2022 Illinois gubernatorial election
The 2022 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Illinois, concurrently with the 2022 Illinois general election. Gubernatorial candidates ran on tickets with candidates for lieutenant governor. The incumbent governor and lieutenant governor, first-term Democrats J. B. Pritzker and Juliana Stratton, sought re-election together against Republican nominees Illinois State Senator Darren Bailey and his running mate Stephanie Trussell.
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Turnout | 50.96% 5.19 pp | |||||||||||||||||||
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Pritzker: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bailey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: No Vote: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Illinois |
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On election day, Pritzker won re-election with 54.9% of the vote, 0.4% higher than his 2018 performance, and the best raw vote percentage for a Democrat for governor since 1960. However, his margin of victory declined from 15.7% in 2018 to just 12.5% in 2022. Pritzker's victory was once again the result of a strong performance in the Chicago metropolitan area—containing a majority of the state's population—winning a lopsided victory in strongly Democratic Cook County, the home of Chicago, as well as winning all but one of the neighboring collar counties. Bailey improved upon former Republican governor Bruce Rauner's performance in 2018 by just under 4%, largely due to the absence of a strong third-party conservative candidate that appeared in 2018. Subsequently, Bailey was able to flip the counties of Alexander, Fulton, Jackson, Knox, and Winnebago which Pritzker previously won, while Pritzker managed to flip McLean county, marking the first time since 1948 that it has voted for a Democrat in a gubernatorial election.
Pritzker was the first Illinois governor to serve a full term and be reelected for a second since Rod Blagojevich in 2006. If Pritzker serves the entirety of his term, he would become the first Democratic governor in the state's history to serve two full four-year terms, as every other Democratic governor had either been impeached, died or resigned before finishing their second term.
Election information
The primaries and general elections will coincide with those for federal congressional races, the state's U.S. Senate race, and those for other state offices. The election will be part of the 2022 Illinois elections.
The primary election was held on June 28.[1] The general election was held on November 8, 2022.
Democratic primary
Nominee
- J. B. Pritzker, incumbent governor[2]
- Running mate: Juliana Stratton, incumbent lieutenant governor[2]
Eliminated in primary
- Beverly Miles, U.S. Army veteran, registered nurse and activist[3]
- Running mate: Karla Shaw[4]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Newspapers
- Labor unions
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
|
810,989 | 91.88% | |
Democratic |
|
71,704 | 8.12% | |
Total votes | 882,693 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
Nominee
- Darren Bailey, state senator[11]
- Running mate: Stephanie Trussell, former radio talk show host[12] from Lisle, Illinois.
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Irvin, mayor of Aurora[13]
- Running mate: Avery Bourne, state representative[13]
- Gary Rabine, businessman[14]
- Running mate: Aaron Del Mar, Palatine Township Republican Committeeman[15]
- Paul Schimpf, former state senator and nominee for Attorney General in 2014[16]
- Running mate: Carolyn Schofield, McHenry County Board member[17]
- Max Solomon, Attorney[4]
- Running Mate: Latasha Fields[18]
- Jesse Sullivan, venture capitalist[19][20][21]
- Running mate: Kathleen Murphy, former director of communications for state representative Jeanne Ives[22]
Declined
- Rodney Davis, U.S. Representative for Illinois's 13th congressional district (ran for re-election)[25]
- Kirk Dillard, chair of the Regional Transportation Authority, former state senator, and candidate for governor in 2010 and 2014[26]
- Adam Kinzinger, U.S. Representative for Illinois's 16th congressional district[27][28][29][30][31]
- Todd Ricketts, finance chair of the Republican National Committee, member of the TD Ameritrade Board of Directors, and co-owner of the Chicago Cubs[32]
Endorsements
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[33]
- U.S. Representatives
- Mary Miller, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 15th congressional district (2021–present)[34]
- State legislators
- Jeanne Ives, former state representative (2013–2019), candidate for governor in 2018 and nominee for Illinois's 6th congressional district in 2020[35]
- Chris Miller, state representative (2019–present)[34]
- Organizations
- U.S. Senators
- Mark Kirk, former U.S. Senator from Illinois (2010–2017) and former U.S. Representative from Illinois's 10th congressional district (2001–2010)[38]
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present) and former U.S. Representative from South Carolina's 1st congressional district (2011–2013)[38]
- U.S. Representatives
- John Shimkus, former U.S. Representative from Illinois's 15th congressional district (2013–2021)[38]
- U.S. Attorneys
- Dan Webb, former U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of Illinois (1981–1985), prosecutor in Operation Greylord[6]
- Statewide officeholders
- Evelyn Sanguinetti, former Lieutenant Governor of Illinois (2015–2019)[38]
- Leslie Munger, former Illinois Comptroller (2015–2016)[38]
- State legislators
- Jim Durkin, Minority Leader of Illinois House of Representatives[38]
- Jim Oberweis, former state senator, nominee for U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives, and candidate for Illinois Governor[38]
- Mark Batinick, state representative[38]
- Tim Butler, state representative[38]
- Adam Brown, state representative[38]
- Tim Ozinga, state representative[38]
- Dan Ugaste, state representative[38]
- Local officials
- Bob Berlin, DuPage County State's Attorney[38]
- Patrick Kenneally, McHenry County State's Attorney [38]
- Mike Downey, Kankakee County Sheriff [38]
- Sean Morrison, Cook County Commissioner and Chair of the Cook County Republican Party[38]
