2023 Aragonese regional election
The 2023 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 1,019,050  0.1% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 678,112 (66.5%)0.3 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The previous election had seen the establishment of a coalition government by the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), Podemos, Aragonese Union (CHA) and the Aragonese Party (PAR) under two-term Aragonese president Javier Lambán.
Overview
Electoral system
The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]
The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one).[1][4]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats:[5]
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 35 | Zaragoza |
| 18 | Huesca |
| 14 | Teruel |
The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[6]
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 26 May 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 25 June 2023.[1][4][7]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]
In November 2021, following emerging speculation on possible snap elections in Andalusia and Castile and León to be called by the spring of 2022,[8] as well as a similar move in the Valencian Community being considered by Valencian president Ximo Puig,[9] it transpired that Lambán had been evaluating the opportunity of a simultaneous early election in Aragon in order to catch the regional People's Party (PP) leaderless and off-guard and to benefit from an improving economic situation.[10] Lambán himself ruled out such possibility on 11 November and maintained that the election would be held in May 2023.[11]
The Cortes of Aragon were officially dissolved on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOA, setting the election date for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 23 June.[5]
Parliamentary composition
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution.[12]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 24 | 24 | ||
| People's Parliamentary Group in the Cortes of Aragon | PP | 16 | 16 | ||
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry Parliamentary Group | CS | 12 | 12 | ||
| We Can–Equo Aragon Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 5 | 5 | ||
| Aragonese Union Parliamentary Group | CHA | 3 | 3 | ||
| Vox Parliamentary Group in Aragon | Vox | 3 | 3 | ||
| Aragonese Parliamentary Group | PAR | 3 | 3 | ||
| Mixed Parliamentary Group | IU | 1 | 1 | ||
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][7]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
In September 2021, citizen collectives of the so-called "Empty Spain" (Spanish: España Vacía or España Vaciada), a coined term to refer to Spain's rural and largely unpopulated interior provinces,[30] agreed to look forward for formulas to contest the next elections in Spain, inspired by the success of the Teruel Existe candidacy (Spanish for "Teruel Exists") in the November 2019 Spanish general election.[31] By December 2021, the platform was seeking to field candidacies in all three Aragonese provinces ahead of the next regional election.[32]
Campaign
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |
.svg.png.webp){kind=logo} |
.svg.png.webp){kind=logo} |
.svg.png.webp){kind=logo} |
.svg.png.webp){kind=small} |
 |
.svg.png.webp){kind=logo} |
 |
 |
 |
