2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee
The 2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
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| Turnout | 61.92%  [1] 0.06 pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Treemap of the popular vote by county.
On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Tennessee voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.Trump became the first Republican since 1988 to carry Hardeman County.
Trump won the election in the Volunteer State with 60.7% of the vote. Clinton received 34.7% of the vote.[2] This is the largest margin of victory for a presidential candidate for either party in the state since 1972 with Richard Nixon, and also the first time since that either party has earned over 60% of the vote in Tennessee. Tennessee was one of eleven states won by Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 but lost by Hillary Clinton.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
- Results
Democratic primary results by county.
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
| Tennessee Democratic primary, March 1, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 245,930 | 66.07% | 44 | 7 | 51 |
| Bernie Sanders | 120,800 | 32.45% | 23 | 0 | 23 |
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 2,025 | 0.54% | |||
| Uncommitted | 3,467 | 0.93% | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 372,222 | 100% | 67 | 8 | 75 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
Republican primary
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 Tennessee results by county
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 333,180 | 38.94% | 33 | 0 | 33 |
| Ted Cruz | 211,471 | 24.71% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| Marco Rubio | 181,274 | 21.18% | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| Ben Carson | 64,951 | 7.59% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 45,301 | 5.29% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 9,551 | 1.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 2,415 | 0.28% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 2,350 | 0.27% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 1,849 | 0.22% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,256 | 0.15% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 715 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 710 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) | 267 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) | 253 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Pataki (withdrawn) | 186 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 855,729 | 100.00% | 58 | 0 | 58 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
General election
Polling
Voting History
Tennessee has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996. In 2012, Republican nominee Mitt Romney won the state by a margin of more than twenty points due to the unpopularity of the Obama administration in the conservative state. Typically Democrats do very well in the urban regions of Memphis and Nashville, while Republicans dominate the rural and suburban areas. Tennessee is considered a safe Republican state. In 2016, it stayed that way, with Trump winning the state with 60.7% of the vote.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[3] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[4] | Safe R | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report[5] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com[6] | Likely R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[9] | Likely R | November 8, 2016 |
| NBC[10] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
^Highest rating given
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump/Mike Pence | 1,522,925 | 60.72% | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine | 870,695 | 34.72% | |
| Independent | Gary Johnson | 70,397 | 2.81% | |
| Independent | Jill Stein | 15,993 | 0.64% | |
| Independent | Evan McMullin (write-in) | 11,991 | 0.48% | |
| Independent | Mike Smith | 7,276 | 0.29% | |
| Independent | Rocky De La Fuente | 4,075 | 0.16% | |
| Independent | Alyson Kennedy | 2,877 | 0.12% | |
| Write-in | 1,798 | 0.07% | ||
| Total votes | 2,508,027 | 100.00% | ||
