2022 Oregon gubernatorial election
The 2022 Oregon gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Oregon. The incumbent governor, Democrat Kate Brown, took office on February 18, 2015, upon the resignation of John Kitzhaber.[1] She was subsequently elected in the gubernatorial special election in 2016,[2] and was re-elected to a full term in 2018.[3] Due to term limits, she was ineligible for re-election in 2022.[4]
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Turnout | 66.9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Kotek: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% Drazan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Oregon |
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The Oregonian anticipated the election to have "the first competitive Democratic primary in more than a decade and potentially the closest such race since 2002."[5] Willamette Week anticipated a "wide open field of Democrats", citing the lack of an incumbent.[6] Almost 20 Republican Party candidates ran for the office, including two previous nominees for governor in 1998 and 2016,[7][8] as well as 15 Democrats and some non-affiliates/third-party members.[9] This was the state’s first gubernatorial election since 2002 in which there was no current or former governor on the ballot.
In the May 17 primary elections, former Oregon House Speaker Tina Kotek was declared the winner of the Democratic primary half an hour after the ballot deadline.[10] The next day, former House Minority Leader Christine Drazan was determined to have won the Republican primary.[11] Notably, the general election featured three prominent female candidates, including former state senator Betsy Johnson, who was a moderate Democrat, running as an independent.
Oregon was considered a possible Republican pickup, as Kate Brown had the lowest approval rating of any governor in the United States at the time and Johnson could have siphoned votes from Kotek.[12][13][14] Nonetheless, Kotek narrowly won the election, becoming Oregon's 7th consecutive Democratic governor.[15] She became one of the first lesbian governors in the United States, along with Maura Healey in Massachusetts.[16]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Tina Kotek, former speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives (2013–2022)[17]
Eliminated in primary
- David Beem, former member of the Oregon Disabilities Commission[18]
- Julian Bell, critical care and pulmonary medicine specialist and candidate for governor in 2016[19]
- Wilson Bright, retired textile company operator[20]
- George Carrillo, program manager at the Oregon Health Authority and Marine Corps veteran[21]
- Michael Cross, software designer, commercial driver, and Republican nominee for Oregon attorney general in 2020[22]
- Ifeanyichukwu Diru, farmer and candidate for governor in 2014[23]
- Peter Hall, Haines city councilor and member of the Board of Directors of the League of Oregon Cities[24]
- Keisha Merchant, artist and creative designer[25]
- Tobias Read, Oregon state treasurer (endorsed Tina Kotek in the general election)[26][27]
- Patrick Starnes, former Independent Party of Oregon candidate for governor (2018)[28]
- David Stauffer, environmental inventor and perennial candidate[29]
- John Sweeney, owner of Canary Castle Gallery[30]
- Michael Trimble, cyclist and disability advocate[31][32]
- Genevieve Wilson, independent contractor[33]
Disqualified
- Nicholas Kristof, author and Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist at The New York Times[34] (found to not meet residency requirements by the Secretary of State's office and Oregon Supreme Court) (endorsed Tina Kotek in the general election)[35][36][37][38][39][40]
Withdrew
- Casey Kulla, Yamhill County commissioner (running for labor commissioner)[41][42]
- David Lavinsky, businessman[43][18]
- Nico Pucci, Oregon Health Authority operations and policy analyst[44]
- Peter Winter, non-profit project manager[45][46]
Declined
- Rukaiyah Adams, chief investment officer of the Meyer Memorial Trust[47][5]
- Julia Brim-Edwards, member of the Portland Public School Board[48]
- Shemia Fagan, Oregon secretary of state[47][5]
- Val Hoyle, Oregon labor commissioner (running for the U.S. House)[17]