Existe |  |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 66.5 | 29.6 23 |
35.5 28 |
1.3 0 |
4.0 1 |
5.1 3 |
11.2 7 |
2.1 1 |
3.1 1 |
– | – | 5.0 3 |
– | 5.9 |
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA[p 1] | 12–27 May 2023 | 1,100 | ? | 28.1 22/23 |
37.1 28/29 |
1.3 0 |
6.0 2/3 |
5.7 2/3 |
12.1 7/9 |
2.1 0 |
2.9 1 |
– | – | 2.6 2 |
– | 9.0 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 2] | 22 May 2023 | ? | ? | 31.3 23/24 |
35.0 27/28 |
– | 5.3 2/3 |
4.9 2/3 |
8.9 6/7 |
– | 3.7 0/1 |
– | – | 3.9 2/3 |
– | 3.7 |
| KeyData/Público[p 3] | 19 May 2023 | ? | 67.0 | 31.1 25 |
34.7 27 |
2.4 0 |
5.6 3 |
5.5 2 |
9.1 6 |
2.1 0 |
3.9 1 |
– | – | 4.2 3 |
– | 3.6 |
| Data10/OKDiario[p 4] | 15–17 May 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 30.2 24 |
33.8 27 |
2.3 0 |
5.6 3 |
5.4 3 |
9.4 6 |
2.4 0 |
3.7 1 |
– | – | 4.2 3 |
– | 3.6 |
| Target Point/El Debate[p 5] | 12–17 May 2023 | 803 | ? | 29.8 23/24 |
34.0 27 |
? 0 |
? 3 |
? 2/3 |
9.8 5/7 |
? 0 |
? 1 |
– | – | 4.1 3 |
– | 4.2 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 6][p 7] | 11–17 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.2 22 |
33.6 26 |
2.5 0 |
6.2 3 |
5.6 3 |
10.4 7 |
2.0 0 |
3.6 1 |
– | – | 3.1 5 |
– | 4.4 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 8] | 10–17 May 2023 | 4,800 | 67.8 | 29.9 21/24 |
34.6 24/27 |
1.9 0 |
6.0 3 |
6.9 3/4 |
8.4 5/6 |
2.3 1/2 |
3.1 1 |
– | – | 5.7 5 |
– | 4.7 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 9][p 10] | 10–17 May 2023 | 1,243 | ? | 32.7 23/26 |
36.4 26/28 |
1.3 0 |
4.5 2/5 |
6.2 3 |
9.7 6/8 |
1.8 0 |
2.5 1 |
– | – | 3.1 2/3 |
– | 3.7 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 11] | 8–14 May 2023 | ? | ? | 29.8 23/24 |
33.9 27/28 |
2.9 0 |
5.6 3 |
4.6 2/3 |
9.9 6/7 |
2.1 0 |
3.9 1 |
– | – | 4.0 3 |
– | 4.1 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 12][p 13] | 4–10 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.2 22 |
33.2 26 |
2.5 0 |
6.1 3 |
5.6 2 |
10.3 7 |
2.0 0 |
3.6 1 |
– | – | 3.6 6 |
– | 4.0 |
| IMOP/El Confidencial[p 14] | 2–3 May 2023 | 1,048 | ? | 32.6 25 |
34.5 26 |
1.0 0 |
5.0 3 |
6.0 3 |
9.2 6 |
2.4 0 |
3.8 1 |
– | – | 2.6 3 |
– | 1.9 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 15][p 16] | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.5 21 |
33.1 24 |
3.1 1 |
6.2 3 |
5.7 2 |
10.3 7 |
2.5 0 |
3.6 1 |
– | – | 4.5 8 |
– | 3.6 |
| CIS[p 17][p 18] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 1,556 | ? | 31.1 24/26 |
36.2 24/28 |
1.3 0 |
6.4 3 |
5.5 2/4 |
7.3 3/5 |
1.6 0/1 |
4.2 1 |
– | – | 3.4 4 |
– | 5.1 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 19][p 20] | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.4 21 |
33.3 24 |
3.1 1 |
6.2 3 |
5.7 2 |
10.3 7 |
2.5 0 |
3.6 1 |
– | – | 4.3 8 |
– | 3.9 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[p 21] | 12–20 Apr 2023 | 854 | 65.1 | 28.4 23 |
29.9 23 |
3.8 1 |
5.5 3 |
6.4 3 |
10.0 6/7 |
1.4 0 |
5.0 2 |
– | – | 7.5 5/6 |
– | 1.5 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 22] | 12–19 Apr 2023 | 4,800 | 68.2 | 33.6 25/28 |
38.0 27/30 |
2.7 0/1 |
5.4 4 |
6.3 3/5 |
5.2 3/5 |
3.5 0/2 |
3.3 1 |
– | – | 0.9 1/2 |
– | 4.4 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 23][p 24] | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.7 21 |
32.3 24 |
3.0 1 |
6.5 3 |
5.9 3 |
10.9 7 |
3.0 1 |
3.3 1 |
– | – | 4.0 6 |