- Individuals
- Kenneth Griffin, entrepreneur and investor[39]
- Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity Action[40]
- Fraternal Order of Police Chicago Lodge 7[41]
- Illinois Trooper Lodge 41[42]
- Newspapers
- Labor unions
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency[43]
- Local officials
- Mark Curran, former Lake County Sheriff and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[44]
- Bill Prim, McHenry County Sheriff[44]
- Newspapers
- State legislators
- Chris Bos, state representative[46]
- Michael Connelly, former state senator[46]
- Norine Hammond, state representative[46]
- Tony McCombie, state representative[46]
- Ryan Spain, state representative[46]
- Organizations
- Lake County Republican Party[47]
- Republicans of Wheeling Township[48]
Polling
- Graphical summary
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Darren Bailey |
Richard Irvin |
Gary Rabine |
Paul Schimpf |
Max Solomon |
Jesse Sullivan |
Other [lower-alpha 1] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | June 6–13, 2022 | June 15, 2022 | 35.0% | 18.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 11.5% | 22.0% | Bailey +16.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Darren Bailey |
Richard Irvin |
Gary Rabine |
Paul Schimpf |
Max Solomon |
Jesse Sullivan |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ogden & Fry (R) | June 24, 2022 | 518 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 17% | – | 20% |
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 1] | June 20–22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 14% | 7% | 4% | <1% | 17% | 1%[lower-alpha 3] | 18% |
Remington Research Group (R)[upper-alpha 2] | June 14–15, 2022 | 889 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 27% | – | 26% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | June 10–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 38% | 20% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 12% | – | 16% |
Ogden & Fry (R) | June 11–12, 2022 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 11% | – | 30% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | June 6–7, 2022 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 32% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 11% | – | 27% |
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 1] | June 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 27% | 20% | 12% | 3% | – | 13% | – | 24% |
1892 Polling (R)[upper-alpha 3] | May 24–25, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 25% | 31% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 11% | – | 22% |
Emerson College | May 6–8, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 20% | 24% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% | – | 37% |
Cor Strategies (R) | April 29 – May 2, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 21% | 33% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 10% | – | 25% |
Cor Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 4] | April 18–21, 2022 | 536 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 13% | 30% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 38% |
Cor Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 4] | ~February 11, 2022 | – (LV) | – | 23% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 11% | – | 44% |
Ogden & Fry (R) | October 3–4, 2021 | 404 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 33% | – | 5% | 3% | – | 6% | 3% | 49% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
|
458,102 | 57.48% | |
Republican |
|
125,094 | 15.70% | |
Republican | 119,592 | 15.00% | ||
Republican |
|
52,194 | 6.55% | |
Republican |
|
34,676 | 4.35% | |
Republican |
|
7,371 | 0.92% | |
Total votes | 797,029 | 100.0% |
Libertarian convention
Nominee
- Scott Schluter, veteran, diesel technician, and chair of the Southern Illinois Libertarian Party[50]
- Running mate: John Phillips[51]
Other parties and independents
Declared but never filed
- Mancow Muller, radio personality[53]
Removed from ballot
- Tommy Belg[54]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[55] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[56] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[57] | Safe D | June 29, 2022 |
Politico[58] | Likely D | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[59] | Lean D | October 26, 2022 |
Fox News[60] | Solid D | August 22, 2022 |
538[61] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
Elections Daily[62] | Safe D | November 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States (2021–present)[63]
- Kamala Harris, 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–present)[64]
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)[65]
- Statewide officials
- Jesse White, Illinois Secretary of State (1999–2023)[66]
- Local officials
- Lori Lightfoot, Mayor of Chicago (2019–2023)[67]
- Organizations
- Equality Illinois[5]
- Human Rights Campaign[68]
- Cook County Democratic Party[69]
- 47th Ward Democrats[70]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[71]
- Planned Parenthood Illinois Action[71]
- National Organization for Women – Illinois[71]
- Democratic Governors Association[72]
- Associated Fire Fighters of Illinois[73]
- Giffords[74]
- Gun Violence Prevention PAC[74]
- Personal PAC[71]
- Labor unions
- Illinois AFL–CIO[7]
- United Mine Workers[75]
- International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150[8]
- American Federation of Teachers – Illinois[71]
- Communications Workers of America[71]
- Laborers' International Union of North America[73]
- National Education Association[76]
- Service Employees International Union – Illinois[71]
- Chicago Federation of Labor[71]
- Newspapers
- Chicago Tribune[77]
- Finger Lakes Times[78]
- eNews Park Forest[79]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[33]
- U.S. Representatives
- Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. Representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021)[80] (Independent)
- Mary Miller, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 15th congressional district (2021–present)[34]
- State legislators
- Dan McConchie, minority leader of the Illinois Senate (2021–2023) and state senator (2016–present)[81]