- Deborah Kafoury, chair of the Multnomah County Commission and former state representative from the 18th and 43rd districts[47][48] (endorsed Tina Kotek)[49]
- Lynn Peterson, president of the Portland Metro Council[47] (endorsed Tina Kotek)[49]
- Ellen Rosenblum, Oregon attorney general[47][50] (endorsed Tina Kotek in the general election)
- Melissa Unger, executive director of Service Employees International Union Oregon chapter[51][52]
- Ted Wheeler, mayor of Portland and former Oregon state treasurer[48]
Debates
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant N Non-invitee |
||||||||
George Carillo | Tina Kotek | Tobias Read | Patrick Starnes | |||||
1[53] | Mar 18, 2022 | Oregon AFL–CIO | Michelle Damis | N | P | P | N | |
2[54] | Apr 22, 2022 | City Club of Portland | Laural Porter David Molko |
Video | N | P | P | N |
3[55] | May 3, 2022 | KOIN 6 News Pamplin Media Group |
Ken Boddie | Videos | P | P | P | P |
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts[56]
- Labor unions
- Oregon State Building and Construction Trades Council[57]
- Pineros y Campesinos Unidos del Noroeste[58]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 48 and 280[58]
- Oregon and Southern Idaho District Council of Laborers, LiUNA Locals 737 and 483[58]
- United Association of Plumbers and Steamfitters Local 290[58]
- Iron Workers District Council of the Pacific Northwest[58]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 5[58]
- Oregon Education Association[59]
- Oregon Nurses Association[60]
- Political parties
- Newspapers
- Willamette Week[62]
- The Bulletin[63]
- Eugene Weekly[64]
- The Oregonian[65]
- Portland Mercury[66]
- Pamplin Media Group (Portland Tribune)[67]
- The Source Weekly[68]
- Organizations
- Statewide officials
- Barbara Roberts, former governor of Oregon (1991–1995)[77]
- John Kitzhaber, former governor of Oregon (1995–2003 and 2011–2015)[78]
- Political parties
- Labor unions
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 555[80]
- Individuals
- Piers Morgan, television personality[81]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Tina Kotek |
Tobias Read |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | April 7–11, 2022 | 653 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 25% | 20% | 56% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tina Kotek | 275,301 | 57.63% | |
Democratic | Tobias Read | 156,017 | 32.66% | |
Democratic | Patrick Starnes | 10,524 | 2.20% | |
Democratic | George Carrillo | 9,365 | 1.96% | |
Democratic | Michael Trimble | 5,000 | 1.05% | |
Democratic | John Sweeney | 4,193 | 0.88% | |
Democratic | Julian Bell | 3,926 | 0.82% | |
Democratic | Wilson Bright | 2,316 | 0.48% | |
Democratic | Dave Stauffer | 2,302 | 0.48% | |
Democratic | Ifeanyichukwu Diru | 1,780 | 0.37% | |
Democratic | Keisha Marchant | 1,755 | 0.37% | |
Democratic | Genevieve Wilson | 1,588 | 0.33% | |
Democratic | Michael Cross | 1,342 | 0.28% | |
Democratic | David Beem | 1,308 | 0.27% | |
Democratic | Peter Hall | 982 | 0.21% | |
Total votes | 477,699 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
Nominee
- Christine Drazan, former minority leader of the Oregon House of Representatives (2019–2021) and state representative from the 39th district (2019–2022)[9]
Eliminated in primary
- Raymond Baldwin, general contractor[19]
- Bridget Barton, political consultant for Third Century Solutions[83] (endorsed Betsy Johnson in the general election)
- Court Boice, Curry County chair[19] (endorsed Christine Drazan in the general election)[84]
- David Burch[85]
- Jessica Gomez, member of the Business Oregon Commission and Oregon Institute of Technology Board of Trustees[86]
- Nick Hess, CEO & entrepreneur[87]
- Tim McCloud, business development analyst[88]
- Kerry McQuisten, mayor of Baker City[89]
- Brandon Merritt, business development manager[43]
- Bud Pierce, oncologist and nominee for governor in 2016[90] (endorsed Christine Drazan in the general election)[91]
- John Presco, president of Royal Rosamond Press[92]
- Stan Pulliam, mayor of Sandy[93] (endorsed Christine Drazan in the general election)[84]
- Amber Richardson, chiropractor[20]
- Bill Sizemore, general contractor, tax-reduction advocate, candidate for governor in 2010, and nominee in 1998[8]