– | 2.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 25] | 7–14 Apr 2023 | ? | 65.7 | 29.6 23 |
34.9 27 |
2.3 0 |
5.5 3 |
4.6 2 |
8.8 7 |
2.3 0 |
4.1 1 |
– | – | 5.4 4 |
– | 5.3 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 26][p 27] | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 30.2 20 |
30.7 22 |
3.0 1 |
6.7 3 |
6.4 4 |
10.8 7 |
3.8 2 |
2.9 1 |
– | – | 4.2 7 |
– | 0.5 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 28] | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 29.0 22/23 |
33.5 26/27 |
2.6 0 |
6.0 3 |
4.6 1/2 |
9.9 6 |
2.4 0 |
3.7 1 |
– | – | 5.2 6 |
– | 4.5 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 29][p 30] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.9 20 |
30.4 22 |
3.0 1 |
6.8 3 |
6.4 4 |
11.0 7 |
3.9 2 |
2.9 1 |
– | – | 4.4 7 |
– | 0.5 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 31][p 32] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 1,315 | ? | 31.2 23/24 |
33.4 25 |
3.5 1 |
5.7 3/4 |
5.2 3 |
9.3 5/7 |
1.8 0 |
4.0 1 |
– | – | 4.6 4/5 |
– | 2.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 33] | 14–30 Mar 2023 | 372 | ? | 30.3 21 |
28.9 21 |
2.9 1 |
6.7 3 |
6.4 4 |
10.9 7 |
4.0 2 |
3.0 1 |
– | – | 4.2 7 |
– | 1.4 |
| Target Point/El Debate[p 34] | 15–18 Jan 2023 | 1,001 | ? | 28.7 20/22 |
34.0 24/25 |
2.2 0 |
6.9 3/4 |
4.6 2/3 |
10.5 6/8 |
3.1 1/2 |
3.6 1 |
– | – | 4.6 4/5 |
– | 5.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 35] | 15 Nov–29 Dec 2022 | 362 | ? | 31.9 23 |
27.6 20 |
2.9 1 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 6.7 4 |
10.6 6 |
4.5 3 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 9.5 4 |
– | 4.0 6 |
– | 4.3 |
| CIS[lower-alpha 3][p 36][p 37] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 324 | ? | 41.7 27/40 |
26.0 16/22 |
2.0 0/2 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 3.8 1/2 |
6.3 2/7 |
1.0 0/2 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 7.3 3/8 |
– | 4.7 2/5 |
0.2 0/1 |
15.7 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 38][p 39] | 14–17 Nov 2022 | 1,000 | ? | 28.5 20/21 |
29.6 21/23 |
1.8 0 |
8.0 5/6 |
8.1 4/5 |
10.9 7/8 |
3.3 2/3 |
3.8 1 |
– | – | 4.4 2/4 |
– | 1.1 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 40] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,200 | ? | 27.0 20/21 |
32.3 25/26 |
2.1 0 |
5.8 3/4 |
5.3 2 |
15.3 10/11 |
3.3 0/1 |
4.4 1 |
– | – | 3.8 4 |
– | 5.3 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 41] | 27 Sep–6 Oct 2022 | 3,600 | 68.5 | 31.9 24 |
32.0 24 |
4.4 1 |
6.2 3 |
7.0 5 |
6.6 4 |
3.9 3 |
3.2 1 |
– | – | 2.3 2 |
– | 0.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 42] | 14 Aug–28 Sep 2022 | 204 | ? | 33.0 23 |
27.2 20 |
3.0 1 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 6.7 4 |
10.5 6 |
4.5 3 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 9.0 4 |
– | 3.9 6 |
– | 5.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 43] | 31 Mar–15 May 2022 | 180 | ? | 32.8 23 |
25.9 17 |
3.1 1 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 6.8 4 |
11.5 7 |
4.5 3 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.9 4 |
– | 4.5 8 |
– | 6.9 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 44] | 4–18 Apr 2022 | 3,600 | 69.8 | 30.6 23 |
32.4 24 |
5.1 3 |
6.3 3 |
6.6 3 |
7.0 5 |
4.4 2 |
3.7 1 |
– | – | 2.2 3 |
– | 1.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 45] | 16 Nov–29 Dec 2021 | ? | ? | 33.5 23 |
