46	0.10%	11,775	26.78%	43,957
Magoffin	4,174	76.63%	1,214	22.29%	40	0.73%	10	0.18%	9	0.17%	0	0.00%	2,960	54.34%	5,447
Marion	6,113	68.47%	2,722	30.49%	55	0.62%	24	0.27%	14	0.16%	0	0.00%	3,391	37.98%	8,928
Marshall	13,297	75.54%	4,071	23.13%	165	0.94%	44	0.25%	24	0.14%	2	0.01%	9,226	52.41%	17,603
Martin	3,496	88.96%	403	10.25%	17	0.43%	8	0.20%	6	0.15%	6	0.00%	3,093	78.71%	3,936
Mason	5,477	68.82%	2,362	29.68%	85	1.07%	19	0.24%	15	0.19%	0	0.00%	3,115	39.14%	7,958
McCracken	21,820	65.04%	11,195	33.37%	376	1.12%	92	0.27%	43	0.13%	23	0.07%	10,625	31.67%	33,549
McCreary	5,664	87.98%	725	11.26%	34	0.53%	8	0.12%	4	0.06%	3	0.05%	4,939	76.72%	6,438
McLean	3,633	75.97%	1,074	22.46%	56	1.17%	11	0.23%	8	0.17%	0	0.00%	2,559	53.51%	4,782
Meade	10,185	72.17%	3,632	25.74%	235	1.67%	33	0.23%	26	0.18%	2	0.01%	6,553	46.43%	14,113
Menifee	2,311	74.50%	750	24.18%	24	0.77%	12	0.39%	5	0.16%	0	0.00%	1,561	50.32%	3,102
Mercer	8,506	72.48%	3,033	25.85%	140	1.19%	40	0.34%	16	0.14%	0	0.00%	5,473	46.63%	11,735
Metcalfe	3,959	78.99%	975	19.45%	56	1.12%	12	0.24%	10	0.20%	0	0.00%	2,984	59.54%	5,012
Monroe	4,628	86.83%	657	12.33%	30	0.56%	10	0.19%	5	0.09%	0	0.00%	3,971	74.50%	5,330
Montgomery	8,993	70.03%	3,630	28.27%	154	1.20%	41	0.32%	19	0.15%	5	0.04%	5,363	41.76%	12,842
Morgan	4,301	77.58%	1,175	21.19%	27	0.49%	21	0.38%	18	0.32%	2	0.04%	3,126	56.39%	5,544
Muhlenberg	10,497	73.76%	3,545	24.91%	138	0.94%	34	0.24%	17	0.12%	4	0.03%	6,952	48.85%	14,235
Nelson	15,703	67.52%	7,188	30.91%	268	1.15%	45	0.19%	41	0.18%	11	0.05%	8,515	36.61%	23,256
Nicholas	2,408	70.91%	955	28.12%	27	0.80%	3	0.09%	3	0.09%	0	0.00%	1,453	42.79%	3,396
Ohio	8,582	77.11%	2,404	21.60%	99	0.89%	29	0.26%	13	0.12%	2	0.02%	6,178	55.51%	11,129
Oldham	22,654	59.65%	14,505	38.20%	601	1.58%	113	0.30%	67	0.18%	36	0.09%	8,149	21.45%	37,976
Owen	4,292	78.64%	1,098	20.12%	46	0.84%	10	0.18%	10	0.18%	2	0.04%	3,194	58.52%	5,458
Owsley	1,671	88.13%	216	11.39%	6	0.32%	3	0.16%	0	0.00%	0	0.00%	1,455	76.74%	1,896
Pendleton	5,515	79.64%	1,322	19.09%	56	0.81%	18	0.26%	14	0.20%	0	0.00%	4,193	60.55%	6,925
Perry	8,129	76.50%	2,356	22.17%	100	0.94%	29	0.27%	12	0.11%	0	0.00%	5,773	54.33%	10,626
Pike	20,284	79.87%	4,866	19.16%	154	0.61%	47	0.19%	26	0.10%	18	0.07%	15,418	60.71%	25,395
Powell	4,041	73.41%	1,367	24.83%	67	1.22%	16	0.29%	14	0.25%	0	0.00%	2,674	48.58%	5,505
Pulaski	25,442	80.62%	5,666	17.95%	323	1.02%	78	0.25%	31	0.10%	17	0.05%	19,776	62.67%	31,557
Robertson	884	77.14%	253	22.08%	6	0.52%	2	0.17%	1	0.09%	0	0.00%	631	55.06%	1,146
Rockcastle	6,577	84.49%	1,134	14.57%	56	0.72%	13	0.17%	3	0.04%	1	0.01%	5,443	69.92%	7,784
Rowan	5,994	59.55%	3,880	38.55%	137	1.36%	31	0.31%	16	0.16%	7	0.07%	2,114	21.00%	10,065
Russell	7,519	83.96%	1,331	14.86%	84	0.94%	11	0.12%	9	0.10%	1	0.01%	6,188	69.10%	8,955
Scott	17,767	61.33%	10,567	36.48%	480	1.66%	90	0.31%	52	0.18%	13	0.04%	7,200	24.85%	28,969
Shelby	15,055	63.93%	8,077	34.30%	302	1.28%	73	0.31%	38	0.16%	5	0.02%	6,978	29.63%	23,550
Simpson	5,888	67.43%	2,681	30.70%	128	1.47%	17	0.19%	18	0.21%	0	0.00%	3,207	36.73%	8,732
Spencer	8,737	76.42%	2,530	22.13%	124	1.08%	21	0.18%	17	0.15%	4	0.03%	6,207	54.29%	11,433
Taylor	9,376	74.91%	2,963	23.67%	119	0.95%	35	0.28%	19	0.15%	5	0.04%	6,413	51.24%	12,517
Todd	4,062	75.74%	1,205	22.47%	60	1.12%	19	0.35%	12	0.22%	5	0.09%	2,857	53.27%	5,363
Trigg	5,487	74.39%	1,791	24.28%	75	1.02%	8	0.11%	14	0.19%	1	0.01%	3,696	50.11%	7,376
Trimble	3,227	74.70%	1,012	23.43%	60	1.39%	10	0.23%	10	0.23%	1	0.02%	2,215	51.27%	4,320
Union	4,965	75.49%	1,529	23.25%	67	1.02%	9	0.14%	6	0.09%	1	0.02%	3,436	52.24%	6,577
Warren	31,791	57.38%	22,479	40.58%	823	1.49%	184	0.33%	77	0.14%	47	0.08%	9,312	16.80%	55,401
Washington	4,482	72.00%	1,644	26.41%	72	1.16%	11	0.18%	14	0.22%	2	0.03%	3,838	45.59%	6,225
Wayne	7,430	80.41%	1,700	18.40%	69	0.75%	29	0.31%	12	0.13%	0	0.00%	5,730	62.01%	9,240
Webster	4,506	75.19%	1,412	23.56%	54	0.90%	16	0.27%	3	0.05%	2	0.03%	3,094	51.63%	5,993
Whitley	12,567	81.84%	2,552	16.62%	177	1.15%	34	0.22%	17	0.11%	9	0.06%	10,015	65.22%	15,356
Wolfe	2,097	70.39%	839	28.16%	21	0.70%	9	0.30%	13	0.44%	0	0.00%	1,258	42.23%	2,979
Woodford	8,362	54.97%	6,530	42.93%	237	1.56%	50	0.33%	32	0.21%	0	0.00%	1,832	12.04%	15,211
Total	1,326,646	62.09%	772,474	36.15%	26,234	1.23%	6,483	0.30%	3,599	0.17%	1,332	0.06%	554,172	25.94%	2,136,768