- Stefan Galen Strek (Stregoi), painter and graphic design artist[94]
- Marc Thielman, former Alsea School District superintendent[95]
- Bob Tiernan, former state representative from the 24th district (1993–1997) and former chair of the Oregon Republican Party (2009–2011)[96]
Withdrew
- Angelique Bouvier, psychologist and business owner[97]
- Reed Christensen, former electrical engineer[98][99]
- Mark Duncan, fight instructor[100]
- John L. Fosdick III, customer service representative, Army veteran[97][101]
- Darin Harbick, businessman (running for U.S. Senate)[102]
- Jim Huggins, film producer, businessman and Air Force veteran (endorsed Kerry McQuisten)[103][104]
- Alexander Males, polyurethane manufacturing worker[105]
- Monte Sauer Jr., CEO of AmericaProud[106]
Declined
- Knute Buehler, former state representative from the 54th district (2015–2019), nominee for Secretary of State in 2012, and nominee for governor in 2018 (endorsed Betsy Johnson)[107][108]
- Dallas Heard, state senator from the 1st district and former chair of the Oregon Republican Party[109][110] (endorsed Christine Drazan in the general election)[84]
- Tim Knopp, minority leader of the Oregon Senate from the 27th district[48]
- Dennis Linthicum, state senator from the 28th district[109] (endorsed Christine Drazan in the general election)[84]
- Julie Parrish, former state representative from the 37th district (2011–2019)[48]
- Bill Post, former state representative from the 25th district (2015–2021) (ineligible due to out-of-state residency)[109]
- Tootie Smith, Clackamas County chair and former state representative from the 18th and 28th districts (2001–2003)[109] (endorsed Christine Drazan in the general election)[84]
Debates
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee |
|||||||||||||||||||||
1[111] | Apr 7, 2022 | Timber Unity | Denise Quinn Hunter Newton |
P | P | N | A | P | P | A | P | A | P | P | P | N | P | P | P | P | |
2[112] | Apr 21, 2022 | Central Oregon Daily The Bulletin |
Allen Schauffler Jerry O'Brien |
Video | N | N | N | N | P | N | N | N | N | N | P | P | N | N | N | N | P |
3[113] | Apr 22, 2022 | Linn County Republican Party | Adam Keaton | Video | P | N | P | N | A | N | P | P | P | P | N | N | P | P | N | P | A |
4[114] | Apr 28, 2022 | KOIN 6 News Pamplin Media Group |
Jeff Gianola | Videos | N | N | N | N | P | N | N | N | N | N | P | P | N | N | N | N | P |
5[115] | May 3, 2022 | City Club of Portland | Laural Porter David Molko |
Video | P | N | N | N | A | P | N | N | N | N | P | P | N | N | N | N | N |
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Oregon Right to Life PAC (co-endorsed with Bob Tiernan, Christine Drazan, and Bud Pierce)[116]
- Individuals
- Lars Larson, conservative talk radio host[117]
- Newspapers
- Organizations
- Oregon Right to Life PAC (co-endorsed with Bob Tiernan, Bridget Barton, and Bud Pierce)[116]
- Statewide official
- Bev Clarno, former Oregon secretary of state (2019–2021)[119] (also endorsed Betsy Johnson)
- Newspapers
- Newspapers
- Organizations
- Oregon Right to Life PAC (co-endorsed with Bridget Barton, Christine Drazan, and Bud Pierce)[116]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Bridget Barton |
Christine Drazan |
Jessica Gomez |
Kerry McQuisten |
Bud Pierce |
Stan Pulliam |
Bill Sizemore |
Marc Thielman |
Bob Tiernan |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nelson Research (R) | Apr 29 – May 2, 2022 | 514 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 3% | 19% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 3%[lower-alpha 2] | 27% |
Nelson Research (R) | Apr 11–13, 2022 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5%[lower-alpha 3] | 48% |
Fallon Research & Communications (R)[upper-alpha 2] | Early Nov 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 2% | 2% | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | 15%[lower-alpha 4] | 67% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christine Drazan | 85,255 | 22.99% | |
Republican | Bob Tiernan | 66,089 | 17.82% | |
Republican | Stan Pulliam | 41,123 | 11.09% | |
Republican | Bridget Barton | 40,886 | 11.02% | |
Republican | Bud Pierce | 32,965 | 8.89% | |
Republican | Marc Thielman | 30,076 | 8.12% | |
