2016 United States Senate election in Oregon

The 2016 United States Senate election in Oregon was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2016 United States Senate election in Oregon

November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Ron Wyden Mark Callahan
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,105,119 651,106
Percentage 56.6% 33.4%

Wyden:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Callahan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. senator before election

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Senator Ron Wyden was re-elected to a fourth full term in office. This is the first senate election since 1998 in which Coos County has not supported him.[1]

Democratic Party primary

Declared

Declined

Results

Results by county:
  Wyden
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ronald Wyden (Incumbent) 501,903 83.20%
Democratic Kevin Stine 78,287 12.98%
Democratic Paul Weaver 20,346 3.37%
write-ins 2,740 0.45%
Total votes 603,276 100.00%

Results by county

CountyRon Wyden
Democratic
Paul Weaver
Democratic
Kevin Stine
Democratic
Other votesTotal
votes
 % #  % #  % #  % #
Baker 78.42% 1,205 6.04% 79 14.15% 185 1.38% 18 1,307
Benton 82.47% 15,095 2.74% 502 14.57% 2,666 0.21% 39 18,302
Clackamas 83.92% 48,355 3.27% 1,884 12.25% 7,060 0.56% 325 57,624
Clatsop 84.51% 5,173 3.84% 235 11.29% 691 0.36% 22 6,121
Columbia 80.70% 5,971 5.95% 440 12.75% 943 0.61% 45 7,399
Coos 77.80% 6,284 6.90% 557 14.60% 1,179 0.71% 57 8,077
Crook 80.97% 1,613 7.28% 145 10.79% 215 0.95% 19 1,992
Curry 80.17% 2,417 5.41% 163 13.47% 406 0.96% 29 3,015
Deschutes 85.24% 19,489 2.92% 668 11.42% 2,611 0.42% 96 22,864
Douglas 77.40% 8,159 7.48% 789 14.27% 1,504 0.85% 90 10,542
Gilliam 84.31% 188 6.73% 15 6.73% 15 2.24% 5 223
Grant 77.46% 519 6.12% 41 13.43% 90 2.99% 20 670
Harney 80.18% 542 7.25% 49 10.65% 72 1.92% 13 676
Hood River 84.57% 3,376 3.18% 127 12.05% 481 0.20% 8 3,992
Jackson 77.86% 22,152 3.34% 949 18.35% 5,221 0.46% 130 28,452
Jefferson 81.59% 1,418 6.33% 110 11.34% 197 0.75% 13 1,738
Josephine 77.92% 7,065 4.73% 429 16.37% 1,484 0.98% 89 9,067
Klamath 78.52% 4,179 5.73% 305 14.60% 777 1.15% 61 5,322
Lake 76.74% 409 7.88% 42 14.45% 77 0.94% 5 533
Lane 83.64% 58,057 3.31% 2,300 12.70% 8,819 0.35% 241 69,417
Lincoln 82.28% 7,144 4.60% 399 12.73% 1,105 0.40% 35 8,683
Linn 78.20% 9,435 6.31% 761 14.76% 1,781 0.74% 89 12,066
Malheur 75.48% 948 8.20% 103 14.81% 186 1.51% 19 1,256
Marion 81.20% 27,409 4.63% 1,562 13.54% 4,569 0.64% 215 33,755
Morrow 80.03% 541 8.28% 56 10.80% 73 0.89% 6 676
Multnomah 85.30% 148,980 2.04% 3,556 12.32% 21,510 0.35% 603 174,649
Polk 81.64% 8,130 4.88% 486 12.96% 1,291 0.52% 52 9,959
Sherman 74.41% 125 10.12% 17 11.91% 20 3.57% 6 168
Tillamook 83.24% 3,422 4.31% 177 12.16% 500 0.29% 12 4,111
Umatilla 82.40% 3,656 5.12% 227 11.97% 531 0.52% 23 4,437
Union 81.05% 1,972 5.67% 138 12.50% 304 0.78% 19 2,433
Wallowa 86.25% 734 2.12% 18 11.05% 94 0.59% 5 851
Wasco 81.63% 2,501 5.48% 168 12.40% 380 0.49% 15 3,064
Washington 84.21% 65,565 3.06% 2,385 12.43% 9,677 0.30% 232 77,859
Wheeler 76.36% 126 4.85% 8 12.73% 21 6.06% 10 165
Yamhill 82.37% 9,729 3.86% 456 13.14% 1,552 0.63% 74 11,811

Republican Party primary

Declared

Results

  Callahan
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Carpenter
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Stewart
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Callahan 123,473 38.24%
Republican Sam Carpenter 104,494 32.36%
Republican Faye Stewart 57,399 17.78%
Republican Dan Laschober 34,157 10.58%
write-ins 3,357 1.04%
Total votes 322,880 100.00%

Independent Party primary

Declared

Results

Independent primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Steven Reynolds 10,497 40.80%
Independent Marvin Sandnes 4,733 18.40%
write-ins 10,496 40.80%
Total votes 25,726 100.00%

