2014 United States Senate election in Texas

The 2014 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate. Incumbent Republican senator and Senate Minority Whip John Cornyn ran for re-election to a third term. Primary elections were held on March 4, 2014. Since no Democratic candidate received over 50% in the first round of the primary, a runoff election was required on May 27, 2014. David Alameel, who came in first in the primary, won the runoff and became his party's nominee. In the general election, Cornyn defeated Alameel in a landslide.

2014 United States Senate election in Texas

November 4, 2014
Turnout33.1%
 
Nominee John Cornyn David Alameel
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,861,531 1,597,387
Percentage 61.6% 34.4%

Cornyn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Alameel:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data
Tie:      40–50%      50%

U.S. senator before election

John Cornyn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Cornyn
Republican

Republican primary

In February 2014, Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell was featured in a controversial television advertisement by Dwayne Stovall. Stovall belittled McConnell, Cornyn's superior in the Senate leadership, as an ineffective "Beltway turtle" who is out-of-touch with the party rank-and-file.[1] Until the controversial advertisement, the media had largely ignored Stovall's candidacy.

Declared

Withdrew

  • Erick Wyatt, U.S. Army veteran[9]

Declined

Endorsements

John Cornyn

Individuals

Organizations

Steve Stockman

Individuals

Organizations

Linda Vega

Individuals

  • Erick Wyatt, former candidate for the U.S. Senate[25]
Declined to endorse

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Curt
Cleaver
Ken
Cope
John
Cornyn
Chris
Mapp
Reid
Reasor
Steve
Stockman
Dwayne
Stovall
Linda
Vega
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 388 ± 4.4% 41% 18% 44%
Wilson Perkins Allen December 13, 2013 762 ± 3.6% 50% 6% 5% 39%
Gravis Marketing February 10–12, 2014 729 ± 3.6% 43% 28% 29%
UoT/Texas Tribune February 7–17, 2014 461 ± 4.56% 1% 4% 62% 3% 3% 16% 4% 7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn
Someone more
conservative
Undecided
Gravis Marketing October 26, 2013 563 ± 3% 33% 46% 21%
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 388 ± 4.4% 33% 49% 18%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn
Dwayne
Stovall
Erick
Wyatt
Undecided
UoT/Texas Tribune October 18–27, 2013 519 ± 5.02% 39% 7% 6% 48%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn
David
Barton
Rafael
Cruz
Louie
Gohmert
Ron
Paul
Rick
Perry
Steve
Stockman
Undecided
UoT/Texas Tribune October 18–27, 2013 519 ± 5.02% 25% 41% 18% 3% 13%
35% 46% 20%
34% 44% 22%
40% 31% 29%
39% 33% 28%
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 388 ± 4.4% 51% 18% 31%

Results

Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent) 781,259 59.43%
Republican Steve Stockman 251,577 19.13%
Republican Dwayne Stovall 140,794 10.71%
Republican Linda Vega 50,057 3.80%
Republican Ken Cope 34,409 2.61%
Republican Chris Mapp 23,535 1.79%
Republican Reid Reasor 20,600 1.56%
Republican Curt Cleaver 12,325 0.94%
Total votes 1,314,556 100.00%

Because Cornyn surpassed a majority in the primary, he faced no runoff election.[27] Cornyn's winning percent and margin of victory were the lowest by any Texas Republican U.S. Senator in a primary election in state history.[28]

Democratic primary

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

David Alameel
Individuals
Organizations
  • Bexar County African-American Political Alliance[35]
  • Bexar County Northside Coalition of Women[35]
  • Bexar County Mexican American Democrats[35]
  • Bexar County Second Chance Democrats[35]
  • Bexar County Tejano Democrats[35]
  • Bexar County Young Tejano Democrats[35]
  • Hispanic Women for Better Justice[35]
  • Houston GLBT Political Caucus[35]
  • Mexican American Democrats of Texas, San Antonio Chapter[35]
  • Texas Young Democrats Women's Caucus[35]
Media
Michael Fjetland
Kesha Rogers
Organizations
  • Doctors Against Murderous Obamacare[38]
Maxey Scherr
Individuals
Organizations
  • Amalgamated Transit Union Local 694[39]
  • American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) Local 59[39]
  • Austin Environmental Democrats[39]
  • Austin North by Northwest (NxNW) Democrats[39]
  • Austin Progressive Coalition[39]
  • Austin Stonewall Democrats[39]
  • Austin Young Democrats[39]
  • Bay Area New Democrats (BAND)[39]
  • Capital Area Asian American Democrats[39]
  • Central Austin Democrats[39]
  • Democracy for Houston[39]
  • El Paso Black Democrats[39]
  • El Paso Central Labor Union[39]
  • El Paso West Side Democrats[39]
  • Galveston Democratic Coalition[39]
  • International Association of Fire Fighters Local 51[39]
  • NE Travis County Democrats[39]
  • San Antonio Stonewall Democrats[39]
  • South East Texas Stonewall Democrats[39]
  • State Tejano Democrats[39]
  • Texas Womans Coalition[39]
  • University Democrats (UDems)[39]
  • University of Houston Democrats[39]
Media

