2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
 | ||
| ||
22 Republican National Convention delegates | ||
|---|---|---|
|
| ||
| Elections in New Hampshire |
|---|
 |
The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary will be held in early 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional basis.[2] The New Hampshire primary will be the second contest in the nation, held a week after the Iowa caucus.
Background
Donald Trump won the 2016 New Hampshire Republican primary with 35.2% of the vote, with closest opponent John Kasich coming in second with 15.7% of the vote.
Exit polling by Edison Research concluded that Trump's 2016 primary victory could be credited to support among white voters without a college degree, as well as support from moderate voters.[3]
Procedure
Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the total statewide vote.
Campaign
In January 2023, Trump tapped outgoing New Hampshire Republican Party chair Stephen Stepanek to oversee his campaign's operations in the state.[4]
New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, who considered a presidential candidacy, established a "Live Free or Die committee",[5] though he announced on June 5 that he would not be running for the Republican nomination.[6]
Endorsements
Ron DeSantis
- State Representatives
- Jason Osborne, Rockingham's District 4 (2014–present); Majority Leader (2020–present)[7]
- Lisa Smart, Belknap's District 2 (2022–present)[8]
- Steven Bogert, Belknap's District 5 (2022–present)[9]
- Mike Belcher, Carroll's District 4 (2022–present)[9]
- Michael Costable Jr., Carroll's District 8 (2022–present)[9]
- Troy Merner, Coos' District 1 (2022–present)[9]
- Arnold Davis, Coos' District 2 (2022–present)[9]
- Mike Ouelett, Coos' District 3 (2022–present)[9]
- Seth King, Coos' District 4 (2022–present)[9]
- Matthew Simon, Grafton's District 1 (2020–present)[10]
- Matthew Coulon, Grafton's District 5 (2022–present)[9]
- Rick Ladd, Grafton's District 5 (2022–present)[9]
- Lex Berezhny, Grafton's District 11 (2022–present)[9]
- Tom Mannion, Hillsborough's District 1 (2022–present)[9]
- Dan Hynes, Hillsborough's District 2 (2022–present)[9]
- Bob Healey, Hillsborough's District 12 (2022–present)[9]
- Brian Seaworth, Hillsborough's District 12 (2022–present)[9]
- Andrew Prout, Hillsborough's District 13 (2022–present)[9]
- Ralph Boehm, Hillsborough's District 14 (2022–present)[9]
- Brian Cole, Hillsborough's District 26 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[11]
- Leah Cushman, Hillsborough's District 28 (2022–present)[9]
- Sheila Seidel, Hillsborough's District 29 (2022–present)[9]
- Jim Creighton, Hillsborough's District 30 (2022–present)[9]
- John Lewicke, Hillsborough's District 36 (2022–present)[9]
- Alicia Lekas, Hillsborough's District 38 (2022–present)[9]
- Tony Lekas, Hillsborough's District 38 (2022–present)[9]
- Keith Ammon, Hillsborough's District 42 (2022–present)[9]
- Lisa Post, Hillsborough's District 42 (2022–present)[9]
- Bill King, Hillsborough's District 43 (2022–present)[9]
- Travis Corcoran, Hillsborough's District 44 (2022–present)[9]
- Lisa Mazur, Hillsborough's District 44 (2022–present)[9]
- Yury Polozov, Merrimack's District 10 (2022–present)[9]
- Cyril Aures, Merrimack's District 13 (2022–present)[9]
- James Spillane, Rockingham's District 2 (2014–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[12]
- Michael Vose, Rockingham's District 5 (2022–present)[9]
- Emily Phillips, Rockingham's District 7 (2022–present)[9]
- Scott Wallace, Rockingham's District 8 (2022–present)[9]
- Tony Piemonte, Rockingham's District 9 (2022–present)[9]
- Erica Layon, Rockingham's District 13 (2022–present)[9]
- Jodi Nelson, Rockingham's District 13 (2022–present)[9]
- Katherine Prudhomme O'Brien, Rockingham's District 13 (2018–present)[10]
- Tom Dolan, Rockingham's District 16 (2018–present)[10]
- David Lundgren, Rockingham's District 16 (2022–present)[9]
- Kristine Perez, Rockingham's District 16 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[13]
- Katelyn Kuttab, Rockingham's District 17 (2022–present)[9]