By congressional district
Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[12]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 76% | 20% | Phil Roe |
| 2nd | 65% | 30% | Jimmy Duncan |
| 3rd | 61% | 38% | Chuck Fleischmann |
| 4th | 68% | 27% | Scott DesJarlais |
| 5th | 38% | 56% | Jim Cooper |
| 6th | 72% | 24% | Diane Black |
| 7th | 67% | 28% | Marsha Blackburn |
| 8th | 66% | 31% | Stephen Fincher |
| David Kustoff | |||
| 9th | 20% | 77% | Steve Cohen |
By county
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Other votes | Total votes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
| Anderson | 64.30% | 19,212 | 30.16% | 9,013 | 5.54% | 1,656 | 29,881 |
| Bedford | 74.80% | 11,486 | 22.11% | 3,395 | 3.09% | 474 | 15,355 |
| Benton | 74.53% | 4,716 | 23.29% | 1,474 | 2.18% | 138 | 6,328 |
| Bledsoe | 77.66% | 3,622 | 19.23% | 897 | 3.11% | 145 | 4,664 |
| Blount | 71.72% | 37,443 | 23.18% | 12,100 | 5.10% | 2,665 | 52,208 |
| Bradley | 76.99% | 29,768 | 18.28% | 7,070 | 4.73% | 1,828 | 38,666 |
| Campbell | 78.76% | 9,870 | 17.94% | 2,248 | 3.30% | 414 | 12,532 |
| Cannon | 75.40% | 4,007 | 21.21% | 1,127 | 3.39% | 180 | 5,314 |
| Carroll | 74.69% | 7,756 | 22.41% | 2,327 | 2.90% | 301 | 10,384 |
| Carter | 80.15% | 16,898 | 16.38% | 3,453 | 3.48% | 733 | 21,084 |
| Cheatham | 70.94% | 11,297 | 24.35% | 3,878 | 4.70% | 749 | 15,924 |
| Chester | 78.09% | 5,081 | 19.10% | 1,243 | 2.81% | 183 | 6,507 |
| Claiborne | 80.09% | 8,602 | 17.06% | 1,832 | 2.85% | 306 | 10,740 |
| Clay | 73.32% | 2,141 | 24.21% | 707 | 2.47% | 72 | 2,920 |
| Cocke | 80.74% | 9,791 | 16.34% | 1,981 | 2.92% | 354 | 12,126 |
| Coffee | 72.19% | 14,417 | 23.75% | 4,743 | 4.06% | 811 | 19,971 |
| Crockett | 73.78% | 3,982 | 24.14% | 1,303 | 2.08% | 112 | 5,397 |
| Cumberland | 77.44% | 20,413 | 19.73% | 5,202 | 2.83% | 745 | 26,360 |
| Davidson | 33.95% | 84,550 | 59.77% | 148,864 | 6.29% | 15,654 | 249,068 |
| Decatur | 78.14% | 3,588 | 19.47% | 894 | 2.40% | 110 | 4,592 |
| DeKalb | 74.35% | 5,171 | 22.56% | 1,569 | 3.09% | 215 | 6,955 |
| Dickson | 70.77% | 13,233 | 25.25% | 4,722 | 3.98% | 744 | 18,699 |
| Dyer | 76.33% | 10,180 | 21.12% | 2,816 | 2.55% | 340 | 13,336 |
| Fayette | 67.31% | 13,055 | 30.29% | 5,874 | 2.40% | 465 | 19,394 |
| Fentress | 82.34% | 6,038 | 15.00% | 1,100 | 2.66% | 195 | 7,333 |
| Franklin | 70.30% | 11,532 | 26.66% | 4,374 | 3.04% | 498 | 16,404 |
| Gibson | 70.53% | 13,786 | 26.90% | 5,258 | 2.57% | 503 | 19,547 |
| Giles | 71.56% | 7,970 | 26.19% | 2,917 | 2.24% | 250 | 11,137 |
| Grainger | 82.74% | 6,626 | 14.41% | 1,154 | 2.85% | 228 | 8,008 |
| Greene | 78.71% | 18,562 | 17.88% | 4,216 | 3.41% | 805 | 23,583 |
| Grundy | 76.34% | 3,636 | 20.97% | 999 | 2.69% | 128 | 4,763 |
| Hamblen | 76.63% | 15,857 | 19.69% | 4,075 | 3.67% | 760 | 20,692 |
| Hamilton | 55.29% | 78,733 | 38.84% | 55,316 | 5.87% | 8,359 | 142,408 |
| Hancock | 82.61% | 1,843 | 14.43% | 322 | 2.96% | 66 | 2,231 |
| Hardeman | 53.05% | 4,919 | 45.13% | 4,185 | 1.82% | 169 | 9,273 |
| Hardin | 80.53% | 8,012 | 16.30% | 1,622 | 3.17% | 315 | 9,949 |
| Hawkins | 80.14% | 16,648 | 16.88% | 3,507 | 2.98% | 619 | 20,774 |
| Haywood | 44.09% | 3,013 | 54.30% | 3,711 | 1.61% | 110 | 6,834 |
| Henderson | 79.65% | 8,138 | 17.62% | 1,800 | 2.73% | 279 | 10,217 |
| Henry | 73.45% | 9,508 | 23.66% | 3,063 | 2.89% | 374 | 12,945 |
| Hickman | 72.89% | 5,695 | 23.35% | 1,824 | 3.76% | 294 | 7,813 |
| Houston | 68.88% | 2,182 | 27.34% | 866 | 3.79% | 120 | 3,168 |
| Humphreys | 68.92% | 4,930 | 27.50% | 1,967 | 3.58% | 256 | 7,153 |
| Jackson | 72.46% | 3,236 | 25.28% | 1,129 | 2.26% | 101 | 4,466 |
| Jefferson | 77.47% | 14,776 | 18.32% | 3,494 | 4.21% | 802 | 19,072 |
| Johnson | 82.23% | 5,410 | 15.02% | 988 | 2.75% | 181 | 6,579 |
| Knox | 58.53% | 105,767 | 34.80% | 62,878 | 6.67% | 12,052 | 180,697 |
| Lake | 68.88% | 1,357 | 29.29% | 577 | 1.83% | 36 | 1,970 |
| Lauderdale | 60.39% | 4,884 | 37.79% | 3,056 | 1.82% | 147 | 8,087 |
| Lawrence | 79.28% | 12,420 | 18.01% | 2,821 | 2.71% | 425 | 15,666 |
| Lewis | 77.56% | 3,585 | 19.26% | 890 | 3.18% | 147 | 4,622 |
| Lincoln | 77.90% | 10,398 | 19.13% | 2,554 | 2.97% | 396 | 13,348 |
| Loudon | 75.29% | 17,610 | 21.03% | 4,919 | 3.69% | 862 | 23,391 |
| Macon | 83.46% | 6,263 | 14.29% | 1,072 | 2.25% | 169 | 7,504 |