- Jeanne Ives, former state representative (2013–2019), candidate for governor in 2018 and nominee for Illinois's 6th congressional district in 2020[35]
- Chris Miller, state representative (2019–present)[34]
- Organizations
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | J.B Pritzker (D) | Darren Bailey (R) | Scott Schluter (L) | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | June 21– November 8, 2022 | 56.1% | 39.9% | 4.8% | Pritzker +16.2 |
- Graphical summary
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Darren Bailey (R) |
Scott Schluter (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research (R) | November 5–7, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 42% | 5% | – | 4% |
Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 56% | 37% | 2% | – | 5% |
Civiqs | October 22–25, 2022 | 659 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 56% | 39% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 5] | 1% |
Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 3% | 2%[lower-alpha 6] | 4% |
52% | 42% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 7] | – | ||||
University of Illinois Springfield | October 17 – 25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 40% | 5% | – | – |
Osage Research (R)[upper-alpha 5] | October 13–15, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | 4% | – | 10% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 34% | 8% | – | 9% |
Research America | October 5–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 28% | 6% | 4%[lower-alpha 8] | 13% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 1] | September 25–27, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
48% | 40% | 3% | – | 8% | ||||
Emerson College | September 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 36% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 9] | 8% |
Osage Research (R)[upper-alpha 5] | September 8–10, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 37% | 8% | – | 13% |
Victory Research (R) | August 30 – September 1, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 36% | 2% | – | 15% |
Victory Geek (D) | August 25–28, 2022 | 512 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 56% | 38% | – | – | 6% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 1] | August, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 38% | 3% | – | 10% |
52% | 42% | – | – | 6% | ||||
Victory Research (R) | July 17–19, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 39% | 2% | – | 10% |
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 1] | June 20–21, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | – | 7% |
Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 27% | – | – | 17% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. Richard Irvin
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Richard Irvin (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 53% | 22% | 25% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. Gary Rabine
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Gary Rabine (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 28% | 19% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. Paul Schimpf
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Paul Schimpf (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 56% | 22% | 22% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. Jesse Sullivan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Jesse Sullivan (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 53% | 22% | 25% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Geek (D) | November 8–10, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. generic opponent
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research (R) | July 17–19, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 1] | June 20–21, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 1] | June 20–21, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Debates
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee
W Withdrawn |
||||||
J. B. Pritzker | Darren Bailey | |||||
October 6, 2022 | Illinois State University | YouTube | P | P | ||
October 18, 2022 | NewsNation | YouTube | P | P |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
|
2,253,748 | 54.91% | +0.38% | |
Republican |
|
1,739,095 | 42.37% | +3.54% | |
Libertarian |
|
111,712 | 2.72% | +0.32% | |
Write-in | 81 | 0.0% | -0.01% | ||
Total votes | 4,104,636 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | % | ||||
Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- McLean (Largest city: Bloomington)
By congressional district
Pritzker won 14 of 17 congressional districts.[85]
District | Pritzker | Bailey | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 68% | 30% | Bobby Rush (117th Congress) |
Jonathan Jackson (118th Congress) | |||
2nd | 66% | 32% | Robin Kelly |
3rd | 68% | 29% | Marie Newman (117th Congress) |
Delia Ramirez (118th Congress) | |||
4th | 69% | 29% | Chuy García |
5th | 70% | 28% | Mike Quigley |
6th | 53% | 44% | Sean Casten |
7th | 85% | 13% | Danny Davis |
8th | 55% | 42% | Raja Krishnamoorthi |
9th | 71% | 26% | Jan Schakowsky |
10th | 61% | 35% | Brad Schneider |
11th | 55% | 42% | Bill Foster |
12th | 25% | 72% | Mike Bost |
13th | 53% | 44% | Nikki Budzinski |
14th | 52% | 45% | Lauren Underwood |
15th | 29% | 69% | Mary Miller |
16th | 37% | 60% | Darin LaHood |
17th | 49% | 48% | Cheri Bustos (117th Congress) |
Eric Sorensen (118th Congress) |
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Johnson with 1%, Smith with <1%
- Johnson with 2%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- "Other" with 0%; "None" with 4%
- "Someone else" with 5%
- Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by People Who Play by the Rules PAC, which supports Bailey
- This poll was sponsored by Sullivan's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Irvin's camapign
- Poll conducted for an undisclosed client
- Poll conducted for Bailey's campaign.
References
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- @NapervillePol (December 23, 2022). "Since the Illinois State Board of Election released the precincts I managed to calculate how statewide candidates in each congressional districts. Here's map for governor" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
External links
- Official campaign websites