- Bob Lynn, Rockingham's District 17 (2022–present)[9]
- Daniel Popovici-Muller, Rockingham's District 17 (2022–present)[10]
- Debra DiSimone, Rockingham's District 18 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[11]
- Jess Edwards, Rockingham's District 31 (2022–present)[9]
- Mark Pearson, Rockingham's District 34 (2022–present)[9]
- J.D. Bernardy, Rockingham's District 36 (2022–present)[9]
- Kelly Potenza, Strafford's District 19 (2022–present)[9]
- Skip Rollins, Sullivan's District 3 (2022–present)[9]
- Walter Stapleton, Sullivan's District 6 (2022–present)[9]
Donald Trump
- Federal officials
- Karoline Leavitt, White House Assistant Press Secretary (2020); Republican nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2022[14]
- U.S. Senators
- State Representatives
- Kimberly Abare, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Louise Andrus, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Glenn Bailey, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Harry Bean, NH House (2018–present)[16]
- Jacob Brouilard, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Claudine Burnham, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Tim Cahill, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Jose Cambrils, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Brian Cole, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Debra DeSimone, NH House (2008–present)[16]
- Ron Dunn, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Tracy Emerick, NH House (2020–present, 2012–2018)[16]
- Keith Erf, NH House (2018–present)[16]
- Larry Gagne, NH House (2008–present)[16]
- Ted Gorski, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Gerald Griffin, NH House (2020–present, 2016–2018)[16]
- Tina Harley, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Juliet Harvey-Bolia, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Gregory Hill, NH House (2014–present, 2010–2012)[16]
- Thomas Kaczynski Jr., NH House (2020–present, 2014–2018)[16]
- Diane Kelley, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Stephen Kennedy, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Aboul Khan, NH House (2016–present, 2014–2016)[16]
- John Leavitt, NH House (2016–present)[16]
- Nikki McCarter, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Valerie McDonnell, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Charles Melvin, NH House (2018–present)[16]
- David Nagel, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Joseph Pitre, NH House (2012–present)[16]
- Tom Ploszaj, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- John Potucek, NH House (2018–present, 2014–2016)[16]
- Kevin Pratt, NH House (2018–present)[16]
- Arlene Quaratiello, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Andrew Renzullo, NH House (2016–present, 2004–2014)[16]
- Jennifer Rhodes, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Terry Roy, NH House (2018–present)[16]
- John Sellers, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Vanessa Sheehan, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Lisa Smart, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- James Spillane, NH House (2014–present)[16]
- Jonathan Stone, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- James Summers, NH House (2022–present, 2010–2012)[16]
- Jeffrey Tenczar, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Paul Terry, NH House (2020–present)[16]
- Dick Thackston, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Jordan Ulery, NH House (2004–present)[16]
- Lilli Walsh, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Kenneth Weyler, NH House (2010–present, 1990–2008)[16]
- Robert Wherry, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Clayton Wood, NH House (2022–present)[16]
- Notable individuals
- Stephen Stepanek, chair of the New Hampshire Republican Party (2019–2023)[17]
Maps
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the New Hampshire Senate.
Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1)
No endorsement (13)
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the New Hampshire House of Representatives.