Republican | Kerry McQuisten | 28,727 | 7.74% | |
Republican | Bill Sizemore | 13,261 | 3.57% | |
Republican | Jessica Gomez | 9,970 | 2.69% | |
Republican | Tim McCloud | 4,400 | 1.19% | |
Republican | Nick Hess | 4,287 | 1.15% | |
Republican | Court Boice | 4,040 | 1.09% | |
Republican | Brandon Merritt | 3,615 | 0.97% | |
Republican | Reed Christensen | 3,042 | 0.82% | |
Republican | Amber Richardson | 1,924 | 0.52% | |
Republican | Raymond Baldwin | 459 | 0.12% | |
Republican | David Burch | 406 | 0.11% | |
Republican | John Presco | 174 | 0.05% | |
Republican | Stefan Strek | 171 | 0.05% | |
Total votes | 370,910 | 100.0% |
Independents and other parties
Candidates for general election
- R. Leon Noble (Libertarian Party)[121]
- Donice Noelle Smith, Army veteran and talk show host (Constitution Party)[122]
- Betsy Johnson, former Democratic state senator from Oregon's 16th Senate district (non-affiliated)[6][123][124]
Withdrew
- Nathalie Paravicini, naturopathic doctor (Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party)[125] (endorsed Kotek)[126]
Failed to qualify for general election
In order to be listed as candidates on the general election ballot, non-affiliated candidates for governor needed to collect 23,744 signatures from Oregon voters (1% of votes cast for president in the 2020 election).[127]
Not nominated
- Kevin Levy, real estate broker (Independent Party)[130][131]
- Paul Romero, refrigeration repair technician, Republican candidate for Oregon's 2nd congressional district in 2016 and 2018, and Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 (Constitution Party)[132][133]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[134] | Tossup | September 16, 2022 |
Inside Elections[135] | Tossup | October 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[136] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
Politico[137] | Tossup | October 3, 2022 |
RCP[138] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Fox News[139] | Tossup | September 20, 2022 |
538[140] | Lean D | November 8, 2022 |
Elections Daily[141] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
Debates
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Independent |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant | |||||||
Tina Kotek | Christine Drazan | Betsy Johnson | |||||
1[142] | July 29, 2022 | Oregon Newspaper Publishers Association | Mark Garber | Video | P | P | P |
2[143] | Sept. 27, 2022 | Oregon State University–Cascades KTVZ City Club of Central Oregon |
Cathy Marshall | Video (Part 1) Video (Part 2) |
P | P | P |
3[144] | Oct. 4, 2022 | KATU | Steve Dunn | Video | P | P | P |
4[145] | Oct. 6, 2022 | KOBI Southern Oregon University |
Craig Smullin | Video | P | P | P |
5[146] | Oct 19, 2022 | The Oregonian KGW |
Laurel Porter Hillary Borrud |
Video | P | P | P |
Endorsements
- U.S. executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–present), 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), former U.S. senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[147]
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), former U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[148]
- U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts[56]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. senator from Oregon[149]
- Ron Wyden, U.S. senator from Oregon[149]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont[150]
- U.S. representatives
- Suzanne Bonamici, U.S. representative from Oregon's 1st congressional district[149]
- Earl Blumenauer, U.S. representative from Oregon's 3rd congressional district[151]
- Statewide officials
- Kate Brown, governor of Oregon and former Oregon secretary of state[149]
- Tobias Read, Oregon state treasurer and 2022 governor candidate[27]
- State legislators
- Michael Dembrow, state senator from the 23rd district and former state representative from the 45th district[152]
- Jeff Golden, state senator from the 3rd district[153]
- Kayse Jama, state senator from the 24th district[154]
- Andrea Valderrama, state representative from the 47th district[155]
- Wlnsvey Campos, state representative from the 28th district[156]
- Rob Nosse, state representative from the 42nd district[157]
