2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary
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55 Republican National Convention delegates | ||
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The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and or caucuses is set to be held on February 27, 2024, and March 2, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 55 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional and winner-take-most basis.[1] The primary will take place concurrently with its Democratic counterpart.
Background
In the 2016 Michigan Republican presidential primary, Donald Trump won with 36.5% of the vote, carrying 25 out of 59 delegates total. His closest opponents, Governor of Ohio John Kasich and Senator from Texas Ted Cruz, received 24.9% and 24.3% of the vote, respectively, with both candidates receiving 17 delegates.[2]
Schedule
In February 2023, Governor Gretchen Whitmer signed legislation to move up the date of both the Democratic and Republican presidential primaries in Michigan to February 27, 2024, in line with the Democratic National Committee's (DNC) state reorganization plan.[3]
The date violated Republican Party Rule 16(c)(1), which prohibits any state/territory except Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, from holding their primary/caucus until on or after March 1, 2024, violating any other state/territory by stripping 80% of its delegates at the Republican National Convention.
In response, in June 2023, the Michigan Republican Party passed a resolution of intent that would allocate 16 delegates based on the results of the February 27 primary and 39 delegates based on the results of caucuses in each of the state's 13 congressional districts on March 2.
Endorsements
- State senators
- Aric Nesbitt, District 20 (2023–present) and District 26 (2019–2022); Minority Leader (2023–present)[4]
- Michael Webber, District 9 (2023–present)[5]
- Joe Bellino, District 16 (2023–present)[5]
- Lana Theis, District 22 (2019–present)[5]
- Dan Lauwers, District 25 (2019–present)[5]
- Kevin Daley, District 26 (2023–present) and District 31 (2019–2022)[5]
- State representatives
- William Bruck, District 30 (2023–present)[6]
- Mike Mueller, District 51 (2019–2022) and District 72 (2023–present)[6]
- Mike Harris, District 52 (2022–present)[6]
- Donni Steele, District 54 (2023–present)[6]
- Alicia St. Germaine, District 62 (2023–present)[6]
- Jaime Greene, District 65 (2023–present)[6]
- Pat Outman, District 70 (2021–2022) and District 91 (2023–present)[6]
- Brian BeGole, District 71 (2023–present)[6]
- Bryan Posthumus, District 73 (2021–2022) and District 90 (2023–present)[7]
- Brad Paquette, District 78 (2019–present)[6]
- Phil Green, Michigan State Representative from District 84 (2019–2022) and District 67 (2023–present)[7]
- Luke Meerman, District 88 (2019–present)[6]
- Jerry Neyer, District 92 (2023–present)[6]
- Tom Leonard, District 93 (2013–2019); Republican nominee for Attorney General in 2018[8]
- Timothy Beson, District 96 (2021–present)[6]
- Matthew Bierlein, District 97 (2023–present)[6]
- Gregory S. Alexander, District 98 (2023–present)[6]
- Tom Kunse, Michigan State Representative from District 100 (2023–present)[6]
- Curt VanderWall, District 101 (2017–2018) and District 102 (2023–present)[6]
- John Roth, District 104 (2021–present)[6]
- Federal officials
- Pete Hoekstra, U.S. Ambassador to the Netherlands (2018–2021); U.S. Representative from MI-02 (1993–2011); Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[9]
- U.S. Representatives
- Kerry Bentivolio, MI-11 (2013–2015)[10]
- Jack Bergman, MI-01 (2017–present)[11]
- Bill Huizenga, MI-04 (2023–present) and MI-02 (2011–2023)[11]
- John James, MI-10 (2023-present)[11]
- Lisa McClain, MI-09 (2023–present) and MI-10 (2021–2023); Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2023–present)[12]
- John Moolenaar, MI-02 (2023–present) and MI-04 (2015–2023)[11]
- Tim Walberg, MI-05 (2023–present) and MI-07 (2011–2023, 2007–2009)[11]
- State representatives
- Bob Bezotte, District 50 (2023–present) and District 47 (2021–2023)[13]
- Steve Carra, District 36 (2023–present) and District 59 (2021–2023)[13]
- Matt Maddock, District 59 (2023–present) and District 44 (2019–2023)[13]
- Party officials
- Meshawn Maddock, co-chair of the Michigan Republican Party (2019–2023)[14]
Maps
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Will Hurd |
Asa Hutchinson |
Perry Johnson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | Oct 9–10, 2023 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 6% | – | 0% | – | 2% | 3% | 0% | 63% | – | 8% |
| Susquehanna University | Sep 7–12, 2023 | 219 (LV) | – | 0% | 0% | 18% | 3% | – | 0% | – | 5% | 5% | 0% | 65% | – | – |
| Emerson College | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 61% | 1% | 6% |
| Mitchell Research[upper-alpha 1] | Jul 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 13% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 3% | – | 2% | 69% | – | 11% |
| Echelon Insights | Feb 13–16, 2023 | 400 (V) | ± 6.0% | – | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 11% | – |
| Glengariff Group | Jul 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | 13% | – |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- Poll commissioned by MIRS
References
- "Michigan Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- "Michigan Primary Election Results 2016". The New York Times. September 29, 2016. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- Robinson, Samuel (February 3, 2023). "Michigan Democrats move up presidential primary without GOP support". Axios. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight. April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
- Oosting, Jonathan [@jonathanoosting] (April 6, 2023). "Ron DeSantis secures some Michigan endorsements for president, according to supporting super PAC: State Senate Minority Leader Aric Nesbitt, Sens. Lana Theis, Michael Webber, Kevin Daley, Dan Lauwers and Joe Bellino, state Rep. Bryan Posthumus, former House Speaker Tom Leonard" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2023 – via Twitter.
- "DeSantis is the Future - Never Back Down". neverbackdown.org. April 27, 2023.
- Isenstadt, Alex (January 18, 2023). "Top Michigan Republicans move to draft DeSantis for 2024". Politico. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- LeBlanc, Beth (April 6, 2023). "DeSantis lays out Florida as blueprint for Republican success in Michigan speech". Detroit News. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- Gomez, Henry J. (March 2, 2023). "Michigan Businessman uses CPAC to launch Presidential Bid'". NBC News. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- https://facebook.com/profile/100004403986580/search/?q=Trump%20has%20my%20vote!%20Publicity%20worth%20millions
- Singman, Brooke (July 11, 2023). "Trump wins 'clean sweep' of endorsements from Michigan's GOP congressional delegation". Fox News. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
- Mauger, Craig (June 25, 2023). "Trump says push for electric vehicles will mean 'decimation' for Michigan's industry". The Detroit News. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
- Mauger, Craig; Leblanc, Beth (June 23, 2023). "As Donald Trump prepares for return to Michigan, cracks appear in his GOP support". The Detroit News. Retrieved June 23, 2023.
- Mauger, Craig; Nann Burke, Melissa (November 16, 2022). "Muted Michigan GOP reaction to Trump's 3rd White House bid". The Detroit News. Retrieved March 18, 2023. (subscription required)