2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary
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50 Republican National Convention delegates | ||
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The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary will be held on February 24, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a selection basis.[2]
Held following the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, the South Carolina primary will be the third in the cycle, and will be held on the same day as the Nevada caucuses.[3] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties.[4]
Nikki Haley, who served as Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, announced her presidential candidacy in February 2023. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, also entered the race with a campaign announcement in May 2023.[5]
Background
The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of Evangelical voters.[6] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat out eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters.[7]
In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the Evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%.[8]
Procedure
29 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. Each of the state's 7 congressional districts are awarded 3 delegates and the candidate with the highest vote total in each congressional district are awarded that district's delegates.
Endorsements
Ron DeSantis
- Federal executive officials
- Mick Mulvaney, U.S. Special Envoy for Northern Ireland (2020–2021); Acting White House Chief of Staff (2019–2020); Director of the Office of Management and Budget (2017–2020); Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (2017–2018); U.S. Representative from SC-05 (2011–2017)[9]
- State senators
- Rex Rice, District 2 (2016–present)[10]
- Dwight Loftis, District 6 (2019–present)[10]
- Danny Verdin, District 9 (2001–present)[10]
- Josh Kimbrell, District 11 (2020–present)[11]
- State representatives
- Ashley Trantham, District 28 (2018–present)[10]
- Dennis Moss, District 29 (2007–present)[10]
- Travis Moore, District 33 (2020–present)[10]
- Roger Nutt, District 34 (2020–present)[10]
- Steven Long, District 37 (2016–present)[10]
- Brandon Guffey, District 48 (2023–present)[10]
- Bill Hixon, District 83 (2010–present)[12]
- Micah Caskey, District 89 (2017–present)[13]
- Chris Murphy, District 98 (2010–present)[14]
- Gary Brewer, District 114 (2022–present)[14]
- Bill Herbkersman, District 118 (2002–present)[10]
Nikki Haley
- U.S. Representatives
- Ralph Norman, SC-05 (2017–present)[15]
- State senators
- Katrina Shealy, District 23 (2013–present)[16]
- State representatives
- Mike Neese, District 44 (2023–present)[16]
- Chris Wooten, District 69 (2018–present)[16]
- Nathan Ballentine, District 71 (2005–present)[16]
- Mayors
- Brenda Bethune, Myrtle Beach (2018–present)[17]
- Party officials
- Katon Dawson, chair of the South Carolina Republican Party (2002–2009)[18]
Tim Scott
- U.S. Representatives
- Henry Brown, SC-01 (2001–2011)[19]
- Governors
- Mark Sanford, (2003–2011); U.S. Representative from SC-01 (1995–2001; 2013–2019)[20]
- State senators
- Shane Massey, District 25 (2007–present); Majority Leader (2016–present)[21]
- Sean Bennett, District 38 (2012–present)[21]
- Chip Campsen, District 43 (2004–present)[21]
- Ronnie Cromer, District 18 (2003–present)[21]
- Stephen Goldfinch, District 34 (2016–present)[21]
- Larry Grooms, District 37 (1997–present)[21]
- Penry Gustafson, District 27 (2020–present)[21]
- Katrina Shealy, District 23 (2013–present)[21]
- Scott Talley, District 12 (2016–present)[21]
- Ross Turner, District 8 (2012–present)[21]
- State representatives
- Bobby Harrell, District 114 (1992–2014); Speaker (2005–2014)[19]
- Bruce Bannister, District 24 (2006–present)[19]
- Liston Barfield, District 58 (1997–2014), (1985–1989)[21]
- Jeff Bradley, District 123 (2014–present)[21]
- Joseph Daning, District 45 (2008–2022)[21]
- Sylleste Davis, District 100 (2016–present)[21]
- Shannon Erickson, District 124 (2007–present)[21]
- Gil Gatch, District 94 (2020–present)[21]
- Jenny Horne, District 94 (2009–2017)[21]
- Jeff Johnson, District 58 (2014–present)[21]
- Brandon Newton, District 45 (2016–present)[21]
- Weston Newton, District 120 (2013–present)[21]
- Mark Smith, District 99 (2020–present)[21]
- Bill Taylor, District 86 (2010–present)[21]
- Mayors
- Daniel Rickenmann, Columbia (2022–present)[19]
Donald Trump
- Federal executive officials
- Katie Arrington, Under Secretary of Defense for A&S CISO (2019–2022)[22]
- Peter McCoy Jr., U.S. Attorney for South Carolina (2020–2021)[23]
- Ed McMullen, Ambassador to Switzerland and Liechtenstein (2017–2021)[24]
- U.S. Senators
- Lindsey Graham, (2003–present)[25]
- U.S. Representatives
- Russell Fry, SC-07 (2023–present)[22]
- William Timmons, SC-04 (2019–present)[23]
- Joe Wilson, SC-02 (2001–present)[23]
- Governors
- Henry McMaster, (2017–present)[22]
- State executive officials
- André Bauer, Lieutenant Governor (2003–2011)[25]
