2010 Nevada gubernatorial election

The 2010 Nevada gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Nevada, who would serve a four-year term to begin on January 3, 2011. Despite speculation that incumbent Republican Governor Jim Gibbons would not run for a second term due to low approval ratings, he ran for re-election.[1][2][3] He struggled in the polls, and ultimately federal judge and former Attorney General of Nevada Brian Sandoval secured the nomination. Sandoval defeated Democrat Rory Reid, son of then-current U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who won his fifth term in the Senate on the same ballot.

2010 Nevada gubernatorial election

November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Brian Sandoval Rory Reid
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 382,350 298,170
Percentage 53.4% 41.6%

County results
Sandoval:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Jim Gibbons
Republican

Elected Governor

Brian Sandoval
Republican

Republican primary

Candidates

A total of five Republican candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Gibbons
Mike
Montandon
Brian
Sandoval
Undecided
Research 2000 June 2, 2010 27% 6% 48%
Mason Dixon/LVJR May 10–11, 2010 27% 6% 45%
Mason Dixon/LVJR April 10, 2010 25% 7% 39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR February 22–24, 2010 30% 9% 37%
Mason Dixon/LVJR January 10, 2010 23% 7% 39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR December 2009 18% 6% 39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR October 8, 2009 20% 4% 41%
Mason Dixon/LVJR August 21, 2009 17% 3% 33%

Results

Republican primary results by county:
Sandoval
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
Gibbons
  •   <40%
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Sandoval 97,201 55.5
Republican Jim Gibbons (incumbent) 47,616 27.2
Republican Mike Montandon 22,002 12.6
Republican None of These Candidates 4,400 2.5
Republican Tony Atwood 2,440 1.4
Republican Stan Lusak 1,380 0.8
Total votes 175,039 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Two Democratic candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]

Declared

Declined

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Barbara
Buckley
Oscar
Goodman
Rory
Reid
Undecided
Mason Dixon/LVJR August 21, 2009 25% 34% 13%
43% 22%

Results

Democratic primary results by county:
Reid
  •   Reid—70–80%
  •   Reid—60–70%
  •   Reid—50–60%
  •   Reid—40–50%
  •   Reid—<40%
Conquest
  •   Conquest—<40%
Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rory Reid 80,162 70.1
Democratic None of These Candidates 17,455 15.3
Democratic Frederick Conquest 16,775 14.7
Total votes 114,392 100

Other candidates

Declared

  • Eugene "Gino" DiSimone[4]
  • Aaron Y. Honig[4]

Declined

Green

  • David Scott Curtis[4]

Independent American

  • Floyd Fitzgibbons[4]

Libertarian

  • Arthur Forest Lampitt[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[12] Likely R October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[13] Safe R October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[14] Likely R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely R October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[16] Tossup October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brian
Sandoval (R)
Rory
Reid (D)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2010 59% 41%
Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2010 49% 40%
Public Opinion Strategies September 21–23, 2010 45% 39%
Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2010 49% 35%
CNN/Time Magazine September 10–14, 2010 58% 31%
Reuters/Ipsos September 10–12, 2010 60% 31%
Mason-Dixon September 9, 2010 52% 36%
Rasmussen Reports September 1, 2010 750 ± 4% 58% 33% 2% 7%
Mason-Dixon August 23–25, 2010 53% 31%
Rasmussen Reports August 16, 2010 750 ± 4% 52% 36% 3% 8%
Mason-Dixon August 11, 2010 52% 36%
Rasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 750 ± 4% 50% 40% 6% 4%
Public Policy Polling July 16–18, 2010 52% 38%
Mason Dixon/LVJR July 12–14, 2010 47% 36%
Rasmussen Reports July 12, 2010 750 ± 4% 57% 36% 3% 4%
Rasmussen Reports June 22, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 55% 33% 8% 4%
Rasmussen Reports June 9, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 54% 31% 3% 13%
Research 2000 June 2, 2010 51% 41%
Rasmussen Reports April 27, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 53% 35% 12% 3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR April 10, 2010 50% 35%
Rasmussen Reports March 31, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 55% 34% 6% 4%
Rasmussen Reports March 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 53% 35% 7% 5%
Mason Dixon/LVJR February 22–24, 2010 51% 29%
Rasmussen Reports February 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 33% 11% 12%
Mason Dixon/LVJR January 10, 2010 53% 31%
Mason Dixon/LVJR December 4, 2009 49% 35%
Mason Dixon/LVJR October 8, 2009 50% 33%
Hypothetical polling
With Gibbons
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Gibbons (R)
Rory
Reid (D)
Other Undecided
Research 2000 June 2, 2010 31% 52%
Rasmussen Reports April 27, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 37% 47% 12% 3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR April 10, 2010 40% 42%
Rasmussen Reports March 31, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 43% 8% 4%
Rasmussen Reports March 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 36% 44% 15% 4%
Mason Dixon/LVJR February 22–24, 2010 38% 42%
Rasmussen Reports February 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 35% 44% 13% 8%
Mason Dixon/LVJR December 2009 34% 48%
Mason Dixon/LVJR October 8, 2009 37% 49%
Mason Dixon/LVJR August 21, 2009 35% 47%
With Montandon
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Montandon (R)
Rory
Reid (D)
Other Undecided
Research 2000 June 2, 2010 40% 43%
Rasmussen Reports April 27, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 39% 9% 8%
Rasmussen Reports March 31, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 38% 9% 8%
Rasmussen Reports March 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 42% 37% 13% 8%
Rasmussen Reports February 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 36% 40% 14% 10%

Results

Nevada gubernatorial election, 2010[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Brian Sandoval 382,350 53.36% +5.44%
Democratic Rory Reid 298,171 41.61% -2.31%
N/A None of These Candidates 12,231 1.71% -1.85%
Independent Eugene DiSimone 6,403 0.89% N/A
Independent American Floyd Fitzgibbons 5,049 0.70% -2.73%
Libertarian Arthur Forest Lampitt, Jr. 4,672 0.65% N/A
Green David Scott Curtis 4,437 0.62% -0.54%
Independent Aaron Y. Honig 3,216 0.45% N/A
Total votes 716,529 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

  1. Gentry, Dana (June 4, 2008). "Consultants: No second term for Gibbons". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved January 1, 2008.
  2. Vogel, Ed (June 13, 2008). "GOVERNING NEVADA: Disregard divorce, poll says". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved January 1, 2009.
  3. Schwartz, David McGrath (July 19, 2009). "With scant crew, Gibbons reelection campaign sets sail". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved May 5, 2010.
  4. "2010 Filed Candidates". Secretary of State of Nevada. Retrieved May 6, 2010.
  5. McGrath Schwartz, David (September 21, 2008). "Rory Reid lays ground for run for governor". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved January 1, 2009.
  6. "RUNNING FOR GOVERNOR: Montandon takes aim at Gibbons - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. July 1, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. Damon, Anjeanette (September 15, 2009). "Sandoval: I am running for governor". Reno Gazette-Journal. Archived from the original on February 1, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2009.
  8. "Nevada Governor Primary Results". Politico. June 8, 2010. Archived from the original on January 6, 2012. Retrieved June 8, 2010.
  9. "Harry Reid's son enters Nevada gubernatorial race". CNN. October 14, 2009. Retrieved October 15, 2009.
  10. "Buckley passes on a run for Nevada governor - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. September 12, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. "Top of the Ticket". Los Angeles Times. January 25, 2010. Retrieved May 20, 2010.
  12. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  17. "2010 Unofficial Statewide General Election Coverage and Reports". Nvsos.gov. November 2, 2010. Retrieved April 2, 2013.
Debate
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