| Madison | 55.97% | 21,335 | 40.52% | 15,448 | 3.51% | 1,337 | 38,120 |
| Marion | 70.85% | 7,696 | 26.07% | 2,832 | 3.07% | 334 | 10,862 |
| Marshall | 71.44% | 8,184 | 24.90% | 2,852 | 3.66% | 419 | 11,455 |
| Maury | 67.29% | 23,799 | 28.38% | 10,038 | 4.33% | 1,532 | 35,369 |
| McMinn | 78.33% | 14,691 | 18.72% | 3,510 | 2.95% | 554 | 18,755 |
| McNairy | 78.11% | 7,841 | 18.41% | 1,848 | 3.48% | 349 | 10,038 |
| Meigs | 77.36% | 3,342 | 19.81% | 856 | 2.82% | 122 | 4,320 |
| Monroe | 78.24% | 13,374 | 18.64% | 3,186 | 3.12% | 533 | 17,093 |
| Montgomery | 56.13% | 32,341 | 37.66% | 21,699 | 6.21% | 3,580 | 57,620 |
| Moore | 79.46% | 2,325 | 16.95% | 496 | 3.59% | 105 | 2,926 |
| Morgan | 81.15% | 5,441 | 15.72% | 1,054 | 3.13% | 210 | 6,705 |
| Obion | 77.77% | 9,526 | 19.81% | 2,426 | 2.42% | 297 | 12,249 |
| Overton | 73.63% | 6,059 | 23.64% | 1,945 | 2.73% | 225 | 8,229 |
| Perry | 75.90% | 2,167 | 20.91% | 597 | 3.19% | 91 | 2,855 |
| Pickett | 77.28% | 2,021 | 20.50% | 536 | 2.22% | 58 | 2,615 |
| Polk | 78.17% | 5,097 | 19.20% | 1,252 | 2.62% | 171 | 6,520 |
| Putnam | 69.83% | 19,002 | 25.18% | 6,851 | 4.99% | 1,359 | 27,212 |
| Rhea | 78.29% | 8,660 | 17.56% | 1,942 | 4.16% | 460 | 11,062 |
| Roane | 73.28% | 15,880 | 22.32% | 4,837 | 4.39% | 952 | 21,669 |
| Robertson | 71.59% | 19,410 | 24.48% | 6,637 | 3.93% | 1,066 | 27,113 |
| Rutherford | 60.05% | 64,515 | 34.17% | 36,706 | 5.78% | 6,215 | 107,436 |
| Scott | 84.85% | 6,044 | 13.11% | 934 | 2.04% | 145 | 7,123 |
| Sequatchie | 77.99% | 4,441 | 18.49% | 1,053 | 3.51% | 200 | 5,694 |
| Sevier | 78.84% | 28,629 | 17.34% | 6,297 | 3.82% | 1,386 | 36,312 |
| Shelby | 34.48% | 116,344 | 61.95% | 208,992 | 3.57% | 12,047 | 337,383 |
| Smith | 73.88% | 5,494 | 22.71% | 1,689 | 3.40% | 253 | 7,436 |
| Stewart | 72.92% | 3,864 | 23.06% | 1,222 | 4.02% | 213 | 5,299 |
| Sullivan | 75.43% | 46,979 | 20.20% | 12,578 | 4.37% | 2,721 | 62,278 |
| Sumner | 70.11% | 50,129 | 25.40% | 18,161 | 4.50% | 3,215 | 71,505 |
| Tipton | 72.02% | 16,910 | 24.64% | 5,785 | 3.35% | 786 | 23,481 |
| Trousdale | 66.55% | 2,103 | 29.94% | 946 | 3.51% | 111 | 3,160 |
| Unicoi | 78.82% | 5,671 | 17.54% | 1,262 | 3.64% | 262 | 7,195 |
| Union | 80.89% | 5,053 | 16.20% | 1,012 | 2.91% | 182 | 6,247 |
| Van Buren | 75.24% | 1,820 | 22.28% | 539 | 2.48% | 60 | 2,419 |
| Warren | 70.09% | 9,540 | 25.97% | 3,535 | 3.95% | 537 | 13,612 |
| Washington | 68.85% | 34,252 | 26.18% | 13,024 | 4.97% | 2,474 | 49,750 |
| Wayne | 85.98% | 5,036 | 12.24% | 717 | 1.78% | 104 | 5,857 |
| Weakley | 73.93% | 9,008 | 22.75% | 2,772 | 3.32% | 404 | 12,184 |
| White | 78.08% | 7,671 | 18.78% | 1,845 | 3.15% | 309 | 9,825 |
| Williamson | 64.19% | 68,212 | 29.18% | 31,013 | 6.63% | 7,046 | 106,271 |
| Wilson | 69.46% | 39,406 | 25.36% | 14,385 | 5.19% | 2,943 | 56,734 |
County Flips:
|
Democratic
Hold |
Republican
Hold
Gain from Democratic
|
See also
| Elections in Tennessee |
|---|
 |
 Government |
References
- "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2016". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
- "Tennessee Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 17, 2017. Retrieved July 26, 2017.
- "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
- Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
- "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
- "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
- "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
- Sabato, Larry (November 7, 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
- "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
- Todd, Chuck (November 7, 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
- "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on December 15, 2016. Retrieved December 15, 2016.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - "Swing State Project: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008". Archived from the original on October 16, 2015. Retrieved October 16, 2015.
External links
- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived 2016-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
- Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Tennessee
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