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Alameel
Michael
Fjetland
Harry
Kim
Kesha
Rogers
Maxey
Scherr
Other Undecided
UoT/Texas Tribune February 7–17, 2014 263 ± 6.04% 27% 9% 14% 35% 15%

Results

Democratic primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Alameel 239,914 47.04%
Democratic Kesha Rogers 110,146 21.59%
Democratic Maxey Scherr 90,359 17.71%
Democratic HyeTae "Harry" Kim 45,207 8.86%
Democratic Michael Fjetland 24,383 4.80%
Total votes 510,009 100.00%

Because no candidate received over 50% of the vote in the primary, the two with the most votes – David Alameel and Kesha Rogers – advanced to a runoff on May 27.[43]

Democratic primary runoff results[44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Alameel 145,039 72.16%
Democratic Kesha Rogers 55,953 27.84%
Total votes 200,992 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Declared

Results

Rebecca Paddock won the nomination.

Green nomination

Declared

  • Emily Marie Sanchez[46]

Results

Sanchez won the nomination.

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[47] Solid R November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[49] Safe R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[50] Safe R November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn (R)
David
Alameel (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 10–13, 2014 559 ± 4.1% 49% 32% 20%
UoT/Texas Tribune May 30 – June 8, 2014 1,200 ± 2.83% 36% 25% 13%[51] 26%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 4,353 ± 3.7% 52% 35% 3% 10%
Rasmussen Reports August 4–5, 2014 4,353 ± 3.0% 47% 29% 6% 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 4,189 ± 2% 55% 39% 3% 8%
Texas Lyceum September 11–25, 2014 666 ± 3.8% 48% 30% 8%[52] 14%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 4,177 ± 2% 55% 35% 1% 9%
Rasmussen Reports October 1–2, 2014 840 ± 3.5% 50% 29% 6% 15%
UoT/Texas Tribune October 10–19, 2014 866 ± 3.6% 57% 31% 12%[53]
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 3,987 ± 3% 57% 35% 1% 8%
Hypothetical polling
With Castro
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn (R)
Julian
Castro (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 48% 41% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 28 – July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 50% 37% 13%
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 49% 35% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Louie
Gohmert (R)
Julian
Castro (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 44% 35% 21%
With Davis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn (R)
Wendy
Davis (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 48% 37% 14%
Public Policy Polling June 28 – July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 48% 40% 12%
With Parker
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn (R)
Annise
Parker (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 47% 36% 16%
Public Policy Polling June 28 – July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 49% 36% 15%
With White
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn (R)
Bill
White (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 45% 42% 13%
Public Policy Polling June 28 – July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 47% 40% 13%
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 44% 39% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Louie
Gohmert (R)
Bill
White (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 40% 39% 21%

Results

2014 United States Senate election in Texas[54]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent) 2,861,531 61.56% +6.74%
Democratic David Alameel 1,597,387 34.36% -8.48%
Libertarian Rebecca Paddock 133,751 2.88% +0.54%
Green Emily Sanchez 54,701 1.18% N/A
Independent Mohammed Tahiro (write-in) 998 0.02% N/A
Total votes 4,648,358 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