- Maxine Dexter, state representative from the 33rd district[158]
- Khanh Pham, state representative from the 46th district[159]
- Dacia Grayber, state representative from the 35th district[160]
- Native American tribes
- Labor unions
- Oregon State Building and Construction Trades Council[57]
- Pineros y Campesinos Unidos del Noroeste[58]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 48 and 280[58]
- Oregon and Southern Idaho District Council of Laborers, LiUNA Locals 737 and 483[58]
- United Association of Plumbers and Steamfitters Local 290[58]
- Iron Workers District Council of the Pacific Northwest[58]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 5[58]
- Oregon AFL-CIO[162]
- Oregon AFSCME[163]
- Political parties
- Newspapers
- Eugene Weekly[164]
- The Source Weekly[165]
- The Oregonian[166]
- Willamette Week[167]
- The Skanner[168]
- The Astorian[169]
- Organizations
- Basic Rights Oregon[69]
- LGBTQ Victory Fund[69]
- LPAC[69]
- Safety & Justice Oregon[70]
- Oregon League of Conservation Voters[58]
- EMILY's List[71]
- Planned Parenthood PAC of Oregon[72]
- Sierra Club Oregon Chapter[73]
- Giffords[74]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[162]
- Oregon Education Association[59]
- Oregon Nurses Association[60]
- Pro-Choice Oregon[170]
- Stand for Children Oregon[171]
- Human Rights Campaign[75]
- End Citizens United/Let America Vote[76]
- Individuals
- Nicholas Kristof, former New York Times journalist and disqualified 2022 governor candidate[40]
- Nathalie Paravicini, former 2022 Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party governor candidate[126]
- Liz Shuler, president of the AFL–CIO[172]
- Christina Stephenson, civil rights attorney and candidate for labor commissioner[173]
- Cecile Richards, former president of Planned Parenthood[174]
- Musicians
- U.S. representatives
- Cliff Bentz, U.S. representative from Oregon's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)[149]
- Statewide officials
- Glenn Youngkin, governor of Virginia[177]
- Larry Hogan, governor of Maryland[178]
- Chris Christie, former governor of New Jersey (2010–2018)[179]
- State legislators
- Tim Knopp, minority leader of the Oregon Senate (2021–present) and state senator from 27th district (2013–present)[180]
- Dallas Heard, state senator from the 1st district (2018–present) and former state representative from the 2nd district (2015–2018) and chair of the Oregon Republican Party (2021–2022)[181]
- Bill Kennemer, state senator from the 20th district (2021–present) and 12th district (1987–1997) and former state representative from the 39th district (2009–2019)[181]
- Dennis Linthicum, state senator from the 28th district (2017–present) and former Klamath County commissioner (2009–2015)[181]
- Neil Bryant, former state senator from the 27th district (1993–2001)[181]
- Mark Simmons, former speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives (2001–2003) and state representative from the 58th district (1997–2003)[149]
- Vikki Breese-Iverson, minority leader of the Oregon House of Representatives (2021–present) and state representative from the 55th district (2019–present)[180]
- Wayne Scott, former minority leader of the Oregon House of Representatives (2007–2009) and state representative from the 39th district (2003–2009)[181]
- Kim Wallan, minority whip of the Oregon House of Representatives (2019–present) and state representative from the 6th district (2019–present)[181]
- Daniel Bonham, state representative from the 59th district (2017–present)[181]
- Shelly Boshart Davis, state representative from the 15th district (2019–present)[181]
- Jessica George, state representative from the 25th district (2021–present)[181]
- Christine Goodwin, state representative from the 2nd district (2021–present)[181]
- Cedric Hayden, state representative from the 7th district (2015–present)[181]
- James Hieb, state representative from the 39th district (2022–present)[181]
- Bobby Levy, state representative from the 58th district (2021–present)[181]
- Rick Lewis, state representative from the 18th district (2017–present) and former mayor of Silverton (2015–2017)[181]
- Raquel Moore-Green, state representative from the 19th district (2019–present)[181]
- Lily Morgan, state representative from the 3rd district (2021–present)[181]
