2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the state of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts. The state's primary election occurred on June 2, 2020. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

November 3, 2020

All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 9 9
Seats won 9 9
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 3,432,595 3,346,712
Percentage 50.63% 49.37%
Swing Increase 5.88% Decrease 5.66%

Overview

Statewide

Popular vote
Republican
50.63%
Democratic
49.37%
House seats
Republican
50.00%
Democratic
50.00%

District

Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania by district:[1]

District Republican Democratic Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1249,80456.56%191,87543.44%441,679100.0%Republican hold
District 275,02227.46%198,14072.54%273,162100.0%Democratic hold
District 333,6718.97%341,70891.03%375,379100.0%Democratic hold
District 4179,92640.47%264,63759.53%444,563100.0%Democratic hold
District 5139,55235.3%255,74364.7%395,295100.0%Democratic hold
District 6177,52643.95%226,44056.05%403,966100.0%Democratic hold
District 7181,40747.87%195,47552.13%376,882100.0%Democratic hold
District 8165,78348.22%178,00451.78%343,787100.0%Democratic hold
District 9232,98866.33%118,26633.67%351,254100.0%Republican hold
District 10208,89653.31%182,93846.69%391,834100.0%Republican hold
District 11241,91563.12%141,32536.88%383,240100.0%Republican hold
District 12241,03570.84%99,19929.16%340,234100.0%Republican hold
District 13267,78973.49%96,61226.51%364,401100.0%Republican hold
District 14241,68864.69%131,89535.31%373,583100.0%Republican hold
District 15255,05873.46%92,15626.54%347,214100.0%Republican hold
District 16210,08859.34%143,96240.66%354,050100.0%Republican hold
District 17212,28448.85%222,25351.15%434,537100.0%Democratic hold
District 18118,16330.75%266,08469.25%384,247100.0%Democratic hold
Total3,432,59550.63%3,346,71249.37%6,779,307100.0%

District 1

2020 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election

 
Nominee Brian Fitzpatrick Christina Finello
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 249,804 191,875
Percentage 56.6% 43.4%

Precinct results
Fitzpatrick:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Finello:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. representative before election

Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican

The 1st district consists of all of Bucks County and a sliver of Montgomery County. The incumbent is Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Andy Meehan, president of investment advisory firm[3]

Endorsements

Brian Fitzpatrick
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 48,017 63.2
Republican Andy Meehan 27,895 36.8
Total votes 75,912 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Skylar Hurwitz, owner of Demetrius Consulting, a technology consulting firm[12]
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Christina Finello
U.S. presidents
Skylar Hurwitz
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Christina Finello 71,571 77.5
Democratic Skylar Hurwitz 20,737 22.5
Total votes 92,308 100.0
Nominee

Debate

2020 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Brian Fitzpatrick Christina Finello
1 Oct. 6, 2020 YouTube P P

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Lean R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Lean R October 1, 2020
Politico[24] Tossup November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Tossup October 26, 2020
RCP[26] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Lean R June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Lean R August 21, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Lean R September 3, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Brian
Fitzpatrick (R)
Christina
Finello (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) Archived October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] October 6–7, 2020 569 (LV) 46% 47% 7%
Global Strategy Group (D)[upper-alpha 2] October 1–4, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 45%
American Viewpoint (R)[upper-alpha 3] September 14–16, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 36%
DFM Research Archived August 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine August 16–18, 2020 384 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% 35% 4%[lower-alpha 2] 14%
American Viewpoint (R)[upper-alpha 3] July 13–15, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 35% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 4] July 11–14, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 39%
Victoria Research & Consulting (D)[upper-alpha 1] June 7–14, 2020 403 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 46% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] June 10–11, 2020 753 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 38% 21%
Hypothetical polling
with Debbie Waschspress
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Brian
Fitzpatrick (R)
Debbie
Waschspress (D)
Undecided
Remington Research (R)[upper-alpha 3] November 6–7, 2019 803 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 36% 14%
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) Archived October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine October 6–7, 2020 569 (LV) 44% 50% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] June 10–11, 2020 753 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 49% 11%
Victoria Research & Consulting (D)[upper-alpha 1] June 7–14, 2020 403 (LV) ± 4.9% 40%[lower-alpha 4] 52% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 8%

Results

Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 249,804 56.6
Democratic Christina Finello 191,875 43.4
Total votes 441,679 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2020 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election

 
Nominee Brendan Boyle David Torres
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 198,140 75,022
Percentage 72.5% 27.5%

Precinct results
Boyle:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Torres:      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      50%