- Pamela Evette, Lieutenant Governor (2019–present)[23]
- Curtis Loftis, State Treasurer (2011–present)[26]
- State representatives
- Murrell Smith Jr., District 67 (2001–present); Speaker (2022–present)[27]
- Thomas Beach, District 10 (2022–present)[28]
- Cal Forrest, District 39 (2016–present)[29]
- Doug Gilliam, District 42 (2018–present)[29]
- Patrick Haddon, District 19 (2019–present)[29]
- Stewart Jones, District 14 (2019–present)[29]
- Jay Kilmartin, District 85 (2022–present)[29]
- David O'Neal, District 66 (2022–present)[29]
- Melissa Lackey Oremus, District 84 (2019–present)[29]
- Notable individuals
- Mark Burns, pastor[30]
- Lin Wood, attorney[31]
Declined to endorse
- U.S. Representatives
- Jeff Duncan, SC-03 (2011–present)[32]
Maps
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina House of Representatives.
Endorsed Ron DeSantis (11)
Endorsed Tim Scott (11)
Endorsed Nikki Haley (3)
Endorsed Donald Trump (1)
No endorsement (62)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox Business | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 46% | 1%[lower-alpha 2] | 3% |
| Washington Post/Monmouth University | Sep 6–11, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 46% | 1%[lower-alpha 3] | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | Aug 17–19, 2023 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 48% | 0%[lower-alpha 4] | 1% |
| Fox Business | Jul 15–19, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 2% | 13% | 14% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 48% | –[lower-alpha 5] | 4% |
| National Public Affairs | Jun 20–21, 2023 | 809 (LV) | – | 1% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 41% | – | 6% |
| National Research[upper-alpha 1] | May 24–25, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | – | – | 18% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 43% | 1%[lower-alpha 6] | 13% |
| National Public Affairs | May 15–17, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 23% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 38% | – | 8% |
| National Public Affairs | Apr 11–14, 2023 | 588 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 21% | 19% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 43% | 1%[lower-alpha 7] | 6% |
| Winthrop University | Mar 25 – Apr 1, 2023 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | 20% | 18% | 0% | 5% | – | 7% | 41% | 5%[lower-alpha 8] | 4% |
| Neighbourhood Research and Media[upper-alpha 2] | Feb 7–14, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.9% | – | – | 22% | 16% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 35% | – | 23% |
| Trafalgar Group | Jan 24–26, 2023 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 9%[lower-alpha 9] | – |
| – | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 48% | 5%[lower-alpha 10] | – | ||||
| – | – | 29% | 22% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 2%[lower-alpha 11] | – | ||||
| – | – | 28% | 12% | – | 2% | – | 14% | 43% | 1%[lower-alpha 12] | – | ||||
| Moore Information | Jan 18–24, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 31% | 12% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 41% | – | 7% |
| – | – | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 9% | ||||
| – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 15% | ||||
| Spry Strategies | Jan 17–19, 2023 | 386 (LV) | – | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | 15% |
| Winthrop University | Oct 22 – Nov 5, 2022 | 1,298 (A) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 19% |
| Echelon Insights | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 294 (LV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 9% |
| Trafalgar Group | Mar 25–29, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 64% | 11%[lower-alpha 13] | 25%[lower-alpha 14] |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & Perry Johnson with less than 0.5%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Pery Johnson, Francis Suarez and Ryan Binkley with 0%
- Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Francis Suarez, "Other" and "None of the above" with <0.5%
- Chris Sununu with 1%
- Mike Pompeo with 1%
- Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
- Mike Pompeo with 9%
- Mike Pompeo with 5%
- Mike Pompeo with 2%
- Mike Pompeo with 1%
- "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
- "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
- Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
References
- McDuffie, Will; Murray, Isabella (June 17, 2023). "South Carolina GOP votes to move back their 2024 primary". abcnews.com. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
- "South Carolina Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- Birenbaum, Gabby (February 25, 2023). "One year out, Republicans preview how Nevadans will land on presidential nomination". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- "5 Things to Watch in South Carolina's Republican Primary". ABC News. February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2016.
