2022 United States Senate election in Maryland
The 2022 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Maryland. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19, 2022.[1]
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 County results Van Hollen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Chaffee: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Maryland |
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 Government |
Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen was first elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, winning the seat of retiring incumbent Barbara Mikulski. He ran for a second term against Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee.[2]
Shortly after polls closed on November 8, 2022, the Associated Press called the race for Van Hollen.[3] He overperformed his 2016 numbers and flipped four counties that he lost in his first election: Anne Arundel (home to the state capital Annapolis), Frederick, Kent, and Talbot.
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Chris Van Hollen, incumbent U.S. senator[2][4]
Eliminated in primary
- Michelle Laurence Smith, federal employee and business owner[5]
Endorsements
Chris Van Hollen
- Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 3[6]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 67[7]
- American Federation of Teachers Maryland[8]
- Maryland State and District of Columbia AFL–CIO[9]
- National Education Association[10]
- Service Employees International Union Local 500[11]
- UNITE HERE Local 25[12]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 400[13]
- Organizations
- Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC[14]
- Brady PAC[15]
- Chesapeake Climate Action Network[16]
- Council for a Livable World[17]
- End Citizens United[18]
- Feminist Majority PAC[19]
- Giffords[20]
- Human Rights Campaign[21]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[22]
- JStreetPAC[23]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[24]
- Let America Vote[18]
- Maryland REALTORS® Political Action Committee[25]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[26]
- National Organization for Women PAC[27]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[28]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[29]
- Population Connection Action Fund[30]
- Progressive Turnout Project[31]
- Sierra Club[32]
Results
Results by county:
Van Hollen
- 60–70%
- 70-80%
- 80-90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) | 535,014 | 80.81% | |
| Democratic | Michelle Laurence Smith | 127,089 | 19.19% | |
| Total votes | 662,103 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Nominee
- Chris Chaffee, homebuilding contractor and perennial candidate[lower-alpha 1][34][35]
Eliminated in primary
- George Davis, engineer[34]
- Nnabu Eze, IT contractor and perennial candidate[lower-alpha 2][36][34]
- Lorie Friend, nurse[34][35]
- Reba Hawkins, business owner and candidate for Maryland's 3rd congressional district in 2020[34]
- Jon McGreevey, a.k.a. Ryan Dark White, adult bookstore employee and believer in the QAnon conspiracy theory[37][38][39]
- Joseph Perez, IT project manager[34][35]
- Todd Puglisi, grocery store clerk[34]
- James Tarantin, entrepreneur[40]
- John Thormann, contractual consultant[34]
Declined
- Andy Harris, U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district (2011–present) (ran for re-election)[41]
- Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland (2015–2023)[42]
Endorsements
Chris Chaffee
- Organizations
- Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Eze, Hawkins, and Perez)[43]
Nnabu Eze
- Organizations
- Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Chaffee, Hawkins, and Perez)[43]
Lorie Friend
- State legislators
- Wendell R. Beitzel, state delegate for District 1A (2007–present)[44]
- George C. Edwards, state senator for the 1st District (2007–present)[44]
- Mike McKay, state delegate for District 1C (2015–present)[44]
Reba Hawkins
- Organizations
- Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Chaffee, Eze, and Perez)[43]
Joseph Perez
- Organizations
- Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Chaffee, Hawkins, and Eze)[43]
James Tarantin
- State legislators
- Trent Kittleman, state delegate for district 9A (2015–present)[45]
Results
Results by county:
Chaffee
- 10–20%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Friend
- 10–20%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
Thormann
- 10–20%
Tarantin
- 20–30%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Chaffee | 50,514 | 20.78% | |
| Republican | Lorie Friend | 35,714 | 14.69% | |
| Republican | John Thormann | 33,290 | 13.69% | |
| Republican | Joseph Perez | 26,359 | 10.84% | |
| Republican | George Davis | 21,095 | 8.68% | |
| Republican | James Tarantin | 20,514 | 8.44% | |
| Republican | Reba Hawkins | 18,057 | 7.43% | |
| Republican | Jon McGreevey | 14,128 | 5.81% | |
| Republican | Todd Puglisi | 13,550 | 5.57% | |
| Republican | Nnabu Eze | 9,917 | 4.08% | |
| Total votes | 243,138 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[46] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[47] | Solid D | July 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] | Safe D | June 15, 2022 |
| Politico[49] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[50] | Safe D | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[51] | Solid D | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[52] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[53] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[54] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Chris Van Hollen (D)
- Executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States (2021–present), 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017), and former U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[55]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 3[6]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 67[7]
- American Federation of Teachers Maryland[8]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 26[56]
- Maryland State and District of Columbia AFL–CIO[9]
- National Education Association[10]
- Service Employees International Union Local 500[11]
- UNITE HERE Local 25[12]
- United Auto Workers[57]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 400[13]
- Organizations
- Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC[14]