- Ron Noble, state representative from the 24th district (2017–present)[181]
- Mark Owens, state representative from the 60th district (2020–present)[181]
- E. Werner Reschke, state representative from the 56th district (2017–present)[182]
- Anna Scharf, state representative from the 23rd district (2021–present)[181]
- David Brock Smith, state representative from the 1st district (2017–present)[181]
- Greg Smith, state representative from the 57th district (2003–present) and 59th district (2001–2003)[181]
- Duane Stark, state representative from the 4th district (2015–present)[181]
- Kim Thatcher, state senator from the 13th district (2015–present) and former state representative from the 25th district (2005–2015)[181]
- Boomer Wright, state representative from the 9th district (2021–present)[181]
- Jack Zika, state representative from the 53rd district (2019–present)[181]
- Local officials
- Kevin Cameron, Marion County commissioner (2014–present) and former state representative from the 19th district (2005–2014)[181]
- Tim Freeman, Douglas County commissioner (2015–present) and former state representative from the 2nd district (2009–2015)[181]
- Sherrie Sprenger, Linn County commissioner (2021–present) and former state representative from the 17th district (2008–2021)[181]
- Stan Pulliam, mayor of Sandy and 2022 governor candidate[149]
- Organizations
- National Federation of Independent Business Oregon[183]
- Oregon Association of Realtors[184]
- Oregon Chiefs of Police Association (co-endorsed with Betsy Johnson)[185]
- Oregon Coalition of Police & Sheriffs (co-endorsed with Betsy Johnson)[185]
- Oregon Farm Bureau[186]
- Oregon Right to Life PAC[116]
- Oregon State Sheriffs’ Association (co-endorsed with Betsy Johnson)[185]
- Republican Governors Association[187]
- Right Direction Women[188]
- Timber Unity[189]
- Individuals
- Lars Larson, conservative talk radio host[190]
- Bud Pierce, oncologist, nominee for governor in 2016 and candidate in 2022[91]
- U.S. executive branch officials
- Billy J. Williams, former U.S. attorney for the District of Oregon (2015–2021)[189] (Independent)
- U.S. senators
- Gordon Smith, former U.S. senator from Oregon (1997–2009)[191] (Republican)
- U.S. representatives
- Darlene Hooley, former U.S. representative from Oregon's 5th congressional district[192] (Democratic)
- Kurt Schrader, U.S. representative from Oregon's 5th congressional district[193] (Democratic)
- Statewide officials
- Ted Kulongoski, former governor of Oregon (2003–2011)[191] (Democratic)
- Bev Clarno, former Oregon secretary of state (2019–2021)[119] (Republican)
- Jack Roberts, former Oregon labor commissioner (1995–2003)[184] (Republican)
- State legislators
- Margaret Carter, former president pro tempore of the Oregon state Senate (2005–2009) and former chair of the Oregon Democratic Party[180] (Democratic)
- Herman Baertschiger, Jackson County commissioner, and former chair of the Oregon Republican Party and minority leader of the Oregon state Senate[194] (Republican)
- Lee Beyer, state senator from the 6th district[152] (Democratic)
- Brian Boquist, state senator from the 12th district[152] (Independent Party of Oregon)
- Sal Esquivel, former state senator from the 3rd district (2004–2005) and state representative from the 6th district (2005–2019)[184] (Republican)
- Frank Morse, former state senator from the 8th district (2003–2012)[184] (Republican)
- Phil Lang, former speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives (1975–1978)[180] (Democratic)
- Larry Campbell, former speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives (1991–1995)[184] (Republican)
- Andy Olson, former speaker pro tempore of the Oregon House of Representatives[184] (Republican)
- Knute Buehler, former state representative from the 54th district (2015–2019), Republican nominee for Secretary of State in 2012, and Republican nominee for governor in 2018[108] (Independent)
- Mike Nearman, former state representative from the 23rd district (2015–2021) (Republican) (rejected by Johnson)[195]
- Labor unions
- Oregon Machinists Council[196]
- Newspapers
- Organizations
- Oregon State Sheriffs’ Association (co-endorsed with Christine Drazan)[185]
