2023 Nigerian presidential election in Anambra State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Anambra State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Anambra State
25 February 2023
Registered2,656,437
 
Nominee Peter Obi Atiku Abubakar
Party LP PDP
Home state Anambra Adamawa
Running mate Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed Ifeanyi Okowa
Popular vote 584,621 9,036
Percentage 95.24% 1.47%
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Rabiu Kwankwaso
Party APC NNPP
Home state Lagos Kano
Running mate Kashim Shettima Isaac Idahosa
Popular vote 5,111 1,967
Percentage 0.83% 0.32%
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

Background

Anambra State is a small, Igbo-majority southeastern state; although it is one of the most developed states in the nation, Anambra has faced challenges in security as both the nationwide kidnapping epidemic and separatist violence have heavily affected the region. Originally launched ostensibly to defend ethnic Igbos from herdsmen and government attacks, the separatist organization Indigenous People of Biafra's Eastern Security Network began violently enforcing economically destructive weekly lockdowns in 2021 and swiftly were criticized for committing human rights abuses against civilians it was meant to protect.[2][3] These atrocities coupled with law enforcement brutality and herder–farmer clashes worsened the security situation prior to the election.[4]

Politically, the 2019 elections were categorized by competitive contests between the state PDP and APGA. Statewise, the majority of House of Assembly seats were won by APGA. The parties split the eleven House of Representatives seats with the PDP winning 6 seats and APGA winning 5 seats while two senate seats went to the PDP and one seat was gained by the YPP. For the presidency, Anambra was easily won by PDP nominee Atiku Abubakar by an 81% margin of victory.

Polling
Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 0% 76% 0% 0% – 6% 2% 15%
Nextier
(Anambra crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A – 96.6% – 2.2% – 1.1% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Anambra crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 2% 85% – 1% – 11% – –

Projections
Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][5] Safe Obi 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][6]
Tinubu: 20.06% 11 February 2023
Obi: 67.10%
Abubakar: 6.53%
Others: 6.32%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][7]		 Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][8] Obi 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][9]
Tinubu: 5% 27 December 2022
Obi: 70%
Kwankwaso: –
Abubakar: 10%
Others/Undecided: 15%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][10][11] Obi 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results
2023 Nigerian presidential election in Anambra State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
NNPP Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total
Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Anambra Central
Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Anambra North
Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Anambra South
Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total
Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Aguata
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Anambra East/Anambra West
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Awka North/Awka South
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Idemili North/Idemili South
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ihiala
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Njikoka/Dunukofia/Anaocha
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Nnewi North/Nnewi South/Ekwusigo
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ogbaru
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Onitsha North/Onitsha South
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 18] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Orumba North/Orumba South
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 19] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Oyi/Ayamelum
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 20] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total
Valid Votes		 Turnout
Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Aguata TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Anambra East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Anambra West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Anaocha TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Awka North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Awka South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ayamelum TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dunukofia TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ekwusigo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Idemili North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Idemili South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ihiala TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Njikoka TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Nnewi North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Nnewi South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ogbaru TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Onitsha North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Onitsha South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Orumba North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Orumba South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Oyi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes
  1. AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Anaocha, Awka North, Awka South, Dunukofia, Idemili North, Idemili South, and Njikoka.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Ayamelum, Anambra East, Anambra West, Ogbaru, Onitsha North, Onitsha South, and Oyi.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Aguata, Ekwusigo, Ihiala, Nnewi North, Nnewi South, Orumba North, and Orumba South.
  10. Comprising the local government area of Aguata.
  11. Comprising the local government areas of Anambra East and Anambra West.
  12. Comprising the local government areas of Awka North and Awka South.
  13. Comprising the local government areas of Idemili North and Idemili South.
  14. Comprising the local government area of Ihiala.
  15. Comprising the local government areas of Anaocha, Dunukofia, and Njikoka.
  16. Comprising the local government areas of Ekwusigo, Nnewi North, and Nnewi South.
  17. Comprising the local government area of Ogbaru.
  18. Comprising the local government areas of Onitsha North and Onitsha South.
  19. Comprising the local government areas of Orumba North and Orumba South.
  20. Comprising the local government areas of Ayamelum and Oyi.

References
  1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. Ayitogo, Nasir. "ANALYSIS: Despite Nnamdi Kanu's incarceration, IPOB-linked killings, attacks continue in South-east". Premium Times. Retrieved 13 March 2022.
  3. Okoli, Anayo; Nkwopara, Chidi; Agbo, Dennis; Nwaiwu, Chimaobi; Alaribe, Ugochukwu; Okonkwo, Nwabueze; Adonu, Chinedu; Alozie, Chinonso; Odu, Ikechukwu; Oko, Steve; Ali, Uchenna. "How Monday sit-at-home is affecting South-East economy". Vanguard. Retrieved 13 March 2022.
  4. "Nigeria: At least 115 people killed by security forces in four months in country's Southeast". Amnesty International. 5 August 2021. Retrieved 13 March 2022.
  5. Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  6. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  7. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  9. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  10. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  11. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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