U.S. representative before election

Brendan Boyle
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Brendan Boyle
Democratic

The 2nd district consists of Northeast Philadelphia and parts of North Philadelphia. The incumbent is Democrat Brendan Boyle who was re-elected with 79.0% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 73,980 100.0
Total votes 73,980 100.0
Nominee
  • David Torres, community activist[31]

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Torres 14,010 100.0
Total votes 14,010 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 198,140 72.5
Republican David Torres 75,022 27.5
Total votes 273,162 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2020 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election

 
Nominee Dwight Evans Michael Harvey
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 341,708 33,671
Percentage 91.0% 9.0%

Precinct results
Evans:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Harvey:      50–60%

U.S. representative before election

Dwight Evans
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Dwight Evans
Democratic

The 3rd district is anchored by Philadelphia, taking in the northwest, west, and Center City sections of the city. The incumbent is Democrat Dwight Evans, who was re-elected with 93.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 164,871 100.0
Total votes 164,871 100.0
Nominee
  • Michael Harvey, Philadelphia's 60th Ward Chairperson and military veteran[34]

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Harvey 5,020 100.0
Total votes 5,020 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 341,708 91.0
Republican Michael Harvey 33,671 9.0
Total votes 375,379 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2020 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election

 
Nominee Madeleine Dean Kathy Barnette
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 264,637 179,926
Percentage 59.5% 40.5%

Precinct results
Dean:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Barnette:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. representative before election

Madeleine Dean
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Madeleine Dean
Democratic

The 4th district takes in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, centering on Montgomery County. The incumbent is Democrat Madeleine Dean, who was elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) 122,657 100.0
Total votes 122,657 100.0
Nominee
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Kathy Barnette

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kathy Barnette 58,571 100.0
Total votes 58,571 100.0

Independent candidates

  • Joe Tarshish, auditor (write-in)

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) 264,637 59.5
Republican Kathy Barnette 179,926 40.5
Total votes 444,563 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

2020 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election

 
Nominee Mary Gay Scanlon Dasha Pruett
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 255,743 139,552
Percentage 64.7% 35.3%

Precinct results
Scanlon:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Pruett:      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. representative before election

Mary Gay Scanlon
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mary Gay Scanlon
Democratic

The 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of South Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The incumbent is Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon who flipped the district with 65.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) 103,194 100.0
Total votes 103,194 100.0
Nominee
  • Dasha Pruett, photographer[43]
Eliminated in primary
  • Rob Jordan, activist[34]

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dasha Pruett 31,734 61.5
Republican Rob Jordan 19,890 38.5
Total votes 51,624 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) 255,743 64.7
Republican Dasha Pruett 139,552 35.3
Total votes 395,295 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

2020 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election

 
Nominee Chrissy Houlahan John Emmons
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 226,440 177,526
Percentage 56.1% 43.9%

Precinct results
Houlahan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Emmons:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%

U.S. representative before election

Chrissy Houlahan
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Chrissy Houlahan
Democratic

The 6th district encompasses all of Chester County and the part of southern Berks County including Reading. The incumbent is Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who flipped the district and was elected with 58.9% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) 89,411 100.0
Total votes 89,411 100.0
Nominee
  • John Emmons, chemical engineer[49]
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Emmons 56,928 100.0
Total votes 56,928 100.0

Declared

  • John McHugh, Honey Brook Township Chairman and Marine veteran (write-in)[51]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) 226,440 56.1
Republican John Emmons 177,526 43.9
Total votes 403,966 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

2020 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election

 
Nominee Susan Wild Lisa Scheller
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 195,475 181,407
Percentage 51.9% 48.1%

County results
Wild:      50–60%
Scheller:      50–60%

Precinct results
Wild:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Scheller:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. representative before election

Susan Wild
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Susan Wild
Democratic

The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, and consists of Lehigh and Northampton counties as well as parts of Monroe County, including the cities of Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton. The incumbent is Democrat Susan Wild, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.5% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) 76,878 100.0
Total votes 76,878 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Did not qualify for ballot access
  • Matthew D. Connolly, Republican nominee for PA-17 in 2018[62]

Endorsements

Lisa Scheller
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lisa Scheller 29,673 52.1
Republican Dean Browning 27,260 47.9
Total votes 56,933 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Likely D October 8, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Likely D October 8, 2020
Politico[24] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe D October 29, 2020
RCP[26] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Likely D August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Susan
Wild (D)
Lisa
Scheller (R)
Other Undecided
DeSales University October 11–24, 2020[lower-alpha 6] 448 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 36%
Franklin & Marshall College October 12–18, 2020 447 (V) ± 5.8% 44% 36% 20%
DeSales University October 3–10, 2020 466 (LV) ± 4.3% 54% 36%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 21–24, 2020 414 (LV) ± 5.5% 52% 39% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 8%