- Oregon Chiefs of Police Association (co-endorsed with Christine Drazan)[185]
- Fraternal Order of Police Oregon Lodge[185]
- Oregon Coalition of Police & Sheriffs (co-endorsed with Christine Drazan)[185]
- Eugene Police Employees’ Association[185]
- Crime Victims United of Oregon[185]
- Tigard Chamber of Commerce[200]
- Individuals
- Gerry Frank, former chief of staff to U.S. Senator Mark Hatfield and Oregon travel author (deceased) (Republican)[201]
- Andrew Yang, businessman, and Democratic candidate for the 2020 presidential election and the 2021 New York City mayoral election[202] (Independent, Forward)
- Bridget Barton, political consultant for Third Century Solutions and Republican 2022 governor candidate[203] (Republican)
- Thomas Lauderdale, pianist of Pink Martini[204] (Democratic)
- Tim Boyle, CEO of Columbia Sportswear[204] (Democratic)
Polling
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Tina Kotek (D) |
Christine Drazan (R) |
Betsy Johnson (I) |
Other [lower-alpha 5] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 17 – November 6, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 42.3% | 41.0% | 11.5% | 5.2% | Kotek +1.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | June 29 – November 6, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 44.9% | 41.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | Kotek +3 |
270toWin | October 26 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 43.6% | 42.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | Kotek +1.4 |
Average | 43.6% | 42.0% | 9.5% | 4.9% | Kotek +1.6 |
- Graphical summary
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Tina Kotek (D) |
Christine Drazan (R) |
Betsy Johnson (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | November 1–6, 2022 | 1,393 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | 7% | 1%[lower-alpha 6] | – |
Emerson College | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 8% | 1%[lower-alpha 7] | 6% |
46% | 41% | 9% | 4%[lower-alpha 8] | – | ||||
Nelson Research | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 577 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 43% | 45% | 6% | 1%[lower-alpha 9] | 5% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | October 26 – November 1, 2022 | 585 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 41% | 10% | <1%[lower-alpha 10] | 4% |
FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 3] | October 24–26, 2022 | 741 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 38% | 13% | – | 8% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 18–22, 2022 | 1,161 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 40% | 42% | 13% | 1% | 4% |
Hoffman Research Group (R) | October 17–18, 2022 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 37% | 17% | – | 12% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 16–18, 2022 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 12% | – | 2% |
Civiqs | October 15–18, 2022 | 804 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 39% | 7% | 2%[lower-alpha 11] | 5% |
GBAO (D)[upper-alpha 3] | October 10–13, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 38% | 14% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 5] |
Clout Research (R) | October 8–9, 2022 | 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 44% | 11% | 1% | 5% |
Emerson College | September 29 – October 1, 2022 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 34% | 36% | 19% | 2%[lower-alpha 11] | 9% |
Clout Research (R) | September 23–26, 2022 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 35% | 39% | 16% | 2% | 8% |
DHM Research | September 23–24, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 31% | 32% | 18% | 4%[lower-alpha 12] | 15% |
33% | 35% | 21% | – | 12% | ||||
Nelson Research[upper-alpha 4] | September 19–20, 2022 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 33% | 19% | – | 16% |
Clout Research (R) | August 10–14, 2022 | 397 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 32% | 33% | 21% | – | 15% |
Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 5] | June 28–30, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 31% | 32% | 24% | – | 13% |
GS Strategy Group (I)[upper-alpha 6] | June 23–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 23% | 30% | – | 15% |