26.5 18 |
3.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 7.0 4 |
10.3 7 |
4.3 3 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.7 4 |
– | 4.3 7 |
– | 7.0 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 46] | 30 Jun–13 Aug 2021 | 251 | ? | 30.9 22 |
29.5 22 |
3.4 1 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 7.3 4 |
10.1 7 |
4.7 2 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.3 5 |
– | 3.0 4 |
– | 1.4 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 47][p 48] | 12–19 Apr 2021 | 3,600 | 69.3 | 32.7 25 |
31.2 23 |
4.9 3 |
5.9 3 |
7.2 5 |
7.5 5 |
4.4 2 |
3.8 1 |
– | – | – | – | 1.5 |
| SyM Consulting[p 49][p 50] | 1–3 Mar 2021 | 1,938 | 65.7 | 33.5 26 |
23.2 16/17 |
5.3 2/4 |
6.9 4 |
6.6 4 |
12.8 8/9 |
5.4 3/5 |
2.5 1 |
– | – | – | – | 10.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 51] | 12 Jul–13 Aug 2020 | ? | ? | 30.7 24 |
25.5 20 |
8.1 4 |
8.1 4 |
5.1 2 |
8.9 5 |
3.6 2 |
2.9 1 |
– | – | 3.1 5 |
– | 5.2 |
| ? | 31.9 25 |
26.0 21 |
8.3 5 |
8.3 5 |
5.4 2 |
9.0 5 |
4.3 3 |
2.9 1 |
– | – | – | – | 5.9 | |||
| SyM Consulting[p 52][p 53] | 28–30 May 2020 | 1,952 | 68.2 | 28.8 22/24 |
25.4 19/20 |
7.2 4 |
8.2 4 |
5.7 3/4 |
14.4 9/11 |
4.8 3 |
2.0 0 |
– | – | – | – | 3.4 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 54][p 55] | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 33.2 26 |
26.5 21 |
8.7 5 |
8.4 5 |
5.4 2 |
7.8 5 |
4.2 2 |
2.9 1 |
– | – | – | – | 6.7 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 69.3 | 30.7 (23) |
23.9 (18) |
8.6 (4) |
[lower-alpha 2] | 0.3 (0) |
17.0 (11) |
– | [lower-alpha 2] | 10.8 (6) |
3.3 (1) |
2.8 (4) |
– | 6.8 |
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 66.2 | 30.8 24 |
20.9 16 |
16.7 12 |
8.1 5 |
6.3 3 |
6.1 3 |
5.1 3 |
3.3 1 |
– | – | – | – | 9.9 |
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Existe | .svg.png.webp){kind=small} |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 17] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 1,556 | 22.1 | 25.2 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | – | – | 2.2 | 26.6 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| CIS[p 36] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 324 | 28.7 | 17.0 | 0.9 | [lower-alpha 2] | 2.6 | 4.8 | – | [lower-alpha 2] | 5.0 | – | 2.6 | 29.3 | 4.5 | 11.7 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 21.8 | 16.9 | 6.1 | [lower-alpha 2] | 0.2 | 12.1 | 0.0 | [lower-alpha 2] | 7.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | — | 28.5 | 4.9 |
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 20.8 | 14.1 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.2 | – | – | – | — | 31.9 | 6.7 |
Preferred President
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Aragon.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | .jpg.webp) |
.jpg.webp) |
.jpg.webp) |
 |
.jpg.webp) |
.jpg.webp) |
.jpg.webp) |
.jpg.webp) |
.jpg.webp) |
.jpg.webp) |
.jpg.webp) |
.jpg.webp) |
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lambán PSOE |
Azcón PP |
Pérez CS |
Ortas CS |
Díaz Podemos |
Soro CHA |
Morón Vox |
Nolasco Vox |
Aliaga PAR |
Izquierdo PAR |
Sanz IU |
Guitarte Existe | ||||||