Results

Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) 195,475 51.9
Republican Lisa Scheller 181,407 48.1
Total votes 376,882 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

2020 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election

 
Nominee Matt Cartwright Jim Bognet
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 178,004 165,783
Percentage 51.8% 48.2%

County Results
Cartwright:      50–60%
Bognet:      50–60%      60–70%

Precinct results
Cartwright:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Bognet:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. representative before election

Matt Cartwright
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Matt Cartwright
Democratic

The 8th district, based in the northeastern part of the state, is home to the cities of Scranton and Wilkes-Barre. The incumbent is Democrat Matt Cartwright, who was re-elected with 54.6% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 75,101 100.0
Total votes 75,101 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Bognet 16,281 28.4
Republican Teddy Daniels 13,560 23.7
Republican Earl Granville 13,283 23.2
Republican Mike Marsciano 7,404 12.9
Republican Harry Haas 5,369 9.4
Republican Mike Cammisa 1,367 2.4
Total votes 57,264 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Lean D July 17, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Likely D October 8, 2020
Politico[24] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Likely D October 26, 2020
RCP[26] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Lean D August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Jim
Bognet (R)
Undecided
co/efficient (R) Archived October 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 5] October 13–14, 2020 615 (LV) 48% 43% 9%

Results

Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 178,004 51.8
Republican Jim Bognet 165,783 48.2
Total votes 343,787 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

2020 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election

 
Nominee Dan Meuser Gary Wegman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 232,988 118,266
Percentage 66.3% 33.7%

Precinct results
Meuser:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Wegman:      50–60%      60–70%
     No data

U.S. representative before election

Dan Meuser
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Dan Meuser
Republican

The 9th district encompasses the Coal Region of Northeastern Pennsylvania. The incumbent is Republican Dan Meuser, who was elected with 59.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

Dan Meuser
U.S. presidents

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) 77,350 100.0
Total votes 77,350 100.0

Nominee

  • Gary Wegman, dentist[78]

Eliminated in primary

  • Laura Quick, delivery driver[78]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gary Wegman 27,451 51.0
Democratic Laura Quick 26,385 49.0
Total votes 53,836 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) 232,988 66.3
Democratic Gary Wegman 118,266 33.7
Total votes 351,254 100.0
Republican hold

District 10

2020 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election

 
Nominee Scott Perry Eugene DePasquale
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 208,896 182,938
Percentage 53.3% 46.7%

Precinct results
Perry:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
DePasquale:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. representative before election

Scott Perry
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Scott Perry
Republican

The 10th district covers all of Dauphin County and parts of Cumberland and York counties, including the cities of Harrisburg and York. The incumbent is Republican Scott Perry, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Withdrew
  • Bobby Jeffries, logistics director[79]

Endorsements

Scott Perry
U.S. presidents
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 79,365 100.0
Total votes 79,365 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Tom Brier, attorney[82]
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Tom Brier
State executives
Organizations
Eugene DePasquale
U.S. presidents
U.S. vice presidents
U.S. senators
  • Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California (2017-present), Democratic Party's nominee for vice president in the 2020 election, attorney general of California (2011–2017) and attorney general of San Francisco (2004–2011)[89]
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Tom
Brier
Eugene De
Pasquale
GBAO Strategies[upper-alpha 6] February 5–9, 2020 – (V)[lower-alpha 7] 16% 68%

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Eugene DePasquale 45,453 57.4
Democratic Tom Brier 33,661 42.6
Total votes 79,114 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Tossup July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Tossup October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2020
Politico[24] Tossup April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Lean R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Lean R June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Tossup August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Scott
Perry (R)
Eugene
DePasquale (D)
Other/
Undecided
Tarrance Group (R)[upper-alpha 7] October 13–15, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 44% 8%[lower-alpha 8]
GBAO Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 8] September 29 – October 2, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 51%
Victoria Research (D) Archived October 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] September 22–24, 2020 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 50% 7%[lower-alpha 9]
Pulse Research August 18 – September 3, 2020 1,100 (LV) ±  2.9% 45%[lower-alpha 10] 44%
GBAO Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 8] August 30 – September 1, 2020 500 (LV) ±  4.4% 46% 50%
DFM Research Archived August 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine August 6–9, 2020 384 (LV) ±  5.0% 44% 46% 10%[lower-alpha 11]
Victoria Research (D) Archived October 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] June, 2020 – (V)[lower-alpha 7] 50% 44%
GBAO Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 8] May 28–31, 2020 600 (LV) ±  4.0% 50% 47%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Pennsylvania Survey Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] September 22–24, 2020 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 7%[lower-alpha 12]
GBAO Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 8] August 30 – September 1, 2020 500 (LV) ±  4.4% 45% 46%
Pennsylvania Survey Research (D) Archived October 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] June, 2020 – (V)[lower-alpha 7] 47% 43%

