2016 Minnesota Republican presidential caucuses
The 2016 Minnesota Republican presidential caucuses took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Minnesota, during the Super Tuesday contests, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries. It is notable because it is the only state that was won by Florida Senator Marco Rubio. It was one of the only states in which Donald Trump got 3rd place.
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 Minnesota results by county Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Donald Trump Tie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Minnesota |
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Marco Rubio was considered the favorite to win Minnesota, due to the caucus nature of the contest and the high proportion of college-educated voters.[1]
The Democratic Party held its Minnesota caucuses on the same day.
Polling
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary results | March 1, 2016 | Marco Rubio36.24% | Ted Cruz29.04% | Donald Trump21.42% | Ben Carson 7.37%, John Kasich 5.75% |
| Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[2]
Margin of error: ± 6.5% Sample size: ? |
January 18–20, 2016 | Marco Rubio 23% |
Ted Cruz 21% |
Donald Trump 18% |
Ben Carson 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Other 6%, Undecided 9% |
| KSTP
Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 516 |
October 29 – November 2, 2015 | Donald Trump 26% |
Ben Carson 19% | Marco Rubio 16% | Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, others 4%, undecided 13% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 353 |
July 30 – August 2, 2015 | Scott Walker 19% |
Donald Trump 18% |
Jeb Bush 15% |
Ben Carson 11%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 1% |
| Suffolk University Archived 2015-09-24 at the Wayback Machine
Margin of error: ± 10% Sample size: 87 |
April 24–28, 2014 | Jeb Bush 14.94% |
Rick Perry 14.94% |
Chris Christie 9.20% |
Ted Cruz 9.20%, Marco Rubio 8.05%, Rand Paul 5.75%, Ben Carson 4.60%, Rick Santorum 4.60%, Condoleezza Rice 3.45%, Scott Walker 3.45%, Bobby Jindal 2.30%, Sarah Palin 2.30%, Paul Ryan 2.30%, Mike Huckabee 1.15%, Undecided 13.79% |
Results
Precinct Caucuses date: March 1, 2016
State Convention: May 20–21, 2016
National delegates: 38
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Marco Rubio | 41,397 | 36.24% | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| Ted Cruz | 33,181 | 29.04% | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| Donald Trump | 24,473 | 21.42% | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| Ben Carson | 8,422 | 7.37% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 6,565 | 5.75% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Write-ins | 207 | 0.18% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 114,245 | 100.00% | 38 | 0 | 38 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
Delegates were awarded to candidates at the statewide and congressional district level who got at least 10% or 10% or more of the vote proportionally.
References
- Cox, Amanda; Katz, Josh; Quealy, Kevin (March 1, 2016). "Who Will Win Super Tuesday? Live Estimates of Tonight's Final Republican Delegate Count". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
- "Minnesota Poll Results: Presidential race". Star Tribune. January 23, 2016.