- Kraushaar, Josh (February 19, 2023). "South Carolina's Nikki Haley and Tim Scott on collision course in 2024 presidential race". Axios. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- "South Carolina's Key Role in the Presidential Race". U.S. News & World Report. February 17, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2016.
- Rutenberg, Jim (January 22, 2012). "Gingrich Wins South Carolina Primary, Upending G.O.P. Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- Lipka, Michael (February 25, 2016). "A closer look at religion in the Super Tuesday states". Pew Research Center. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
- Isenstadt, Alex (February 25, 2023). "Longtime Trump backers flock to DeSantis event". POLITICO. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
- Nerozzi, Timothy (June 22, 2023). "DeSantis Endorsed by 15 South Carolina Lawmakers". Fox News. Retrieved June 22, 2023.
- "DeSantis Is the 'Only' Candidate That Combatted the Weaponization of Government: Sen. Josh Kimbrell". Fox News. June 10, 2023. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
- Christian, Matthew (June 8, 2023). "North Augusta's Rep. Bill Hixon Endorses Ron DeSantis". The Post and Courier. Retrieved June 8, 2023.
- Laird, Skyler; Kukulich, Tony (June 2, 2023). "DeSantis Positions Himself to Wage War on 'Wokeness' During First SC Stop as Candidate". The Post and Courier. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
- Reagan, Nick (June 2, 2023). "Florida Gov. DeSantis Makes Presidential Campaign Stop in Bluffton". WCSC-TV. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
- Laco, Kelly (February 15, 2023). "Nikki Haley endorsed by top Trump ally Ralph Norman who says GOP needs 'new leadership'". Fox News. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
- Bustos, Joseph (April 6, 2023). "SC's Haley returns to Lexington County for presidential campaign rally". The State. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
- Duncan, Chase (March 13, 2023). "2024 presidential candidate Nikki Haley visits Myrtle Beach, talks solutions". MyHorryNews. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- Morris, Kyle (February 11, 2023). "Nikki Haley not to be 'underestimated' in bid for president, former South Carolina GOP officials say". Fox News. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
- Kinnard, Meg (June 12, 2023). "Scott rolls out dozens of South Carolina lawmakers and local leaders endorsing his presidential bid". AP News. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
- Allison, Natalie (May 22, 2023). "Tim Scott's keys to 2024: Iowa, evangelicals and piles of cash". Politico. Retrieved May 22, 2023.
- FOX Carolina News Staff (June 12, 2023). "Sen. Tim Scott in Spartanburg to announce campaign endorsements". FOX Carolina. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
- Schecter, Maayan (November 16, 2022). "Some SC Republicans already stand behind Trump 2024. Others? Not so fast". The State. Retrieved March 15, 2023.
- Vaughan, Crysty (January 28, 2023). "Donald Trump names SC Leadership team during visit to State House". ABC 25 Columbia. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Byrd, Caitlin (November 16, 2022). "Donald Trump endorsed by SC Gov. Henry McMaster. Nikki Haley, Tim Scott still watching 2024". The Post and Courier. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Orr, Gabby; Sullivan, Kate; Holmes, Kristen (January 27, 2023). "Trump will hit the trail looking to reinvigorate his campaign". CNN. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Rubin, Olivia; Ibssa, Lalee (January 28, 2023). "Trump says he's 'more committed' than ever as he holds first 2024 campaign events". ABC News. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Sockol, Matthew (August 6, 2023). "South Carolina Speaker of the House endorses Trump". WLOS.
- Schechter, Maayan (January 28, 2023). "Live updates: Handful of state lawmakers present for Trump campaign event at SC State House". The State. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Ashworth, Nate (July 1, 2023). "Full Video: Trump Rally Independence Day Celebration in Pickens, South Carolina (July 1)". Election Central. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- Wingfield, Mark (December 8, 2022). "While many evangelical leaders are wary of Trump's 2024 run, this Oklahoma pastor has launched a fan club". Baptist News Global. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Dickinson, Tim; McCann Ramirez, Nikki (November 28, 2022). "Trump Isn't MAGA Enough Anymore, Say Kanye-Curious Extremists". Rolling Stone. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Cortellessa, Eric (April 26, 2023). "Just Like in Florida, Trump Easily Winning South Carolina Endorsement Race". Time.
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