Results

Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 208,896 53.3
Democratic Eugene DePasquale 182,938 46.7
Total votes 391,834 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

2020 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election

 
Nominee Lloyd Smucker Sarah Hammond
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 241,915 141,325
Percentage 63.1% 36.9%

Precinct results
Smucker:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Hammond:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. representative before election

Lloyd Smucker
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Lloyd Smucker
Republican

The 11th district is located in South Central Pennsylvania, centering on Lancaster County and southern York County. The incumbent is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who was re-elected with 59.0% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 78,842 100.0
Total votes 78,842 100.0
Nominee
  • Sarah Hammond, high school field hockey coach[94]
Eliminated in primary
  • Paul Daigle, university student employment manager[95]

Endorsements

Sarah Hammond
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sarah Hammond 39,038 72.3
Democratic Paul Daigle 14,936 27.7
Total votes 53,974 100.0

Endorsements

Declined to endorse

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 241,915 63.1
Democratic Sarah Hammond 141,325 36.9
Total votes 383,240 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

2020 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election

 
Nominee Fred Keller Lee Griffin
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 241,035 99,199
Percentage 70.8% 29.2%

Precinct results
Keller:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Griffin:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. representative before election

Fred Keller
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Fred Keller
Republican

The 12th district encompasses rural North Central Pennsylvania, including Williamsport. The incumbent is Republican Fred Keller, who was elected in a 2019 special election with 68.1% of the vote.

Nominee

Endorsements

Fred Keller
U.S. presidents

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Fred Keller (incumbent) 87,886 100.0
Total votes 87,886 100.0
Nominee
  • Lee Griffin, businessman[97]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lee Griffin 41,313 100.0
Total votes 41,313 100.0
Nominee
  • Elizabeth Terwilliger, speech-language pathologist

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Fred Keller (incumbent) 241,035 70.8
Democratic Lee Griffin 99,199 29.2
Total votes 340,234 100.0
Republican hold

District 13

2020 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election

 
Nominee John Joyce Todd Rowley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 267,789 96,612
Percentage 73.5% 26.5%

Precinct results
Joyce:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Rowley:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. representative before election

John Joyce
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

John Joyce
Republican

The 13th district encompasses rural southwestern Pennsylvania, including Altoona. The incumbent is Republican John Joyce, who was elected with 70.5% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

John Joyce
U.S. presidents

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) 94,171 100.0
Total votes 94,171 100.0
Nominee
  • Todd Rowley, former FBI Agent, park ranger[98]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Todd Rowley 41,988 100.0
Total votes 41,988 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) 267,789 73.5
Democratic Todd Rowley 96,612 26.5
Total votes 364,401 100.0
Republican hold

District 14

2020 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election

 
Nominee Guy Reschenthaler Bill Marx
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 241,688 131,895
Percentage 64.7% 35.3%

Precinct results
Reschenthaler:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Marx:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:      50%

U.S. representative before election

Guy Reschenthaler
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Guy Reschenthaler
Republican

The 14th district encompasses the southern exurbs of Pittsburgh. The incumbent is Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who was elected with 57.9% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Endorsements
Guy Reschenthaler
U.S. presidents
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) 66,671 100.0
Total votes 66,671 100.0
Nominee
  • Bill Marx, high school teacher and U.S. Army veteran[99]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bill Marx 70,468 100.0
Total votes 70,468 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) 241,688 64.7
Democratic Bill Marx 131,895 35.3
Total votes 373,583 100.0
Republican hold

District 15

2020 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election

 
Nominee Glenn Thompson Robert Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 255,058 92,156
Percentage 73.5% 26.5%

Precinct results
Thompson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Williams:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No data

U.S. representative before election

Glenn Thompson
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Glenn Thompson
Republican

The 15th district is located in rural North Central Pennsylvania. The incumbent is Republican Glenn Thompson, who was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