  1. "Samantha Lachman, "GOP Senate Candidate Calls Mitch McConnell 'Beltway Turtle' in Anti-Cornyn Ad", February 14, 2014". Huffington Post. February 14, 2014. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
  2. Tinsley, Anna M. (December 9, 2013). "Filing ends, ballot set for 2014 election". Roll Call. Archived from the original on December 12, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  3. "John Cornyn Airs First Re-Election Campaign Spot". Roll Call. October 7, 2013. Archived from the original on December 3, 2013. Retrieved November 24, 2013.
  4. "A Local Man Plans on Running for U.S. Senate". Crossroads Today. November 13, 2013. Archived from the original on December 2, 2013. Retrieved November 24, 2013.
  5. Alexa Ura (November 29, 2013). "Democrat Alameel Will Run for Cornyn's Senate Seat". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
  6. "2014 Republican Party Primary Election". Archived from the original on January 9, 2014.
  7. "U.S. Senate hopeful addresses Lone Star Patriots of Leon County". Leon County Today. June 4, 2013. Archived from the original on July 24, 2013. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  8. "Attorney Vega challenging Cornyn in GOP primary". Houston Chronicle. October 23, 2013. Retrieved October 23, 2013.
  9. Krehbiel, Randy. "Hope springs eternal in U.S. Senate primaries". tulsaworld.com. Tulsa World. Retrieved February 8, 2020.
  10. Reilly, Molly (July 14, 2013). "Greg Abbott Launches Texas Governor Campaign For 2014". huffpost.com. Verizon Media. Retrieved February 9, 2020.
  11. Kopan, Tal. "David Barton won't run against John Cornyn". Politico. Retrieved November 6, 2013.
  12. Stutz, Terrence (January 4, 2013). "David Dewhurst '101 percent' sure he'll seek re-election as Texas lieutenant governor". Dallasnews.com. Archived from the original on April 3, 2015. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  13. "Dewhurst affirms re-election campaign". KTRK-TV Houston. Associated Press. August 7, 2013. Archived from the original on September 11, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
  14. Burka, Paul (August 8, 2013). "Gohmert v. Cornyn". Texas Monthly. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
  15. "Latinas Will Be Front And Center In Races For Top Political Posts In Texas Next Year". foxnews.com. FOX News Network, LLC. December 21, 2016. Retrieved February 9, 2020.
  16. Joseph, Cameron; Hooper, Molly K. (December 10, 2013). "Lawmakers: Cornyn will easily defeat Stockman". The Hill. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  17. Tilove, Jonathan (November 15, 2013). "Rick Perry offers John Cornyn a ringing endorsment [sic] for re-election". Austin American-Statesman. Retrieved December 8, 2013.
  18. Glenn Evan, "Cornyn plans campaign stop in Longview", Longview News-Journal, February 8, 2014
  19. Batheja, Aman (December 11, 2013). "Cornyn Camp Rolling Out Strake Endorsement". texastribune.com. The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 9, 2020.
  20. Glueck, Katie. "Texas tea party sours on Stockman". politico.com. Politico, LLC. Retrieved February 9, 2020.
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  22. Tashman, Brian (March 5, 2014). "Stockman: 'We Have The Skill Set To Win Again, So We'll Be Back'". rightwingwatch.com. Right Wing Watch, a project of People For the American Way. Retrieved February 9, 2020.
  23. "Rep. Steve Stockman MIA?". politico.com. Politico, LLC. Retrieved February 9, 2020.
  24. Swartsell, Nick (December 18, 2013). "NRA backs Cornyn; another gun group supports Stockman in Senate race | Dallas Morning News". Dallasnews.com. Archived from the original on January 9, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
  25. "Erick Wyatt Withdraws from US Senate Race". Facebook. November 25, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  26. Gillman, Todd J.; Swartsell, Nick (December 11, 2013). "Lawmakers on right aren't flocking to help Stockman unseat Cornyn". The Dallas Morning News. Archived from the original on December 12, 2013. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  27. McCormick, John (March 5, 2014). "Republican Cornyn Wins Primary in Texas Over Tea Party Foe". bloomberg.com. Retrieved March 6, 2014.
  28. Ostermeier, Eric (March 5, 2014). "Cornyn Records Weakest Ever Primary Win for Texas GOP US Senator". Smart Politics.
  29. Gillman, Todd J. (December 2, 2013). "Dallas dentist David Alameel brings big fortune to U.S. Senate race". Dallas Morning News. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  30. "Republican turned Democrat runs for Cornyn's Senate seat". blog.chron.com. November 22, 2013. Retrieved November 24, 2013.
  31. Swartsell, Nick (December 6, 2013). "Anti-Obama Democrat Kesha Rogers files for U.S. Senate". The Dallas Morning News. Archived from the original on December 9, 2013. Retrieved December 8, 2013.
  32. "Democratic Candidates". Texpatriate. October 28, 2013. Retrieved October 28, 2013.
  33. Catherine Thompson (August 5, 2013). "Texas governor race 2014: Wendy Davis: I will run for reelection or governor". Politico. Retrieved August 6, 2013.
  34. "Bill White says Texas lagging in skilled jobs". Houston Chronicle. February 28, 2013. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  35. "Endorsements". David Alameel for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on February 21, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  36. Swartsell, Nick (January 13, 2014). "Wendy Davis endorses David Alameel for U.S. Senate". The Dallas Morning News. Archived from the original on January 16, 2014. Retrieved January 20, 2014.
  37. "Texpatriate endorses in US Senate Democratic primary". Texpatriate. February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  38. Overton, Ian (February 13, 2014). "Kesha Rogers Receives Endorsement from Doctors Against Murderous Obamacare". Kesha Rogers for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on February 21, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  39. "Endorsements". Maxey Scherr for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on February 21, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  40. Kuffner, Charles (December 6, 2013). "Maxey Scherr kicks off her campaign". Off the Kuff. Retrieved December 8, 2013.
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  42. "2014 Democratic Party Primary Election". Archived from the original on January 9, 2014.
  43. Weissert, Will (March 5, 2014). "Alameel, Rogers Advance to Texas Senate Runoff". abcnews.go.com. ABC News. Archived from the original on March 17, 2014. Retrieved March 6, 2014.
  44. "Texas - Summary Vote Results". Associated Press. May 28, 2014. Retrieved May 29, 2014.
  45. "2014 Federal Candidates". Libertarian Party of Texas. Archived from the original on December 15, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  46. "Texas Greens Occupy Ballot In 2014". Green Party. December 10, 2013. Archived from the original on February 1, 2014. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
  47. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  48. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  49. "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  50. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  51. Rebecca Paddock (L) 5%, Emily Marie Sanchez (G) 3%, Other 5%
  52. Rebecca Paddock (L) 4%, Emily Marie Sanchez (G) 4%
  53. Rebecca Paddock (L) 7%, Emily Marie Sanchez (G) 5%
  54. Race Summary Report. 2014 General Election Office of the Secretary of State. Retrieved January 14, 2023
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