| IMOP/El Confidencial[p 14] | 2–3 May 2023 | 1,048 | 28.7 | 19.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.0 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 28] | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 30.2 | 29.4 | – | 3.0 | 6.2 | 5.5 | – | 9.6 | – | 2.9 | 3.1 | 10.1 | – | – | 0.8 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 56] | 14–18 Jan 2023 | 1,400 | 33.4 | 32.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 34.3 | 1.1 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 40] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,200 | 24.9 | 31.7 | 4.0 | – | 6.0 | 6.1 | 11.3 | – | 5.7 | – | 3.5 | 6.8 | – | – | 6.8 |
Results
Overall
 | ||||||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 237,817 | 35.51 | +14.64 | 28 | +12 | |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 197,919 | 29.55 | –1.29 | 23 | –1 | |
| Vox (Vox) | 75,349 | 11.25 | +5.17 | 7 | +4 | |
| Aragonese Union (CHA) | 34,163 | 5.10 | –1.16 | 3 | ±0 | |
| Exists Coalition (Existe) | 33,190 | 4.96 | New | 3 | +3 | |
| We Can–Green Alliance (Podemos–AV) | 26,923 | 4.02 | –4.09 | 1 | –4 | |
| United Left of Aragon (IU) | 20,959 | 3.13 | –0.19 | 1 | ±0 | |
| Aragonese Party (PAR) | 13,988 | 2.09 | –2.99 | 1 | –2 | |
| Citizens–You Aragon (CS–Tú Aragón) | 8,595 | 1.28 | –15.39 | 0 | –12 | |
| Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)1 | 3,343 | 0.50 | –0.18 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB) | 2,860 | 0.43 | +0.21 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Federation of Independents of Aragon (FIA) | 1,248 | 0.19 | +0.07 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Greens Equo (Equo) | 1,156 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) | 878 | 0.13 | +0.05 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Lower Cinca Between Everyone (ETXSBC) | 541 | 0.08 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 10,846 | 1.62 | +0.64 | |||
| Total | 669,775 | 67 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 669,775 | 98.77 | –0.56 | |||
| Invalid votes | 8,337 | 1.23 | +0.56 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 678,112 | 66.54 | +0.38 | |||
| Abstentions | 340,938 | 33.46 | –0.38 | |||
| Registered voters | 1,019,050 | |||||
| Sources[34] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Distribution by constituency
| Constituency | PP | PSOE | Vox | CHA | Existe | Podemos | IU | PAR | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Huesca | 35.2 | 8 | 30.1 | 7 | 10.1 | 2 | 5.5 | 1 | 3.2 | − | 3.9 | − | 2.6 | − | 3.3 | − |
| Teruel | 31.1 | 5 | 22.8 | 4 | 10.5 | 1 | 2.0 | − | 20.7 | 3 | 1.9 | − | 2.2 | − | 6.5 | 1 |
| Zaragoza | 36.2 | 15 | 30.5 | 12 | 11.6 | 4 | 5.5 | 2 | 3.0 | − | 4.4 | 1 | 3.4 | 1 | 1.1 | − |
| Total | 35.5 | 28 | 29.6 | 23 | 11.2 | 7 | 5.1 | 3 | 5.0 | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | 3.1 | 1 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Sources[34] | ||||||||||||||||
Aftermath
| Investiture Jorge Azcón (PP) | ||
| Ballot → | 10 August 2023 | |
|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 34 out of 67  | |
36 / 67 | ||
31 / 67 | ||
| Abstentions | 0 / 67 | |
| Absentees | 0 / 67 | |
| Sources[35] | ||
Notes
- Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
- Within Unidas Podemos.
- Vote+Simpathy figures with undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.
References
- Opinion poll sources
- "El PP sería el partido más votado, pero el Gobierno de Aragón dependería otra vez de pactos". CARTV (in Spanish). 28 May 2023.