Nelson Research (R) | May 25–27, 2022 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 28% | 30% | 19% | – | 24% |
GS Strategy Group (I)[upper-alpha 6] | May 2022 | – (LV) | – | 34% | 24% | 22% | – | 20% |
GS Strategy Group (I)[upper-alpha 6] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 23% | 18% | 19% | – | 41% |
- Tina Kotek vs. Christine Drazan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Tina Kotek (D) |
Christine Drazan (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clout Research (R) | September 23–26, 2022 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 53% | – |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican vs. Betsy Johnson
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Betsy Johnson (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DHM Research | January 18–22, 2022 | 400 (A) | ± 4.9% | 31% | 22% | 11% | 36% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clout Research (R) | September 23–26, 2022 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 50% | – |
DHM Research | February 17–23, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 47% | 23% |
DHM Research | January 18–22, 2022 | 400 (A) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 31% | 29% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican vs. generic independent
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Generic Independent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DHM Research | February 17–23, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 16% | 26% | 21% | 37% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tina Kotek | 917,074 | 46.96% | -3.09% | |
Republican | Christine Drazan | 850,347 | 43.54% | -0.11% | |
Independent | Betsy Johnson | 168,431 | 8.63% | N/A | |
Constitution | Donice Noelle Smith | 8,051 | 0.41% | -0.72% | |
Libertarian | R. Leon Noble | 6,867 | 0.35% | -1.20% | |
Write-in | 2,113 | 0.11% | -0.05% | ||
Total votes | 1,952,883 | 100.00% | |||
Turnout | 1,997,689 | 66.91% | |||
Registered electors | 2,985,820 | ||||
Democratic hold | |||||
By county | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
By congressional district
Kotek won 3 of 6 congressional districts, with the remaining 3 going to Drazan, including one that elected a Democrat.[208]
District | Kotek | Drazan | Johnson | Representative |
---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 57% | 30% | 10% | Suzanne Bonamici |
2nd | 27% | 63% | 8% | Cliff Bentz |
3rd | 64% | 27% | 7% | Earl Blumenauer |
4th | 46% | 44% | 8% | Peter DeFazio (117th Congress) |
Val Hoyle (118th Congress) | ||||
5th | 42% | 47% | 9% | Kurt Schrader (117th Congress) |
Lori Chavez-DeRemer (118th Congress) | ||||
6th | 44% | 46% | 9% | Andrea Salinas |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Boice, Hess, and Merritt with 1%; Christensen and McCloud with <1%
- Merritt with 2%; Richardson and Romero with 1%; Hess with <1%
- Other with 12%, Heard with 3%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Noble with 1%; Smith and Romero with 0%
- Smith (C) with 1%; Noble (L); "Someone else" with <1%
- Smith (C) with 1%; Noble (L) with <1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- Noble with 1%; Smith with <1%
- Smith (C) with <1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- Noble (L) with 3%; Smith (C) with 1%
- Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by Read's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by John von Schlegell while considering a Republican primary run for governor
- Poll conducted for Kotek's campaign.
- Poll sponsored by Associated General Contractors Oregon-Columbia Chapter, which has donated $100,000 to both Drazan and Johnson[205]
- Poll sponsored by the Oregon State Senate Republican Caucus, which supports Drazan
- Poll sponsored by Johnson's campaign (GS Strategy Group typically works with Republican clients, not to be confused with Democratic pollster Global Strategy Group)
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External links
- Official campaign websites
- Christine Drazan (R) for Governor
- Betsy Johnson (I) for Governor
- Tina Kotek (D) for Governor
- R. Leon Noble (L) for Governor
- Donice Noelle Smith (C) for Governor