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[25]

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
1st	73.1%	25.5%	James Comer
2nd	67.6%	30.6%	Brett Guthrie
3rd	38.1%	60.0%	John Yarmuth
4th	64.8%	33.4%	Thomas Massie
5th	80.2%	18.6%	Hal Rogers
6th	53.6%	44.5%	Andy Barr

Notes

Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
Standard VI response
Hawkins (G) with 1%
If only Trump and Biden were candidates
"Someone else" with 1%
"Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
"Someone else" with 2%
Not yet released
"Someone else" with 5%
"Some other candidate" with 6%
Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

Partisan clients

This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period
This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
Poll sponsored by Amy McGrath's campaign
U.S. Term Limits is a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period

References

Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
"Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
Dennis, Brady; Eilperin, Juliet. "Trump administration rolls back Obama-era rule aimed at limiting toxic wastewater from coal plants". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
"Kentucky Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
"County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 27, 2020.
"Kentucky secretary of state says primary postponed". CNN. March 16, 2020.
"Kentucky Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
"Official 2020 PRIMARY ELECTION Results" (PDF). Commonwealth of Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved October 13, 2020.
"Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
"2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
"2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
"Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
"Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
"2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
"ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
"2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
"November 3, 2020 Official 2020 General Election Results" (PDF). p. 6. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Kentucky", Voting & Elections Toolkits
"Kentucky: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
"League of Women Voters of Kentucky". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Kentucky at Ballotpedia

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[othercalc-24] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[key-25] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[26] Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

[27] Standard VI response

[28] Hawkins (G) with 1%

[29] If only Trump and Biden were candidates

[30] "Someone else" with 1%

[31] "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%

[32] "Someone else" with 2%

[NYR-36] Not yet released

[SE5-37] "Someone else" with 5%

[39] "Some other candidate" with 6%

[41] Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

[33] This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period

[34] This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.

[mcgrath-35] Poll sponsored by Amy McGrath's campaign

[38] U.S. Term Limits is a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.

[40] This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period

[1] Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[2] "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[3] Dennis, Brady; Eilperin, Juliet. "Trump administration rolls back Obama-era rule aimed at limiting toxic wastewater from coal plants". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved November 9, 2020.

[4] "Kentucky Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.

[5] "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 27, 2020.

[6] "Kentucky secretary of state says primary postponed". CNN. March 16, 2020.

[GP-GOP-7] "Kentucky Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.

[2020_Kentucky_Democratic_presidential_primary_KY-BoE-unofficial-results-8] "Official 2020 PRIMARY ELECTION Results" (PDF). Commonwealth of Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved October 13, 2020.

[2020_Kentucky_Democratic_presidential_primary_KY-AP-delegates-9] "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 23, 2020.

[10] "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[11] "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[12] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[13] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

[14] "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.

[niskanen-15] 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020

[16] David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.

[17] "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.

[18] "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.

[19] "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.

[20] "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.

[21] Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.

[22] "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.

[23] "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.

[officialresults-42] "November 3, 2020 Official 2020 General Election Results" (PDF). p. 6. Retrieved November 20, 2020.

[43] Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.

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