- "Elecciones autonómicas: El PP arrebataría al PSOE la Comunidad Valenciana, Castilla-La Mancha y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
- "La España Vaciada decidirá el gobierno de Aragón entre la izquierda o la derecha". Público (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- "El PP de Azcón derrota al PSOE de Lambán pero deberá pactar con Vox y Aragón Existe para gobernar". OKDiario (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- "PP y Vox rozan la mayoría absoluta en Aragón y dejan a Lambán en manos de la España vaciada". El Debate (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
- "Más que una encuesta: este partido será clave para decidir gobierno en Aragón". El Plural (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- "EP Autonómico (20My – Final): nos espera un 28M de infarto". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- "El PP ganaría las elecciones pero Aragón Existe sería clave para definir el Gobierno". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- "El PP se dispara en Aragón y puede echar a Lambán con apoyo de Vox". El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
- "[AUT] ARAGÓN. Encuesta SigmaDos 19/05/2023: PODEMOS 4,5% (2/5), IU 2,5% (1), CHA 6,2% (3), PSOE 32,7% (23/26), AE 3,1% (2/3), PAR 1,8%, CS 1,3%, PP 36,4% (26/28), VOX 9,7% (6/8)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
- "Lambán en peligro: la derecha lograría la mayoría absoluta si se mantiene la tendencia". El Español (in Spanish). 15 May 2023.
- "Todo depende de este partido político en Aragón si acierta el último estudio electoral". El Plural (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- "Empate técnico del PP y PSOE en Aragón: Teruel Existe decidirá el próximo Gobierno". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 9 May 2023.
- "En Aragón, este partido decidirá si gobierna el PP o el PSOE según el último estudio electoral". El Plural (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
- "Preelectoral elecciones municipales y autonómicas 2023. Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
- "Estimación de voto. Municipios, grandes ciudades y Comunidades Autónomas (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
- "Aragón Existe / clave en un escenario muy apretado". El Plural (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
- "El PP alcanza a Lambán y Aragón Existe tendrá la llave del gobierno regional". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 23 April 2023.
- "PP y PSOE amplían su hegemonía y ambos tendrían opciones de gobernar con pactos". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2023.
- "Aragón / Subida del PP ante un parlamento muy fragmentado en el que no podría gobernar". El Plural (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.
- "Los populares, a siete escaños de la mayoría absoluta en Aragón". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Aragón / La izquierda y partidos regionalistas superan por mucho a la suma de PP y Vox". El Plural (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
- "Azcón aventaja a Lambán en 4,5 puntos pero Aragón Existe decidiría con sus 6 diputados quién gobierna". El Español (in Spanish). 13 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Aragón / Aragón Existe decidirá el gobierno de la región". El Plural (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
- "EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
- "El PP de Azcón se dispara en Aragón pero un cuatripartito nuevo salvaría a Lambán". El Mundo (in Spanish). 7 April 2023.
- "[AUT] ARAGÓN. Encuesta SigmaDos 07/04/2023: PODEMOS 5,7% (3/4), IU 4,0% (1), CHA 5,2% (3), PSOE 31,2% (23/24), AE 4,6% (4/5), PAR 1,8%, CS 3,5% (1), PP 33,4% (25), VOX 9,3% (5/7)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 7 April 2023.
- "EP Aragón (31M): Populares y Socialistas empatan en escaños". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 March 2023.
- "El PP ganaría las elecciones en Aragón pero necesitaría el apoyo de Vox y el PAR para gobernar". El Debate (in Spanish). 23 January 2023.
- "EP Aragón (31Dic): Aragón Existe y el PAR, decisivos". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 December 2022.
- "Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico (Estudio nº 3386. Noviembre-diciembre 2022)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 December 2022.
- "Estimación de escaños elecciones autonómicas (Estudio nº 3386. Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 December 2022.
- "Lambán resiste pese al 'sorpasso' del PP y por la incompatibilidad de Vox con todos sus socios". El Mundo (in Spanish). 21 November 2022.
- "ARAGÓN. Encuesta SigmaDos 21/11/2022: PODEMOS 8,0% (5/6), IU 3,8% (1), CHA 8,1% (4/5), PSOE 28,5% (20/21), AE 4,4% (2/4), PAR 3,3% (2/3), Cs 1,8%, PP 29,6% (21/23), VOX 10,9% (7/8)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 21 November 2022.
- "El PP arrebataría hoy Aragón a los socialistas: aventaja en 5 puntos a Lambán pese a no tener aún candidato". El Español (in Spanish). 12 October 2022.
- "Un empate técnico de PP y PSOE y la debacle de Cs permitirían a Lambán repetir el cuatripartito en Aragón". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 12 October 2022.
