2012 United States Senate election in Rhode Island
The 2012 United States Senate election in Rhode Island was on November 6, 2012, alongside the presidential election, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
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| Turnout | 58.0% (voting eligible)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
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Whitehouse: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hinckley: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Rhode Island |
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In the 2006 Senate election, former Attorney General of Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse defeated one-term Republican incumbent Lincoln Chafee. Chafee had been appointed to the Senate in 1999 when his father, the incumbent Senator John Chafee died. He then won election to a first term in 2000. Whitehouse won 53.52% of the vote in 2006.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Sheldon Whitehouse was reelected to a second term in a landslide by a 30 point margin of 65% - 35%.
Democratic primary
Declared
- Sheldon Whitehouse, incumbent U.S. Senator
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sheldon Whitehouse (incumbent) | 60,223 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 60,223 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
Declared
- Barry Hinckley, president and co-founder of software company Bullhorn[3]
Declined
- Joseph Almond, Lincoln town administrator[4]
- Scott Avedisian, Mayor of Warwick[5]
- Donald Carcieri, former Governor of Rhode Island[6]
- Giovanni Cicione, former Chairman of the Rhode Island Republican Party[7]
- Brendan Doherty, former Rhode Island state police superintendent (running for a U.S. House seat)[8]
- Leo Fontaine, Mayor of Woonsocket[9]
- Allan Fung, Mayor of Cranston[10]
- John Robitaille, businessman and nominee for Governor in 2010[11][12]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Avedisian |
Donald Carcieri |
Buddy Cianci |
Giovanni Cicione |
Allan Fung |
John Loughlin |
John Robitaille |
Catherine Taylor |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | 250 | ±6.2% | 12% | 44% | 12% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 2% | — |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Barry Hinckley | 6,890 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 6,890 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[14] | Solid D | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[16] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[17] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 24, 2012 - YouTube
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) |
Barry Hinckley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming & Associates | February 20–23, 2012 | 511 | ±4.38% | 50% | 28% | — | 20% |
| Fleming & Associates | September 26–29, 2012 | 501 | ±4.38% | 56% | 30% | — | 11% |
| Brown University | September 26 – October 5, 2012 | 471 | ±4.4% | 59% | 30% | — | 12% |
| McLaughlin and Associates | October 11, 2012 | 300 | ±5.6% | 49% | 41% | — | 10% |
| Fleming & Associates | October 24–27, 2012 | 601 | ±4% | 55% | 33% | — | 10% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) |
Scott Avedisian (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | 544 | ±4.2% | 47% | 37% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) |
Donald Carcieri (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | 544 | ±4.2% | 54% | 37% | — | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) |
Donald Carcieri (R) |
Buddy Cianci (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | 544 | ±4.2% | 43% | 31% | 22% | — | 4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) |
Buddy Cianci (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | 544 | ±4.2% | 51% | 35% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) |
John Loughlin (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | 544 | ±4.2% | 51% | 34% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) |
John Robitaille (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | 544 | ±4.2% | 49% | 38% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) |
John Robitaille (R) |
Buddy Cianci (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | 544 | ±4.2% | 44% | 28% | 24% | — | 4% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sheldon Whitehouse (incumbent) | 271,034 | 64.81% | +11.29% | |
| Republican | Barry Hinckley | 146,222 | 34.97% | -11.51% | |
| Write-in | 933 | 0.22% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 418,189 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Bristol (largest municipality: Bristol)
- Kent (largest city: Warwick)
- Newport (largest municipality: Newport)
- Washington (largest municipality: South Kingstown)
Results by congressional district
Whitehouse won both congressional districts.[19]
| District | Whitehouse | Hinckley | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 68.5% | 31.5% | David Cicilline |
| 2nd | 61.71% | 38.29% | James Langevin |
See also
References
- Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 6, 2013.
- Arditi, Lynn (April 21, 2012). "Todd Giroux announces bid for U.S. Senate". The Providence Journal. Retrieved May 7, 2012.
- McGowan, Dan (May 28, 2011). "Senate Battle Heats Up: Hinckley Blasts Whitehouse". GoLocalProv. Retrieved May 7, 2012.
- Peoples, Steve (November 9, 2010). "GOPer Giovanni Cicione Considering Bid Against Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse". Roll Call. Retrieved November 14, 2010.
- Nesi, Ted (October 28, 2011). "Warwick Mayor Scott Avedisian". WPRI-TV. Twitter. Retrieved May 7, 2012.
- "Carcieri says he's decided against running for U.S. Senate". Providence Journal. November 16, 2011. Retrieved November 18, 2011.
- Donnis, Ian (February 25, 2011). "Rhode Island Tip Sheet: National exposure for RI penches". WRNI-FM. Retrieved February 25, 2011.
- Catanese, David (May 10, 2011). "Former police superintendent to challenge Cicilline". Politico. Retrieved May 7, 2012.
- Nesi, Ted (November 10, 2010). "Carcieri, Avedisian, Cicione may take on Whitehouse". WPRI-TV. Archived from the original on July 18, 2011. Retrieved November 17, 2010.
- Nesi, Ted (February 22, 2011). "Fung 'not considering' $5M run against Whitehouse". WPRI-TV. Archived from the original on March 1, 2011. Retrieved February 22, 2011.
- Nesi, Ted (December 2, 2010). "Robitaille: I may run for Senate in '12". WPRI-TV. Retrieved December 2, 2010.
- Silverman, Bradley (January 19, 2011). "Robitaille Likely to Run for Governor Again". WBRU. Archived from the original on January 21, 2011. Retrieved January 22, 2011.
- Maxon, Jake (January 21, 2011). "2012 Senate Run a Possibility for Former Hasbro CEO". WBRU. Archived from the original on January 31, 2011. Retrieved January 23, 2011.
- "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "RI.gov: Election Results". www.ri.gov.
- "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links
- Rhode Island Board of Elections
- Candidate issue positions at OnTheIssues
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
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