2024 Nevada Republican presidential nominating contests
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The 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary and caucus will be held on February 6 and February 8, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 26 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional basis.[1] They will be held following the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary.[2]
On August 14, 2023, Republicans in Nevada announced that they will boycott and ignore the state-organized primary following a controversy over the selection of a primary process over the traditional caucus format in the state's presidential preference contests. The state-run primary is scheduled to be held for February 6, while the Nevada Republican Party will hold its own caucus on February 8.
Background
In 2012, a report by Reuters described the Republican electorate in Nevada as "libertarian-minded". Eric Herzik, a professor of political science at the University of Nevada, Reno, argued that Republican voters in the state are more animated by fiscal issues than social conservatism.[3]
2016 caucus
Donald Trump won the 2016 Nevada caucus with 45.9% of the vote and 14 out of 30 pledged delegates, with closest opponents Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz taking 23.9% and 21.4% of the vote, respectively. During the campaign, both Rubio and Cruz vied for the support of Mormons in Nevada, who form an influential bloc within the state party.[4]
Controversy
After the 2020 presidential election, the state of Nevada decided to establish a presidential primary for both parties. Previously, party-organized caucuses were used to determine delegates in presidential elections. In May 2023, the Republican Party sued the state of Nevada, because they preferred to keep using the caucuses to determine their delegate allocation. The Republican primary can only be held if more than one Republican candidate filed until October 16, 2023. Nevada Republicans have said that they will hold a party-organized caucus on February 8, 2024 instead. To participate in the caucus, Republican candidates need to register their candidacy with the Nevada Republican Party in a filing window from September 1, 2023 to October 15, 2023.[5][6]
Procedure
Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who receive at least 3.85% of the total statewide vote.
Candidates
The filing deadline for the Nevada primary was on October 16, 2023, and the office of the Secretary of State of Nevada published the list of qualified candidates on October 20.[7] Additionally, the filing window for the Nevada caucus was between September 1 and October 15. The party published their own list of candidates and did not allow those who filed for the state-run primary to participate.[8]
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Primary candidates
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Caucus candidates
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Campaign
In March 2023, it was reported that Trump hosted a range of Nevada Republican Party officials at Mar-a-Lago as part of his campaign's "aggressive outreach to state and local party officials in the early primary states."[9]
Endorsements
- Federal executive officials
- Nick Trutanich, U.S. Attorney for the District of Nevada (2019–2021)[10]
- U.S. Representatives
- Cresent Hardy, NV-04 (2015–2017)[11]
- State executive officials
- Adam Laxalt, Attorney General (2015–2019); Republican nominee for U.S. Senator in 2022 and Governor in 2018[12] (previously endorsed Donald Trump)
- Andy Matthews, Controller (2023–present)[13]
- Patty Cafferata, State Treasurer (1983–1987)[11]
- State senators
- Carrie A. Buck, District 5 (2020–present); Assistant Minority Leader (2023–present)[11]
- Jeff Stone, District 20 (2022–present); Western Regional Director of the U.S. Department of Labor (2019–2021); California State Senator from District 28 (2014–2019)[14]
- Keith Pickard, District 20 (2018–2022); Nevada State Assemblyman from District 22 (2016–2018)[11]
- State representatives
- Danielle Gallant, District 23 (2022–present); Assistant Minority Floor Leader (South) (2023–present)[11]
- Jill Dickman, District 31 (2014–2016 and 2020–present); Assistant Minority Floor Leader (North) (2023–present); Assistant Majority Whip (North) (2015–2017)[11]
- Edwin Goedhart, District 36 (2006–2012)[11]
- Jim Wheeler, District 39 (2012–2022); Minority Leader (2017–2019)[11]
- Kelly Kite, District 39 (2010–2012)[11]
- Notable individuals
- Robert Bigelow, owner of Budget Suites of America and founder of Bigelow Aerospace[15]
- Chuck Muth, political consultant; former executive director of the Nevada Republican Party[16]
- Federal officials
- Steven Cheung, Special Assistant to the President (2017–2018)[17]
- State executive officials
Adam Laxalt, Attorney General (2015–2019)[18] (switched endorsement to Ron DeSantis)[19]
- State representatives