- "EP (Aragón 1Oct): bajada de Aragón Existe y del PSOE. Seguiría un gobierno multipartito". Electomanía (in Spanish). 1 October 2022.
- "ElectoPanel Aragón (15My): bajada del PSOE. Aragón Existe desciende ligeramente". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 May 2022.
- "El PP ganaría las elecciones, pero el Gobierno dependerá de pactos con múltiples partidos". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2022.
- "EP Aragón (30D): Aragón Existe lograría 7 diputados, alcanzando en escaños a Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 December 2021.
- "EP Aragón (15Ag): empate PP-PSOE con UP y TEx marcando el próximo Gobierno". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 August 2021.
- "El PSOE podría reeditar su cuatripartito en Aragón a pesar de que la debacle de Ciudadanos impulsa al PP". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2021.
- "ARAGÓN. Encuesta A+M 23/04/2021: IU 3,8% (1), PODEMOS-EQUO 5,9% (3), CHA 7,2% (5), PSOE 32,7% (25), PAR 4,4% (2), Cs 4,9% (3), PP 31,2% (23), VOX 7,5% (5)". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 April 2021.
- "Estimación Marzo 2021. Aragón. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 10 March 2021.
- "ARAGÓN. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/03/2021: IU 2,5% (1), PODEMOS-EQUO 6,9% (4), CHA 6,6% (4), PSOE 33,5% (26), PAR 5,4% (3/5), Cs 5,3% (2/4), PP 23,2% (16/17), VOX 12,8% (8/9)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 March 2021.
- "EP Autonómico (15Ag): Teruel Existe sería clave en Aragón, con los dos bloques muy igualados. Múltiple empate en Andalucía". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 August 2020.
- "Estimación Mayo 2020. Aragón. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 3 June 2020.
- "ARAGÓN. Encuesta SyM Consulting 03/06/2020: IU 2,0%, PODEMOS-EQUO 8,2% (4), CHA 5,7% (3/4), PSOE 28,8% (22/24), PAR 4,8% (3), Cs 7,2% (4), PP 25,4% (19/20), VOX 14,4% (9/11)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 June 2020.
- "EP (17My): Aragón – Lambán sube, y el PP también". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- "Un duelo en la cumbre para liderar Aragón". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 22 January 2023.
- Other
- "Ley Orgánica 5/2007, de 20 de abril, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Aragón". Organic Law No. 5 of 20 April 2007. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
{{cite book}}:|work=ignored (help) - Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
- Araque Conde, Pilar (8 June 2022). "El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 31 July 2022.
- "Ley 2/1987, de 16 de febrero, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón". Law No. 2 of 12 February 1987. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
{{cite book}}:|work=ignored (help) - "Decreto de 3 de abril de 2023, del Presidente de Aragón, por el que se convocan elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón". Boletín Oficial de Aragón (in Spanish) (65): 13633–13634. 4 April 2023. ISSN 2695-3900.
- Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
- "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
{{cite book}}:|work=ignored (help) - Dávila, Carlos (5 November 2021). "Persistente runrún electoral". El Día de Valladolid (in Spanish). Retrieved 9 November 2021.
- Hernández, Marisol; Robero, Juanma (14 October 2021). "Puig y Moreno Bonilla se miran de reojo para adelantar las elecciones". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 9 November 2021.
- Alonso Giménez, Ángel (6 November 2021). "El botón rojo electoral de Lambán: tres motivos para adelantar elecciones y otros tres en contra". El Periódico de España (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 9 November 2021.
- "El presidente de Aragón descarta adelantar las elecciones en la comunidad autónoma" (in Spanish). Zaragoza: Europa Press. 11 November 2021. Retrieved 12 November 2021.
- "Grupos parlamentarios". Cortes of Aragon (in Spanish). 21 June 2019. Retrieved 12 October 2020.
- "Lambán presentará su candidatura a la reelección como secretario general del PSOE Aragón la semana próxima" (in Spanish). Zaragoza: Europa Press. 27 August 2021. Retrieved 23 September 2021.