Working Families Party

The Working Families Party of Oregon, which usually cross-endorses Democratic candidates, nominated their own candidate in protest of Sen. Ron Wyden's support of the Trans-Pacific Partnership.[13][14][15]

Declared

Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party

The Pacific Green Party and the Oregon Progressive Party cross-endorsed Eric Navickas, former member of the Ashland, Oregon City Council.[17][18][19]

Declared

  • Eric Navickas, former Ashland City Councilman[20][21]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe D November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe D November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[24] Safe D November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[25] Safe D November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[26] Safe D November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ron
Wyden (D)
Mark
Callahan (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,595 ± 4.6% 63% 32% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 1,483 ± 4.6% 64% 32% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 1,150 ± 4.6% 64% 32% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 934 ± 4.6% 64% 33% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 809 ± 4.6% 61% 34% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 743 ± 4.6% 62% 34% 4%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA October 10–12, 2016 654 ± 3.9% 54% 32% 6% 9%
Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart) October 4, 2016 1,248 ± 2.8% 52% 33% 15%

Results

United States Senate election in Oregon, 2016[27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Ronald Wyden (incumbent) 1,105,119 56.60% -0.62%
Republican Mark Callahan 651,106 33.35% -5.90%
Working Families Shanti Lewallen 61,915 3.17% +1.86%
Independent Steven Reynolds 59,516 3.05% N/A
Pacific Green Eric Navickas 48,823 2.50% N/A
Libertarian Jim Lindsay 23,941 1.23% +0.12
n/a Write-ins 2,058 0.10% 0.00%
Total votes 1,952,478 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

  1. Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  2. Mann, Damian (September 21, 2015). "Medford Councilor Stine to challenge Sen. Ron Wyden". Mail Tribune. Archived from the original on October 1, 2015. Retrieved September 21, 2015.
  3. Kullgren, Ian K. (November 17, 2015). "Who's running for president, Oregon governor, other seats? The latest on 2016 candidates". The Oregonian. Retrieved March 7, 2016.
  4. Gonzales, Nathan L. (April 10, 2015). "Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real". Roll Call. Archived from the original on October 1, 2015. Retrieved September 30, 2015.
  5. "May 17, 2016 Primary Election Official Results". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved July 21, 2016.
  6. Mapes, Jeff (September 10, 2015). "Republican Mark Callahan of 'blah, blah, blah' fame runs again for U.S. Senate". The Oregonian. Retrieved September 11, 2015.
  7. Hubbard, Saul (April 27, 2016). "Four GOP candidates in primary vie for spot to face off against U.S. Sen. Ron Wyden". The Eugene Register-Guard. Retrieved May 10, 2016.
  8. Jaquiss, Nigel (May 18, 2016). "Surprise Winners, Lousy Polls and Cheap Shots—Last Night's Primary Had It All". Willamette Week. Retrieved May 21, 2016.
  9. Hammers, Scott (February 5, 2016). "Bend businessman Carpenter to run for Senate". The Bend Bulletin. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  10. Dubois, Steven (November 12, 2015). "Oregon county commissioner Faye Stewart to run for US Senate". KATU. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
  11. Kullgren, Ian (March 9, 2016). "Election 2016: Who's running for office in Oregon? Portland? We've got your list right here". The Oregonian. Retrieved April 7, 2016.
  12. Bailey, Everton (May 17, 2016). "Ron Wyden to face Mark Callahan, Steven Reynolds for U.S. Senate seat in November (election results)". The Oregonian. Retrieved May 18, 2016.
  13. "Oregon Working Families Party challenges free-trader Ron Wyden". NWLaborPress.org. August 2, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
  14. "Oregon Working Families Party challenges "fast-track" backer Ron Wyden". People's World. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
  15. Winger, Richard (August 24, 2016). "Oregon Working Families Party Runs its Own Member for U.S. Senate". Ballot Access News. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
  16. "Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Shanti Lewallen". Oregon Secretary of State. July 28, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
  17. Driscoll, Trisha (August 4, 2016). "2016 PACIFIC GREEN PARTY CANDIDATES". Pacific Green Party. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  18. Navickas, Eric (August 31, 2016). "I am proud to announce that in addition to receiving the Pacific Green Party nomination, our campaign has also won the nomination to run for U.S. Senate from the Progressive Party of Oregon". Eric Navickas for US Senate- Official Facebook. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  19. "The League responds with an event gathering signatures to get Jill Stein and Eric Navickas in the voters pamphlet. This will be at the Salem Wednesday Farmers market". Salem Weekly News. August 3, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  20. "Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Pacific Green Nomination)". Oregon Secretary of State. June 30, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  21. "Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Oregon Progressive Nomination)". Oregon Secretary of State. August 30, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  22. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  23. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  24. "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  25. "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  26. "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  27. "November 8, 2016, General Election Abstract of Votes". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
Official campaign websites
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