2016 United States gubernatorial elections

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each state, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat.

Most election predictors use:

• "tossup": no advantage
• "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
• "lean": slight advantage
• "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
• "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

2016 Delaware gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee John Carney Colin Bonini Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 248,404 166,852 Percentage 58.3% 39.2%

County results Carney:      40–50%      60–70% Bonini:      50–60%

Governor before election Jack Markell Democratic Elected Governor John Carney Democratic

Two-term incumbent Governor Jack Markell was term-limited in 2016.[8] Former Democratic Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden, the son of Vice President Joe Biden, announced his intention to run and was seen as the front-runner in the Democratic primary and general election, but he died of brain cancer at the age of 46 on May 30, 2015.[9][10] Representative John Carney, a former Lieutenant Governor of Delaware who also ran for governor in 2008, won the Democratic nomination.[11] State senator Colin Bonini won the Republican nomination.

Carney won the election, taking 58.3% of the vote compared to Bonini's 39.2%.[12]

2016 Indiana gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Eric Holcomb John R. Gregg Party Republican Democratic Running mate Suzanne Crouch Christina Hale Popular vote 1,397,396 1,235,503 Percentage 51.4% 45.4%

County results Holcomb:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Gregg:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election Mike Pence Republican Elected Governor Eric Holcomb Republican

One-term incumbent Governor Mike Pence announced his bid for re-election. Pence won in 2012 with 49.6% of the vote. Pence previously served as a U.S. Representative from 2001 to 2013 and was Chairman of the House Republican Conference from 2009 to 2011. Pence had expressed interest in running for President of the United States in the 2016 presidential election, but declined. However, Pence withdrew his bid for a second term on July 15, 2016, to run for vice president as running mate to Donald Trump.[15][16] Pence was replaced as the gubernatorial nominee by Lieutenant Governor Eric Holcomb.

The 2012 Democratic nominee, former State House Speaker John R. Gregg, won the Democratic nomination.[17] State Representative Karen Tallian and Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction Glenda Ritz both withdrew their candidacies.[18][19] State Representative Terri Austin, South Bend Mayor Peter Buttigieg, former Lieutenant Governor Kathy Davis, Kokomo Mayor Greg Goodnight, Lafayette Mayor Tony Roswarski, and House Minority Leader Scott Pelath declined to run for governor. Potential Democratic candidates include former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana and former Secretary of State of Indiana Joe Hogsett, President and CEO of the Biocrossroads Initiative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000 David Johnson, Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott, Jr., physician, former Commissioner for the Indiana State Department of Health and candidate for Indiana's 7th congressional district in 2008, Woody Myers, former State Senate Minority Leader and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2012 Vi Simpson, U.S. Representative Pete Visclosky and former Evansville Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel.[20][21][22][23][24][25] Former Governor and Senator Evan Bayh had considered running,[20] but has since announced he is running for the U.S. Senate in 2016.[26]

Holcomb won election with 51.4% of the vote, while Gregg took 45.4%.[12]

2016 Missouri gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Eric Greitens Chris Koster Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 1,433,397 1,277,360 Percentage 51.1% 45.6%

County Results Greitens:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Koster:      50–60%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election Jay Nixon Democratic Elected Governor Eric Greitens Republican

Two-term incumbent Governor Jay Nixon was term-limited in 2016.[29] U.S. Senator and 2004 gubernatorial nominee Claire McCaskill[30] and State Treasurer Clint Zweifel declined to run for governor.[31] On August 3, 2016, Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster won the nomination with a dominating 79% of the primary vote.[32]

Former Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives Catherine Hanaway, businessman John Brunner, State Senator Bob Dixon, former Navy SEAL Eric Greitens, and Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder ran for the Republican nomination.[33] State Representative Bart Korman and U.S. Representative Blaine Luetkemeyer[34][35][36] declined to run for governor. Missouri State Auditor Tom Schweich had been a candidate for governor before he committed suicide in February 2015.[37] On August 3, 2016, Greitens won the nomination with 35% of the vote.[32]

Greitens won the election, taking 51.3% of the vote compared to Koster's 45.4%.[12]

2016 Montana gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Steve Bullock Greg Gianforte Party Democratic Republican Running mate Mike Cooney Lesley Robinson Popular vote 255,933 236,115 Percentage 50.2% 46.4%

County results Bullock:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Gianforte:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election Steve Bullock Democratic Elected Governor Steve Bullock Democratic

One-term incumbent Governor Steve Bullock ran for re-election. Bullock was elected in 2012 with 48.9% of the vote. He previously served as Attorney General of Montana from 2009 to 2013.