Endorsed Ron DeSantis (63)
Endorsed Donald Trump (46)
Endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy (8)
Endorsed Larry Elder (1)
No endorsement (81)
Non-Republicans (201)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University | Sep 28 – October 2, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 19% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 49% | ? | ? |
| CBS News/YouGov | Sep 15–24, 2023 | 502 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 50% | 0%[lower-alpha 2] | – |
| Saint Anselm College | Sep 19–20, 2023 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 1% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 45% | 0%[lower-alpha 3] | 6% |
| Insider Advantage | Sep 20, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.36% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 42% | 1%[lower-alpha 4] | 9% |
| University of New Hampshire | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 1% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 39% | 1%[lower-alpha 5] | 6% |
| NMB Research | Aug 25–31, 2023 | 800 (LV) | – | 1% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 47% | <3%[lower-alpha 6] | 4% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Aug 25–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 5% | 11% | 9% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 48% | <3%[lower-alpha 7] | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[upper-alpha 1] | Aug 15–17, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 34% | 3%[lower-alpha 8] | 12% |
| Emerson College | Aug 9–11, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 6% | 49% | 3%[lower-alpha 9] | 13% |
| co/efficient | Aug 5–7, 2023 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 43% | 3%[lower-alpha 10] | 13% |
| Manhattan Institute | July 2023 | 603 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 34% | 3%[lower-alpha 11] | 8% |
| National Research[upper-alpha 2] | Jul 25–26, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 41% | – | 15% |
| University of New Hampshire | Jul 13–17, 2023 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 6% | 6% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 37% | 1%[lower-alpha 12] | 8% |
| National Research[upper-alpha 2] | Jul 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 39% | – | 17% |
| American Pulse | Jul 5–11, 2023 | 895 | ± 3.2% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 3% | – | 5% | 5% | 7% | 48% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 13] |
| Saint Anselm College | Jun 21–23, 2023 | 494 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 47% | 0%[lower-alpha 14] | 10% |
| New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient | Jun 14–16, 2023 | 904 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | 9% | 13% | 3% | – | 5% | 3% | 3% | 47% | 5% | 10% |
| – | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 28% | ||||
| National Research[upper-alpha 2] | Jun 12–14, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 7% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 44% | 18%[lower-alpha 15] | – |
| National Research[upper-alpha 2] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 18% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 39% | 32%[lower-alpha 16] | – |
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 13–17, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 1% | 22% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 42% | 20%[lower-alpha 17] | 4% |
| J.L Partners | Apr 2–11, 2023 | 623 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 2% | 18% | 4% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% | 51% | 19%[lower-alpha 18] | 6% |
| – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 13% | ||||
| Saint Anselm College | Mar 28–30, 2023 | 1,320 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 1% | 29% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 1% | 42% | 19%[lower-alpha 19] | – |
| Emerson College | Mar 3–5, 2023 | 384 (RV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | 6% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 58% | 14%[lower-alpha 20] | – |
| co/efficient | Jan 25–26, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.35% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| – | – | 26% | 4% | – | 3% | – | – | 37% | 13%[lower-alpha 21] | 18% | ||||
| University of New Hampshire | Jan 19–23, 2023 | 349 (LV) | ± 5.2% | – | – | 42% | 8% | – | 1% | – | 0% | 30% | 16%[lower-alpha 22] | 3% |
| Neighborhood Research and Media | Dec 5–13, 2022 | 434 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 33% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 32% | 13% | 19% |
| WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 3] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 11% |
| 2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||
| Saint Anselm College | Aug 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 50% | 4%[lower-alpha 23] | 8% |
| WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 3] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 10% |
| Neighborhood Research and Media[upper-alpha 4] | Jul 5–8, 2022 | 475 (RV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 22% | 1% | – | 1% | – | – | 41% | 3%[lower-alpha 24] | 32% |
| University of New Hampshire | Jun 16–20, 2022 | 318 (LV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | 39% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 0% | 37% | 6%[lower-alpha 25] | 3% |
| University of New Hampshire | Oct 14–18, 2021 | 441 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 18% | 6% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 14%[lower-alpha 26] | 10% |
| University of New Hampshire | Jul 15–19, 2021 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | – | 19% | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | 43% | 13%[lower-alpha 27] | 10% |
| Saint Anselm College[upper-alpha 5] | May 7–10, 2021 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | 20% | 7% | – | 4% | – | 0% | 52% | 7%[lower-alpha 28] | 10% |
| Victory Insights | Mar 5–11, 2021 | 400 (RV) | – | – | – | 5% | 3% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 14%[lower-alpha 29] | – |
| – | – | 21% | 7% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 29%[lower-alpha 30] | – | ||||
| Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
| Praecones Analytica | Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2020 | 624 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 6% | – | 2% | 57% | 19%[lower-alpha 31] | 10% |
| – | – | – | 12% | – | 25% | – | 3% | – | 46%[lower-alpha 32] | 14% | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
- Larry Elder, Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
- Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
- Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & "Other" with 0%
- Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Refused 1%
- Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Perry Johnson with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- Will Hurd with 3%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, and Francis Suarez with 0%
- Perry Johnson with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- "Someone else" with 2%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
- Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- Calculated by subtracting the candidates' percentages from 100; the source does not give a number
- Suarez with 0%
- Undecided, Other & Refused
- Chris Sununu with 17%; "Undecided, Other & Refused" with 15%
- Chris Sununu with 12%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; John Bolton and Marco Rubio with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- Chris Sununu with 10%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
- Chris Sununu with 14%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristy Noem with 0%; Other with 2%.