- "Javier Lambán se presentará a la reelección en 2023". El Periódico (in Spanish). Zaragoza. 19 April 2022. Retrieved 23 April 2022.
- "Lambán confirma su candidatura para ser reelegido presidente de Aragón en 2023". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). OTR Press. 5 September 2022. Retrieved 19 September 2022.
- "Luis María Beamonte no repetirá como presidente del PP de Aragón en el congreso regional de diciembre" (in Spanish). Madrid: Europa Press. 29 October 2021. Retrieved 7 November 2021.
- Carnicero, Laura (19 December 2021). "Jorge Azcón coge el mando del PP de Aragón y abre una nueva etapa". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 19 December 2021.
- Alonso, Jorge (16 December 2022). "Azcón ratifica su pulso a Lambán en las elecciones: "El PP es la única alternativa ante tanto disparate de la izquierda"". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 16 December 2022.
- Pérez Sorribes, Eva María (21 March 2023). "El PP en Aragón suma a la plataforma Aragoneses, escindidos del PAR, como grupo independiente". El País (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
- Martín, Ignacio (22 March 2023). "Cs designa a Ortas presidente y a Pérez Calvo candidato a Zaragoza". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
- Alonso, Jorge (13 April 2023). "Cs y Tú Aragón sellan su coalición con el fin de condicionar el próximo Ejecutivo aragonés". Heraldo (in Spanish). Retrieved 13 April 2023.
- "Maru Díaz, confirmada como candidata de Podemos Aragón para las autonómicas". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 5 November 2022. Retrieved 17 April 2023.
- Núñez, Rubén Darío (12 November 2022). "CHA proclama a José Luis Soro como candidato a la presidencia de Aragón". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 March 2023.
- Fuentes, Mónica (23 December 2022). "Alejandro Nolasco, concejal en Teruel, será el candidato de Vox a la Presidencia de Aragón". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 January 2023.
- "El PAR proclama a Alberto Izquierdo como candidato a la presidencia del Gobierno de Aragón". La Comarca (in Spanish). 10 March 2023. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
- "La escisión de Cs se alía con el PAR y aporta una veintena de listas en Zaragoza y Teruel". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 4 April 2023. Retrieved 5 April 2023.
- "Álvaro Sanz volverá a encabezar la candidatura autonómica de IU por Zaragoza". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). EFE. 21 November 2022. Retrieved 17 April 2023.
- "Teruel Existe se presentará a las elecciones municipales y autonómicas". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 1 June 2021. Retrieved 1 June 2021.
- "Tomás Guitarte, candidato de Teruel Existe a la Presidencia del Gobierno de Aragón". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Teruel. 28 January 2023. Retrieved 29 January 2023.
- Rodríguez Martínez, Marta; Abellán Matamoros, Cristina; Amiel, Sandrine (1 April 2019). "The 'Revolt of Empty Spain': Why is Spain's rural world protesting?". Euronews. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
- Navarro, Juan (20 September 2021). "La España Vacía concurrirá a las elecciones". El País (in Spanish). Valladolid. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
- Carnicero, Laura (12 December 2021). "La España Vaciada arma su proyecto para presentarse en las tres provincias de Aragón". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 1 January 2022.
- "Teruel centra el debate de los candidatos aragoneses en la televisión autonómica". elDiario.es. 17 May 2023. Retrieved 19 May 2023.
- "Acuerdo de la Junta Electoral de Aragón, de 9 de junio de 2023, por el que se ordena la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón". Boletín Oficial de Aragón (in Spanish). Gobierno de Aragón (115): 24835–24864. 19 June 2023. ISSN 9941-3256.
- Coll, Vicente (10 August 2023). "Jorge Azcón, investido presidente de Aragón en una nueva coalición entre el PP y Vox con el apoyo del PAR". El Mundo (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 23 August 2023.
| Elections in Aragon | |
|---|---|
| Regional elections | |
| General elections | |
| European Parliament elections | |
| Local elections | |