Former Secretary of State Brad Johnson and businessman Mark Perea ran for the Republican nomination,[40] but were defeated by businessman Greg Gianforte. Montana Attorney General Tim Fox had been speculated as a potential candidate, but instead chose to run for re-election.[41]

Bullock won re-election, taking 50.2% of the vote. Gianforte won 46.4% of the vote.[12]

2016 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Chris Sununu Colin Van Ostern Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 354,040 337,589 Percentage 48.8% 46.6%

County results Sununu:      40–50%      50–60% Van Ostern:      50–60%

Governor before election Maggie Hassan Democratic Elected Governor Chris Sununu Republican

Two-term Democratic incumbent Governor Maggie Hassan ran for the U.S. Senate, narrowly defeating incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte, instead of running for a third term as governor. She won a second term in 2014 with 53% of the vote against Republican businessman Walt Havenstein. Executive Councilor Colin Van Ostern defeated Deputy Secretary of State and Director of Securities Regulation Mark Connolly for the Democratic nomination.

Executive Councilor Chris Sununu, state representative and entrepreneur Frank Edelblut, and Jon Lavoie ran for the Republican nomination.[43] Sununu defeated his challengers for the Republican nomination.

Despite most pre-election polling suggesting a Democratic win, Sununu narrowly won election with 49% of the vote. Van Ostern won 46.7% and Libertarian Max Abramson won 4.3% of the vote.[12]

2016 North Carolina gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Roy Cooper Pat McCrory Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 2,309,157 2,298,880 Percentage 49.0% 48.8%

County results Cooper:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% McCrory:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election Pat McCrory Republican Elected Governor Roy Cooper Democratic

One-term incumbent Governor Pat McCrory ran for re-election.[46] McCrory was elected in 2012 with 54.7% of the vote. McCrory previously served as Mayor of Charlotte from 1995 to 2009.

North Carolina Attorney General Roy Cooper[47] defeated former State Representative Kenneth Spaulding to win the Democratic nomination for governor.[48] James Protzman, a former Chapel Hill town council member, had declared his candidacy, but later withdrew from the race.[48][49] United States Secretary of Transportation Anthony Foxx declined to run for governor.

After a dispute in results, Cooper won the election. Cooper won 49% of the vote, while McCrory won 48.9%.[12]

2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Doug Burgum Marvin Nelson Party Republican Democratic–NPL Running mate Brent Sanford Joan Heckaman Popular vote 259,863 65,855 Percentage 76.5% 19.4%

County results Burgum:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Nelson:      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election Jack Dalrymple Republican Elected Governor Doug Burgum Republican

One-term incumbent Governor Jack Dalrymple declined to seek re-election.[52] Dalrymple was elected to his first full term with 63.1% of the vote in 2012, after first taking the seat in 2010 after John Hoeven resigned to become a U.S. Senator. Dalrymple was previously Lieutenant Governor of North Dakota from 2000 to 2010.

Republican candidates included Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem,[53] businessman Doug Burgum,[54] and State Representative and plastic surgeon Rick Becker. Burgum won the nomination.

Potential Democratic candidates included former Congressman Earl Pomeroy, state Senator George B. Sinner and state Senate Minority Leader Mac Schneider.[53] Former Agriculture Commissioner Sarah Vogel formed an exploratory a campaign but announced on Jan. 28, 2016 that she will not run for governor. Senator Heidi Heitkamp declined to run for governor.[55] State representative Marvin Nelson won his party's nomination.

Burgum won the election, taking 76.7% of the vote, while Nelson won 19.4%.[12]

2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Kate Brown Bud Pierce Party Democratic Republican Alliance Working Families Popular vote 985,027 845,609 Percentage 50.6% 43.5%

County Results Brown:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Pierce:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election Kate Brown Democratic Elected Governor Kate Brown Democratic

Governor John Kitzhaber, who won reelection in 2014 with 49.9% of the vote, announced his pending resignation on February 13, 2015, amid controversy surrounding his fiancée's consulting contracts and work within his administration.[58] Kate Brown, Oregon's Secretary of State, was sworn in as governor on February 18, 2015, upon Kitzhaber's resignation. In accordance with the Constitution of Oregon, a special election was held in 2016 for the remainder of the term to which Kitzhaber was elected in 2014. Brown ran against Republican Bud Pierce, an Oncologist from Salem.[59]

Brown won the election, taking 50.5% of the vote compared to Pierce's 43.8%.[12] In winning, Kate Brown became the first openly LGBTQ Governor elected in the United States.[60]

2016 Utah gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Gary Herbert Mike Weinholtz Party Republican Democratic Running mate Spencer Cox Kim Bowman Popular vote 750,850 323,349 Percentage 66.7% 28.7%