- Brady PAC[15]
- Chesapeake Climate Action Network[16]
- Council for a Livable World[17]
- End Citizens United[18]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[58]
- Feminist Majority PAC[19]
- Giffords[20]
- Human Rights Campaign[21]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[22]
- JStreetPAC[23]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[24]
- League of Conservation Voters[59]
- Let America Vote[18]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[26]
- National Organization for Women PAC[27]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[28]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[29]
- Population Connection Action Fund[30]
- Progressive Turnout Project[31]
- Sierra Club[32]
- Newspapers
Chris Chaffee (R)
- Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Chris Van Hollen (D) |
Chris Chaffee (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goucher College | September 8–12, 2022 | 748 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 56% | 33% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 8% |
Hypothetical polling
- Chris Van Hollen vs. Larry Hogan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Chris Van Hollen (D) |
Larry Hogan (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R)[upper-alpha 1] | November 29 – December 1, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 49% | – | 14% |
| Change Research (D) | September 29 – October 1, 2020 | 650 (V) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 34% | – | 16% |
| University of Maryland/Washington Post | October 9–14, 2019 | 819 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 50% | 3%[lower-alpha 5] | 5% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) | 1,316,897 | 65.77% | +4.88% | |
| Republican | Chris Chaffee | 682,293 | 34.07% | −1.60% | |
| Write-in | 3,146 | 0.16% | +0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 2,002,336 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
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By congressional district
Van Hollen won 7 of 8 congressional districts.[63]
| District | Van Hollen | Chaffee | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 42.7% | 57.2% | Andy Harris |
| 2nd | 60.8% | 39.1% | Dutch Ruppersberger |
| 3rd | 62.3% | 37.5% | John Sarbanes |
| 4th | 91% | 8.9% | Anthony Brown (117th Congress) |
| Glenn Ivey (118th Congress) | |||
| 5th | 67.1% | 32.8% | Steny Hoyer |
| 6th | 54.4% | 45.5% | David Trone |
| 7th | 83.4% | 16.4% | Kweisi Mfume |
| 8th | 81.9% | 17.9% | Jamie Raskin |
Notes
- Candidate for Maryland's 5th congressional district in 2010 and nominee in 2014; candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018
- Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Maryland's 4th congressional district in 2020; Green nominee for Maryland's 3rd congressional district in 2016
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Some other candidate" (volunteered response) with 2%
- "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "Other" with 0%
- Partisan clients
- This poll was paid for by the Senate Leadership Fund
See also
- Elections in Maryland
- 2022 United States elections
- 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election
- 2022 Maryland Attorney General election
- 2022 Maryland Senate elections
- 2022 Maryland Comptroller election
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland
- 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2022 Maryland House of Delegates election
References
- "Voting in Maryland". State Board of Elections. State of Maryland. Archived from the original on July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 16, 2022. Note Archived site contains Primary Election information, but not 'current' version.
- Kurtz, Josh (April 16, 2021). "Mizeur Collects $350K for Congressional Bid; Aruna Miller Raising Money for Possible House Run". Maryland Matters. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
- "2022 race calls". Associated Press. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
- Kurtz, Josh (February 15, 2022). "Political Notes: A Barnburner in Southern Md., Van Hollen Makes It Official, Masking Changes, Senator Pulls Chief Judge Bill". Maryland Matters. Retrieved February 15, 2022.
- "Michelle Smith for Senate". September 11, 2020. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- "AFSCME Maryland Announces Endorsements for Federal, State, and County Offices". afscmemd.org. American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 3. June 10, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
- "2022 ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS FOR THE PRIMARY ELECTION". afscme67.org. American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees Local 67. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
- "Labor-Endorsed Candidates for 2022 Primary Election". md.aft.org. American Federation of Teachers Maryland. June 15, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
- "Endorsed Candidates 2022". mddclabor.org. Maryland State and District of Columbia AFL–CIO. May 18, 2022. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
- "Our Recommended Candidates". educationvotes.nea.org. National Education Association. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
- "Endorsements". seiu500.org. Service Employees International Union Local 500. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
- "MD 2022 Election Endorsements/Respaldos políticos de la elección de MD de 2022". local25union.org. UNITE HERE Local 25. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
- "United Food & Commercial Workers Unions Announce Endorsements in Maryland". ufcw400.org. United Food and Commercial Workers Local 400. June 1, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
- "2022 Endorsements". bendthearc.us. Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
- "Brady PAC Endorses 113 House and Senate Gun Safety Champions for Election in 2022". bradypac.org. Brady Campaign. March 17, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
- Chartrand, KC (March 2, 2022). "CCAN Action Fund Endorses Climate Champion Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) for Re-election to the US Senate". Chesapeake Climate Action Network Action Fund. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
- "Senate Candidates – Council for a Livable World".