- Chris Sununu with 7%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- Chris Sununu with 13%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- Liz Cheney, Chris Sununu and Larry Hogan with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
- Chris Sununu, Rand Paul and Mike Pompeo with 1%
- Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
- Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
- Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem and Marco Rubio with 2%; Mitt Romney with 1%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
- Mitt Romney with 13%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- Mitt Romney with 15%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mike Pompeo with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%
- Mitt Romney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Tom Cotton and Marco Rubio with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
- Donald Trump Jr. with 14%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mitt Romney with 8%; Tom Cotton with 6%; Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio with 4%
- Partisan clients
- Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
- Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC, which supports Trump.
- Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
- Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC
- Poll sponsored by the John Bolton Super PAC
References
- Barnett, Emma; Memoli, Mike (July 19, 2023). "Iowa's GOP caucus date is set, but timing New Hampshire's primary is not so simple". NBC News. Retrieved September 24, 2023.
- "New Hampshire Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- "New Hampshire Exit Polls". The New York Times. February 9, 2016. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
- Kashinsky, Lisa (January 28, 2023). "Trump makes his first big move in New Hampshire". POLITICO. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- Allen, Jonathan; Korecki, Natasha (February 8, 2023). "New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu takes a major step toward running for president". NBC News. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- Maher, Kit; Bradner, Eric (June 5, 2023). "CNN Exclusive: New Hampshire GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not run for president in 2024". CNN. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
- "New Hampshire House majority leader endorses DeSantis". WHNT. May 4, 2023. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
- Ramirez, Isabella (May 16, 2023). "Four NH Republicans Flip Endorsements From Trump to DeSantis". The Daily Beast. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
- "Over 50 New Hampshire Legislators Endorse Governor Ron DeSantis for President". neverbackdown.org. May 16, 2023.
- Scheckner, Jesse. "Ron DeSantis adds 5 more New Hampshire endorsements". Retrieved May 27, 2023.
- "2 Republicans on DeSantis' N.H. endorsement list say they still back Trump". NBC News. May 16, 2023.
- Graham, Michael (June 1, 2023). "Trump Loses NHGOP Rep Endorsement to DeSantis Over Treatment of Fox News Host". NH Journal. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
- Scheckner, Jesse (May 26, 2023). "Ron DeSantis Adds 5 More New Hampshire Endorsements". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
- Signan, Brooke (April 3, 2022). "Karoline Leavitt to join Trump super PAC as spokeswoman". Fox News. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- Daughtery, Eric (August 8, 2023). "Trump kicks off New Hampshire 'Veterans for Trump Coalition' with Florida Rep. Brian Mast". Florida's Voice. Retrieved August 8, 2023.
- "President Donald J. Trump Announces New Hampshire Elected Leadership Team". Donald J. Trump. April 17, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
- Reid, Tim (January 27, 2023). "'Trump fatigue' in New Hampshire complicates 2024 White House bid". Reuters. Retrieved January 28, 2023.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.