County Results Herbert:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Weinholtz:      40–50%

Governor before election Gary Herbert Republican Elected Governor Gary Herbert Republican

Incumbent Governor Gary Herbert ran for re-election.[63] He was the Lieutenant Governor of Utah from 2005 to 2009 and became governor after Jon Huntsman, Jr. resigned to become United States Ambassador to China. He won the seat in a 2010 special election and was elected to his first full term with 68.4% of the vote in 2012. Herbert defeated businessman Jonathan Johnson to win the nomination.[63]

Businessman Michael Weinholtz won the Democratic nomination. Former Congressman Jim Matheson declined to run.[64]

Herbert won re-election, taking 66.6% of the vote compared to Weinholtz's 28.9%.[12]

2016 Vermont gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Phil Scott Sue Minter Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 166,817 139,253 Percentage 52.9% 44.2%

County results Scott:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Minter:      40–50%      50–60%

Governor before election Peter Shumlin Democratic Elected Governor Phil Scott Republican

Three-term incumbent Governor Peter Shumlin declined to seek re-election.[66] He was re-elected with 46.4% of the vote in 2014. As he did not receive a majority of the vote, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose the winner. The Vermont Assembly chose Shumlin over Republican nominee Scott Milne by 110 votes to 69.[67]

Sue Minter defeated former state senator Matt Dunne for the Democratic nomination for governor.[68] House Speaker Shap Smith withdrew from the race. Former lieutenant governor Doug Racine declined to run for governor.[69][70]

Lieutenant Governor Phil Scott won the Republican nomination.[68] Former state senator and former Vermont Auditor of Accounts Randy Brock and 2014 Republican nominee Scott Milne declined to run for governor. Former Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Dan Feliciano was a potential candidate.[69][70]

Scott won the election, taking 52.9% compared to Minter's 44.2%.[12]

2016 Washington gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Jay Inslee Bill Bryant Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 1,760,520 1,476,346 Percentage 54.2% 45.5%

County results Inslee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70% Bryant:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election Jay Inslee Democratic Elected Governor Jay Inslee Democratic

One-term incumbent Governor Jay Inslee ran for re-election. Inslee was elected in 2012 with 51.4% of the vote against Republican Attorney General Rob McKenna. Inslee previously served as a U.S. Representative from 1993 to 1995 and from 1999 to 2012. Seattle Port Commissioner Bill Bryant[73] advanced to the November general election. Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representatives Jaime Herrera Beutler and Cathy McMorris Rodgers, State Senator Michael Baumgartner, and former State Representative Cathy Dahlquist.[73][74][75]

Inslee won re-election, taking 54.2% of the vote. Bryant won 45.5%.[76]

2016 West Virginia gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

Nominee Jim Justice Bill Cole Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 350,408 301,987 Percentage 49.1% 42.3%   Nominee Charlotte Pritt Party Mountain Popular vote 42,068 Percentage 5.9%

County results Justice:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70% Cole:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election Earl Ray Tomblin Democratic Elected Governor Jim Justice Democratic

Governor Earl Ray Tomblin was term-limited in 2016.[79] Tomblin was first elected in a 2011 special election after Joe Manchin resigned after being elected to the United States Senate. Tomblin then won election to a full term in 2012.

Democratic candidates included former U.S. Attorney Booth Goodwin, state Senator Jeff Kessler, and businessman Jim Justice. Former Senator Carte Goodwin, former Speaker of the West Virginia House of Delegates Rick Thompson, West Virginia State Treasurer John Perdue, State Senator Mike Green and State Delegates Doug Reynolds, Doug Skaff and West Virginia Secretary of State Natalie Tennant declined to seek the nomination. On May 10, 2016, Justice won the Democratic primary and became the nominee.[80]

President of the Senate Bill Cole, college student and former candidate for Mayor of Pineville Andrew Utterback, and former Bramwell Police Chief and former Democratic candidate for House of Delegates Edwin Vanover ran for the Republican nomination. U.S. Representatives David McKinley and Evan Jenkins declined to run for governor. West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey had been considered a potential Republican candidate, but instead chose to run for re-election. Potential Republican candidates included State Delegate Erikka Storch and Olympic gymnast Mary Lou Retton.[81] Cole won the Republican nomination.

Justice won the election, taking 49.1% of the vote. Cole won 42.3%, while Charlotte Pritt of the Mountain Party won 5.9% of the vote.[12] Just months after assuming office, Justice switched to the Republican Party.[82]

• 2016 United States elections
  • 2016 United States presidential election
  • 2016 United States Senate elections
  • 2016 United States House of Representatives elections