2018 Nevada gubernatorial election

The 2018 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Nevada. Incumbent Republican Governor Brian Sandoval was ineligible to run for re-election, due to the absolute two-term limit established by the Nevada Constitution. Nevada is one of eight U.S. states (or nine U.S. states and territory) that prohibits its governors or any other state and territorial executive branch officials from serving more than two terms, even if they are nonconsecutive.

2018 Nevada gubernatorial election

November 6, 2018
 
Nominee Steve Sisolak Adam Laxalt
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 480,007 440,320
Percentage 49.4% 45.3%

Sisolak:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Laxalt:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Brian Sandoval
Republican

Elected Governor

Steve Sisolak
Democratic

The candidate filing deadline was March 16, 2018 and the primary election was held on June 12, 2018.[1] The Republican nominee was Adam Laxalt and the Democratic nominee was Steve Sisolak. Sisolak won the election, becoming the first Democrat to be elected Governor of Nevada since Bob Miller won his second full term in 1994, and the first non-incumbent Democrat to win since 1982. As of 2023, this is the only time a Democrat was elected Governor of Nevada in the 21st century.

Republican primary

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Adam Laxalt
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Laxalt
Dan
Schwartz
Jared
Fisher
Undecided
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 55% 4% 2% 38%
WPA Intelligence (R) August 6–8, 2017 302 ± 5.7% 64% 5% 31%
Doug Schoen (D) July 7–20, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 34% 30% 35%

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Laxalt—80–90%
  •   Laxalt—70–80%
  •   Laxalt—60–70%
Republican primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adam Laxalt 101,651 71.5
Republican Dan Schwartz 12,919 9.1
Republican Jared Fisher 6,696 4.7
Republican Stephanie Carlisle 6,401 4.5
Republican None of These Candidates 6,136 4.3
Republican William Boyd 6,028 4.2
Republican Stan Lusak 1,011 0.7
Republican Frederick Conquest 766 0.5
Republican Edward Dundas 576 0.4
Total votes 141,884 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Steve Sisolak
Federal politicians
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[53][54]
  • Eric Holder, 82nd United States Attorney General (2009–2015)[55][56]
  • Harry Reid, U.S. Senator from Nevada (1987–2017) and Senate Majority Leader (2007–2015)[57]
  • Jeff Merkley U.S. Senator from Oregon[58]
  • Dina Titus, U.S. Representative from Nevada (3rd district: 2009–2011 and 1st district: 2013–present)[59][60]
State legislators
City politicians
Chris Giunchigliani
Federal politicians
  • Hillary Clinton, U.S. Senator from New York (2001–2009), 67th United States Secretary of State (2009–2013) and 2016 Democratic nominee for President[66]
State legislators
Local officials
  • David Bobzien, Reno City Councilmember (at-large)[67]
  • Jenny Brekhus, Reno City Councilmember (Ward 1)[67]
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Giunchigliani
Steve
Sisolak
None of
these
Other Undecided
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Women Vote!) May 21–23, 2018 608 ± 4.0% 35% 38% 11% 2% 13%
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 16% 44% 40%
Expedition Strategies (D-Giunchigliani) March 17–19, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 31% 27% 18% 23%

Results

Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Sisolak—50–60%
  •   Sisolak—40–50%
  •   Sisolak—30–40%
  •   Giunchigliani—30–40%
  •   Giunchigliani—40–50%
  •   Giunchigliani—50–60%
  •   None of These Candidates—<30%
Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Sisolak 72,749 50.0
Democratic Chris Giunchigliani 56,511 38.9
Democratic None of These Candidates 5,069 3.5
Democratic John Bonaventura 4,351 3.0
Democratic Henry Thorns 2,761 1.9
Democratic David Jones 2,511 1.7
Democratic Asheesh Dewan 1,468 1.0
Total votes 145,420 100.0

Independents

Declared

Endorsements

Ryan Bundy

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[80] Tossup October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[81] Tossup November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[82] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[83] Tilt D (flip) November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[84] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[85] Tossup November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[86] Tossup November 5, 2018
Fox News[87][lower-alpha 1] Tossup November 5, 2018
Politico[88] Tossup November 5, 2018
Governing[89] Tossup November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements

Adam Laxalt (R)
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Steve Sisolak (D)
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
City politicians
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Laxalt (R)
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Jared
Lord (L)
Ryan
Bundy (I)
None of
these
Other Undecided
HarrisX November 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 44% 45%
HarrisX November 2–4, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 44%
Emerson College November 1–4, 2018 1,197 ± 3.0% 47% 48% 4% 2%
HarrisX November 1–3, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 44%
HarrisX October 31 – November 2, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 47% 43%
HarrisX October 30 – November 1, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 43%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29 – November 1, 2018 2,587 ± 1.9% 47% 45% 4% 4%
HarrisX October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 45%
HarrisX October 24–30, 2018 1,400 ± 2.6% 43% 45%
CNN/SSRS October 24–29, 2018 622 LV ± 4.8% 45% 46% 2% 5% 0% 2%
807 RV ± 4.2% 40% 44% 3% 9% 0% 3%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 5, 2018, at the Wayback Machine October 24–26, 2018 773 ± 3.5% 44% 46% 10%
Ipsos October 12–19, 2018 1,137 ± 3.0% 46% 41% 4% 9%
Vox Populi Polling October 13–15, 2018 614 ± 3.7% 48% 52%
Emerson College October 10–12, 2018 625 ± 4.2% 46% 41% 3% 11%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 8–10, 2018 642 ± 4.0% 46% 45% 8%
Marist College September 30 – October 3, 2018 574 LV ± 5.5% 44% 40% 8% 2% <1% 6%
46% 45% 3% <1% 6%
780 RV ± 4.5% 41% 40% 8% 2% <1% 8%
44% 45% 4% <1% 7%
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS September 19 – October 2, 2018 513 ± 5.0% 46% 40% 2% 12%
CNN/SSRS September 25–29, 2018 693 LV ± 4.6% 41% 45% 5% 7% 0% 1%
851 RV ± 4.1% 38% 41% 5% 12% 1% 2%
Ipsos Archived September 20, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 7–17, 2018 1,039 ± 4.0% 43% 40% 5% 12%
Gravis Marketing September 11–12, 2018 700 ± 3.7% 38% 50% 8%
Suffolk University Archived December 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 5–10, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 35% 37% 5% 4% 2% 1%[lower-alpha 1] 15%
Suffolk University Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 24–29, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 42% 41% 2% 1% 4% 2%[lower-alpha 2] 7%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Laxalt) July 21–24, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 40% 3% 4%[lower-alpha 3] 8%
Gravis Marketing June 23–26, 2018 630 ± 3.9% 43% 41% 17%
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 37% 43% 20%
TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) January 3–7, 2018 1,103 ± 4.4% 37% 34% 29%
Remington (R-Laxalt) May 23–24, 2017 1,021 ± 3.1% 46% 37% 17%
Hypothetical polling
with Chris Giunchigliani
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Laxalt (R)
Chris
Giunchigliani (D)
Undecided
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 40% 38% 22%
TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) January 3–7, 2018 1,103 ± 4.4% 39% 34% 27%

Results

While Sisolak only won two of the state’s counties, those two counties account for more than 80% of the total state population. His overwhelming victory in Clark County, home of Las Vegas, and his narrow victory in Washoe County were enough to pull him over the finish line. Sisolak became the first Democrat to be elected Governor of Nevada since Bob Miller’s successful re-election bid in 1994.

2018 Nevada gubernatorial election[93]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Steve Sisolak 480,007 49.39% +25.51%
Republican Adam Laxalt 440,320 45.31% -25.27%
None of These Candidates 18,865 1.94% -0.94%
Independent Ryan Bundy 13,891 1.43% N/A
Independent American Russell Best 10,076 1.04% -1.62%
Libertarian Jared Lord 8,640 0.89% N/A
Total votes 971,799 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

Results by county

County Laxalt Votes Sisolak Votes None Votes Others Votes
Washoe 46.37% 87,226 48.74% 91,684 1.95% 3,669 2.94% 5,519
Humboldt 73.26% 4,061 19.25% 1,067 2.13% 118 5.36% 297
Elko 75.44% 11,444 17.17% 2,604 1.40% 213 5.99% 909
Pershing 71.15% 1,255 20.41% 360 2.15% 38 6.30% 111
Churchill 73.21% 7,033 19.45% 1,869 2.02% 194 5.31% 511
Lander 75.13% 1,571 15.11% 316 2.73% 57 7.02% 147
Eureka 80.45% 609 8.06% 61 2.61% 20 8.85% 67
White Pine 72.69% 2,358 17.54% 569 2.28% 74 7.49% 243
Storey 62.57% 1,476 30.56% 721 1.70% 40 5.17% 122
Carson City 53.26% 12,080 40.78% 9,249 2.07% 469 3.90% 883
Douglas 64.88% 16,897 30.57% 7,962 1.57% 408 2.98% 778
Lyon 67.95% 14,211 25.19% 5,267 1.92% 401 4.94% 1,034
Mineral 58.98% 1,067 29.85% 540 4.31% 78 6.86% 124
Esmeralda 73.58% 273 13.75% 51 2.16% 8 10.52% 39
Nye 63.47% 11,103 26.33% 4,607 1.88% 329 8.31% 1,455
Lincoln 73.77% 1,440 13.63% 266 1.90% 37 10.71% 209
Clark 40.84% 266,216 54.12% 352,814 1.95% 12,712 3.09% 20,159

While Laxalt won 15 of Nevada's county-level jurisdictions (14 counties and the independent city of Carson City), Sisolak carried the two largest, Clark (home to Las Vegas) and Washoe (home to Reno). Sisolak ultimately prevailed by winning his home county, Clark, by over 86,000 votes, double his statewide margin of 39,700 votes.

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional districts

Sisolak won 3 of 4 congressional districts.[94]

District Sisolak Laxalt Representative
1st 62.23% 31.79% Dina Titus
2nd 41.38% 53.22% Mark Amodei
3rd 49.85% 45.8% Susie Lee
4th 50.33% 43.78% Steven Horsford

See also

Notes

  1. Russell Best (IA) with 1%
  2. Russell Best (AI) with 2%
  3. Russell Best (AI) with 4%

References

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Official campaign websites
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