- Jim Marchant, District 37 (2016–2018); Republican nominee in the 2022 Nevada Secretary of State election[20]
- Local and county officials
- Michele Fiore, Nye County Justice of the Peace (2022–present)[21]
- Notable individuals
- Wayne Allyn Root, TV and radio host[22]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSRS/CNN | Sep 29 – Oct 6, 2023 | 650 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 2% | 13% | 6% | – | 3% | 4% | 2% | 65% | 4%[lower-alpha 2] | 2% |
| National Research[upper-alpha 1] | Jun 26–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 22% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 52% | – | 14%[lower-alpha 3] |
| National Research[upper-alpha 1] | May 30 – Jun 1, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 21% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 53% | 0%[lower-alpha 4] | 17% |
| Vote TXT | May 15–19, 2023 | 112 (RV) | ± 4.8% | – | 21% | 5% | – | 2% | 3% | – | 51% | 7% | 11% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | Oct 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 34% | 1% | – | 7% | – | – | 41% | 7%[lower-alpha 5] | 10% |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum & Larry Elder with 1%; Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
- Other, undecided, and refused
- Chris Sununu with 0%
- Ted Cruz with 5%; Mike Pompeo and Marco Rubio with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC
References
- "Nevada Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- Birenbaum, Gabby (February 25, 2023). "One year out, Republicans preview how Nevadans will land on presidential nomination". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- Johnston, Cynthia (January 31, 2012). "Nevada is friendly turf for Romney". Reuters. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- Lee, Kurtis (December 29, 2015). "As Rubio and Cruz vie for Mormon support in Nevada, divide over taxes looms". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- Trip Gabriel (August 14, 2023). "Nevada G.O.P. Sets February Caucus, Jumping Ahead of South Carolina". New York Times. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
- Nevada GOP (August 15, 2023). "Sign Up for the 2024 Presidential Caucus!". Nevada GOP. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
- "2024 Presidential Preference Primary Candidates". Secretary of State of Nevada. October 16, 2023. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
- "2024 Presidential Caucus". Nevada GOP. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
- Gómez, Fin (March 4, 2023). "Trump met with early primary state GOP leaders in Nevada while Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis spoke to conservative group Club for Growth". CBS News. Retrieved March 7, 2023.
- Morris, Kyle; Gillespie, Brandon (May 24, 2023). "More Than 150 Former Trump Administration Officials Now Backing DeSantis for President". Fox News. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
- "Nevada Political Leaders Endorse Gov. Ron DeSantis for President". 2024 Presidential Campaign Blog. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- Steinhauser, Paul. "Longtime DeSantis friend Adam Laxalt to chair super PAC backing Florida governor's expected 2024 run". Retrieved April 22, 2023.
- Calderon, Jannelle (March 11, 2023). "In Visit to Early State Nevada, DeSantis Touts Self as Leader Willing to 'Go on Offense'". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved June 9, 2023.
- Korecki, Natasha; Gomez, Henry J. (June 16, 2023). "Trump World Gets Testy as Ron DeSantis Encroaches on His Nevada Turf". NBC News. Retrieved June 19, 2023.
- Haberman, Maggie (April 25, 2023). "Major G.O.P. donor's commitment to DeSantis is murkier than previously thought". The New York Times. Retrieved May 24, 2023.
- Muth, Chuck (May 31, 2023). "Trump Fatigue: The Milktoast that Broke the Donald's Back". Muth's Truths. Retrieved June 3, 2023.
- Boggioni, Tom (November 25, 2022). "Trump insider unnerved he'll 'sabotage' his 2024 campaign with impulsive new hires". RawStory. Retrieved March 15, 2023.
- Solis, Jacob (March 22, 2022). "Laxalt, Brown gear up for Senate debate, differ on Trump 2024 run". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved November 16, 2022.
- Steinhauser, Paul (April 22, 2023). "Longtime DeSantis friend Adam Laxalt to chair super PAC backing Florida governor's expected 2024 run". Fox News. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
- Pilkington, Ed (October 11, 2022). "Nevada secretary of state contender pledges to secure Trump victory in 2024". The Guardian. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Strozewski, Zoe (December 29, 2022). "'Lady Trump' Appointed to Oversee Court Cases Hopes to Become a Lawyer". Newsweek. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Allyn Root, Wayne (January 6, 2022). "I'm anti-jab but support President Trump; Here's why". World Tribune. Retrieved March 16, 2023.