- "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Chris Van Hollen for Re-Election". End Citizens United. February 23, 2022. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
- "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
- "Endorsements". Giffords. Retrieved January 31, 2022.
- HRC Staff (June 1, 2022). "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Nine Pro-LGBTQ+ Equality U.S. Senators for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved June 23, 2022.
- "2022 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund. Retrieved May 23, 2022.
- "JStreetPAC Candidates". jstreetpac.org. J Street. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
- Kassel, Matthew (November 30, 2021). "JDCA announces first slate of 2022 endorsements". Jewish Insider. Retrieved December 5, 2021.
- "Maryland REALTORS® RPAC Announces Support for July 19 Primary Candidates" (PDF). mdrealtor.org. Maryland REALTORS® Political Action Committee. Retrieved July 5, 2022.
- "Endorsements". prochoiceamerica.org. NARAL Pro-Choice America. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
- "2022 Federal Endorsements". nowpac.org. National Organization for Women. Retrieved February 15, 2022.
- Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
- "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
- "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
- "Endorsements". turnoutpac.org. Progressive Turnout Project. Retrieved March 30, 2022.
- "Sierra Club Endorsements".
- "Official 2022 Gubernatorial Primary Election Results for U.S. Senator". Maryland State Board of Elections. July 19, 2022. Retrieved August 15, 2022.
- "Official 2022 Gubernatorial Primary Election Results for U.S. Senator". 2022 Gubernatorial Election. August 24, 2022. Archived from the original on October 16, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
- Gunzburger, Ron. "Online Guide to Maryland Elections, Candidates & Politics". Politics1. Archived from the original on September 5, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
- "Nnabu Eze". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 13, 2021.
- Kaplan, Alex (June 2, 2021). "Here are the QAnon supporters running for Congress in 2022". Media Matters for America. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
- "Sheriff: US Senate candidate falsely reported child sex trafficking in Harford Co". WMAR-TV. July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 18, 2022.
- "MD Republican Senate candidate charged with making a false report after allegedly claiming adult bookstore trafficked children". CBS News. July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 19, 2022.
- "James Tarantin". Federal Election Commission. Archived from the original on October 28, 2021. Retrieved October 28, 2021.
- "Harris: 'This was a sham, snap impeachment'". WBAL-TV 11. January 16, 2021. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- "AP source: GOP Maryland Gov. Hogan won't run for Senate". WBAL. February 8, 2022. Retrieved February 8, 2022.
- "Maryland Right to Life Pro-Life Voter Guide 2022". mdrtl.org. Maryland Right to Life. Retrieved July 28, 2022.
- "Senatorial candidate Lorie R. Friend receives multiple endorsements". The Garrett County Republican. July 14, 2022. Retrieved July 15, 2022.
- "Delegate Trent Kittleman Endorses James Tarantin For United States Senate". WICZ-TV. October 19, 2021. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
- "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- "Maryland Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
- Wood, Pamela (August 25, 2022). "Biden rallies Maryland Democrats and stumps for Wes Moore in Montgomery County". Baltimore Banner. Retrieved August 25, 2022.
- "Politics and Local 26". ibewlocal26.org. International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 26. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- "Maryland – UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Auto Workers. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
- "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces First Major Round of Federal Endorsements". everytown.org. Everytown for Gun Safety. July 28, 2022. Retrieved July 28, 2022.
- "LCV Action Fund Endorses Chris Van Hollen and David Trone for Congress". www.lcv.org. July 27, 2022.
- "AFRO Ballot". Baltimore Afro-American. October 23, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- Editorial Board (October 21, 2022). "Here's who The Post endorses for Congress in Maryland". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 22, 2022.
- "Official 2022 Gubernatorial General Election Results for U.S. Senator". Maryland State Board of Elections.
- Results. docs.google.com (Report).
External links
- Official campaign websites
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