Glenn Thompson
U.S. presidents
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 88,364 100.0
Total votes 88,364 100.0
Nominee
  • Robert Williams, minister[34]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Robert Williams 48,714 100.0
Total votes 48,714 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 255,058 73.5
Democratic Robert Williams 92,156 26.5
Total votes 347,214 100.0
Republican hold

District 16

2020 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election

 
Nominee Mike Kelly Kristy Gnibus
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 210,088 143,962
Percentage 59.3% 40.7%

Precinct results
Kelly:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gnibus:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      50%

U.S. representative before election

Mike Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Mike Kelly
Republican

The 16th district is located in the northwestern portion of the state, and covers all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, and Lawrence counties, as well as much of Butler County. The incumbent is Republican Mike Kelly, who was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Endorsements

Mike Kelly
U.S. presidents

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 68,199 100.0
Total votes 68,199 100.0
Nominee
  • Kristy Gnibus, teacher[101]
Withdrew
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kristy Gnibus 63,640 100.0
Total votes 63,640 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Likely R October 8, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Lean R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe R August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Mike
Kelly (R)
Kristy
Gnibus (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 9] June 22–23, 2020 726 (V) ± 3.6% 48% 40% 12%

Results

Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 210,088 59.3
Democratic Kristy Gnibus 143,962 40.7
Total votes 354,050 100.0
Republican hold

District 17

2020 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election

 
Nominee Conor Lamb Sean Parnell
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 222,253 212,284
Percentage 51.1% 48.9%

Precinct results
Lamb:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Parnell:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      50%

U.S. representative before election

Conor Lamb
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Conor Lamb
Democratic

The 17th district encompasses the northwestern Pittsburgh suburbs, including Beaver County, the southwestern corner of Butler County, and northern Allegheny County. The incumbent is Democrat Conor Lamb, who was re-elected with 56.3% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Conor Lamb (incumbent) 111,828 100.0
Total votes 111,828 100.0

Nominee

  • Sean Parnell, U.S. Army veteran[107]

Endorsements

Sean Parnell
U.S. presidents
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sean Parnell 60,253 100.0
Total votes 60,253 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Likely D November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Likely D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Lean D October 24, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Likely D August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Conor
Lamb (D)
Sean
Parnell (R)
Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 10] September 2–3, 2020 400 (LV) 45% 44% 11%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 10] July 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) 50% 41% 9%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 10] March 9–11, 2020 400 (LV) 54% 36% 10%

Results

Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Conor Lamb (incumbent) 222,253 51.1
Republican Sean Parnell 212,284 48.9
Total votes 434,537 100.0
Democratic hold

District 18

2020 Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district election

 
Nominee Mike Doyle Luke Negron
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 266,084 118,163
Percentage 69.3% 30.7%

Precinct results
Doyle:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Negron:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      40–50%
     No data

U.S. representative before election

Mike Doyle
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mike Doyle
Democratic

The 18th district includes the entire city of Pittsburgh and parts of surrounding suburbs. The incumbent is Democrat Mike Doyle, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[2]

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Jerry Dickinson, law professor[111]

Disqualified

  • Janis Brooks, former pastor and nonprofit founder[112]

Endorsements

Mike Doyle

Primary results

Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Doyle (incumbent) 90,353 67.2
Democratic Jerry Dickinson 44,170 32.8
Total votes 134,523 100.0
Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Luke Negron 30,497 100.0
Total votes 30,497 100.0
Declared
  • Donald Nevills, Navy veteran and business owner (write-in)
  • Daniel Vayda (write-in)

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe D June 26, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[28] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district, 2020[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Doyle (incumbent) 266,084 69.3
Republican Luke Negron 118,163 30.7
Total votes 384,247 100.0
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Other candidate" with 4%
  3. Steve Scheetz (L) with 5%
  4. Including voters who lean towards a particular candidate
  5. "Other/neither" with 2%
  6. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  7. Not yet released
  8. Undecided with 8%
  9. "Other/neither" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
  10. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  11. Other with 1% and Undecided with 9%
  12. Includes "Refused"
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by the House Majority PAC, an organization promoting the election of Democratic Congressional candidates.
  2. Poll sponsored by Finello's campaign.
  3. Poll commissioned by the Congressional Leadership Fund
  4. Poll sponsored by Fitzpatrick's campaign
  5. Poll sponsored by Bognet's campaign
  6. Poll sponsored by De Pasquale's campaign
  7. Poll sponsored by Perry's campaign and the NRCC.
  8. Poll conducted by DePasquale's campaign
  9. Poll sponsored by Gnibus' campaign
  10. Poll sponsored by Sean Parnell's campaign

References

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